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Tempted to bck Stricker this week. As u say, superb course form. But have it in my head now for a few months that he might just be on the wain, putter has seemed very unreliable. Think this is a big week for him, if he doesnt contend here, the curtain could cming down sooner than some think. Prefer Zach at the prices, usually a hard man to keep out of contention in these second rate events.
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Ryan Moore (75s) and Brian Davis (85s) for me.
Moore not in the best form but he's a classy player and I think he'll turn it around soon enough. Davis has four top-10s this season, including one just three weeks ago at the Travelers. Is generally consistent enough to give you a run for your money. Seems a bit of a layers dream this week with a host of so-so players at short prices. Clark, de Jonge and Overton 38s, Sendo and NoHair 40s, C. Hoff under 50s... They are all ok players but those odds aren't very generous. |
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doesnt look like much interest in this.anyway gone for the following
ben crane 60s ken duke 65 bruce molder 100s brian gay 120 gl all |
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Seung-Yul Noh 50
Charles Howell III 75 Scott Piercy 90 Spencer Levin 110 Sang-Moon Bae 140 Jimmy Walker 130 Kevin Streelman 150 Brian Harman 280 Ricky Barnes 280 My field for the event. |
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Only the two picks for the John Deere Classic in a weak looking field with a short priced favourite going for a "fourpeat". I expected Tim Clark to be fairly short this week and I have broken my current rule of not backing prices shorter than 50/1 because I really think he should be a 25/1 shot this week. With the exception of Stricker Clark has the best scoring average at Deere Run for those who have had three starts and came very close to winning on his debut. There is something about the week before the Open Championship that Clark likes as he has been 2nd,18th and 7th in this event but also 3rd,5th,1st and 5th in the Scottish Open in the same week. I am not concerned about his injury problems as he seems over them but his state of mind is a small worry as he was really annoyed with himself for not winning in the Travelers last time when 4th 0.6 ew 40/1
My other pick is Chez Reavie and I must admit I would have preferreda slightly bigger price but he is in good form having gone 11th,15th, was 5th here last year and seems to show some of his best form when the tour moves north in the height of summer 0.3 ew 66/1 |
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garrigus been overlooked. also senden and crane.all e/w.
against stricker this wk, just does not have the right numbers this year and last year thought he was slightly fortunate. |
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d. summerhays for me
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Stricks is a lay.
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Good one.
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Not my best move!
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My pre-tournament views and tips are on my blog http://bettingwarbler.wordpress.com/2012/07/10/john-deere-classic-pga-tour-golf/ [also confess to having a saver punt on the ose of Steve Stricker simply because I would kick myself if he achieved his 4-timer]
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troy's odds gone to 7's overnight?!
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i assume it is because of weather forecast and potential shortened tournament
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All bets on this market will be declared void unless 54 holes of the tournament are completed
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I guess the weather would be the only justification for the leap in price, but they can lose a full day complete a 72-hole tournament on time so even with some storms in the forecast it's a pretty big leap of faith to assume a 54-hole tournament with the first day completed on schedule already.
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