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DFCIRONMAN
12 Jun 14 16:11
Joined:
Date Joined: 04 Dec 04
| Topic/replies: 29,282 | Blogger: DFCIRONMAN's blog
Last World Cup I lost a large amount through getting games wrong too often.

Just using this thread to do small bets on CS market based on view on game. Some MIGHT be interested in views, and might get some feed back that can be useful.

FIRST MATCHBrazil v Croatia

CROATIA were dreadful v SCOTLAND , and appeared to be a team that lacked confidence. Of course, this might be a ploy to lull World Cup teams into believing they will get an easy win against themDevil........or maybe SCOTLAND were too good for emTongue Out.

On the basis that CROATIA are a poor team......BRAZIL I believe will take game to them and go for a few goals. My Guess On Final Score is 4-1.

I've backed a few CSs in expectation that BRAZIL will score twice 1st half, then get to AUQ in due course. I have cover bets on 1-1 and 2-2 ,in case CROATIA were "at the capers v SCOTLAND!

BETS PLACED
    Fixtures 12 June / Brazil v Croatia / Correct Score     2 - 2     Back     38171412048     12-Jun-14
15:55           55     2.00         55     12-Jun-14 15:55    
    Fixtures 12 June / Brazil v Croatia / Correct Score     3 - 0     Back     38171391093     12-Jun-14
15:55           8.6     2.00         8.6     12-Jun-14 15:55    
    Fixtures 12 June / Brazil v Croatia / Correct Score     1 - 1     Back     38171380190     12-Jun-14
15:54           12.5     2.00         12.5     12-Jun-14 15:54    
    Fixtures 12 June / Brazil v Croatia / Correct Score     2 - 0     Back     38171368409     12-Jun-14
15:54           5.6     3.00         5.6     12-Jun-14 15:54    
    Fixtures 12 June / Brazil v Croatia / Correct Score     3 - 0     Back     38171361288     12-Jun-14
15:54           8.6     2.00         8.6     12-Jun-14 15:54    
    Fixtures 12 June / Brazil v Croatia / Correct Score     3 - 1     Back     38171355058     12-Jun-14
15:54           16     2.00         16     12-Jun-14 15:54    
    Fixtures 12 June / Brazil v Croatia / Correct Score     Any Unquoted     Back     38171348288     12-Jun-14
15:53           6.6     6.00         6.6     12-Jun-14 15:53    
=================================================

MGOFS 4-1.

GL with bets.

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Replies: 371
By:
smithy91
When: 12 Jun 14 17:01
good luck DFC i'm on 2-2 aswell 55-60 to big imoHappy
By:
iprefertolay
When: 12 Jun 14 17:11
imo brazil to win 1-0 or 2-0 good luck
By:
sweetchildofmine
When: 12 Jun 14 17:20
i know you cant back them all but 2-1 could be a dangerous score...best of luck though
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 12 Jun 14 20:38
Cheers "guys" ...GL on match and tournament Cool
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 12 Jun 14 21:35
LAYING DRAW ...as have 2-2 covered....Goal can come from either.

   
Fixtures 12 June / Brazil v Croatia / Match Odds    
    The Draw     Lay     38183430102     12-Jun-14
21:34           4     12.00         4     12-Jun-14 21:34
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 12 Jun 14 21:41
LAYING 1-1 as a goal surely comes!

   
Fixtures 12 June / Brazil v Croatia / Correct Score    
    1 - 1     Lay     38183556024     12-Jun-14
21:40           5.7     4.00         5.6     12-Jun-14 21:40
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 12 Jun 14 21:43
and again...
   
Fixtures 12 June / Brazil v Croatia / Correct Score    
    1 - 1     Lay     38183598022     12-Jun-14
21:42           5.5     4.00         5.5     12-Jun-14 21:42
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 12 Jun 14 21:53
HT 1-1 ......so backing 2-1 and 3-2 .....and just need a goal from BRAZIL to be in position to secure a profit.


If CROATIA score to make it 1-2...then hopefully the 2-2 back at statr kicks in.

   
Fixtures 12 June / Brazil v Croatia / Correct Score    
    2 - 1     Back     38183754825     12-Jun-14
21:50           3.3     3.60         3.3     12-Jun-14 21:50    
   
Fixtures 12 June / Brazil v Croatia / Correct Score    
    3 - 2     Back     38183745716     12-Jun-14
21:49           22     2.00         22     12-Jun-14 21:49
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 12 Jun 14 21:54
If finishes 2-1 ...a small profit will be made. Thanks SCOM for 2-1 "dangerous" postTongue Out
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 12 Jun 14 22:35
Now 2-1 ...so lay on 2-2 potential profit and back DRAW a bit to reduce liability on DRAW lay....

   
Fixtures 12 June / Brazil v Croatia / Match Odds    
    The Draw     Back     38184494183     12-Jun-14
22:33           10     2.00         10     12-Jun-14 22:33    
   
Fixtures 12 June / Brazil v Croatia / Correct Score    
    2 - 2     Lay     38184488386     12-Jun-14
22:32           12     6.00         11.5     12-Jun-14 22:32    


Fair chance another goal yet....hopefully from BRAZILLLLLLLLLLLLLL
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 12 Jun 14 22:55
3-1 FT.....a bit flattering.....possibly 2-2 was fair.

Will post P&L on bets shortly.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 12 Jun 14 23:01
MATCH 1 RESULT


Soccer: £29.89  Total P&L:  £29.89  PROFIT

Soccer     Showing 1 - 2 of 2 markets
Market     Start time     Settled date     Profit/loss (£)
Soccer / Brazil v Croatia : Correct Score     12-Jun-14 21:00     12-Jun-14 22:56     20.37
Soccer / Brazil v Croatia : Match Odds     12-Jun-14 21:00     12-Jun-14 22:56     9.52
Profit and Loss is shown net of commission.
All times are UKT     

     unless otherwise stated.
======================================================================================


Good game to watch. REF conned on penalty , then pulls up CROATIA goal for foul on keeper...which it did not look.

Good start DAY 1.


G N the nooooooooooo
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 12 Jun 14 23:10
Maximum "risk" on Match 1 was £36 in MATCH market and £36 in CS Market.....

So ROI on MATCH 1 was 41.51%
By:
PugMunter1
When: 13 Jun 14 00:15
good start dfc wd

will watch with interest

had a straight 3-1 cs myself so very pleasing start to the WC
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jun 14 16:03
Great start for you PM1.


MATCH 2

    Fixtures 13 June / Mexico v Cameroon / Correct Score     1 - 2     Back     38197286566     13-Jun-14
15:54           17     2.00         17     13-Jun-14 15:54    
    Fixtures 13 June / Mexico v Cameroon / Correct Score     2 - 2     Back     38197242786     13-Jun-14
15:53           26     3.00         26     13-Jun-14 15:53    
    Fixtures 13 June / Mexico v Cameroon / Over/Under 2.5 Goals     Over 2.5 Goals     Back     38197223618     13-Jun-14
15:53           2.76     6.00         2.76     13-Jun-14 15:53    
    Fixtures 13 June / Mexico v Cameroon / Correct Score     0 - 2     Back     38197188601     13-Jun-14
15:52           23     2.00         23     13-Jun-14 15:52    
    Fixtures 13 June / Mexico v Cameroon / Correct Score     2 - 0     Back     38197181032     13-Jun-14
15:52           11.5     2.00         11.5     13-Jun-14 15:52    
    Fixtures 13 June / Mexico v Cameroon / Correct Score     0 - 0     Back     38197166996     13-Jun-14
15:52           7.8     2.00         7.8     13-Jun-14 15:52    
    Fixtures 13 June / Mexico v Cameroon / Correct Score     1 - 1     Back     38197157875     13-Jun-14
15:52           7.2     6.00         7.2     13-Jun-14 15:52
=====================================================================================

Not too sure on how this game will go.

CAMEROON are a bit erratic in their style of play, and I expect them to be stronger in 2nd half.

MEXICO know they have to be careful against C....but, their best chance to win game is to go all out at start for a quick goal. They are likely then to park the bus til 2nd half. The danger is that if they do go for that quick start, then CAMEROON may well hit them on break and take lead! This could easily happen....IMO.

I just suspect the MEXICANS will play with a bit fear in this match and CAMEROON might win......though my MAIN BET is on 1-1.    

If goes to 1-0 or 0-1......it could stay that way.....and i will incur a loss. Hopefully CAMEROON score first, then better chance another goal will come.

MGOFS is 1-1 or 1-2....or 1-0, which I do not want!


GL with bets.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jun 14 17:23
A bit more on 0-0 ....as looks that type of game where both teams negate each other's moves.

   
Fixtures 13 June / Mexico v Cameroon / Correct Score    
    0 - 0     Back     38202618576     13-Jun-14
17:21           6.6     4.00         6.8     13-Jun-14 17:21
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jun 14 17:56
MATCH 3

Fixtures 13 June / Spain v Netherlands / Correct Score     1 - 1     Back     38204352950     13-Jun-14
17:51           7.8     3.00         7.8     13-Jun-14 17:51    
    Fixtures 13 June / Spain v Netherlands / Correct Score     2 - 2     Back     38203919120     13-Jun-14
17:44           25     3.00         25     13-Jun-14 17:44    
    Fixtures 13 June / Spain v Netherlands / Correct Score     2 - 1     Back     38203898403     13-Jun-14
17:44           10     2.00         10     13-Jun-14 17:44    
    Fixtures 13 June / Spain v Netherlands / Correct Score     1 - 2     Back     38203891295     13-Jun-14
17:44           22     2.00         22     13-Jun-14 17:44    
    Fixtures 13 June / Spain v Netherlands / Correct Score     2 - 0     Back     38203857090     13-Jun-14
17:43           8.8     2.00         8.8     13-Jun-14 17:43    
    Fixtures 13 June / Spain v Netherlands / Correct Score     0 - 2     Back     38203847883     13-Jun-14
17:43           38     2.00         38     13-Jun-14 17:43    
    Fixtures 13 June / Spain v Netherlands / Correct Score     0 - 1     Back     38203829430     13-Jun-14
17:43           15.5     2.00         15.5     13-Jun-14 17:43    
    Fixtures 13 June / Spain v Netherlands / Correct Score     0 - 0     Back     38203811413     13-Jun-14
17:42           8.4     3.00         8.4     13-Jun-14 17:42    
    Fixtures 13 June / Spain v Netherlands / Correct Score     1 - 1     Back     38203796806     13-Jun-14
17:42           7.8     6.00         7.8     13-Jun-14 17:42    
===========================================================================================

SPAIN players have looked a bit jaded at club level, and NETHERLANDS players seem to be conserving energy for World Cup IMO.

A DRAW is ok for both, but I suspect NETHERLANDS will score maybe 2 goals in this one,though 1-1 is my MAIN BET.

1-2 NETHERLANDS would not be a surprise in this one though!

GL with bets.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jun 14 18:05
MATCH 2 is 0-0 at HT.

So layed DRAW to use the potential profit on the 0-0 back...

Fixtures 13 June / Mexico v Cameroon / Match Odds    
    The Draw     Lay     38204731697     13-Jun-14
17:57           2.58     18.00         2.58     13-Jun-14 17:57
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jun 14 19:01
MATCH 2....FT 1-0 MEXICO.....so loss incurred.


Soccer: -£9.86  Total P&L:  -£9.86 LOSS

Soccer     Showing 1 - 3 of 3 markets
Market     Start time     Settled date     Profit/loss (£)
Soccer / Mexico v Cameroon : Correct Score     13-Jun-14 17:00     13-Jun-14 18:57     -21.00
Soccer / Mexico v Cameroon : Match Odds     13-Jun-14 17:00     13-Jun-14 18:56     17.14
Soccer / Mexico v Cameroon : Over/Under 2.5 Goals     13-Jun-14 17:00     13-Jun-14 18:56     -6.00
Profit and Loss is shown net of commission.
All times are UKT     

     unless otherwise stated.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jun 14 19:02
Amount "risked" approx...£21. in MATCH 2.
By:
PugMunter1
When: 13 Jun 14 19:37
are you doing the holland match dfc?
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jun 14 20:48
MATCH 2 above PM!Cool


Now 1-1 in NETHERLANDS game so laying all profit off on 1-1 and as have 2-2 covered am laying DRAW.....

   
Fixtures 13 June / Spain v Netherlands / Match Odds    
    The Draw     Lay     38214921493     13-Jun-14
20:45           2.64     33.00         2.56     13-Jun-14 20:45
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jun 14 20:48
Sorry ...MATCH 3
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jun 14 21:14
MATCH 3...at 1-2 2nd half...

Fixtures 13 June / Spain v Netherlands / Correct Score    
    1 - 2     Lay     38216108408     13-Jun-14
21:12           3.5     8.00         3.5     13-Jun-14 21:12    
   
Fixtures 13 June / Spain v Netherlands / Correct Score    
    1 - 3     Back     38216054414     13-Jun-14
21:11           9.2     3.00         9.2     13-Jun-14 21:11    
   
Fixtures 13 June / Spain v Netherlands / Match Odds    
    The Draw     Back     38216021032     13-Jun-14
21:10           3.25     15.00         3.25     13-Jun-14 21:10


Not sure what happens now....hope it stays this way a while .....then goes to 2-2.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jun 14 21:24
Now 1-3 in M3 ...so backing AUQ...don't want it to finish 2-3



   
Fixtures 13 June / Spain v Netherlands / Correct Score    
    Any Unquoted     Back     38216528569     13-Jun-14
21:22           2.86     8.00         3.1     13-Jun-14 21:22
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jun 14 21:26
Fixtures 13 June / Spain v Netherlands / Correct Score    
    1 - 3     Lay     38216646739     13-Jun-14
21:25           2.48     15.00         2.46     13-Jun-14 21:25    


A goal can come from either ...hopefully next one from NETHERLANDS!
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jun 14 21:30
£2 on DRAW in NETHERLANDS game at 1-4...............................just in case!

Profit made come what may...
By:
sweetchildofmine
When: 13 Jun 14 21:43
surely you covered 1-5? it was sticking out Happy
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jun 14 22:12
MATCH 3....FT 1-5 NETHERLANDS.

PROFIT ON GAME ....£26.46
Football     Showing 1 - 5 of 5 markets
Market     Start time     Settled date     Profit/loss (£)
Football / Spain v Netherlands : Match Odds     13-Jun-14 20:00     13-Jun-14 21:52     15.23
Football / Spain v Netherlands : Correct Score     13-Jun-14 20:00     13-Jun-14 21:31     11.23
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jun 14 22:12
SCOMDevilLaugh.............had enough scores covered!!!!
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 13 Jun 14 22:21
MATCH 4
Fixtures 13 June / Chile v Australia / Correct Score     2 - 0     Back     38217961029     13-Jun-14
22:19           7.2     2.00         7.2     13-Jun-14 22:19    
ixtures 13 June / Chile v Australia / Correct Score     Any Unquoted     Back     38217921480     13-Jun-14
22:17           7.6     3.00         7.6     13-Jun-14 22:17    
    Fixtures 13 June / Chile v Australia / Correct Score     2 - 0     Back     38217913581     13-Jun-14
22:16           7     3.00         7.2     13-Jun-14 22:16    
    Fixtures 13 June / Chile v Australia / Correct Score     0 - 1     Back     38217907449     13-Jun-14
22:16           26     2.00         26     13-Jun-14 22:16    
    Fixtures 13 June / Chile v Australia / Correct Score     0 - 0     Back     38217883439     13-Jun-14
22:15           12.5     2.00         12.5     13-Jun-14 22:15    
    Fixtures 13 June / Chile v Australia / Correct Score     3 - 0     Back     38217876261     13-Jun-14
22:15           11.5     2.00         11.5     13-Jun-14 22:15    
    Fixtures 13 June / Chile v Australia / Correct Score     3 - 1     Back     38217872118     13-Jun-14
22:15           15     2.00         15     13-Jun-14 22:15    
    Fixtures 13 June / Chile v Australia / Correct Score     Any Unquoted     Back     38217867528     13-Jun-14
22:14           7.6     4.00         7.6     13-Jun-14 22:14    
    Fixtures 13 June / Chile v Australia / Correct Score     2 - 1     Back     38217863066     13-Jun-14
22:14           9.8     3.00         9.8     13-Jun-14 22:14    
    Fixtures 13 June / Chile v Australia / Correct Score     1 - 0     Back     38217857852     13-Jun-14
22:14           7     6.00         7     13-Jun-14 22:14    
   
* This market has been suspended.
===========================================================================================

AUSTRALIA usually very athletic team ....defensively set up. CHILE know that a win in this game increases their chances of qualifying, and their team should be capable of scoring and winning this game.


MGOFS 1-0 or 4-1.

GL with bets.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 14 Jun 14 01:08
MATCH 4 RESULT 3-1 ft CHILE.

Soccer: £0.95  Total P&L:  £0.95 PROFIT

Soccer     Showing 1 - 1 of 1 markets
Market     Start time     Settled date     Profit/loss (£)
Soccer / Chile v Australia : Correct Score     13-Jun-14 23:00     14-Jun-14 00:53     0.95

CHILE knackered at end of that match......Does not auger well for them in next 2 games.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 14 Jun 14 01:13
CUMULATIVE RESULTS SO FAR IN WORLD CUP


Soccer: £47.44  Total P&L: £47.44 PROFIT

Soccer     Showing 1 - 8 of 8 markets
Market     Start time     Settled date     Profit/loss (£)
Soccer / Chile v Australia : Correct Score     13-Jun-14 23:00     14-Jun-14 00:53     0.95
Soccer / Spain v Netherlands : Match Odds     13-Jun-14 20:00     13-Jun-14 21:52     15.23
Soccer / Spain v Netherlands : Correct Score     13-Jun-14 20:00     13-Jun-14 21:31     11.23
Soccer / Mexico v Cameroon : Correct Score     13-Jun-14 17:00     13-Jun-14 18:57     -21.00
Soccer / Mexico v Cameroon : Match Odds     13-Jun-14 17:00     13-Jun-14 18:56     17.14
Soccer / Mexico v Cameroon : Over/Under 2.5 Goals     13-Jun-14 17:00     13-Jun-14 18:56     -6.00
Soccer / Brazil v Croatia : Correct Score     12-Jun-14 21:00     12-Jun-14 22:56     20.37
Soccer / Brazil v Croatia : Match Odds     12-Jun-14 21:00     12-Jun-14 22:56     9.52
==========================================================================================

Very enjoyable matches so far.....hope it continues.

G M the nooooooooo
By:
PugMunter1
When: 14 Jun 14 01:14
they were knackered all 2nd half

very lucky to get that last goal but so happy they did

i see your in profit for the day and long may it continue
By:
Buddles
When: 14 Jun 14 08:53
Good start for you DFC but I do have to ask, how can you enjoy these games with your finger seemingly on the trigger the whole match!
By:
PugMunter1
When: 14 Jun 14 10:03
suppose he has the choice to enjoy or been on constant watch throughout the whole match

if its making money then I know what i would be rather doing

Wink
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 14 Jun 14 14:14
Hi Buddles.

I place a few bets before game begins, based on what might happen in games.

Once game begins, I am watching hoping it is a good game, and so far not been dissappointed to enjoy game. As game progresses, I form a view on whether game is going roughly along lines my initial view was. I will place further bets :-

1. To exploit say an initial  2-2 back bet where I believe 2-2 is unlikely to happen. I may  already have backed 1-1 and game can be sitting on that score and I may have taken the view another goal will come, so laying potential profit off on 1-1 score , by laying DRAW is a strategy I sometimes use, especially if I already have 2-2 covered. Only takes a minute to put bets on, then I can return to enjoying game.NETHERLANDS game fell into that category.

2. I also place bets on CSs in play to cover what might happen...again only takes a minute.NETHERLANDS game again fell into that category...as when 1-2 N I suspected they would score again, then AUQ becomes a strong possibility( as SPAIN were being hit on break)....so I layed 1-2 scoreline when it came and backed AUQ a bit etc.

Last night the CHILE game got to 2-1 CHILE......and I just kept bets as they were, as there was a fair chance 3-1 or AUQ could happen. It went to 3-1....so tiny profit made. A good profit would have been made had they got to AUQ. AUSTRALIA were likely to tire a bit near end of game, and CHILE were just likely to snatch at least 1 goal.

Finger is not on the trigger the whole match......in fact the CHILE game was watched with computer off whole game!

I am betting to try to make a profit on each match....so I need also to bear in mind what bets I've placed at start........as PM1 said ...basically if I can make money and enjoy the game ....that is "perfect"!Tongue Out

You have to watch you don't get carried away with placing bets IP......as football in previous World Cups in first round matches can be dull affairs, as placing further bets IP ...eg laying 0-0 can be expensive . So far all game good games to watch.

If you have a few bets in CS market before game start.....then you can be fairly relaxed on most matches as they progress. If a game does not go way I thought it might, then I do have to react to that to see what bets can be done to mitigate the potential loss. Luckily most of matches have been covered by initial bets. The laying of DRAW ( with cover on 1-1 and 2-2 and 0-0 sometimes) at some point in game is so far working well.

Hope you are enjoying games ...and GL with horse bets, as can see you are getting some winners recentlyCool

Cheers the noooooooooooooo
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 14 Jun 14 14:22
MATCH 5

    Fixtures 14 June / Colombia v Greece / Correct Score     3 - 0     Back     38220836315     14-Jun-14
01:11           20     2.00         20     14-Jun-14 01:11    
    Fixtures 14 June / Colombia v Greece / Correct Score     0 - 1     Back     38220831628     14-Jun-14
01:11           12.5     2.00         12.5     14-Jun-14 01:11    
    Fixtures 14 June / Colombia v Greece / Correct Score     0 - 0     Back     38220829436     14-Jun-14
01:10           7.4     2.00         7.4     14-Jun-14 01:10    
    Fixtures 14 June / Colombia v Greece / Correct Score     1 - 0     Back     38220827360     14-Jun-14
01:10           6.2     6.00         6.2     14-Jun-14 01:10    
    Fixtures 14 June / Colombia v Greece / Correct Score     2 - 0     Back     38220825874     14-Jun-14
01:10           8.8     6.00         8.8     14-Jun-14 01:10
======================================================================================


GREECE usually have a lot of pace in defenders and attackers. They rely on counter attack and set pieces to grab a goal, then hang on to lead.

COLUMBIA may struggle to break-down their defence, but they shuld have that bit of skill to unlock the defence eventually. They may settle for 1-0    , but I'm hoping they get lead 1st half, then when GREECE are forced to attack 2nd half...they get caught on break.

MGOFS is 2-0.


Will be probably a "chess game" this match....as GREECE's style of play is pretty boring, though will be interesting for me how COLUMBIA do on breaking through their defence.


GL with bets.
By:
Northbouy
When: 14 Jun 14 14:46
what is MGOFS please
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