General Betting
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I didnt believe barca will win, and i thought its a long long shot but worth 800e, so i placed the lay bet in the morning, and left it unmatched and to stay in play even after kick off, so in case barca would score first, and odd would fall from 1,24~1,27, if for any reason touches 1,01 my 80k would be first to be matched. And when the score went to 2-0 thats exactly what happened.
Nice one, Theios. What a golden nugget of information for anyone looking for a long term winning strategy too, I wonder if any such person is reading?
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Bob, "my 80k would be first to be matched"
Nice one, Theios. What a golden nugget of information for anyone looking for a long term winning strategy too, I wonder if any such person is reading?
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Bob, "my 80k would be first to be matched"
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so you're saying it would be great for me to set up early 1.01 lays for all football matches i bet in because i would be first to be matched? that is the golden nugget long term strategy you think could be good for me?
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He probably had you in mind saying anyone looking for a long term winning strategy, but I wouldn't jump onboard if I were you as I think he was sarcastic with his "golden nugget of information" comment.
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i've thought he was being sarcastic all along. hence my proceeding with this. let's see if he admits it
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by the way do you know me Eddie?
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You want him to admit beeing sarcastic ??
by the way do you know me Eddie? Only from the forum as almost every other regular reader do. |
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not heard of you. hope you're well...
i just want him to be upfront and honest Eddie |
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why do you say everyone's heard of me on the forum?
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paul
u must have that opening statement saved somewhere u sad barsteward cause you keep copy and pasting it ? |
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It would have been impossible not to notice you if you are the one I think you are with former forum names as paulme, paulol, bob terwelliger and probably a dozen or so more.
Apoligies in advance if that's not you. |
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hi
odd kid still typing like a mong i see |
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Hey Greed. Long time no thread. Keeping well? (Might as well turn this into a chat thread, since its original topic was DOA)
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DOA because catflop will, in his words, shy away from it once more?
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DOA because he's told you what he believes the nugget will be, and I suspect Cat will have no interest in going further. What you do with that information is up to you. I know you want to make him take you by the hand and tell you exactly how to trade, but I seriously doubt he'll be interested in doing that. You haven't given him one reason why you deserve to be helped (although either of us could reel off countless reasons why you don't deserve to be helped). Nor have you told him why it would be in his own interests to help you. And you haven't, in fact, given any reasons why it might even be possible to help you, since you seem incapable of putting anything together for yourself.
In short, you're a hopeless case, and any effort Cat makes to help you will be utterly wasted. That's why he won't bother. Hence this thread was stillborn. HTH |
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I would stake the smaller and most wrinkled of my two nuggets on the fact that if you can consistently get matched first laying 1.01 in liquid, in-play markets you will show a long term profit. It's a big 'if' though....
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Oops
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Oh Cat Cat Cat Caaatt. I do feel *so* let down....
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hello
lord . 2 1.01s beat in a row yester |
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Greed, think of the opulence Bob could have been living in today if only he'd extracted Cat's nuggets yesterday...
Poor little Bobbity Bob. |
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finally Cat. so the golden nugget strategy is, infact, to be first in the Q at laying 1.01 shots.
why then, is it a big "if" ? |
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and why is this a profitable strategy long term?
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Uncle Cat, Bob still doesn't get it. Can you come back and explain more to him please?? And can you bring that lobotomy kit with you at the same time?
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Yes. The if is enormous because there are lots of clever people jostling for the first few slots in the queue.
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finally Cat.
I love that 'finally' used in front of an explanation that everybody else got days and days ago! |
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Cat, wouldn't you know if you were first in the queue, or is it possible to be jumped?
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Cooee, there is no direct way of telling where you are in the queue. You can't be jumped.
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So if you were, at one time, the only person to have stacked their order up, and you then just stayed there, would that place you at the front of the queue? Or is it not that straightforward?
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Yes, and in that case you would know you were in front.
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And I do appreciate that, most of the time in most markets, there's bound to be somebody already stacked at 1.01.
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Certainly in the liquid markets, yes. Which is where you need to be for this to work.
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Bobbin learning too here
Cat - why is it a good long term strategy? |
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Too?
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bad grammar dear?
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Bob, can't you see why being the first person to match at 1.01 might give you an advantage over the other people getting matched shortly after?
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oh i see. i'm trying cat.
is it to do with value and probability? |
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obv your gonna lose money 99% of the time
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Well if you hold a 1.01, who's beating your price??
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Even if you can't see why, and it's pretty obvious, you can prove it, as I did, by downloading and analysing betfair's historic data. You don't have to be privileged to do this.....
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You can't just be first in queue and leave it unattended though, like this theios dude did. He just got lucky.
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You think Bob's up to analysing Betfair's historical data, Cat??? You have more faith in him than I do!!
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