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mickyboy
12 Jul 16 12:08
Joined:
Date Joined: 31 May 04
| Topic/replies: 270 | Blogger: mickyboy's blog
I've been backing overs since late last year picking one game a day using a recovery system. I haven't recorded my results but don't recall having gone on a losing run of more than 4 games. I'm going to use this forum as a place to record my results and am starting with a bank of £500 and will start with one bet a day staking just 1% on the first bet and should it lose increase my second bet to cover loses

Bet 1
Iceland 1 Deild
Fjardabyggd vs Fram
Over 2.5
£5
1.67
Pause Switch to Standard View Over 2.5 goals
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Report the whizz kids July 12, 2016 1:48 PM BST
Not another Martingale. CryCryCry

Road to the poorhouse.
Report the whizz kids July 12, 2016 1:52 PM BST
Your bank will be wiped out after 6 bets on 4/6 shots.
Report mickyboy July 12, 2016 1:56 PM BST
And if I can turn my £500 into £5000 will you donate £500 to a charity of my choice
Report the whizz kids July 12, 2016 1:58 PM BST

Jul 12, 2016 -- 7:56AM, mickyboy wrote:


And if I can turn my £500 into £5000 will you donate £500 to a charity of my choice


LaughLaughLaughLaughLaughLaugh

Your chasing a fiver a day, that will take you 900 days?

LaughLaughLaughLaughLaughLaugh

Report the whizz kids July 12, 2016 2:01 PM BST
I will pay your Premium Charge for the next 3 years if you make it to £5k.

Just another Martingale dreamer.
Report mickyboy July 12, 2016 2:01 PM BST
My bets will increase as my bank increases, put your money where your mouth is, anyway it's about proofing a system
Report the whizz kids July 12, 2016 2:05 PM BST
Proofing a system????

It's a system that's been used for years and can work but eventually everyone gets caught out.

If your selections are good then there is no need to increase stakes as you will have a level stakes profit.

Do the maths.
Report mickyboy July 12, 2016 2:09 PM BST
I love a challenge, I've been winning consistently with my selections since last November playing up on a loss so I'm just using this forum to keep a record on this particular system just to get an idea of how profitable it can be before I can increase my stakes anyway come back in a couple of weeks and we'll talk again but you probably won't
Report mickyboy July 12, 2016 2:12 PM BST
And it's not about a fiver a day it's about the ROI so you don't need to clog up my thread just don't read it and move on
Report the whizz kids July 12, 2016 2:12 PM BST
The odds are in your favour that you will be up in 2 weeks, Lets talk in 3/4 months time. LaughLaugh

GL anyway.
Report Slicer July 12, 2016 2:18 PM BST
Mickyboy, take it from someone who has long experience of all sorts of systims. A systim is only successful if it works to level steaks. Bookies love systims just as casinos love Martin Gales. And the reason for that is- well you can guess. Good luck anyway and please stop before you do yourself financial damage.
Report the whizz kids July 12, 2016 2:26 PM BST

Jul 12, 2016 -- 8:18AM, Slicer wrote:


Mickyboy, take it from someone who has long experience of all sorts of systims. A systim is only successful if it works to level steaks. Bookies love systims just as casinos love Martin Gales. And the reason for that is- well you can guess. Good luck anyway and please stop before you do yourself financial damage.


Say no more Micky. LaughLaugh

Micky, you've been on BF for 14 years. I would give up if I were you.

Expect this kind of Sh*te from a newbie.

Report the whizz kids July 12, 2016 2:26 PM BST
*12 years
Report mickyboy July 12, 2016 2:29 PM BST
I appreciate your comments Slicer but first of all its £500 I'm prepared to lose as its only a small percentage of my betting bank and secondly off the top of my head i don't recall having gone more than 4 losing bets and have had regular winning streaks of up to 10 bets, I will also probably have a stop loss of 5 bets and if that happens I will reconsider my strategy. I also know that I'm looking at odds of mainly between 1.5 and 1.7 but that's probably the reason why I haven't had so many consecutive losing bets. But thanks for your concern anyway (it's only £500 and I almost feel like I can't let this one fail now)
Report mickyboy July 12, 2016 2:35 PM BST
Haha thanks for the advice wizz but it's just a bit of fun and you never know where it will end up, see you at the 5 grand party
Report freddiewilliams July 12, 2016 2:36 PM BST
CryCryCry
Report Slicer July 12, 2016 2:42 PM BST
If you are looking at it as entertainment and you are prepared to stop WHEN (not if) you lose, that's fine. Enjoy the run. But you must not look at it as a serious systim wot will give you sufficient squillions to enable you to retire to the Bahamas to sit around a pool being served pina coladas by dusky maidens. The problem with new systims is that people really believe they work after too short a winning sample size. I have observed annd tried thousands of systims. You will find the moment one works, the odds makers will catch on and it won't be viable anymore. Of course if you are in the top 1% of knowledgeable BetFairians you will make a prophet after charges and good luck to you. But I personally believe the top 1% are traders who are very much mathmatically edumacated. Anyway, good luck.
Report the whizz kids July 12, 2016 4:27 PM BST
Micky, Watch the link below as it will make you money.

Worth a watch as it will at least make you laugh yet people watching thought it was real.

MONEY TALKS

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0xiiv-s-DRs
Report the whizz kids July 12, 2016 4:31 PM BST
http://www.vipsportslasvegas.com/
Report mickyboy July 12, 2016 5:45 PM BST
That was a good watch kinda got me all pumped up with my £5 bets, Las Vegas here we come
Report the whizz kids July 12, 2016 6:31 PM BST
There are 7 more episodes on Youtube. I only watched the first couple for a laugh.

Stevie claims 70% strike rate on 10/11 shots and then takes 40-50% of your winnings.

And people believe they will make money with this scam. Have a look at his website as he charges up to $25,000 for tips.ShockedShockedShocked

http://www.vipsportslasvegas.com/
Report mickyboy July 12, 2016 8:20 PM BST
Bet he got some decent publicity on the back of that show and buisiness has increased, going to watch the other episodes if their all on you tube and 70% strike rate on 10/11 shots is very impressive
Report mickyboy July 12, 2016 8:22 PM BST
Bet 1 wins
Actually got matched at 1.68 so the bank has risen by a mighty £3.24

Bank £503.24
Report mickyboy July 13, 2016 11:14 AM BST
Bet 2
Singapore League Cup
Brunei vs Warriors
Over 2.5
£5
1.53
Report mickyboy July 13, 2016 11:19 AM BST
Going to run a separate bank betting on under 2.5 of £500 same rules apply

Bet 1
China FA Cup
Guangzhou vs Hebei
Under 2.5
£5
2.30
Report mickyboy July 13, 2016 11:26 AM BST
Correction odds on the unders bet are 2.35
Report freddiewilliams July 13, 2016 2:05 PM BST
with martin gale by ure side and a lucky pin to say over or under.........ure on ure way boy
Report mickyboy July 13, 2016 2:13 PM BST
Freddie lets get something straight I'm not wet behind the ears so please no more negative advice as I already know it's the road to the poor house, I repeat its money I'm well prepared to lose but thanks for your advice anyway
Report the whizz kids July 13, 2016 2:19 PM BST
3 bets £1 upExcited and Martingale kicking in on unders.Sad
Report mickyboy July 13, 2016 3:08 PM BST
Overs
Bet 2 wins
£2.53
Bank £505.77

Unders
Bet 1 lost
-£5
Bank £495
Report the whizz kids July 13, 2016 3:13 PM BST
Micky, are we now going for 10k between the two or 5k each?
Report mickyboy July 13, 2016 3:21 PM BST
Yes wizz 10k, 5k on each
Report mickyboy July 13, 2016 3:27 PM BST
Bet 2
Colombia Liga Aguila
Santa Fe vs Bucaramanga
Under 2.5
£10
1.72
Report mickyboy July 14, 2016 1:46 PM BST
Bet 3 Overs
Sweden Norra Div1
Forward vs Enskede
Over 2.5
£5
1.46
Report pxb July 15, 2016 6:03 AM BST
It seems quite a few people get caught up in staking systems. All staking systems, including Martingale have precisely zero effect on the probability of you winning over all timescales. You might as well bet random amounts.

In most cases Martingale will win small amounts for shortish periods, giving the illusion of a winning system. But in the other cases, Martingale will wipe you out quickly. It will always wipe you out at some point.
Report mickyboy July 15, 2016 11:19 AM BST
Overs Bet 3 wins
£2.19
Bank £507.96

Unders Bet 2 Wins
£6.92
Bank £501.92
Report mickyboy July 15, 2016 12:06 PM BST
Bet 4 Overs
Austria OFB Cup
Neusiedl vs Wattens
Over 2.5
£5
1.33

Bet 3 Unders
Ireland Premier League
Shamrock Rovers vs Bohemians
Under 2.5
£5
1.61
Report mickyboy July 15, 2016 11:00 PM BST
Overs Bet 4 wins
£1.69
Bank £509.63

Unders Bet 3 Loses
£5
Bank £496.92
Report mickyboy July 16, 2016 12:16 PM BST
Overs Bet 5
Friendly
AZ Alkmaar vs Almere City
Over 2.5
£5
1.44 available but not taken it yet
Report mickyboy July 16, 2016 12:46 PM BST
Overs bet matched at 1.53

Unders bet 4
Croatia 1 HNL
RNK Split vs Rijeka
Under 2.5
£10
1.69
Report mickyboy July 16, 2016 11:45 PM BST
Overs Bet 5 wins
£2.53
Bank 512.16

Unders Bet 4 Lost
£10
Bank £486.92
Report mickyboy July 16, 2016 11:52 PM BST
Overs Bet 6
Philippines UFL
Ceres vs Global
£5
1.44

Unders Bet 5
Brazil Serie B
Bragantino vs Joinville
£30
1.51
Report mickyboy July 17, 2016 10:37 AM BST
Overs Bet 6 wins
£2.23
Bank £514.39

Unders Bet 5 wins
£14.25
Bank £501.17
Report mickyboy July 17, 2016 10:37 PM BST
Unders Bet 6
Colombia Primera A Clausura
Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto
£5
1.75
Report the whizz kids July 18, 2016 4:55 AM BST
Micky, whats your P+L for overs and unders at level stakes.

I would work it out but can't be ars*d
Report mickyboy July 18, 2016 8:38 AM BST
Not a clue whizz I'm at work now so will take a look later

Overs Bet 7
Iceland Premier League
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Throttur Reykjavik
£5
1.55
Report mickyboy July 18, 2016 10:11 PM BST
Unders Bet 6 lost
-£5
Bank £506.17

Unders Bet 7
Cops Argentina
Huracan vs Central Córdoba
£10
2.35
Report mickyboy July 18, 2016 10:11 PM BST
Unders Bet 6 lost
-£5
Bank £506.17

Unders Bet 7
Cops Argentina
Huracan vs Central Córdoba
£10
2.35
Report mickyboy July 19, 2016 4:40 PM BST
Overs Bet 7 lost
-£5
Bank £509.39

Unders Bet 7 lost
-£10
Bank £496.17
Report mickyboy July 19, 2016 4:56 PM BST
Overs Bet 8
Betfred Cup
Peterhead vs Forfar Athletic
£10
1.69

Unders Bet 8
Costa Rica Primera Division
Herediano vs Belen
£20
1.84
Report raspberrybottom July 19, 2016 11:13 PM BST
Micky, I normally like following
these type of threads but how about
a regular p+l Plain
Report mickyboy July 20, 2016 12:20 PM BST
Raspberry that would be the logical thing to do but I'm going to see this one out **** or bust

Overs bet 8 lost
-£10
Bank £499.39

Unders bet 8 lost
-£20
Bank £476.17
Report raspberrybottom July 20, 2016 6:13 PM BST
Fair enough! Good luck.
Report mickyboy July 20, 2016 7:00 PM BST
Overs bet 9
In play
Over2.5
Leuven vs Mechelen
£20
2.4
Report the whizz kids July 26, 2016 12:10 AM BST

Jul 12, 2016 -- 8:09AM, mickyboy wrote:


I love a challenge, I've been winning consistently with my selections since last November playing up on a loss so I'm just using this forum to keep a record on this particular system just to get an idea of how profitable it can be before I can increase my stakes anyway come back in a couple of weeks and we'll talk again but you probably won't


Must have gone on holiday.LaughLaughLaughLaughLaugh

Report mickyboy August 20, 2016 11:59 AM BST
Change of plan, have spent some time looking back over results and have decided to bin the Martingale and trust in my ability to pick winners,
I've decided to combine my 2 banks and top them up to a starting pot of £1000 and starting bets will be £20 all on over 2.5 goals

1 Sheff v Leeds
2 Tianjin Teda v Shandong Luneng
3 Annan v Clyde
4 Cliftonville v Dungannon
5 Roma v Udinese
6 Barcelona v Betis
7 Salzburg v Mattersburg
8 Ferreira v Sporting
9 Zwolle v PSV
10 Toulouse v Bordeaux
11 Waregem v Oostende
12 Sporting Crystal v Union Comercio
Report mickyboy August 21, 2016 12:00 AM BST
13 Platense vs Real Espana
Report mickyboy August 21, 2016 10:54 AM BST
14 Groningen v Twente
Report mickyboy August 21, 2016 12:14 PM BST
15 FC Astana v Ordabasy
16 Airbus v Aberystwyth
17 Vaduz v St Gallen
18 AC Wolfsberger v Rapid Vienna
19 Midtylland v Sonderjyske
20 Austria Vienna v Altach
21 Huachipato v Colo Colo
22 Real Sociedad v Real Madrid
23 Ayachuco v Alianza Lima
24 Bolivar v The Strongest
25 Santa Fe v Ind. Medellin
Report mickyboy August 21, 2016 12:51 PM BST
Yesterday's update
1 Sheff Wed v Leeds 2.26 -£20.00
2 Tianjin v Shandong Luneng 1.77 £14.66
3 Annan v Clyde 1.61 £11.62
4 Cliftonville v Dungannon 1.62 £11.80
5 Roma v Udinese 1.84 £16.00
6 Barcelona v Betis 1.32 £6.08
7 Salzburg v Mattersburg 1.56 £10.66
8 Ferreira v Sporting 1.92 -£20.00
9 Zwolle v PSV 1.63 £12.00
10 Toulouse v Bordeaux 2.52 £28.94
11 Waregem v Oostende 1.73 -£20.00
12 Sporting Crystal v Union Comercio 1.65 -£20.00
Profit £2.82
Bank £1002.82

Bit disappointed the last 2 bets wiped out the days profit and to top it off I backed the first losing bet last night and didn't back 2 winners I had targeted, got pissed up after a curry and fell asleep, anyway see what today brings
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