Sep 5, 2019 -- 12:44PM, McCoy Carp wrote:
Yes that's correct raspberry. Don't come on here very often now,(I post on and read the Proform forum as more like minded souls and the forum is more strictly moderated) as you get derided when you talk about system betting, but the thread intrigued me and although I haven't read every post felt compelled to write after what Crippen wrote. I am no way ready to go full time and nor do I want to but I've been doing ok. I run about 50 systems using the Proform software that connects to BF Bot manager and places the bets automatically. I run my systems through TSM (The Staking Machine) to determine drawdowns, longest winning/losing runs, the probability of going bust with a system/stakes to determine the minimum odds I am willing to accept on a system and the percentage of my bank I should back on each system ranging from 0.25% to very rarely 2%. Price, has been said, is everything. But interestingly I do place bets within fairly short ranges ie 2/1-3/1 as well as minimum prices to BSP etc. I would never go back to studying form or backing with bookmakers - even if I had the option to. Good luck.
interesting. how do you determine your staking size? have you got a calculator of sorts
my thoughts on stake size, it depends on your odds range. the example of laying at 1/3, using 1% of your bank is too small as the win % will be a lot higher than backing horses at 10/1+, so your stake size as a % of your bank should be higher
Dec 28, 2019 -- 5:05AM, G Hall wrote:
Today for example I have placed one bet so far.Bank 1000Brighton v Bournemouth Lay under 1.5 goals35 @ 4.0Liability 105If I followed the recommended 1% rule my bet would be the following3.33 @ 4.0Liability 10
If I followed the recommended 1% rule my bet would be the following
3.33 @ 4.0
that's just too small for this type of bet, even if you win you'll get discouraged because you won't be getting very far in terms of profit to bank size so your stake % has to be higher IMHO
Apr 19, 2020 -- 9:53AM, timbuctooth wrote:
Read as many threads on the `Specials` forum as you need to, before you realise I`m right.
Well, you would have thought that the "20-odd regular Specials posters" would know far better than you ever will whether they have been winning or losing. If every single person won, there would be no bookmakers betting on the events.