Forums

General Betting

There is currently 1 person viewing this thread.
Cosmic Horizon
01 May 12 13:31
Joined:
Date Joined: 16 Apr 05
| Topic/replies: 322 | Blogger: Cosmic Horizon's blog
Are there any odds comparison sites which provide the average odds across a range of bookies?

Post your reply

Text Format: Table: Smilies:
Forum does not support HTML
Insert Photo
Cancel
sort by:
Show
per page
Replies: 10
By:
718
When: 01 May 12 16:14
I don't think so

Having worked for a bookmaker whose prices appear on an odds comparison website, I can tell you that the prices that you see are not a reflection of the probability of the outcome in the bookmakers opinion

If you fancy that the probability of something happening is 6/1 and the best price out there is 3/1 you would mark up 100/30 or 7/2 to attract custom
By:
[x] These checkboxes suck
When: 01 May 12 17:39
Unless its 3.9 on the machine, in which case you go 11/4.
By:
askari1
When: 01 May 12 18:11
[x], exactly. The variation in tissue prices between bookmakers, let alone between serious punters, is huge. The differences in price offered are minuscule, to prevent arbing.

Were there a tote monopoly with a tiny overround, racing might in all probability make more than it does now, as there would be no alternative for winning price-takers / price-makers to stand their opinion.

Notwithstanding the skills of some of their employees (increasingly sidelined), bookmakers' activity would be seen correctly as parasitical, and perhaps a handful of winning punters would be seen as the price of a greater volume of custom.
By:
Andriy
When: 01 May 12 18:24
wsn.com will give you the average price in additon to the best one
By:
Andriy
When: 01 May 12 18:26
(should have added that it's football only though)
By:
Cosmic Horizon
When: 01 May 12 18:30
Yes the average odds provided certainly doesn't reflect the true odds!  They have to make a profit.

Thanks Andriy.
By:
namwob22000
When: 02 May 12 13:41
cosmic:

I use txodds, they provide average odds but also more usefully, they use those odds combined with the overrounds of each bookie to estimate probabilities (which I assume is what you wanted to do with them?).
By:
artie
When: 06 May 12 14:12
Has anybody on here actually studied bookmakers early ( overnight) prices.i.e Do horses that they have priced at say 3/1 win somewhere near 25% of the time etc.?
By:
askari1
When: 07 May 12 01:52
I would be interested in a study too. Overnight odds are a lot less accurate than sp odds.
By:
artie
When: 07 May 12 03:16
Is that just an impression you have Askari, or have you done a study and compared them ?
sort by:
Show
per page

Post your reply

Text Format: Table: Smilies:
Forum does not support HTML
Insert Photo
Cancel
‹ back to topics
www.betfair.com