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bob the ex-bookie
10 Aug 19 15:51
Joined:
Date Joined: 13 Jan 06
| Topic/replies: 39 | Blogger: bob the ex-bookie's blog
Been on here a long time, all for fun. Made a bit, lost a bit. Surprisingly a little bit up, overall.
Last football season I started to look at building up my bank, took it from just over £1000 to £1800.

So this season, have reduced the bank to just over £100, and will be taking it as far as I can - until I either lost the money, or lose my nerve !

Mostly football, all highly liquid markets, usually in-play betting at 1.05 or less (or laying at 30+)

Here are the first few bets :

date                     Start    Stake    odds           gross win    comm    net win    final                     Bet details
06 August 2019    £108.31    £108.30    1.06            £6.50    8%            £5.98    £114.29        Back Portsmouth v Birmingham @1.06
08 August 2019    £114.29    £108.00    55 lay    £2.00    8%            £1.84    £116.13        Lay Midtjylland v Rangers @2-4
10 August 2019    £116.13    £114.80    42 lay    £2.80    8%            £2.58    £118.71        Lay West Ham v City @ 0-1

Yes, I know my commission rate is 8%. But I've been playing around on Beat the Drop over the last few weeks, and I reckon there's enough arbitrage in there to make some money, and 2 free plays on it each month if I make the qualifying criteria. Will see in a couple of months, and adjust if it's not happening
Lets see where this takes me ...
Pause Switch to Standard View £100 to ... wherever !
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Report bob the ex-bookie August 13, 2019 9:50 PM BST
Well, that didn't last long before going wrong.

Laid Cluj (v Celtic) when Celtic were 3-2 up at 79 minutes. Cluj equalised a few seconds later, and scored a winner on about 97 minutes !

The bet was Lay £2 @ 50, so loss of £98. Bank now at £20.71

Is the moral never to bet on Scottish football and/or mickey mouse teams ? Quite possibly...

Will put the bank back up to approx £100, and try again

Such is the fun of it. Just when you think maybe you've got it cracked, it turns around and bites you

Glad I just do this for fun, anyway.
Good luck all
Report peckerdunne August 13, 2019 10:05 PM BST
This amount of honesty is uncalled for.

Only post the winners....Grin
Report raspberrybottom August 14, 2019 8:32 AM BST
Pecker's post made me smile on a miserably wet, grey morning. Happy

Good luck. Bob.
Report bob the ex-bookie August 14, 2019 8:02 PM BST
Yes, made me laugh too. Far too many people ignore the failures. They are part of it - even if you're a professional, you'll get bad days.

For me, it's about having some fun. Even if I lose overall, if I enjoy doing it then that's OK with me.
I see people and posts asking about going pro, making a living out of it. They're chasing a rainbow. It doesn't exist.

Play with what you can afford to lose, and be happy if you don't lose it. That's all, really.

Bank put back up - this time to £200 - and I'll probably just be playing with half of it at a time.

Should probably start a new thread, but if this goes wrong a few more times I might end up cluttering up the whole forum !
Report Charlie August 14, 2019 8:30 PM BST
Why not post on the footy 300 Bets Challenge thread? You seem to be doing something similar and may get some ideas from them.
Report bob the ex-bookie August 15, 2019 9:25 PM BST
Bet 1 (attempt 2)

Rangers v Midtjylland. Current score 3-1, lay the draw. £2 @ 70
Report bob the ex-bookie August 15, 2019 9:38 PM BST
Well, that worked. Bank now £202.55
Report bob the ex-bookie August 16, 2019 6:37 PM BST
A different bet this evening, small risk for (hopefully) reasonable gain, %-wise

Bilbao v Barcelona. Back Barca £10 @1.74, which I think are quite generous odds
Report peckerdunne August 16, 2019 9:48 PM BST
ex bookie kind of tells all Bob Wink 5 minutes left
Report bob the ex-bookie August 17, 2019 3:40 PM BST
Yup. Both Barca and Bayern lost - a real stinker - and I daresay you could have got huge odds on both those going the way they did.

Hey ho, at least I was sensible and only put 5% of the bank on it.

Bank £192.55, and waiting for the next three-legged lame donkey that doesn't even like carrots ...
Report bob the ex-bookie August 17, 2019 4:51 PM BST
Southhampton v Liverpool. Lay Saints £4 @24 @ 0-1.

At 1-2 @ 89 minutes, it looks like it's coming good
Report bob the ex-bookie August 18, 2019 9:50 PM BST
After the last bet, bank of £196.23

Current bet : Lay PSG @ £3 @30, 84 minutes, when they are losing 2-1 to Rennes

Looking to green out in a few minutes
Report bob the ex-bookie August 18, 2019 9:55 PM BST
Greened, £2 gross winnings no matter what

New bank £198.07
Report bob the ex-bookie August 19, 2019 9:18 PM BST
Mopped up some factions of money in the HT market in Wolves v Utd.

Bank now £199.44
Report bob the ex-bookie August 20, 2019 10:14 PM BST
Back Bristol in Derby v Bristol City @ 0-2, 10 minutes to go, 1.05 for just over £100

Late goal for Derby, but ended 1-2

Bank now £204.46
Report bob the ex-bookie August 21, 2019 9:39 PM BST
Back Dinamo Zagreb @ 2-0 , £100 @ 1.02 with 14 minutes to play
Report bob the ex-bookie August 22, 2019 9:03 PM BST
Backed Trabzonspor against AEK Athens when score 3-1 with 15 minutes to go @ 1.04. Greened out, balance now £210.36
Report bob the ex-bookie August 22, 2019 9:27 PM BST
Lay Qarabag and green out within a few seconds. Balance will be £211.28 once it settles
Report bob the ex-bookie August 22, 2019 9:45 PM BST
Torino v Wolves. Lay the draw £2 @ 75, 82 minutes
Report DFCIRONMAN August 23, 2019 10:08 AM BST
You are laying at very very high odds.............and the inevitable will happen!

Backing at less ridiculous odds ....eg WOLVES to win BEFORE GAME STARTS should give you a better chance of making a profit.....IF you know your football.

Very difficult to profit from football betting.......too many factors can ruin a bet!

You are currently playing Russian Roulette with LAYING ..........bullet more than likely will come....but GL
Report bob the ex-bookie August 23, 2019 6:02 PM BST
Yes, that's certainly possible.

But ... last season I took my bank from just over £1000 to a bit over £1800, following a similar plan - I'd certainly not call it a 'strategy' or 'system', and betting in-play.
Report bob the ex-bookie August 26, 2019 12:35 PM BST
A couple of very small lay bets over the weekend, seemed hard to actually get on any bets, the odds moving quite quickly.

Best one was managing to lay the draw in the City:Bournemouth game when the score was 3:0 at odds of 80, greened out nicely on that one too.

Bank at the start of today : £216.71

I've been looking at tennis majors markets in the last few months, experimenting with a few theories with the way the market moves, might be doing some on there this week
Report starship August 27, 2019 8:19 PM BST
I see people and posts asking about going pro, making a living out of it. They're chasing a rainbow. It doesn't exist.


you should rephrase that.
you do not KNOW anyone who makes it pay.
i know at least three people who do, myself included, that makes four
Report bob the ex-bookie August 27, 2019 8:44 PM BST
I'm assuming you've posted in the wrong thread.

Anyway, latest bet : Back Villa tonight, 2-0 up against Crewe in the Mickey Mouse cup, @1.08
Report bob the ex-bookie August 27, 2019 10:18 PM BST
Oops, forgot to say for £100. Greened out @1.01 for £6.93 gross winnings.

Bank now : £223.09
Report bob the ex-bookie August 28, 2019 9:29 PM BST
Laid Burnley v Sunderland, 1-3 scoreline @ 70.
Report bob the ex-bookie August 28, 2019 9:45 PM BST
Bank now £226.31
Report bob the ex-bookie August 29, 2019 7:46 PM BST
Laid AIK (V Celtic) £4 @ 46, 81 minutes gone, score 1-2
Report bob the ex-bookie August 31, 2019 6:42 PM BST
Bank after the last bet : £229.99

Back Liverpool, £200 @ 1.03, score currently 0-2
Report starship August 31, 2019 7:17 PM BST
taking a chance there 2-0 up..1.03
Report bob the ex-bookie August 31, 2019 11:39 PM BST
...taking a chance there 2-0 up..1.03...

That's why it's called gambling ...
Report bob the ex-bookie September 9, 2019 8:24 PM BST
So, got my end-of-month 'bonuses' from the account. I don't usually do slots, etc, but had 25 free spins so used those to make some money into the account. Also had a £10 free sportsbook acca, which made a little bit more. The 2 free goes on 'beat the drop' are 15 bets / £32,000 starting point, used one (blew up on bet 3), and started the other one now. Chances of winning are probably close to zero, but that's the way it goes.

Anyway, after the bonuses, bank of £272.22

I didn't see many bets I liked on the US Open tennis, so didn't do anything there.

Tonight, however, I did like Belgium's odds v Scotland - 1.42 struck me as a bit generous, considering how poor Scotland have looked recently.

So backed Belgium, £100 @ 1.42. Currently 2-0 up. So that looks good
Report bob the ex-bookie September 9, 2019 9:41 PM BST
Bank now £310.86
Report Do wah Diddy September 10, 2019 7:02 PM BST
Well done
Report DFCIRONMAN September 11, 2019 12:23 PM BST
bob - can you not post the bet when put on ....as it appears you are posting well after time. GL with bets.
Report bob the ex-bookie September 11, 2019 9:14 PM BST


Hopefully this will answer any doubters (assuming it uploads properly !)
Report starship September 12, 2019 12:45 PM BST
have i read that right...8% commission
Report bob the ex-bookie September 12, 2019 8:21 PM BST
Yes, please read the first post. All will become clear ...
Report bob the ex-bookie October 5, 2019 2:13 PM BST
Nothing else last month, as we went to Australia visiting family for 17 days (Brisbane and then 3 days in Sydney to finish off). Jetlag is still a bit of a swine, even though got back last Sunday !

Anyway, let's see what the weekend brings ...
Report bob the ex-bookie October 12, 2019 8:31 PM BST
Malta v Sweden. Back Sweden @1.03, £312.
Report bob the ex-bookie October 19, 2019 11:32 AM BST
Bank after that, £320.67

Crap weather this weekend, let's see how the matches go, and what looks decent.

I must admit, laying Everton @1.96 doesn't look like a terrible idea
Report bob the ex-bookie November 2, 2019 4:13 PM GMT
A couple of bits have put the bank up to £329.09

Today, back Sheff Weds v Burnley, 1.01 @ 3-0, £329
Report bob the ex-bookie November 2, 2019 5:09 PM GMT
Won, bank now £332.12
Report bob the ex-bookie November 6, 2019 7:19 PM GMT
Well, all I can say regrding last night is "Chelsea".

I backed Ajax at 4-1 (fortunately I could only get on at 1.05 a bit over £180, as I wanted to keep an eye out for anything else good), and it didn't pay off

Bank now £151.40

Hey ho, fun while it lasts !
Report bob the ex-bookie November 9, 2019 10:05 AM GMT
Managed to get a bet on last night, laying Norwich (just shows how poor that Watford have been that even when Norwich were 2-0 down you could still get reasonable odds

Bank now £156.46
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