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DFCIRONMAN
06 Jan 14 12:55
Joined:
Date Joined: 04 Dec 04
| Topic/replies: 29,282 | Blogger: DFCIRONMAN's blog
Starting to use "system" to rate races again, after personal circumstances have kicked me sideways last 3 years.

STAKING has always been a main "problem" for me and recording some of thoughts on each day might lead to some valuable contributions from other posters on thread.

Won't post RATINGS til I have placed bets.

Only doing 3 races today ...the 3.00 , 3.10 and 3.40 ones.

Only using a small bank of £500 , as I have not been keeping up to date re how races have been going and am a bit "ring rusty" .....but need to get system up and running and I am cracking on.

Avoiding LAY bets initially, as the "system" was mainly devised to find VALUE on BACK bets.

Trying to keep amount "risked"/staked on each race to no more than 15% of bank.

Already put bets on 3.00 race.....so will post ratings now.


SOUTHWELL   
   
15:00    NH HURDLE RACE
   
1    Bold Tara
2    Taradrewe
3    Cleve Cottage
4    Gilanto
5    The Happy Warrior
6    Peqeno Diablo
===============================================   
7    Agesilas
8    Supercilliary
9    Song of Pride
10    Snowed in




----------------------------------------------------


I may well have under rated THE HAPPY WARRIOR.....

I fancied CLEVE COTTAGE as EW bet ...and this is main bet for me.....

Have STAKED £74 on race.......bad start as already included some cover bets (£4 RFCS) and a bit extra put on the EW CLEVE COTTAGE ( £4 WIN and £6 PLACE).

At end of racing will post P & L to record results of bets.

I will later on post some thoughts on the days ratings and bets.

GL with bets today.
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Report DFCIRONMAN January 6, 2014 1:21 PM GMT
Up to £82 on STAKES....so stopping there on 3.00.

Put a bit more on TARADREWE to win and BOLD TARA.....

With going being "in between" this makes race harder to figure!
Report DFCIRONMAN January 6, 2014 1:25 PM GMT
Failed to keep STAKES to £75....as have stuck £8 on TARADREWE to PLACE.....making £90 on the race ! 18% of bank!
Report DFCIRONMAN January 6, 2014 3:00 PM GMT
WOLVERHAMPTON   
   
15:10    AW RACE

   
1    Berkeley Street
2    Minstrel Lad
3    Taxiformissbyron
4    Auden
5    Outlaw Torn
6    Eco Warrior
==============================================================   
7    Scamperdale
8    Final Delivery
9    Shirazz
10    Derfenna Art
11    Time Square


I definitely under rated SHIRAZ..........so am wary of that one and included in some bets.

BERKELEY STREET appears to be a VALUE bet....and ECO WARRIOR and SCAMPERDALE may well get into places...so at the odds have covered them to figure with small BETS!

TOP 3 rated are main bets though...
Report DFCIRONMAN January 6, 2014 3:00 PM GMT
3.10 RACE ...£74 staked.
Report DFCIRONMAN January 6, 2014 3:10 PM GMT
3.00 once again the "system" gets it "right re horse that ran well .....and won....and I of course get it "wrong" re CLEVE COTTAGE.......I REALLY NEED TO TRUST THE "SYSTEM" !!!!!!!

Ignoring my own "fancies" would be a good ideaLaugh

RESULT
15:00 Southwell
Full result
1st     7 Bold Tara     8/1
2nd     8 The Happy Warrior     7/4 f
3rd     3 Superciliary     9/2
Report DFCIRONMAN January 6, 2014 3:10 PM GMT
Small loss on RACE mainly due to PLACE bets...
Report DFCIRONMAN January 6, 2014 3:15 PM GMT
Had a small cover win bet on OUTLAW TORN....so no real damage done there....but PLACE BETS again hammered in 3.10

RATINGS pretty BAD for 3.10

RESULT


15:10 Wolverhampton
Full result
1st     6 Outlaw Torn (IRE)     7/1
2nd     10 Shirazz     9/2 j
3rd     4 Derfenna Art (IRE)     8/1
Report DFCIRONMAN January 6, 2014 3:27 PM GMT
15:40    AW RACE
   
1    Midnight Bahia
2    Excellent News
3    Layla's Boy
4    Ice Tres
0    Impeccability
6    Primacy
====================================================================   
7    The Yank
8    Azabitmour
9    Fair Breeze
10    Lord Golan
11    Agapanthus


MAIN BET top 3 plus PRIMACY......small bet on bottom rated and AZABITMOUR due to position and odds.
Report DFCIRONMAN January 6, 2014 3:31 PM GMT
£81 staked on the 3.40 race....


LAYLA'S BOY does appear to hold a good chance today.
Report DFCIRONMAN January 6, 2014 3:45 PM GMT
RESULT

15:40 Wolverhampton
Full result
1st     5 Primacy (IRE)     16/1
2nd     2 Ice Tres     7/1
3rd     6 The Yank     4/1


had PRIMACY EW ....but not as a MAIN BET!

So won in WIN market ...and lost in PLACE market ...AGAIN!
Report DFCIRONMAN January 6, 2014 3:57 PM GMT
PLACE BETTING gave rise to a loss on day....


3 winners all above the line....but only 1 top rated. This is at least a reasonable result for ratings.

SUPERCILLIARY , SHIRAZZ and THE YANK were the LAYS that could have been done today ....but initially opting NOT to LAY .

Too many short odds ones getting into places today......that's racing.....this leads to loss on VALUE PLACE backs...

Will try again tomorrow...and will post P & L re 3 races shortly.
Report DFCIRONMAN January 6, 2014 4:05 PM GMT
DAY 1 BETTING RESULTS ON 3 RATED RACES


Horse Racing: -£48.24  Total P&L:  -£48.24   LOSS

Horse Racing     Showing 1 - 7 of 7 markets
Market     Start time     Settled date     Profit/loss (£)
Horse Racing / Wolv 6th Jan : To Be Placed     06-Jan-14 15:40     06-Jan-14 15:44     -16.50
Horse Racing / Wolv 6th Jan : 1m4f Hcap     06-Jan-14 15:40     06-Jan-14 15:43     22.83
Horse Racing / Wolv 6th Jan : To Be Placed     06-Jan-14 15:10     06-Jan-14 15:13     -45.00
Horse Racing / Wolv 6th Jan : 1m1f Hcap     06-Jan-14 15:10     06-Jan-14 15:12     -2.00
Horse Racing / Sthl (RFC) 6th Jan : Reverse FC     06-Jan-14 15:00     06-Jan-14 15:09     -7.00
Horse Racing / Sthl 6th Jan : To Be Placed     06-Jan-14 15:00     06-Jan-14 15:09     -14.49
Horse Racing / Sthl 6th Jan : 2m4f Hcap Hrd     06-Jan-14 15:00     06-Jan-14 15:06     13.92
=================================================


PLACE BETTING costly today.......might change tomorrow on PLACE BETTING.....
Report DFCIRONMAN January 6, 2014 4:11 PM GMT
FULL RESULT ON 3.10 RACE


Full Result
Pos     Dist     Horse     Trainer     Age     Weight     Jockey     SP
1st (9)         6 Outlaw Torn (IRE)     R C Guest     5     9-5 e     R Fitzpatrick     7/1
Raced keenly, led early, chased leader 3f, remained handy, effort on inside under pressure over 1f out, ridden to lead 1f out, edged right inside final furlong, eased close home opened 8/1
2nd (8)     1½     10 Shirazz     S Durack     5     9-2 t     G Baker     9/2j
Behind, headway over 3f out, chased leaders 2f out, ridden and every chance when edged left over 1f out, chased winner and stayed on same pace final furlong opened 4/1
3rd (11)     3¾     4 Derfenna Art (IRE)     S Durack     5     9-6 t     Martin Harley     8/1
Rearing in stalls, soon led, pushed along 3f out, ridden and pressed over 1f out, headed 1f out, lost 2nd soon after and stayed on same pace
4th (2)     ¾     7 Minstrel Lad     Mrs L Pearce     6     9-4     P Aspell     9/2j
Hewld up, headway to chase leaders over 6f out, ridden and every chance over 1f out, kept on same pace inside final furlong
5th (4)     hd     2 Time Square (FR)     A W Carroll     7     9-7     L Morris     33/1
Took keen hold, tracked leading pair, went 2nd over 6f out, ridden and every chance over 1f out, kept on same pace inside final furlong
6th (7)     3¼     1 Auden (USA)     J R Jenkins     6     9-13 v     Freddie Tylicki     6/1
Chased leaders, pushed along 3f out, ridden over 1f out, weakened final furlong
7th (3)     hd     3 Taxiformissbyron     M Herrington     4     9-6     G Lee     10/1
Chased leaders, pushed along 4f out, ridden over 1f out, weakened final furlong opened 8/1
8th (6)     2¼     11 Scamperdale     B P J Baugh     12     9-2 b1     T P Queally     12/1
Slowly into stride, held up and behind, never on terms opened 16/1
9th (1)     1     8 Berkeley Street (USA)     Jane Chapple-Hyam     4     9-3 v     A Kirby     7/1
Slowly into stride and early reminder, held up in mid-division, ridden over 2f out, weakened soon after, eased when no chance inside final furlong
10th (5)     13     5 Eco Warrior     J W Hills     4     9-5     Martin Lane     14/1
Slowly into stride, pushed along over 3f out, never on terms opened 16/1
11th (10)     26     9 Final Delivery     J R Boyle     5     9-3 v     Stephen Craine     8/1
Held up in mid-division, headway to chase leaders over 6f out, pushed along 3f out, soon lost place, eased over 1f out, tailed off opened 16/1
Betting Breakdown

Tote Win £10.00 Tote Place £3.70 £1.10 £4.10 Straight Forecast £40.88 Exacta £61.80 Trifecta £470.20 Swingers 1&2 £9.20, 2&3 £9.60, 1&3 £11.90
=====================================================================

Another 4th place....so no place return for that!
Report DFCIRONMAN January 6, 2014 4:14 PM GMT
Full Result 3.40 race


Pos     Dist     Horse     Trainer     Age     Weight     Jockey     SP
1st (4)         5 Primacy (IRE)     N P Mulholland     5     9-3     L P Keniry     16/1
opened 14/1
2nd (5)     nk     2 Ice Tres     B R Millman     5     9-6     Martin Lane     7/1
opened 6/1
3rd (3)     4     6 The Yank     A W Carroll     5     9-3     L Morris     4/1
opened 6/1
4th (8)     ½     8 Azabitmour (FR)     J R Best     4     9-2     G Lee     20/1
5th (6)     hd     7 Excellent News (IRE)     A L Forbes     5     9-3     Jack Duern (5)     25/1

6th (7)     nk     10 Fair Breeze     R T Phillips     7     9-1 b1     Joe Doyle (7)     25/1
7th (2)     7     3 Lord Golan     Miss A Stokell     6     9-6 b     William Carson     20/1
8th (11)     7     9 Agapanthus (GER)     N P Mulholland     9     9-1 p     T P Queally     7/2
opened 3/1 touched 11/4
9th (9)     3¼     11 Impeccability     J Mackie     4     8-11     J Quinn     7/1
10th (1)     3     4 Midnight Bahia (IRE)     D K Ivory     5     9-4     R Winston     14/1
opened 10/1
11th (10)     38     1 Layla's Boy     S G West     7     9-7 bt     A Kirby     3/1f
opened 4/1
Betting Breakdown

Tote Win £32.50 Tote Place £8.40 £3.70 £2.00 Straight Forecast £121.33 Exacta £200.10 Trifecta £2,017.40 Swingers 1&2 £23.80, 2&3 £8.20, 1&3 £14.60
===========================================================================


4th and 5th again ....so missed out on PLACE RETURN!



Just one of those days re PLACE bets.
Report racingguru January 7, 2014 12:55 AM GMT
DFC - Is the bank an absolute total bank, daily bank??

Betting 15% of any bank on one race is suicide. Seems you are trying cover all bases with your bets which to me means you have very little confidence in your ratings. Doing fc bets is the road to the poor house as the margins on them are huge. I do them whenever I have a b365 account to keep the account looking like a mug account and because I know I will get massive value on the fixed odds fc because normally both selections will be backed.

Anyway, GL with your betting but you are  making the classic mistake of trying to win too much with a nominal bank. Always leads to bust on any bad swing.
Report DFCIRONMAN January 7, 2014 1:26 AM GMT
RG - just using £500 for getting myself back into watching and keeping abreast of how races are being run for JANUARY.

I know I made a few errors in ratings yesterday.............due to not being watching enough races recently. Also a bit rusty ( IRONMAN etc Tongue Out) on using "system", and these factors combined with knowing each STRATEGY should work long term at certain times in year led me to attempt to use parts of them.......

FIRST day ....so hopefully I will get ratings up to better standard, then get used to applying some strategies more in line with how they are supposed to be applied!!!!

15% on 1 race is too high.....mind you if the 15 % had been only applied to the WIN MARKET on the 3 races.....and ignoring the PLACE MARKETS ......today would have been a profit. WOULDA ....COULDA....SHOUDAAAAAAAAAAAAA!!!

You know what it is like re betting.......a loss will happen now and then ...and yesterday it was the PLACE MARKET where results led to a loss....due to RATINGS not being up to high enough standard . Hopefully such losses are not in the BLACK SWAN mold , where a RUN of LOSSES occurs.....and the GOOD DAYS produce higher PROFITS than the days when losses are made.

As for SFCs/RFCs, it was relatively small bets and I know I have to cut out such bets, as not a STRATEGY that "works" using RATINGS....so far!

Will try to curb the amount staked per race RG......until I get more used to using ratings again

G M the nooooooooooooooooooooo
Report DFCIRONMAN January 7, 2014 12:53 PM GMT
Problems with computer and phone calls!!!! AGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH


SOUTHWELL   
   
13:00   
   
1    Pass The Time
2    Cape Safari
3    Shirls Son Sam
4    Miss Mohawk
5    Opus
================================================================   
6    Celebrian
7    Jawaab
8    Una Bella Cosa
9    Hartlebu



MAIN BET EW CAPE SAFARI .


STAKED altogether £85......well over limit of 15%......FAV might win ....so have a cover bet to reduce liability if it does.



GL with bets today.


Only doing this race and 2.10 and 3.45 SOUTHWELL as well as 2.25 LEICESTER.


All a bit hurried today ....not best way to do this !
Report DFCIRONMAN January 7, 2014 1:07 PM GMT
CAPE SAFARI ran a stinker...and PLACE bets costly again....win in win market helps though.
Report DFCIRONMAN January 7, 2014 1:08 PM GMT
PLACE BETS bad due to fav grabbing 3rd .......................
Report DFCIRONMAN January 7, 2014 1:23 PM GMT
14:10       
       
1    Kung Hei Fat Choy   
2    Repetition   
3    Arabian Flight   
4    Strong Man   
5    Barbados Bob   
===============================================================       
6    Piceno   
7    Sam Spade   
8    Marciano   






EW on KUNG HEI FAT CHOY....big place bet......plus have win and small place bets on STRONG MAN and REPETITION.


£122 on this race ( £50 win on fav plus others    and £60 PLACE on fav main reasons)
Report DFCIRONMAN January 7, 2014 1:56 PM GMT
LEICESTER   
   
14:25   
   
1    Meirig's Dream
2    Carli King
3    Crescent Beach
4    Lord Landen
5    Phoenix Des Mottes
================================================================   
6    Thedreamstillalive
7    Kevin Fancy
8    Bringewood Belle
9    Thorncliffer




If HEAVY ...LORD LANDEN is favoured win bet ....if not then MEIRIG'S  DREAM is the top rated therefore roughly same profit off that if wins.....break-even if CARLI wins.

Have a couple small PLACE BETS on THORNCLIFFER and BRINGEWOOD BELLE as the 2 bottom rated might grab a place if HEAVY!

Top 4 in market very closely matched.......so a difficult race to clearly see VALUE.....
Report DFCIRONMAN January 7, 2014 2:01 PM GMT
2.10

Have to reduce liability on MARCIANO in WIN market  ....as market seems to fancy it ....and the BOTTOM RATED horse can win if I have got race wrong on ratings....
Report DFCIRONMAN January 7, 2014 2:13 PM GMT
2.10 best result yet ...as layed off some of PROFIT on STRONG MAN bet in WIN market only!

So back into overall profit on thread!
Report DFCIRONMAN January 7, 2014 2:24 PM GMT
13:00 Southwell
Full result
1st     5 Pass The Time     5/1
2nd     3 Opus (IRE)     8/1
3rd     2 Jawaab (IRE)     7/4 f


14:10 Southwell
Full result
1st     3 Kung Hei Fat Choy (USA)     6/4 f
2nd     5 Strong Man     20/1
3rd     4 Barbados Bob (USA)     4/1


STRONG MAN in 2.10 was a good return on PLACE bet...so now about £75 up on thread overall.
Report DFCIRONMAN January 7, 2014 2:26 PM GMT
Profit could be wiped out if a high odds wins 2.25Tongue Out
Report DFCIRONMAN January 7, 2014 2:31 PM GMT
Small LOSS in 2.25 race....
Report DFCIRONMAN January 7, 2014 2:39 PM GMT
Last race rated ...


15:45   
   
1    Bladewood Girl
2    The Troyster
3    Botanist
4    Tijuca
5    Mataajir
=================================================================   
6    Amber Moon
7    General Tufto
8    Huzzah


MAIN BET EW BLADEWOOD GIRL......with win bets on TIJUCA and small win Mataajir....THE TROYSTER is also an EW bet.


GL with bets.
Report DFCIRONMAN January 7, 2014 2:42 PM GMT
14:25 Leicester
Full result
1st     1 Carli King (IRE)     5/2 f
2nd     4 Thedreamstillalive (IRE)     20/1
3rd     3 Crescent Beach (IRE)     11/2
Report DFCIRONMAN January 7, 2014 3:40 PM GMT
3.45


Have stuck on some cover bets in case HUZZAH wins.....on TOTE EXACTA....At the time of day the older horse might run a big race......though BOTTOM RATED!

Could not post this early....as might ruin returns....



TIJUCA may go well as very windy at SOUTHWELL
.....but hoping my nap in comp wins ...BLADEWOOD BELLE
Report DFCIRONMAN January 7, 2014 3:50 PM GMT
£40 lost on PLACE bets....and £18 on TOTE bets .....small profit off WIN market.....

PLACE bets still giving too many losses.......but still in profit on day and I think ahead overall on thread.

Soon find out!
Report DFCIRONMAN January 7, 2014 3:55 PM GMT
15:45 Southwell
Full result
1st     4 Mataajir (USA)     5/2 f
2nd     6 Huzzah (IRE)     7/2
3rd     1 General Tufto     9/2


Lost £63 on last race.......at least HUZZAH and GEN T did not.....so ratings ok on that.

Will post P & L shortly
Report DFCIRONMAN January 7, 2014 4:01 PM GMT
DAY 2 RESULTS


Horse Racing: £69.43  Total P&L:  £69.43  PROFIT
LESS £18 ON TOTE BETS.

Horse Racing     Showing 1 - 10 of 10 markets
Market     Start time     Settled date     Profit/loss (£)
Horse Racing / Sthl (RFC) 7th Jan : Reverse FC     07-Jan-14 15:45     07-Jan-14 15:52     -5.00
Horse Racing / Sthl 7th Jan : To Be Placed     07-Jan-14 15:45     07-Jan-14 15:52     -40.00
Horse Racing / Sthl 7th Jan : 1m Hcap     07-Jan-14 15:45     07-Jan-14 15:51     10.86
Horse Racing / Leic (RFC) 7th Jan : Reverse FC     07-Jan-14 14:25     07-Jan-14 14:32     -2.00
Horse Racing / Leic 7th Jan : To Be Placed     07-Jan-14 14:25     07-Jan-14 14:31     -9.00
Horse Racing / Leic 7th Jan : 2m4f Hcap Chs     07-Jan-14 14:25     07-Jan-14 14:31     -4.40
Horse Racing / Sthl 7th Jan : To Be Placed     07-Jan-14 14:10     07-Jan-14 14:17     58.24
Horse Racing / Sthl 7th Jan : 7f Hcap     07-Jan-14 14:10     07-Jan-14 14:11     75.51
Horse Racing / Sthl 7th Jan : To Be Placed     07-Jan-14 13:00     07-Jan-14 13:08     -34.48
Horse Racing / Sthl 7th Jan : 2m Hcap     07-Jan-14 13:00     07-Jan-14 13:06     21.30
Profit and Loss is shown net of commission.
All times are UKT     

     unless otherwise stated.
========================================================================================


PLACE BETING been very expensive over the 2 days....but will persist for a while yet.


I did one other race outside thread races....and got the 25-1 SP winner with small stakes on it so happy enough with overall day results.

Cheers the noooooooooooo
Report DFCIRONMAN January 7, 2014 4:02 PM GMT
RACE outside thread and system not used ..

Horse Racing / Leic 7th Jan : To Be Placed     07-Jan-14 15:30     07-Jan-14 15:35     24.89
Horse Racing / Leic 7th Jan : 2m Hcap Hrd     07-Jan-14 15:30     07-Jan-14 15:34     28.09
Report DFCIRONMAN January 7, 2014 4:23 PM GMT
RATINGS RESULTS DAY 2


    SOUTHWELL   
       
    13:00   
       
1ST 5-1    1    Pass The Time
    2    Cape Safari
    3    Shirls Son Sam
    4    Miss Mohawk
2ND 8-1    5    Opus
    ================================================================   
    6    Celebrian
3RD 1.75 F    7    Jawaab
    8    Una Bella Cosa
    9    Hartlebu



    14:10   
       
1ST 1.5    1    Kung Hei Fat Choy
    2    Repetition
    3    Arabian Flight
2ND 20-1    4    Strong Man
3RD 4-1    5    Barbados Bob
    ===============================================================   
    6    Piceno
    7    Sam Spade
    8    Marciano




    15:45   
       
    1    Bladewood Girl
    2    The Troyster
    3    Botanist
    4    Tijuca
1ST  5-2F    5    Mataajir
    =================================================================   
    6    Amber Moon
3RD4.5    7    General Tufto
2ND 3.5    8    Huzzah



    LEICESTER   
       
    14:25   
       
    1    Meirig's Dream
1ST 2.5 F    2    Carli King
3RD 5.5    3    Crescent Beach
    4    Lord Landen
    5    Phoenix Des Mottes
    ================================================================   
2ND 20-1    6    Thedreamstillalive
    7    Kevin Fancy
    8    Bringewood Belle
    9    Thorncliffer



=======================================================================



So far over the 2 days no winners below the line on ratings ( 7 races only rated so far) with 3 winners being top rated at 5-1 , 1.5 and 8-1 out of the 7 races.. RATINGS doing reasonably well ....but my BET SELECTIONS in PLACE market have been extremely costly.
Report DFCIRONMAN January 7, 2014 4:28 PM GMT
TOTAL RESULTS ON THREAD SO FAR

DAY 1 BETTING RESULTS ON 3 RATED RACES  Horse Racing: -£48.24  Total P&L:  -£48.24   LOSS
DAY 2 RESULTS        Horse Racing: £69.43  Total P&L:  £69.43  PROFIT LESS £18 ON TOTE BETS.


CUMULATIVE PROFIT ON THREAD ............................£ 3.19



Substantial amounts lost on PLACE BETS over the 2 days ......but feel I am getting more in tune with how races are being run, so good to be back in profit, althoughbeit small amount.

Cheers the nooooooooooooo
Report no moves January 7, 2014 5:19 PM GMT
Give it up mate I don't think anybody's listening.
Report DFCIRONMAN January 7, 2014 11:17 PM GMT
Well certainly not you NM.

Some people are in to "systems", so the thread might "interest" some....and as far as I'm concerned I might get some useful comments. Thus the thread is for my benefit mainly.

Last 2 days I'm about £174 up on bank through some bets without the "system" on horse racing and football. This reasonably good from my perspective operating with £500 bank, and whilst only £3.19 up on the "systems" thread, I'm happy enough with progress SO FAR re getting in tune with current racing.

The WIN MARKET results on thread are up to good standard.....just the PLACE BETTING has been costly .....but only 2 days into thread, and my betting selections will improve as days go by now Im using the "system".

Have not seen any enlightening posts from you on Forum.....so I suggest you just stay in cheap seats and suffer the thread. If you don't like it don't watch it!

GL with your bets though.
Report DFCIRONMAN January 8, 2014 12:36 PM GMT
DONCASTER   
    NH
12:40   
   
1    Mojolika
2    Phantom Prince
3    Nesterenko
4    Bohemian Rhapsody
5    Forced Family Fun
6    Hartside
7    Dark And Dangerous
    XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
8    Minsky Mine
9    Groomed
10    Great Value
11    Boston Blue
12    Stephen Hero



MAIN BET BOHEMIAN RHAPSODY.....

GL with bets today
Report DFCIRONMAN January 8, 2014 12:47 PM GMT
LOSS on race......PLACE BETS a profit ...but did not back FFF......

Everything went wrong today re this race.....Computer problems ...and domestic chores etc etc etc....the bets were RUSHED.......but at least standard of RATINGS was ok with 1st 2nd and 3rd in top 5 rated.

12:40 Doncaster
Full result
1st     14 Forced Family Fun     5/1
2nd     8 Mojolika     15/2
3rd     6 Bohemian Rhapsody (IRE)     4/1
Report DFCIRONMAN January 8, 2014 12:48 PM GMT
Next race 2.00


Need to do domestic chores nowwwwwwwwCry
Report DFCIRONMAN January 8, 2014 1:30 PM GMT
LINGFIELD   
   
14:00   
   
1    Miquel Grau
2    Munsarim
3    Karam Albaari
4    Franco is My Name
5    Chapter And Verse
6    Syncopate
==========================================   
7    Modernism
8    Rakaan
9    Cayuga
10    Maria's Choice



MAIN BET to WIN is  MIQUEL GRUA ( and place) and also have a reasonable stake on KARAM ALBAARI......with PLACE bets on MUNSARIM and FRANCO IS MY NAME & CHAPTER AND VERSE .

A difficult race to rate IMO......hopefully the ratings are up to reasonable standard.

Feeling very narky today......and state of mind is pretty bad!

As have rated 2.45, 3.10,3.50,4.10,5.10 and 6.10 races, then as manually having to input RACE CARD data fro each race rated, then this probably contributing to state of mind!
Report DFCIRONMAN January 8, 2014 2:07 PM GMT
14:00 Lingfield Park
Full result
1st     4 Cayuga     10/1
2nd     8 Miguel Grau (USA)     5/2 f
3rd     3 Chapter And Verse (IRE)     25/1


FAV came too late .....CHAPTER AND VERSE placing helped to almost break-even on race.....
Report DFCIRONMAN January 8, 2014 2:26 PM GMT
14:45   
   
1    Danandy
2    Categorical
3    Ifyousayso
4    Mr Supreme
5    Tickatack
6    Global Warming
    xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
7    My Flora
8    Sail And Return
9    Honest John
10    Bruslini
11    Glens Boy
12    Triangular



TOP 2 rated are main bets EW.


MR SUPREME and SAIL OR RETURN are also small PLACE bets.
Report DFCIRONMAN January 8, 2014 2:49 PM GMT
15:10   
   
1    Bajan Bear
2    Alnoomaas
3    Rigolleto
4    Seek The Fair Land
5    Senator Bong
6    Panther Patrol
==========================================   
7    Smokethatthunders
8    El Mirage
9    Valmina
10    Billy Red



Main bet TOP RATED EW.......BAJAN BEAR


Alnoomaas
Rigolleto
Seek The Fair Land
All backed to win as well


Some PLACE bets as well.
Report DFCIRONMAN January 8, 2014 2:53 PM GMT
Only a small PROFIT on 2.45 due to losses in PLACE market on main 2 bets....still at least a PROFIT!


14:45 Doncaster
Full result
1st     6 Ifyousayso (IRE)     11/2
2nd     1 Triangular (USA)     4/1 f
3rd     10 Honest John     14/1
Report DFCIRONMAN January 8, 2014 3:13 PM GMT
BAD result for me in 3.10......BAJAN BEAR really should have won that!
Report DFCIRONMAN January 8, 2014 3:14 PM GMT
I thought I put PLACE bets on some ....but never ! AGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH in 3.10
Report DFCIRONMAN January 8, 2014 3:21 PM GMT
15:50    NH
   
1    Lucas Pitt
2    Top Billing
3    Mumbies Bay
4    Balinderry
5    Polo Springs
6    Thurnham
7    Wheelavher
8    Burnthill
===========================================   
9    Another Dimension
10    Ravens Secret
11    Minden Marcg
12    Milan Of Hope
13    Blue Sea Of Ibrox
14    Oak Wood



Most of top 6 backed to win.....and BURNTHILL a small win too.

THURNHAM and some others are PLACE bets including TB
Report DFCIRONMAN January 8, 2014 3:23 PM GMT
15:10 Lingfield Park
Full result
1st     3 Valmina     16/1
2nd     5 Seek The Fair Land     9/2
3rd     10 Rigolleto (IRE)     16/1


Thought I'd backed 2nd and 3rd to place...but just forgot to place bets !

Costly race due to high odds winner from below ratings line.......first nasty one in WIN market.....

Not a good day SO FAR....Can turn around yet ....so will continue.
Report DFCIRONMAN January 8, 2014 3:42 PM GMT
KEMPTON   
   
16:10   
   
1    Perfect Cracker
2    Mountain Range
3    Red Dragon
4    Song Light
5    King Olav
6    Poitin
7    Planetoid
==============================================   
8    Understory
9    Travelling
10    Lady Lunchalot
11    Mr Red Clubs
12    Impersonator Augustus
13    Swehan


All top 5 backed to win....Have PLACE bets on a few including KING OLAV other top 4 rated ones.
Report DFCIRONMAN January 8, 2014 3:57 PM GMT
3.50 PLACE bets loss again !!!! AGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH
Report DFCIRONMAN January 8, 2014 3:59 PM GMT
15:50 Doncaster
Full result
1st     7 Top Billing     4/1 f
2nd     9 Burnthill (IRE)     9/2
3rd     10 Blue Sea Of Ibrox (IRE)     12/1
Report DFCIRONMAN January 8, 2014 4:03 PM GMT
Suspect the manual inputting of RACES......and the betting , is knackering me. The RATINGS have been up to reasonable standard, but my PLACE BETTING has not reaped anything other than LOSSES ...SO FAR!

Might get lucky with PLACE bets in 4.10...I hope Tongue Out
Report DFCIRONMAN January 8, 2014 4:16 PM GMT
YUP PLACE bets saved me there...small profit off 4.10

TRAVELLING was worth a place bet on the odds and RANK position....that was a LUVKY one
Report DFCIRONMAN January 8, 2014 4:18 PM GMT
16:10 Kempton Park
Full result
1st     2 Swehan (IRE)     7/2
2nd     4 Travelling     50/1
3rd     6 Red Dragon (IRE)     8/1

Lost on WIN market but 2nd and 3rd turned loss to profit...for once...
Report DFCIRONMAN January 8, 2014 4:19 PM GMT
Small though that profit be.
Report DFCIRONMAN January 8, 2014 4:31 PM GMT
17:10    AW
   
1    Custom House
2    Blue Noodles
3    Chandrayaan
4    Surrey Dream
5    Seamster
6    Mill I Am
7    Wishformore
============================================   
8    Slip Of A Girl
9    Roxy Lane
10    Chilltern Secret
11    Choral Rhythm
12    Pastoral Dancer
13    Jjs Pride


MAIN WIN BETS
Custom House
Blue Noodles

Chandrayaan
Surrey Dream

Roxy Lane

MAIN PLACE BETS
Custom House
Blue Noodles
Chandrayaan
Surrey Dream

Roxy Lane
Wishformore and Slip of a Girl


Ones in bold are ones I want!
Report DFCIRONMAN January 8, 2014 4:44 PM GMT
18:10    AW
   
1    Rutterkin
2    New Rich
3    Rose Garnet
4    Divine Call
5    Insolenceofoffice
=============================================   
6    Indian Affair
7    Safwaan
8    Katy Spirit
9    Tingle Tangle



Really tricky race to rate..

Opted for RUTTERKIN as main EW bet ...but backed to WIN and PLACE is NEW RICH...plus some other bets.
Report DFCIRONMAN January 8, 2014 5:16 PM GMT
5.10 lost in WIN market again....aghhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh  MILL I AM was above the ratings line ....

PLACE bets about broke even...due to SURREY DREAM......only 1 placed so not good enough.



17:10 Kempton Park
Full result
1st     3 Mill I Am (USA)     6/1
2nd     10 Pastoral Dancer     33/1
3rd     9 Surrey Dream (IRE)     10/1
Report DFCIRONMAN January 8, 2014 5:34 PM GMT
3 LOSSES in WIN market today roughly equal to the over all loss of £120 SO FAR......BAD day at Black Rock!
Report DFCIRONMAN January 8, 2014 6:14 PM GMT
Another BAD result ....even although winner was in top rated above line....

A BAD day generally with bets.....ratings were pretty average...

Mat take a rest on tomorrow racing...see how I feel.
Report DFCIRONMAN January 8, 2014 6:15 PM GMT
18:10 Kempton Park
Full result
1st     7 Insolenceofoffice (IRE)     5/1
2nd     1 Indian Affair     6/1
3rd     4 Divine Call     8/1
Report DFCIRONMAN January 8, 2014 6:22 PM GMT
RESULTS ON RATINGS


    LINGFIELD   
       
    14:00    AW
       
2nd 2.5 f    1    Miquel Grau
    2    Munsarim
    3    Karam Albaari
    4    Franco is My Name
3rd 25-1    5    Chapter And Verse
    6    Syncopate
    ==========================================   
    7    Modernism
    8    Rakaan
1st 10-1    9    Cayuga
    10    Maria's Choice
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
    14:45    NH
       
    1    Danandy
    2    Categorical
1ST 5.5    3    Ifyousayso
    4    Mr Supreme
    5    Tickatack
    6    Global Warming
        xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
    7    My Flora
    8    Sail And Return
3RD 14-1    9    Honest John
    10    Bruslini
    11    Glens Boy
2ND 4-1 F    12    Triangular
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
    15:10    AW
       
    1    Bajan Bear
    2    Alnoomaas
3RD 16-1    3    Rigolleto
2ND 4.5    4    Seek The Fair Land
    5    Senator Bong
    6    Panther Patrol
    ==========================================   
    7    Smokethatthunders
    8    El Mirage
1ST 16-1    9    Valmina
    10    Billy Red
       
       
       
       
   
       
    15:50    NH
       
    1    Lucas Pitt
1ST 4-1 F    2    Top Billing
    3    Mumbies Bay
    4    Balinderry
    5    Polo Springs
    6    Thurnham
    7    Wheelavher
2ND 4.5    8    Burnthill
    ===========================================   
    9    Another Dimension
    10    Ravens Secret
    11    Minden Marcg
    12    Milan Of Hope
3RD 12-1    13    Blue Sea Of Ibrox
    14    Oak Wood
       
       
       
       
       
       
    KEMPTON   
       
    16:10    AW
       
    1    Perfect Cracker
    2    Mountain Range
3RD 8-1    3    Red Dragon
    4    Song Light
    5    King Olav
    6    Poitin
    7    Planetoid
    ==============================================   
    8    Understory
2ND 50-1    9    Travelling
    10    Lady Lunchalot
    11    Mr Red Clubs
    12    Impersonator Augustus
1ST 3.5    13    Swehan
       
       
       
       
       
       
    17:10    AW
       
    1    Custom House
    2    Blue Noodles
    3    Chandrayaan
3RD 10-1    4    Surrey Dream
    5    Seamster
1ST 6-1    6    Mill I Am
    7    Wishformore
    ============================================   
    8    Slip Of A Girl
    9    Roxy Lane
    10    Chilltern Secret
    11    Choral Rhythm
2ND 33-1    12    Pastoral Dancer
    13    Jjs Pride
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
       
   
       
    18:10    AW
       
    1    Rutterkin
    2    New Rich
    3    Rose Garnet
3RD 8-1    4    Divine Call
1ST 5-1    5    Insolenceofoffice
    =============================================   
2ND 6-1    6    Indian Affair
    7    Safwaan
    8    Katy Spirit
    9    Tingle Tangle
Report DFCIRONMAN January 8, 2014 6:26 PM GMT
DONCASTER   
        NH
    12:40   
       
2nd 7.5    1    Mojolika
    2    Phantom Prince
    3    Nesterenko
3rd 4-1    4    Bohemian Rhapsody
1st 5-1    5    Forced Family Fun
    6    Hartside
    7    Dark And Dangerous
        XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
    8    Minsky Mine
    9    Groomed
    10    Great Value
    11    Boston Blue
    12    Stephen Hero
Report DFCIRONMAN January 8, 2014 6:28 PM GMT
3 winners below the line today ......making 3 out of 15 rated races where this has happened.

On such a day was likely to lose....
Report racingguru January 8, 2014 7:35 PM GMT
How many bets did you today and how many on average per day?
Report DFCIRONMAN January 9, 2014 1:31 AM GMT
DAY 3 RESULTS

Horse Racing: -£266.68  LOSS

Horse Racing     Showing 1 - 18 of 18 markets
Market     Start time     Settled date     Profit/loss (£)
Horse Racing / Kemp (RFC) 8th Jan : Reverse FC     08-Jan-14 18:10     08-Jan-14 18:14     -2.00
Horse Racing / Kemp 8th Jan : To Be Placed     08-Jan-14 18:10     08-Jan-14 18:14     -19.78
Horse Racing / Kemp 8th Jan : 6f Hcap     08-Jan-14 18:10     08-Jan-14 18:14     -122.00
Horse Racing / Kemp 8th Jan : 6f Mdn Stks     08-Jan-14 17:40     08-Jan-14 17:44     -2.00
Horse Racing / Kemp 8th Jan : To Be Placed     08-Jan-14 17:10     08-Jan-14 17:13     4.28
Horse Racing / Kemp 8th Jan : 7f Hcap     08-Jan-14 17:10     08-Jan-14 17:13     -54.60
Horse Racing / Kemp 8th Jan : To Be Placed     08-Jan-14 16:10     08-Jan-14 16:16     41.94
Horse Racing / Kemp 8th Jan : 1m2f Hcap     08-Jan-14 16:10     08-Jan-14 16:14     -35.80
Horse Racing / Donc 8th Jan : To Be Placed     08-Jan-14 15:50     08-Jan-14 15:58     -24.76
Horse Racing / Donc 8th Jan : 3m Hcap Hrd     08-Jan-14 15:50     08-Jan-14 15:57     27.37
Horse Racing / Ling 8th Jan : 6f Hcap     08-Jan-14 15:10     08-Jan-14 15:12     -52.00
Horse Racing / Donc 8th Jan : To Be Placed     08-Jan-14 14:45     08-Jan-14 14:52     -20.70
Horse Racing / Donc 8th Jan : 3m Hcap Chs     08-Jan-14 14:45     08-Jan-14 14:52     34.51
Horse Racing / Ling (RFC) 8th Jan : Reverse FC     08-Jan-14 14:00     08-Jan-14 14:06     -3.00
Horse Racing / Ling 8th Jan : To Be Placed     08-Jan-14 14:00     08-Jan-14 14:06     22.49
Horse Racing / Ling 8th Jan : 1m2f Hcap     08-Jan-14 14:00     08-Jan-14 14:04     -23.10
Horse Racing / Donc 8th Jan : To Be Placed     08-Jan-14 12:40     08-Jan-14 12:46     9.47
Horse Racing / Donc 8th Jan : 2m Hcap Hrd     08-Jan-14 12:40     08-Jan-14 12:44     -47.00
Profit and Loss is shown net of commission.
All times are UKT     

     unless otherwise stated.
=======================================================================================================

15 races over 3 days rated....have not counted individual bets RG.

Today my mood was effected by "domestic matters" and probably feeding in manually race data into "system" for 8 races took its toll on my energy levels today.

My judgment on bets placed was just pretty poor.......

The RATINGS generally have been above average probably, but yesterday the AW races in particular were just not good enough.

INSOLENCEOFOFFICE   win was an annoying one, as it was above the line and I knew it had a fair chance to win......but just never cover it winning.

I also missed placing 3 PLACE bets in 3.10 race......."tiredness" / lack of energy probably the cause of me getting this wrong!

I have been doing "well" on FOOTBALL bets over the 3 days and this has at least kept my "test" bank above £500 ...


Horse Racing: -£196.95 | Soccer: £228.78  Total P&L:  £31.83 LESS TOTE LOSSES £ 24.00 = NET £ 7.83 PROFIT

Soccer     Showing 1 - 19 of 19 markets
Market     Start time     Settled date     Profit/loss (£)
Soccer / Nove Piracicaba U19 v Corinthians U19 : Match Odds     08-Jan-14 23:00     09-Jan-14 01:03     6.95
Soccer / Nove Piracicaba U19 v Corinthians U19 : Correct Score     08-Jan-14 23:00     09-Jan-14 01:03     49.00
Soccer / Nove Piracicaba U19 v Corinthians U19 : Half Time     08-Jan-14 23:00     08-Jan-14 23:58     -6.48
Soccer / Barcelona v Getafe : Correct Score     08-Jan-14 21:00     08-Jan-14 22:50     11.42
Soccer / Racing Santander v Almeria : Correct Score     08-Jan-14 21:00     08-Jan-14 22:49     -6.36
Soccer / Fiorentina v Chievo : Half Time/Full Time     08-Jan-14 20:00     08-Jan-14 21:57     19.99
Soccer / St Etienne v Evian TG : Half Time/Full Time     08-Jan-14 19:45     08-Jan-14 21:40     31.42
Soccer / Crawley Town v Bristol Rovers : Correct Score     08-Jan-14 19:45     08-Jan-14 21:38     24.75
Soccer / Fiorentina v Chievo : Half Time     08-Jan-14 20:00     08-Jan-14 20:52     -4.00
Soccer / Betis v Ath Bilbao : Correct Score     08-Jan-14 19:00     08-Jan-14 20:50     -11.52
Soccer / Alcorcon v Espanyol : Correct Score     08-Jan-14 19:00     08-Jan-14 20:49     -6.24
Soccer / St Etienne v Evian TG : Half Time     08-Jan-14 19:45     08-Jan-14 20:33     -5.00
Soccer / Valencia v Atl Madrid : Correct Score     07-Jan-14 21:00     07-Jan-14 22:50     22.82
Soccer / Shrewsbury v Leyton Orient : Half Time/Full Time     07-Jan-14 19:45     07-Jan-14 21:40     22.82
Soccer / Shrewsbury v Leyton Orient : Half Time     07-Jan-14 19:45     07-Jan-14 20:33     -4.00
Soccer / Rayo Vallecano v Villarreal : Half Time/Full Time     06-Jan-14 21:00     06-Jan-14 22:52     45.65
Soccer / Rayo Vallecano v Villarreal : Half Time     06-Jan-14 21:00     06-Jan-14 21:48     -2.00
Soccer / Lazio v Inter : Correct Score     06-Jan-14 17:30     06-Jan-14 19:24     171.56
Soccer / Lazio v Inter : Over/Under 1.5 Goals     06-Jan-14 17:30     06-Jan-14 19:23     -132.00
Profit and Loss is shown net of commission.
All times are UKT     

     unless otherwise stated.

=================================================================================================

One thing about FOOTBALL betting ( I have no edge) is that it does not need hardly any energy to work out bets.



I am having a break today........as still have those damn domestic chores to do. I still believe eventually I will get some very good days that will CLAW BACK  the bad days, so will continue thread....not giving up yet!

G M the nooooooooooooo
Report racingguru January 9, 2014 4:09 AM GMT
DFC - Do you really believe you can spot significant value in some races games in 1 day? You are spreading yourself very thin and can not win the way you are going. It is simply impossible.

I cannot wish you best of luck as the way you are betting no amount of luck can help you. You need to step back and look at why you need to have so much "action" in day. The answer is very simple. You have a gambling problem.

Long term winning punters seek out situations where the odds are in their favour through deep analysis - you cannot physically put more than a cursory look given the number of bets you do - that is just a fact.
Report racingguru January 9, 2014 4:18 AM GMT
should be so many races in 1 day.
Report DFCIRONMAN January 9, 2014 12:48 PM GMT
RG ......YES....VALUE bets are always there, but your energy levels have to be well up to cope with MANUAL inputting of all races rated, as well placing bets. I have failed SO FAR on the placing of bets.

I put this "failure" down to :-

1. Energy being burned up on inputting data manually for each race rated.
2. My energy levels are low as underwent a major operation in 2012, and still some side effects from it...though got the "all clear" last August, but still being monitored.
3. I am a full-time carer re mother who is 91 with various health related "problems".......this can lead to me being on call sometimes 3/4 times each morning at say 3.00 am, 4.00 am and 6.00 am etc...as well as doing domestic chores etc etc. My energy levels are effected by interruption of sleep virtually daily. 
4. The "ring rusty" element re using the "system" and also not really up to speed on how races are being run YET!


I have not been LAYING any horses using RATINGS yet, as bank size for "test" too small IMO, but I trust you will see that it is relatively "easy" to spot VALUE on LAYS using RANK POSITION and the SP ODDS .......I've market ones that if SP ODDS are 9-1 or less and they are below the line, then they are lays in WIN MARKET....IN BOLD.



        SP ODDS    RESULT
        AT OFF   
SOUTHWELL           
           
15:00    NH HURDLE RACE       
           
1    Bold Tara    8    1ST8-1
2    Taradrewe    5   
3    Cleve Cottage    8   
4    Gilanto    20   
5    The Happy Warrior    1.75    2ND7-4F
6    Peqeno Diablo    10   
===============================================           
7    Agesilas    14   
8    Supercilliary    4.5    3RD4.5
9    Song of Pride    50   
10    Snowed in    14   
           
           
           
           
           
        SP ODDS   
        AT OFF    RESULT
           
           
           
WOLVERHAMPTON           
           
15:10    AW RACE        RESULT
           
1    Berkeley Street    7   
2    Minstrel Lad    4.5   
3    Taxiformissbyron    10   
4    Auden    6   
5    Outlaw Torn    7    1ST7-1
6    Eco Warrior    14   
==============================================================           
7    Scamperdale    12   
8    Final Delivery    8   
9    Shirazz    4.5    2ND9-2
10    Derfenna Art    8    3RD8-1

11    Time Square    33   
           
           
           
           
           
       
           
           
           
        SP ODDS   
        AT OFF   
           
           
           
           
           
15:40    AW RACE        RESULT
           
1    Midnight Bahia    14   
2    Excellent News    25   
3    Layla's Boy    3   
4    Ice Tres    7    2ND7-1
5    Impeccability    7   
6    Primacy    16    1ST16-1
====================================================================           
7    The Yank    4    3RD 4-1
8    Azabitmour    20   
9    Fair Breeze    25   
10    Lord Golan    20   
11    Agapanthus    3.5   
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
        SP ODDS    RESULT
           
SOUTHWELL           
           
13:00           
           
1    Pass The Time    5    1ST 5-1
2    Cape Safari    3.5   
3    Shirls Son Sam    14   
4    Miss Mohawk    25    (4TH)
5    Opus    8    2ND 8-1
================================================================           
6    Celebrian    8   
7    Jawaab    1.75    3RD 1.75 F

8    Una Bella Cosa    16   
9    Hartlebu    20   
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
        SP ODDS    RESULT
           
14:10           
           
1    Kung Hei Fat Choy    1.5    1ST 1.5
2    Repetition    20    (4TH)
3    Arabian Flight    5   
4    Strong Man    20    2ND 20-1
5    Barbados Bob    4    3RD 4-1
===============================================================           
6    Piceno    7   
7    Sam Spade    50   
8    Marciano    5   
           
           
                       
           
           
           
           
        SP ODDS    RESULT
           
15:45           
           
1    Bladewood Girl    4    (4TH)
2    The Troyster    14   
3    Botanist    25   
4    Tijuca    7   
5    Mataajir    2.5    1ST  5-2F
=================================================================           
6    Amber Moon       
7    General Tufto    4.5    3RD4.5
8    Huzzah    3.5    2ND 3.5

           
           
           
           
       
           
           
           
           
        SP ODDS    RESULT
           
LEICESTER           
           
14:25           
           
1    Meirig's Dream       
2    Carli King    2.5    1ST 2.5 F
3    Crescent Beach    5.5    3RD 5.5
4    Lord Landen    3.5    (4TH)
5    Phoenix Des Mottes    16   
================================================================           
6    Thedreamstillalive    20    2ND 20-1
7    Kevin Fancy    100   
8    Bringewood Belle    20   
9    Thorncliffer    10   
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
       
           
           
           
           
        SP ODDS    RESULT
           
DONCASTER           
    NH       
12:40           
           
1    Mojolika    7.5    2nd 7.5
2    Phantom Prince    25   
3    Nesterenko    2.25    (4TH)
4    Bohemian Rhapsody    4    3rd 4-1
5    Forced Family Fun    5    1st 5-1
6    Hartside    22   
7    Dark And Dangerous    20   
    XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX       
8    Minsky Mine    33   
9    Groomed    20   
10    Great Value    28   
11    Boston Blue    40   
12    Stephen Hero    12   
           
           
           
       
           
           
           
           
        SP ODDS    RESULT
           
LINGFIELD           
           
14:00    AW       
           
1    Miquel Grau    2.5    2nd 2.5 f
2    Munsarim    12    (4TH)
3    Karam Albaari    5   
4    Franco is My Name    14   
5    Chapter And Verse    25    3rd 25-1
6    Syncopate    8   
==========================================           
7    Modernism    4   
8    Rakaan    14   
9    Cayuga    10    1st 10-1
10    Maria's Choice    16   
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
   
           
           
           
           
        SP ODDS    RESULT
           
14:45    NH       
           
1    Danandy    10   
2    Categorical    9   
3    Ifyousayso    5.5    1ST 5.5
4    Mr Supreme    28   
5    Tickatack    9   
6    Global Warming    6.5   
    xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx       
7    My Flora    25   
8    Sail And Return    11   
9    Honest John    14    3RD 14-1
10    Bruslini    150   
11    Glens Boy    8   
12    Triangular    4    2ND 4-1 F

           
           
           
           
           
           
       
           
           
           
           
        SP ODDS    RESULT
           
15:10    AW       
           
1    Bajan Bear    5    (4TH)
2    Alnoomaas    14   
3    Rigolleto    16    3RD 16-1
4    Seek The Fair Land    4.5    2ND 4.5
5    Senator Bong    8   
6    Panther Patrol    6   
==========================================           
7    Smokethatthunders    1.75   
8    El Mirage    33   
9    Valmina    16    1ST 16-1
10    Billy Red    33   
           
           
           
       
           
           
           
           
        SP ODDS    RESULT
           
15:50    NH       
           
1    Lucas Pitt    14   
2    Top Billing    4    1ST 4-1 F
3    Mumbies Bay    8   
4    Balinderry    7   
5    Polo Springs    12   
6    Thurnham    16   
7    Wheelavher    20   
8    Burnthill    4.5    2ND 4.5
===========================================           
9    Another Dimension    7    (4TH)
10    Ravens Secret    100   
11    Minden Marcg    40   
12    Milan Of Hope    25   
13    Blue Sea Of Ibrox    12    3RD 12-1
14    Oak Wood    25   
           
           
           
           
           
       
           
           
           
           
        SP ODDS    RESULT
           
KEMPTON           
           
16:10    AW       
           
1    Perfect Cracker    2.75   
2    Mountain Range    16   
3    Red Dragon    8    3RD 8-1
4    Song Light    25   
5    King Olav    25   
6    Poitin    14    (4TH)
7    Planetoid    14   
==============================================           
8    Understory    16   
9    Travelling    50    2ND 50-1
10    Lady Lunchalot    14   
11    Mr Red Clubs    4.5   
12    Impersonator Augustus    66   
13    Swehan    3.5    1ST 3.5     ***********************************************
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
           
        SP ODDS    RESULT
           
17:10    AW       
           
1    Custom House    25   
2    Blue Noodles    5   
3    Chandrayaan    25   
4    Surrey Dream    10    3RD 10-1
5    Seamster    5    (4TH)
6    Mill I Am    6    1ST 6-1
7    Wishformore    12   
============================================           
8    Slip Of A Girl    40   
9    Roxy Lane    7   
10    Chilltern Secret    20   
11    Choral Rhythm    7   
12    Pastoral Dancer    33    2ND 33-1
13    Jjs Pride    8   
           

           
           
           
           
           
           
           
   
           
           
           
           
        SP ODDS    RESULT
           
18:10    AW       
           
1    Rutterkin    12   
2    New Rich    2.75   
3    Rose Garnet    11   
4    Divine Call    8    3RD 8-1
5    Insolenceofoffice    5    1ST 5-1
=============================================           
6    Indian Affair    6    2ND 6-1
7    Safwaan    4    (4TH)

8    Katy Spirit    20   
9    Tingle Tangle    16   






















=========================================================================================================


1 HIT on a LAY out of quite a few obvious LAYS in WIN market.


I trust you recognise this is VALUE.


It is far harder to get BACKING correct, but the "system" has been up to above average standard re WINNERS above the line, though yesterday I got KEMPTON "wrong" on RATINGS too often.........putting this down to my MOOD on the day.


So YES VALUE is there on every race.....and the races selected are the types of races where the "system" operates well on indicating VALUE. It is just me that is the "failure" so far ......IMO for reasons posted above.


Better go check how races are being run today ...as taking a day off RATING.

Thanks again for post RG.......Good to get feedback...especially constructive posts.

GL with bets today.
Report DFCIRONMAN January 9, 2014 12:55 PM GMT
Couple errors on marking lays ( knackered as disturbed from sleep at 2.00 am , 3.00 am and 6.00 am and 7.30 am today roughly.....


MARCIANO would be a lay at 5-1 SP....and BRUSILINI at 150-1 was NOT a layDevilLaugh
Report no moves January 9, 2014 10:30 PM GMT
Your talking to yourself again.
Report BOARD ODDS January 20, 2014 9:03 PM GMT
Hi guys , here is something that might interest you .

Ok Lay short and Back back at SP .

If the SP Price looks like it is coming in
Then Trade Out , If the Price looks like drifting SP .
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