Golf
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28 May 12
11:09
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Date Joined:
12 Jun 06
Hi all,
I am going to my first gold tournament on Sunday which is at the Celtic Manor.
Have just had a look at the winner market and there is really no liquidity, do you think this wil change or not as it is only a small tournament?
I dont know too much about golf but are there any stand out players that i should back and hope that one of them will win? Was thinkingi could ack 3-5 players and hope a couple are in with a good shout when i go for the final round on Sunday.
Any thoughts on this would be much appreciated - Thanks
I am going to my first gold tournament on Sunday which is at the Celtic Manor.
Have just had a look at the winner market and there is really no liquidity, do you think this wil change or not as it is only a small tournament?
I dont know too much about golf but are there any stand out players that i should back and hope that one of them will win? Was thinkingi could ack 3-5 players and hope a couple are in with a good shout when i go for the final round on Sunday.
Any thoughts on this would be much appreciated - Thanks
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Replies: 134
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they wonder why this place is dead
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Niclas Fasth listed first on the Betfair market ! I have a feeling he wont be favourite this week
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Monty would be a good one to back.Had a recent win on this track and interacts well with the galleries.Keep him in mind.
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i was thinking of monty, jiminez but wasnt sure about who else....
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dear, dear me
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Matty I think someone is joshing you
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yes i get that idea too, just not really sure why.
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Have a read up Matty as you have plenty of time pre tourny.....
You will come to your own conclusions....good luck |
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Ok, thanks buddy. Was just abit concerned as cant find other bookies taking bets on this and there is no liquidity on here
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Well it could be because you thought of backing Monty
 Bookies do seem slow this week on euro tour liquidity on here will pick up. Maybe Paul Lawrie this week ? |
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monty was just a random pick as hes an old timer!
Was thinking the molinari brothers might have a good chance going into the final round!! |
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Remember Matty, under 16s get in for free
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damn, im 7 years too late haha
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Richard Sterne. Won round here before, and had a cracking week at Wentworth. Price maybe a bit skinny, though.
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Also like Marcel Siem, and Edoardo Molinari.
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theres a few who shot decent last rds at wentworth when not in the running, francesco's in decent nick of late & in the field is worth covering as is Paul Lawrie.
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ps enjoy the tourney at celtic manor, looks like it might stay dry
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im really hoping it stays dry!!
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Bjorn and Bourdy for me
I hope Richard Johnson has a good week, his Dad is the pro at my club, and he has got a sponsors invite this week. Dont think he knows himself how he is going to do. He won the Nationwide tour in the States in 2007 and has had loads of injury problems since then. |
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last time they played on this course, very shot very very low - 20 something, looks like a bombers paradise...wide open fairways, with some water to avoid...think larrazabal 40/1 and gonzo 80/1...all the best tj
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as im not really a massive golf follower i only know the big names who are on tv alot.
so most of them on the list of players i have no idea who they are. makes it hard to pick a winner haha |
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this is being played on the 2010 course which has been used since 2008
richard sterne won on the par 69 roman road course in 2007 |
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Edoardo Molinari 0.4 ew 50/1
Julien Quesne 0.25 ew 100/1 Jeev Singh 0.25 ew 90/1 Jeppe Huldahl 0.1 ew 250/1 |
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M.Warren
M.A.Carlsson M.Baldwin M.Manassero |
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Mmmm.
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gone for the following
edoardo molinari 50s stephen gallacher 130 richard sterne 65 chris wood 90 thorbjorn oleson 65 gl all |
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My main two fancies this week were Siem and Peter Lawrie but Siem's price is just a tad too skinny for me. That's left me with a decent e/w play on Pete and then a few bigger priced guys on here:
Baldwin Fasth Haindl Sullivan Looks like a wide open tournament too me, good luck people |
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Chris Wood @ 50/1
Edfors @ 80/1 Van Zyl @ 100/1 Monty @ 200/1 Colombo @ 250/1 Chris Wood FRL @ 75s |
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Memorial looks impossible to me so sticking with the Welsh.
4 par 5s and wide open fairways - definitely should favour the longer hitters. G. Fernandez-Castano @ 75 - 9th & 12th the two times he's played here. Jbe Kruger @ 95 - whacks it a country mile and hits the greens, just needs putter to work. Romain Wattel @ 80 - another banger finished 15th last year. Thorbjorn Olesen @ 70 - hits it far and can putt an ideal combination round here. |
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Richard Sterne.
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I have gradually come to the conclusion that betting golfers under 50/1 is bad for my wallet - it's just a personal thing and if I was to pick four or five of them a week I would be OK but picking just one out from that price range leads to losses. You might ask why I have written that this week - well Larrazabal headed my list this week and at the opening 40/1 I was tempted but he has to be passed over - especially after his woeful back nine 43 at Walton Heath on Monday. Instead I have backed five at bigger prices
Edoardo Molinari - also played poorly on Monday but pulled out after eighteen holes, he has been consistently been playing OK without shooting the lights out but a return to Celtic Manor could just be what the doctor ordered. He is bound to have fond memories of playing in the Ryder Cup and was 4th here when he last visited in 2010 0.4 ew 50/1 Julien Quesne did exactly the same as Molinari on Monday but it doesn't put me off. I don't see why a player who has already won this season and played consistently well in his other starts should be 100/1 in this field - 0.25 ew Jeev Singh has a fantastic scoring average around the Twenty Ten course averaging just 69.9 blows despite a second round 79 last year - in his previous two efforts he finished 10th and 6th. His form has again been consistent but unspectacular but returning to a course he can go low then the 90/1 is fair value 0.25 ew I toyed with Magnus Carlsson but as a non winner I just couldn't pull the trigger so instead plumped for past winner Jeppe Huldahl. To be honest he hasn't achieved a lot since that win but he did lose in a playoff on the Challenge Tour a couple of weeks ago and at 250/1 it doesn't take much to find out! 0.1 ew Last but not least is Richard McEvoy who I must admit I would struggle to pick outright but he seems to like this place finishing 9th and 12th the last two years. The best market to back him is the weak looking top English where he has been 1st and 3rd and when he was 3rd Donald and Rock beat him - 0.4 ew 28/1 |
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My three are:
R Sterne -65 - Very good last time out. R Gonzalez -70 - In decent nick and has form here. J Kruger -90 - In reasonable form and decent stats for a course like this. Good luck |
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Gone for four outsiders, but all of whom I consider have decent chances at huge prices.
Richard Finch @ 200 Tano Goya @ 380 Joakim Lagergren @ 390 Federico Colombo @ 1000 Of the four, I fancy Lagergren the most. Has played well all season, and I really think that the course will suit. Good luck all. |
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Looks like someone's taking the p*ss, as immediately after my post, Lagergren goes 440 bid
.Had a bit of that as well in small. |
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Is that you, Eddie ?
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Took the lot. prob go 450 bid now. Too high.
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Had a small interest in Hedblom for starters this week @ a very reasonable 500...
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One other point - was looking for a price on Haindl and put up an order earlier in week so have noticed the consistent support for him (400 to 150)... none of mine though and too short for me now...
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