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looks a good decision as the share price has now dropped from that 9.50 offer to 8.08
betfair appears to lack a strategy as it tries to move from successful betting exchange into the murky waters of being a sports bookmaker...i'd love to see what is matched on the sportsbook versus the exchange for many of its key sports markets i doubt those shareholders will want to see the share price drop anymore and no matter how good your CEO is rumoured to be i'm pretty sure if he doesn't start delivering positive results soon he'll be getting the noose tied round his neck SACK THAT PC CHARGE BEFORE ITS TOO LATE and MOVE BACK TO YOUR CORE VALUES BETFAIR ![]() |
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funny how in many other organisations and industries such as supermarkets the more you spend the more bonuses, rewards, money off deals you get but in betfair....being a key account gives you an even worse deal
you just get more taken off you the more commission you generate and the more money you earn for yourself is betfairs too i got an idea to put to your shareholders...instead of taking it all off your key customers (the 20% who generate 80% of your commission why not take it off your staff).....ermmmm instead of paying your CEO £300k pay him £180k see if your key staff like it too 1.01 they would leave, imagine staff having to take a huge pay cut what it would do to staff morale....now go figure what the PC has done to your key customers morale MR CORCORAN please do the sensible thing and look at your business model and strategy .....the PC is fundamentally flawed and needs scrapping before your key customers leave in force....imagine one day waking up to find the 80% you got left generate diddly squit liquidity to the exchange...if you were a book kmaker you'd start providing it but you ain't you're a commission agent ![]() |
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“I am now a loyal shareholder. I have been put back in my box and I’m quite happy in my box.” He’s since had “a long friendly telephone call with Breon. I like the guy. He’s very humorous.” Both believe in new products making the best of the exchange and the sportsbook.
Its all quite confusing. It looks like they had different strategies but now he is loyal to the current plan? |
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"So he advocated cutting customer numbers to focus on the big fish, not the minnows. That would have allowed a drastic cut to the annual marketing budget – from £90m-£100m to just £20m – as Betfair stopped trying to lure tiddlers interested only in £10 free bets. “You have to focus on the core customers and provide new products for them,” he says."
------- possibly we've had a narrow escape. don't think koch's pareto stuff works with betfair; the 20% he's interested in are linked to the other 80% in ways that make the principle non-applicable. |
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so you've a got (or at least you had) a company that makes a risk-free profit every time two of your customers want to use your platform to bet a against each other; day in, day out year in, year out.
All you have to do (and i don't underestimate the complexity or expense of the task) is to keep the platform, both hardware and software up and running, see off competitors, should they emerge, and bank the profits. Why on earth do you need new products? Mr Koch says CEOs should be making the minimum possible decisions. In terms of the product (as opposed to the infrastructure) , I can't really see what need there has been for any decisions over the last 10 years. |
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There isn't a major manager, owner or potential owner of bf who is just happy serving as an exchange or platform provider, like the LSE was when it was publicly listed.
They all want to be the broker or the bookmaker themselves. Richard Koch is the same as Ed Wray or a senior manager like Breon Corcoran in this regard. The bid failed to go through because the managers, especially Mr Corcoran, were signed up to incentive plans and wage packages that might not have delivered w/ a change of strategy. Ed Wray and other singificant interests wanted Mr Corcoran, and Corcoran understandably wanted to master of his own destiny w/ respect to his pay. |
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*be master of his own destiny
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They just dont seem to get how big the exchange could have been (could be) if they totally focused on it.
They have wasted so much time and effort on things like the poker fad, LMAX,and rubbish games that need replacing every few months. Now they are trying to be low grade bookie as well. All this time they have not given a moments thought to how with a bit of price alteration,educational content and a low margin high volume bookie (with bets fed directly into the exchange) they could make this be the only place to bet. They have completely lost their identity and the plot of what Betfair is all about. If they really are intent on winding down and destroying the exchange it will be interesting to see if anyone else is willing to give the business model a go. I am sure it could be done for alot less than £950m. The current competitors don't seem that interested. |
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Frog2: "All this time they have not given a moments thought to how with a bit of price alteration,educational content and a low margin high volume bookie (with bets fed directly into the exchange) they could make this be the only place to bet."
I actually believe they are looking at this. They are looking at price alteration. They've started by increasing/decreasing commission in various countries and Breon has said the pricing structure is not efficient and they are looking into some sort of differentiation. My understanding is the sportsbook will be feeding directly into the exchange - I believe there is software about to be implemented which will do this - although the sportsbook doesn't seem to be low margin, high volume. This might change when the sportsbook and exchange are linked. Education is something they're lacking in. The number of intelligent people I speak to who have a quick look at the exchange, don't understand it and give up straight away continues to shock me. |
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Education is something they're lacking in.
----------- Well, yes. Because the exchange has gone from being the point of the whole exercise to something they'd rather people didn't find out about. Also, they've thrown away all the free advertising they used to get from a once growing band of evangelists telling people they were stupid to bet anywhere else. That's what got me started, initially as a 2 pound recreational punter, who's now paying 5 figures in a commission a year. When they do their sums, do they work out how much of the marketing budget is actually just replacing what they used to get for nothing through customer goodwill - and a forum that's gone from being a vibrant part of the USP to a gated community they see as an embarrassment? |
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Education is something they're lacking in. The number of intelligent people I speak to who have a quick look at the exchange, don't understand it and give up straight away continues to shock me.
Or perhaps they are right to have a 'front door' and 'back door'? The problem is that the front door sportsbook is offering mince prices to people who are already price-sensitive and can understand the difference between the exchange and what they're being given. If the sportsbook 1) had clearly comprehensible, reasonable limits and 2) was only a handful of ticks away from the exchange price (done in an automated manner rather than subjectively by bf's team of 'crack traders') and 3) decanted into the exchange, they might have a model that allowed them to stay on a revenue and earnings growth trajectory (the management's objective) and kept their skilled winning players happy. |
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i reckon i must have gifted betfair at least 30 new customers when i used to preach about how good it was..i wouldnt even try do this nowadays
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ditto scom.
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lol you just try explaining the premium charge to an eager newbie
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it's not so much the PC scom. I figure anyone who got to the point where they were paying it would be up on the deal and capable of looking after themselves.
it's just... everything else. loss of trust through how the PC was brought in; not wanting to have friends unwittingly end up at the miserable sportsbook; BF's continued blind eye to trap betting filth; loss of faith that the exchange will even still be there in a year or two; transformation of the forum from a genuine source of entertainment and information to a dismal closed shop they couldn't even go on if they wanted to; loss of enthusiasm/goodwill generally due to the above, plus site outages and a failure of meaningful innovation. |
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Templeton you optimistically think that betfair will improve on their pricing structure. All they are interested in is take, take, take.
Small time punters paying 60 % premium charge on a life time sentence has not be addressed. I am not optimistic at all. |
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I wd not be so pessimistic, hazel.
Someone is eventually going to run the original bf model. Bf's legal counsel Martin Cruddace is now leaving the company. Pretty much every significant employee in at the outset of bf who believes in exchange betting--Mr Cruddace, Mark Davies, to a lesser extent Stephen Morana--has left. Sooner or later they will join forces w/ Richard Koch, take the company private (removing the pressure for short-term revenue jumps) and move to restore much of the original ethos. Or else someone will tap their expertise and launch their own pure exchange. What measures can a company like bf take to prevent their key accnts from accepting a deal to replicate their 'liquidity' The same mistakes over pricing (traders v. bettors) will not be repeated. One way or another bf is going to have some more genuine competition. |
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i agree with viva el presidente ... I'm pretty sure I didn't join BF because of any adverts, i joined because I saw articles in racing columns saying something like "The favourite who started at 2/1 (3.5) on 'the Exchanges' ", or XXX who started at 7/1 (12.0 on 'the Exchanges')", made me feel like a complete idiot for going into a betting shop or using a bookies' site to back my fancy at bookies' odds in a Horse Race.
i suppose you could call that 'Evangelism' ... to me it was just useful information, and it was information that i was (and still would be) happy to pass on to anyone i know who likes to bet on horse races or anything else, but now I have to preface any recommendation with something along the lines of ... 'When the site opens, ignore the first display, and look for the link that says 'Exchange'. Make sure to bookmark it or else you'll always get their cr@p sportsbook. If you clear your cookies, you'll have to do that ignoring bit again ... as el presidente says: "I figure anyone who got to the point where they were paying it (PC) would be up on the deal and capable of looking after themselves. ... at least thy'd have a better chance of winning enough to be liable for PC than they would anywhere else, but God, what a struggle, just to find what should be obvious ![]() |
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"I figure anyone who got to the point where they were paying it (PC) would be up on the deal and capable of looking after themselves"
True but unfortunately for BF, "looking after" myself means betting (and earning) elsewhere where I get to keep 95%+, not spending all day, 6 days a week, trawling BF markets, mopping up anything of value, seeding side markets and minority stuff like Bowls and Speedway. All I can say is I'm glad I kept my plumbing tools. |
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I should add, that my skillset, honed on here over the years has proved quite transferable to online poker, where there is healthy competition and PC would kill a site instantly, rather than the death of a thousand cuts that we are witnessing here.
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btw, speaking of the PC, the regpay portal seems to have changed as of this week. no longer shows lifetime/last week percentage.
glitch or straw in the wind..? |
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...scrap that, they're there. not sure what happened there.
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I brought dozens on people to Betfair over the years and spent thousands of hours of my own time working
FREE for Betfair promoting their product and meeting up countless times at hotels and racecourses (thanx for the free food Betfair). I spend many many hours discussing and planning the Betfair arcade and poker (2-3 years before their implemented it)and talking how people wanted more markets and a video link for USA and Uk horses.Also I let them add software to my computer so they could monitor how I seeded their markets and how an exchange player went about his/her business. I was over the moon when they won the queens prize for enterprise. I always said that I would never take a single penny from Betfair as I do everything for the love of the exchange product. How you have let us all down Betfair . Still have hope for the exchange model but I feel if betfair doesnt get rid of the PC charge in the next 2 years a rival exchange will take the baton.Until then I expect the shareholders to climb the wall of worry as the share prices continues it's downward trajectory. |
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I bet you regret letting them monitor how you went about your business.
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Whatever happened to the Lads takeover of Daq? Seems like another waste of time as predicted.
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ITS A GOOD JOB THEY DONT HAVE A SERIOUS COMPETITOR
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i am no expert but....
£100,000,000 marketing budget to produce a tv advert showing a man sweating buckets in a pub over whether to cash out 24 quid? small recreational punters would rather walk into a bookie at lunch and put a tenner on a horse at silly odds cos they like the horses name |
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He also appears to be the only person in the room not enjoying himself, too busy fretting over his £20 to win £8.
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Cash Out is one of the best things they've done and the advert is good.
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YOU COULD GET YOUR CASH OUT BEFORE YOU DONT NEED AN ADVERT TO TELL YOU
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ESPECIALLY AN ADVERT THAT COSTS THOUSANDS .ITS LIKE THE THIS IS A NUCLEAR FREE ZONE SIGN THAT THEY HAVE UP IN MANCHESTER
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Should have had two guys playing a game of pool in the pub. Player 1 says to Player 2 "who do you fancy for today's match" Player 1 says "I fancy Liverpool, just backed them to win 1-0 at 10s with the bookies in the high street." Player 2 says "yeah I quite fancy that. Let me see what price that is on Betafir. 14s on Betfair mate." Advert ends with the comment "make sure you get the best odds. Check Betfair.com"
Then they open an account and get directed to the Sportsbook where it's 9s ![]() |
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clydebank.honestly, I could come up with a better advert than the cash out one in an afternoon. seriously. in fact, I reckon I could write, cast, film and edit a better advert than that in a day, on a budget of somewhere between £0 and £100. I mean, advertising 101. if you're advertising a recreational product, don't make it look like the person using it's having a really stressful time. 101a, if you have made that basic mistake, don't make it worse by surrounding him with people not using the product who look like they're having a better time than him. |
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There was a Betfair advert on Sky last night - the one with 400 odd (?) better prices on Betfair than on William Hill etcetera. It does seem ridiculous the exchange is being hidden away, whilst the marketing campaign is focusing (misleadingly?) on prices from the exchange.
As for the cashout advert, he is -£20 red on both Everton and the draw, but +£8 on Manchester Utd. How does this translate into a cashout of 20 something quid,...? If you compared Bet365's advertising (brash, cool, Ray Winstone, advertising a latest available price on a relevant match which the viewer is normally watching) against Betfair's current advertising (cashout bogus amounts, better prices on the exchange but you are sent to the sportsbook when you log on, no relevant prices to current matches which viewers are watching, etcetera) there is no contest which adverts are doing a better job. There must be a good way to advertise Betfair, perhaps some thought is needed as to how to achieve this going forward. |
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two blokes discussing their bets in a pub, as clydebank suggested. series of ads, in each of which the non BF one comes out looking a bit dim for not using BF. better prices, cashing out etc.
maybe one where he's finally hit a winning run - and been shut down. reinforce the point by having them playing pool (again, as per clydebank). mr BF standing behind mr idiot shaking his head sadly as he watches him line up a terrible shot. white comes back up the table, fouls the black into a pocket. Mr BF's seen it coming, catches the black as it falls into the pocket. "your round". |
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maybe one where he's finally hit a winning run - and been shut down.
... by the Betfair sportsbook. |
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well, yeah. that's the insanity of it.
this guy corcoran's supposedly a marketing genius, but their current strategy means that their marketing strategy can't play to what should be their strengths. and at their moment they're trying to fudge that by sailing as close to the wind as they can with an exchange based advert for a totally different product. it's just so muddled. |
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Ad advert in which an ordinary guy wants his usual £50 on Man Utd and suddenly finds himself restricted to £2.94 would be explosive in its implications for every single bookmaker out there. All sorts of questions would be asked regarding integrity, fairness and advertising. The benefits to the Betfair betting exchange would be potentially colossal, while all the opposition would be badly wounded.
... Except, of course, Betfair has saddled itself with a sportsbook which behaves in just that way as a matter of course. |
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possibly we've had a narrow escape. don't think koch's pareto stuff works with betfair; the 20% he's interested in are linked to the other 80% in ways that make the principle non-applicable.
It certainly doesn't - big fish need something to eat. http://green-all-over.blogspot.com/2013/06/lazy-tiddlers.html |