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Paragraphs and paragraphs basically saying stay disciplined. You suggest that you do have an edge but your not going to share it.
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People do seem to get hung up on the word edge. Basically my 'edge' for want of a better word is I believe I have a good knowledge of horse racing, I do my homework and know the right places to get the information and how to interpret that information in order to arrive at my selections. I believe I have honed a pretty good appreciation of value and i work hard at developing my knowledge and experience. I also have developed my experience of when and what to read into certain market movements.
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Do you make a profit?
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4-10 years ago your thread might have produced an interesting debate but not any more.
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I don't really understand the rationale of approaching betting in this quasi-professional way, and yet remaining an amateur.
If you're convinced you have an edge, and are willing to put the effort in, then just scale up massively and turn pro. |
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Re: Paypal - what if the taxman comes calling? Just as easy to prove the money came from gambling transactions?
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Not going into detail of how to pick winners that is something you have to sort out yourself. however
There's not much point in the thread then is there? The first two words in the title are ''sharing advice.'' Yet you're not sharing anything that that hasn’t been said many times on here. |
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Contrarian has it spot on ...................... the original post is mainly mumbo jumbo in relation to what is actually required, which is consistent profit, month on month, year on year, over many years - whereupon you could claim a scientific edge rather than 'feeling' you have an edge - which is what most on here tend to claim.
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sorry - its not 'mumbo jumbo', but it is elements that should be taken as givens
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not a single piece of advice in the opening post - thats all common sense.
if your going to say some things about how to strike fewer losing bets then I'm all ears. |
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I agree with desperatemunster.
How to have fewer losing bets ? Exercise the option everyone has, that is ...No bet |
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When playing online poker I always thought people were pretty adept at returning a good profit from excellent cards but it seemed to me they were less compedent sometimes in limiting their losses on bad ones.
Alright maybe in reality the "people"were me! It did strike me though that less energy generally is used to limit losses than on winning bets. The lack of focus on losing bets may be a natural human reaction to failure, ressistence of this this urge will in my opinion put you above the average punter. Old adage, "you'll never be a great poker player until you can lay down a big hand". |
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I know most are not keen on the statistical side of punting, but statistics can reveal the psychology of what
a lot of punters keep betting on that are under their true odds, making them good value lays. On the area that I specialise on I have found 4 factors that are consistent year in year out that I take advantage of. I am sure if you do some analysis for your area of expertise you could discover at least 2. When doing my pricing (tissue)I make adjustments for those factors. Cheers |
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I thought about giving an example of 1 of my factors but I might be cutting my own throat, so no
However if you go here: http://clicks.aweber.com/y/ct/?l=CFj6g&m=KYLt7Ifrh..4fm&b=Wty.QjaMH7fR.doXKED5uQ you can download an ebook and you will see an example of what I mean on page 73. It is a copyright so I cant paste the info here. It is a good read. |