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bob the ex-bookie
10 Aug 19 14:51
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Date Joined: 13 Jan 06
| Topic/replies: 39 | Blogger: bob the ex-bookie's blog
Been on here a long time, all for fun. Made a bit, lost a bit. Surprisingly a little bit up, overall.
Last football season I started to look at building up my bank, took it from just over £1000 to £1800.

So this season, have reduced the bank to just over £100, and will be taking it as far as I can - until I either lost the money, or lose my nerve !

Mostly football, all highly liquid markets, usually in-play betting at 1.05 or less (or laying at 30+)

Here are the first few bets :

date                     Start    Stake    odds           gross win    comm    net win    final                     Bet details
06 August 2019    £108.31    £108.30    1.06            £6.50    8%            £5.98    £114.29        Back Portsmouth v Birmingham @1.06
08 August 2019    £114.29    £108.00    55 lay    £2.00    8%            £1.84    £116.13        Lay Midtjylland v Rangers @2-4
10 August 2019    £116.13    £114.80    42 lay    £2.80    8%            £2.58    £118.71        Lay West Ham v City @ 0-1

Yes, I know my commission rate is 8%. But I've been playing around on Beat the Drop over the last few weeks, and I reckon there's enough arbitrage in there to make some money, and 2 free plays on it each month if I make the qualifying criteria. Will see in a couple of months, and adjust if it's not happening
Lets see where this takes me ...

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Replies: 45
By:
bob the ex-bookie
When: 13 Aug 19 21:50
Well, that didn't last long before going wrong.

Laid Cluj (v Celtic) when Celtic were 3-2 up at 79 minutes. Cluj equalised a few seconds later, and scored a winner on about 97 minutes !

The bet was Lay £2 @ 50, so loss of £98. Bank now at £20.71

Is the moral never to bet on Scottish football and/or mickey mouse teams ? Quite possibly...

Will put the bank back up to approx £100, and try again

Such is the fun of it. Just when you think maybe you've got it cracked, it turns around and bites you

Glad I just do this for fun, anyway.
Good luck all
By:
peckerdunne
When: 13 Aug 19 22:05
This amount of honesty is uncalled for.

Only post the winners....Grin
By:
raspberrybottom
When: 14 Aug 19 08:32
Pecker's post made me smile on a miserably wet, grey morning. Happy

Good luck. Bob.
By:
bob the ex-bookie
When: 14 Aug 19 20:02
Yes, made me laugh too. Far too many people ignore the failures. They are part of it - even if you're a professional, you'll get bad days.

For me, it's about having some fun. Even if I lose overall, if I enjoy doing it then that's OK with me.
I see people and posts asking about going pro, making a living out of it. They're chasing a rainbow. It doesn't exist.

Play with what you can afford to lose, and be happy if you don't lose it. That's all, really.

Bank put back up - this time to £200 - and I'll probably just be playing with half of it at a time.

Should probably start a new thread, but if this goes wrong a few more times I might end up cluttering up the whole forum !
By:
Charlie
When: 14 Aug 19 20:30
Why not post on the footy 300 Bets Challenge thread? You seem to be doing something similar and may get some ideas from them.
By:
bob the ex-bookie
When: 15 Aug 19 21:25
Bet 1 (attempt 2)

Rangers v Midtjylland. Current score 3-1, lay the draw. £2 @ 70
By:
bob the ex-bookie
When: 15 Aug 19 21:38
Well, that worked. Bank now £202.55
By:
bob the ex-bookie
When: 16 Aug 19 18:37
A different bet this evening, small risk for (hopefully) reasonable gain, %-wise

Bilbao v Barcelona. Back Barca £10 @1.74, which I think are quite generous odds
By:
peckerdunne
When: 16 Aug 19 21:48
ex bookie kind of tells all Bob Wink 5 minutes left
By:
bob the ex-bookie
When: 17 Aug 19 15:40
Yup. Both Barca and Bayern lost - a real stinker - and I daresay you could have got huge odds on both those going the way they did.

Hey ho, at least I was sensible and only put 5% of the bank on it.

Bank £192.55, and waiting for the next three-legged lame donkey that doesn't even like carrots ...
By:
bob the ex-bookie
When: 17 Aug 19 16:51
Southhampton v Liverpool. Lay Saints £4 @24 @ 0-1.

At 1-2 @ 89 minutes, it looks like it's coming good
By:
bob the ex-bookie
When: 18 Aug 19 21:50
After the last bet, bank of £196.23

Current bet : Lay PSG @ £3 @30, 84 minutes, when they are losing 2-1 to Rennes

Looking to green out in a few minutes
By:
bob the ex-bookie
When: 18 Aug 19 21:55
Greened, £2 gross winnings no matter what

New bank £198.07
By:
bob the ex-bookie
When: 19 Aug 19 21:18
Mopped up some factions of money in the HT market in Wolves v Utd.

Bank now £199.44
By:
bob the ex-bookie
When: 20 Aug 19 22:14
Back Bristol in Derby v Bristol City @ 0-2, 10 minutes to go, 1.05 for just over £100

Late goal for Derby, but ended 1-2

Bank now £204.46
By:
bob the ex-bookie
When: 21 Aug 19 21:39
Back Dinamo Zagreb @ 2-0 , £100 @ 1.02 with 14 minutes to play
By:
bob the ex-bookie
When: 22 Aug 19 21:03
Backed Trabzonspor against AEK Athens when score 3-1 with 15 minutes to go @ 1.04. Greened out, balance now £210.36
By:
bob the ex-bookie
When: 22 Aug 19 21:27
Lay Qarabag and green out within a few seconds. Balance will be £211.28 once it settles
By:
bob the ex-bookie
When: 22 Aug 19 21:45
Torino v Wolves. Lay the draw £2 @ 75, 82 minutes
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 23 Aug 19 10:08
You are laying at very very high odds.............and the inevitable will happen!

Backing at less ridiculous odds ....eg WOLVES to win BEFORE GAME STARTS should give you a better chance of making a profit.....IF you know your football.

Very difficult to profit from football betting.......too many factors can ruin a bet!

You are currently playing Russian Roulette with LAYING ..........bullet more than likely will come....but GL
By:
bob the ex-bookie
When: 23 Aug 19 18:02
Yes, that's certainly possible.

But ... last season I took my bank from just over £1000 to a bit over £1800, following a similar plan - I'd certainly not call it a 'strategy' or 'system', and betting in-play.
By:
bob the ex-bookie
When: 26 Aug 19 12:35
A couple of very small lay bets over the weekend, seemed hard to actually get on any bets, the odds moving quite quickly.

Best one was managing to lay the draw in the City:Bournemouth game when the score was 3:0 at odds of 80, greened out nicely on that one too.

Bank at the start of today : £216.71

I've been looking at tennis majors markets in the last few months, experimenting with a few theories with the way the market moves, might be doing some on there this week
By:
starship
When: 27 Aug 19 20:19
I see people and posts asking about going pro, making a living out of it. They're chasing a rainbow. It doesn't exist.


you should rephrase that.
you do not KNOW anyone who makes it pay.
i know at least three people who do, myself included, that makes four
By:
bob the ex-bookie
When: 27 Aug 19 20:44
I'm assuming you've posted in the wrong thread.

Anyway, latest bet : Back Villa tonight, 2-0 up against Crewe in the Mickey Mouse cup, @1.08
By:
bob the ex-bookie
When: 27 Aug 19 22:18
Oops, forgot to say for £100. Greened out @1.01 for £6.93 gross winnings.

Bank now : £223.09
By:
bob the ex-bookie
When: 28 Aug 19 21:29
Laid Burnley v Sunderland, 1-3 scoreline @ 70.
By:
bob the ex-bookie
When: 28 Aug 19 21:45
Bank now £226.31
By:
bob the ex-bookie
When: 29 Aug 19 19:46
Laid AIK (V Celtic) £4 @ 46, 81 minutes gone, score 1-2
By:
bob the ex-bookie
When: 31 Aug 19 18:42
Bank after the last bet : £229.99

Back Liverpool, £200 @ 1.03, score currently 0-2
By:
starship
When: 31 Aug 19 19:17
taking a chance there 2-0 up..1.03
By:
bob the ex-bookie
When: 31 Aug 19 23:39
...taking a chance there 2-0 up..1.03...

That's why it's called gambling ...
By:
bob the ex-bookie
When: 09 Sep 19 20:24
So, got my end-of-month 'bonuses' from the account. I don't usually do slots, etc, but had 25 free spins so used those to make some money into the account. Also had a £10 free sportsbook acca, which made a little bit more. The 2 free goes on 'beat the drop' are 15 bets / £32,000 starting point, used one (blew up on bet 3), and started the other one now. Chances of winning are probably close to zero, but that's the way it goes.

Anyway, after the bonuses, bank of £272.22

I didn't see many bets I liked on the US Open tennis, so didn't do anything there.

Tonight, however, I did like Belgium's odds v Scotland - 1.42 struck me as a bit generous, considering how poor Scotland have looked recently.

So backed Belgium, £100 @ 1.42. Currently 2-0 up. So that looks good
By:
bob the ex-bookie
When: 09 Sep 19 21:41
Bank now £310.86
By:
Do wah Diddy
When: 10 Sep 19 19:02
Well done
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 11 Sep 19 12:23
bob - can you not post the bet when put on ....as it appears you are posting well after time. GL with bets.
By:
bob the ex-bookie
When: 11 Sep 19 21:14


Hopefully this will answer any doubters (assuming it uploads properly !)
By:
starship
When: 12 Sep 19 12:45
have i read that right...8% commission
By:
bob the ex-bookie
When: 12 Sep 19 20:21
Yes, please read the first post. All will become clear ...
By:
bob the ex-bookie
When: 05 Oct 19 14:13
Nothing else last month, as we went to Australia visiting family for 17 days (Brisbane and then 3 days in Sydney to finish off). Jetlag is still a bit of a swine, even though got back last Sunday !

Anyway, let's see what the weekend brings ...
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