Crowne Plaza easy pick this week - Zack Johnson

nice1... prices ?

Expecting him to go off as favourite, I would be happy with anything above 17.0.

The other 'top' runners have nothing special about their form at the Crowne Plaza :

Kuchar 16th, 56th, 27th

Fowler 16th, 38th, DNP

Mahan  10th, CUT, 27th

Dufner CUT, DNP, 59th

Smaller field than most events as well, 123 players.

Wow, I bet this slipped right under the compilers noses.


Nice spot!!

Zach Johnson at 17.0 realy!! as much as i agree that he is playing well i could never take him at that price therefore that would have to be a lay in my book.

Harris English @ 140's + Nick Watney @ 32's would be decent value against the top 5 - can see an outsider winning this so value in taking a few @ 100-150 especially for those who like to lay off.

No such a thing as an easy pick in golf.

Hunter Mahan at 27s for me. One of the most consistent players on tour this year, hits a lot of fairways and greens which will suit this course. 10th last year. Personally, I thought he would have been priced up around the same odds as the favourites and was pleasantly surprised to see him at 9/10 points bigger

Furyk at twice the price for me.

Yeah, agree that Furyk looks much better value and on the basis that putting and scrambling look like key stats here I like Brian Gay at 80/1

Mahan, very much on the up...Furyk very much on the slide...and that's why he's twice the price!

Might help if you could spell ZACH

Few big prices

Boo weekly 300/1

Will claxton 610/1

Med range prices

John Senden 55/1

John Rollins 90/1

Shorties

David Thoms 38/1

Hunter Mahan 27/1

Jason Duffner 21/1

Gd luck all

Tyrannitar was pretty much right in saying ZJ would be around 17s. Well picked!

Here goes for another hopefull week,managed to finish in green last week,thanks to blixt. only 4 for this week.

J.Blixt
J.Mallinger
J.Furyk
G.Ogilvy

James Driscoll 0.25 ew 125/1 + 0.5 top 10 12/1
Bryce Molder 0.3 ew 80/1
Marc Leishman 0.3 ew 70/1

Here's hoping that one of mine can join Rickie, and Duf in the Break A Duck Club.

Jonas Blixt @ 85
Bud Cauley @ 100
Cameron Tringale @ 140
Kevin Streelman @ 180

May add a couple more before the off. Good luck.

Carl Pettersson
Brian Davis
Ryan Palmer

Palmer at 75/70s a nice price me thinks ...decent form over the last few outings and was only a few back after three rounds in this last year to fall away with a 73

Greg Owen 380

Jim Furyk 34

Zach Johnson @ 15's deffo lay as i layed at 17's also - very short for someone who hasnt won in a while even if he is playing well recently, beware!! my 3 for the record are H English although trading at 75's aprox is too short N Watney at 40's aprox (decent price and a very good chance) which leaves Bo Van Pelt the Black horse of the field although trading a little short at the mo - gd luck!!

Anyone got an idea as to why Jeff Overton's price has doubled?

Awww feck !!! Two of the biggest blinks on here already taken my man in this.
I've a good mind not to touch him now !!!

overtons price was too short ???

tipsters going for the same men, forcing prices in, something had to go out....

this isnt like a bookies where they cut some and leave the rest the same

Not sure i'd be laying Zach at the mo' has course form & playing very well, got all the right tools to take it this week.

So pennies on him for me & also backed Furyk, Crane & Oggy for a Sunday play once Wentworth is over.  gl all

Any reason why mahan drifting badly.. Does he have an injury or is he sick.. would like to know before i back him..

Any reason why mahan drifting badly.. Does he have an injury or is he sick.. would like to know before i back him..

Bryce Molder is a bit more of a hunch than anything else and the pick is based mainly on his scoring average at Colonial where he has only played six rounds - a m/c and a 5th. His average score works out at 67.33 which is better than anyone else playing including Zach Johnson. His win in the Frys.com last year came two years after he had placed 6th in that event (albeit a different course) and also his win on the Nationwide Tour came two years after he had placed 5th at that event - maybe it's a good omen! 0.3 ew 80/1
I will stick with Leishman again this week as he really gave it a good try last week and but for a short missed putt on the 17th on Sunday he played quite well in contention. We still have the Texas angle on our side and whilst he was only 44th last year on his debut he was 7th with a round to go 0.3 ew 70/1.
James Driscoll intrigues me this week as this is the month he seems to come alive. His top 5 strike rate for all events on both tours is 5.2% and top ten 9.7% - in May this rises to 15.6% and 28.1% - that is quite a big difference. This year unusually he already has a pair of top ten finishes to his name. A lot of those good finishes have been in Texas and he will be very pleased with his form on Monday at the Open qualifier in the Lone Star State where he was one of the men who made it through the playoff to qualify for the second time. His form here is not exceptional but he has shot some low rounds - 0.25 ew 125/1 + 0.5 top 10 12/1.

After a superb Byron Nelson thanks to JJ, Leishman and Cejka this is my squad for the Crown Plaza:

Ken Duke @ 160
Kris Blanks @ 210
John Mallinger @ 260
David Mathis @ 310+
Rod Pampling @ 260
Boo Weekley @ 240+
Stewart Cink @ 220/230
Jason Bohn @ 270/280
Roberto Castro @ 550/560

All to trade at some point hopefully.

Great minds GYD. (I hope.)

Only 2 big priced rags for me this week.

Jason Bohn @ 300
Roberto Castro @ 500

Gl all.

Taking a chance on Aaron Baddeley this week @ 150, feel that he fits the previous winners profile, especially if the flat stick form returns...

gone for following

jim furyk 33s
ben crane 42s
brian davis 70s
bryce molder 80s

alotsmaller wins on
bo van pelt  28s
done d toms 30s

Picked 3 for this week in the US:

N Watney @ 44
B Davis @ 70
B Cauley @ 130

Looking forward to another good weeks golf, good luck!

I'm sticking with my £88.07 at average odds of 22.46 on Zach. I know, I know - I should lay some off but made a deal with myself that I won't lay off until (if ever) he reaches 5.0.

Good luck everybody !!

why is van pelt only 2 pts bigger than dufner and 8pts shorter than mahan?

Yeah some very strange prices Harry. Dufner and Mahan should be favourites for mine considering the season they're both having. Market in love with BVP these days. 5 top 10s this year is a misleading stat for mine, consistent yes but I don't recall a Sunday this year where he was truly a factor and looked like actually winning. Mahan and Dufner good prices as is Baddeley and Cauley if looking for bigger prices.

zach way too short despite course form and recent form.

Dufner fowler and kuch would be my top 3 in the market

J. Blixt £20 @ 85.

Zach lay of the year at this price.

Just messed about with the RP selections, and added onr two.  Can't find a 200+ selection.  Good luck with yours.

Kevin Streelman 120
Blake Adams 180
Ken Duke 160
Martin Flores 810
William McGirt 840

ZJ doin the bizzy early doors, already 4 under thro 6 & now available at 6.0's

Now 5 under through 7.  Making absolutely everything.

i guess that is why he was fav

The OP will be able to lay off at 5s nice and early at this rate. Good stuff.

Aye there goes another bird, shame he couldn't putt like that last time out, still hopefully he completes this one, still early doors but....

not greedy is me, 6'0 will do with 6 holes down

good choice and timing furelli.. Has the hardest 9 to play now but great start

zach 4/1

Jeez, that was quick !!!

Come on Zach. Don't ruin the tournament on day 1.

Zack 4.7, taking him on at that price. Duffman is a runaway freight train, I dare you to get in his way Zachary.

Dufner has never been consistent on this course. A good start does not mean he has conquered the course, Zach is proven here. Dufner will gradually lose it around here.

Dufner is without any doubt the best player in the world right now

Didn't say he'd conquered the course AG but Dufner version 2012 has never played this course
A 1.01 express is a very rare thing in golf and I refuse to believe that Zach even if he wins won't trade a fair bit higher than the 4.7.

If you are hitting every fairway and green each week i dont care what course he is on

had some of Romero at 3 figure last night as well, laid off now, he's been on the fringes at times this year. Zach's to loose at this point thou' might get to sit on me hands & enjoy the next 3 days from afar for once.....

Dufner 2012 sneaking results where as last year he was just falling short. His putting has let him down on this course in the past. He has had good rounds here in the past put cant maintain it. The odds are still stacked against him to follow up with 3 more good rounds. Obviously i want Zach

Might be getting gradually harder today - winds 27 kmh raising to 35 kmh with gusts increasing to 50 kmh this afternoon

that;ll be ok then, knowing the Yanks they'll p-p until tomorrow with such STRONG winds , job's a good-un for ZJ!

i dont wanna play any more... Dufner 10 Under

Odds on.

odds on when half the field havent even started round 2?   joke price. i would lay it if i hadnt already done my balls on the Liverpool managers market

angel gabriel quiet now

Harry its 4 rounds to be played!! quit with  jibberjabber!

ZJ eagle baby!!

EAGLE Start from ZJ!!!

It's on again!

angel it was you who started the slating off the worlds best golfer right now.

Harry i am a big fan of Dufner and i like the guy but i am banking on this catching him out more than ZJ, especially on the greens. Not slating the guy.

* but i am banking on this course catching him out more than ZJ

c'mon Zach!  A sly little 59 today will show duffers who's boss

Zach eagle, birdie holes 1 and 2

fast start...looks like these 2 could fight it out over the weekend.

At the prices gotta be a lay of Zach & Dufner....gone too early...

Greened this up OK, with Zach and Jason good winners.   Not really any other realistic chances though, and four of my team will miss the cut.  Good luck with yours.   The BMW is shaping up to be a disaster though.

I see that Sergio has imploded again.

5 Over for his last 4 holes.

The man must be an emotional wreck.

in fairness 4 of the 5 shots were on one hole

that is 2nd quadruple bogey of the year he also has one double-qouadruple and two triple bogeys in 26 rounds of golf...Aquaman

Anyone got a clue what to do today.  Looks like two runners, but thinking of moving some of my Bryce Molder green to any two of Tommy Two Gloves, Rickie Fowler and Harris English.  Bo Van Pelt looks two short to me.

dufner will put his foot down again..have ryan palmer as an outside chance if he goes low.

Going to Rickie for an interest over weekend @30's...

Anywhere to watch this before sky come on air at 8.45?

Is there a better player in the world right now than Dufner?

No there is not Mighty, he is a machine.

who wins from here?   got a donald/johnson double running and no funds to lay any off. going to be a stressful sunday.

Zach may deal with the greens better as the pressure cranks up. Surely Dufner cant win again.

ZJ'z hung tuff so far & closed on duffner, be one to watch later & hopefully plenny of flip-flops between the two for trading although id really fancy ZJ to press home any adv should it arise tonight. gl all

Books must be seething again....favs both with good chances across the pond and it looks almost certain that one of the front 4 in the market wins both sides.

luke in trouble on 1st?

nope

wrong thread lol

Dufner or Zach? (unless the Fowl works the oracle)....bad week so far therefore gonna chase like a true pro......something 'bout Duffers I just don't like...no doubting his ability tho...so going for Zach...

well done zach, you are my new hero

Fairly impressive thread title and tipping Tyrannitar

He couldn't have been more obvious with a beacon on his head. Unfortunately, unlike my last 'beacon banker' with my biggest ever bet, I didn't play this week. He couldn't even chuck the thing away.

Fair play.