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CrowsEye
28 Mar 12 15:39
Joined:
Date Joined: 08 Jan 12
| Topic/replies: 2,153 | Blogger: CrowsEye's blog
Hi Guys,
I have been roaming around here and value the opinion of a lot of seasoned players on this site.
I have a betting idea/strategy that i would like to throw in front of you all to see if it can be done.

The idea is as follows:

I think i have a good "edge" in American sports betting (handicap betting)..

In fact i think i can manage a long term average of 65% win rate on singles matches (thats my "record" over the last 3 seasons anyway).

The plan is now to bet TREBLES and incidental FOUFOLDS on Handicap matches in all American Sports.If i take my 65% individual score i think i would be around 20% on trebles in this sphere. As most games pay 1.90 a trebles pays 6.85 and i would win roughly 1 in 5, so $5 stake for $6.85 return.

Now the question is, if you do this with a $5000 bank can you make $300 per day doing these bets?? With every bet placed at 2 to 3% of the bankroll...in my opinion 5 bets at $100 would return 1 win at $685, sot hat would net nearly $200 per day....

is this in ANY way possible? Is my logic flawed??

In general the goal of the investors actually is just a small average profit of $100 per day calculating in a lot of losing days, which i think is relatively safe....

How delusional am i?? Has it been done on here before?? Again its not a get rich quick scheme or anything and it costs me around 80hrs per week in studyin/planning, but to me it seems worth it???

Cheers for the input guys!!!
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Report Mr.Anderson March 28, 2012 3:58 PM BST
How is the investor who got stabbed? Has he recovered? Or do you need a new investor?
Report CrowsEye March 28, 2012 4:04 PM BST
Mr. Ulsamu-Chawala has been fighting a battle in the local shanty-hospital. Every day I bring him a mix of neeps and my own herbs to bring him new health, but he continues to fade, along with his investment.

I wouldn't say no to a new cashflow, I am sure the investor wouldn't say no either considering my impressive proven returns!!
Report racingguru March 29, 2012 8:54 AM BST
Logic is not flawed assuming maths is correct [i haven't checked] but 65% long term on US Sports spreads is obscenely high to expect to maintain if not delusional. If you can maintain 65% it doesn't matter how you'll bet you'll own the crown jewels before long.

Put it this way I followed a NFL tipster who long term is recognised as the best or top few in the business ie: lost one year in 10 and his best year was 59.4%.
Report CLYDEBANK29 March 29, 2012 10:00 AM BST
I followed a tipster once.  Ended up getting lost
Report racingguru March 29, 2012 10:05 AM BST
Yeh I'm as skeptical as you but this guy knows his NFL. His analysis is mindblowing and the kicker is I get the tips free from a friend who subscribes in return for a favour or two I did. I'm not gonna give the details out for it so don't worry. I need to be quick as it is to get my bets on when I get them before the line moves so don't need anymore people following him.
Report catflappo March 29, 2012 12:49 PM BST
All aboard...
Report TheInvestor2 March 29, 2012 6:54 PM BST
Are you Dr. Bob?
Report mayway April 2, 2012 12:36 PM BST
How do I avail of this action?
Report FINE AS FROG HAIR April 2, 2012 1:35 PM BST
I warn you now mayway, there's an awfully long queue in front of you.
Report racingguru April 2, 2012 4:34 PM BST
Crow - go onto a US betting forum like therx or majorwager and claim 65% - see the response.
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