General Betting
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30 Jan 12
14:39
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Date Joined:
09 Jan 12
This system will only use teams that so far this season (roughly halfway through) have had a 45% or better sucess rate of landing overs in home and 45% sucess rate in away games.
I will only be taking odds of 2.50 or above so they will of course all be done inplay. I will be looking for each team to make me £20 profit and once I have achieved £20 profit from each team on the list they will be crossed off the list. I will martingale to make £20 profit until achieved.
I am only using barclays premier league and the scottish premier league. in the scottish premier league I am lowering the strikerate to 40%
so here is the list
Premiership home team
Chelsea (82%)
Man City (82%)
Blackburn (82%)
Wolves (82%)
Man Utd (73%)
Bolton (64%)
Fulham (64%)
Newcastle (64%)
Norwich (55%)
Stoke (55%)
Wigan (45%)
QPR (45%)
Tottenham (45%)
Arsenal (45%)
Sunderland (45%)
West Brom (45%)
16 teams in total. If I make £20 from each team that is £320 profit.
Premiership away teams
Bolton (91%)
Arsenal (82%)
Tottenham (73%)
Wigan (73%)
West Brom (73%)
Blackburn (64%)
Man City (64%)
Norwich (64%)
Stoke (55%)
Wolves (55%)
AVilla (55%)
Newcastle (55%)
Chelsea (45%)
Sunderland (45%)
Man Utd (45%)
QPR (45%)
Swansea (45%)
17 teams in total. If I make £20 profit from each team that is £340
Scots prem home teams
Dunfermline (82%)
Kilmarnock (58%)
Celtic (58%)
Aberdeen (54%)
Motherwell (50%)
St Mirren (50%)
Rangers (46%)
St Johnstone (42%)
Inverness (42%)
Hibs (42%)
Hearts (42%)
11 teams in total. If I make £20 profit from each team will total £220
Scots prem away teams
Dundee Utd (75%)
Inverness (67%)
Dunfermline (62%)
Hibs (58%)
Motherwell (58%)
St Johnstone (58%)
Aberdeen (50%)
St Mirren (46%)
Rangers (42%)
9 teams in total. If I make £20 profit from each team the total is £180
If I make my £20 from every team before the end of the season then the total will be £1060. take off commish looking at £1000
I will only be taking odds of 2.50 or above so they will of course all be done inplay. I will be looking for each team to make me £20 profit and once I have achieved £20 profit from each team on the list they will be crossed off the list. I will martingale to make £20 profit until achieved.
I am only using barclays premier league and the scottish premier league. in the scottish premier league I am lowering the strikerate to 40%
so here is the list
Premiership home team
Chelsea (82%)
Man City (82%)
Blackburn (82%)
Wolves (82%)
Man Utd (73%)
Bolton (64%)
Fulham (64%)
Newcastle (64%)
Norwich (55%)
Stoke (55%)
Wigan (45%)
QPR (45%)
Tottenham (45%)
Arsenal (45%)
Sunderland (45%)
West Brom (45%)
16 teams in total. If I make £20 from each team that is £320 profit.
Premiership away teams
Bolton (91%)
Arsenal (82%)
Tottenham (73%)
Wigan (73%)
West Brom (73%)
Blackburn (64%)
Man City (64%)
Norwich (64%)
Stoke (55%)
Wolves (55%)
AVilla (55%)
Newcastle (55%)
Chelsea (45%)
Sunderland (45%)
Man Utd (45%)
QPR (45%)
Swansea (45%)
17 teams in total. If I make £20 profit from each team that is £340
Scots prem home teams
Dunfermline (82%)
Kilmarnock (58%)
Celtic (58%)
Aberdeen (54%)
Motherwell (50%)
St Mirren (50%)
Rangers (46%)
St Johnstone (42%)
Inverness (42%)
Hibs (42%)
Hearts (42%)
11 teams in total. If I make £20 profit from each team will total £220
Scots prem away teams
Dundee Utd (75%)
Inverness (67%)
Dunfermline (62%)
Hibs (58%)
Motherwell (58%)
St Johnstone (58%)
Aberdeen (50%)
St Mirren (46%)
Rangers (42%)
9 teams in total. If I make £20 profit from each team the total is £180
If I make my £20 from every team before the end of the season then the total will be £1060. take off commish looking at £1000
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Replies: 56
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No games today but plenty tomorrow.
Tuesdays home team games Tottenham vs Wigan Wolves vs Liverpool Man Utd vs Stoke Tuesdays away team games Swansea vs Chelsea Tottenham vs Wigan Everton vs Man City Man Utd vs Stoke As you can see there is a couple of games that are on both the home and away list. Here I will double stake to win £20 from the home team and £20 from the away team. |
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Of course the % of overs for those teams will have been lower where the price has reached 2.50
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It seems ManU v Stoke is the nap (qualifying in both groups)
For what it's worth, this is not a good time of the season to be backing 'overs' although that may reflect in the market.GL. |
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Just a note that I wont be giving up if a goal is scored before I get matched @ 2.50. I will back overs anytime if it reaches 2.50+ and that includs if there has benn 1 or 2 goals scored.
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good idea crossing teams of the list as you win.
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Been matched in Swansea/Chelsea match @ 2.58
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Been matched in Wolves/Liverppol match @ 2.50
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Been matched in Everton/MCity match @ 2.56
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Been matched in Man Utd/Stoke match @ 2.54
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No joy with Spurs/Wigan. It never reached 2.50 inplay with 2.20 the highest it drifted too. 3-0 now so will need to wait for Spurs next home game and Wigans away
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Any particular reason for the price being 2.50 ?
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I cant believe the Swansea and Man Utd games stayed unders the amount of chances in both games. Man Utd would of been a good one to land as I could of crossed 2 teams off in one go.
Only winner was Liverpool away so managed to cross one off the list at least. Wednesdays home team games Blackburn vs Newcastle Bolton vs Arsenal Sunderland vs Norwich Fulham vs West Brom Wednesdays away team games A Villa vs QPR Blackburn vs Newcastle Bolton vs Arsenal Sunderland vs Norwich Fulham vs West Brom As you can see 4 of tonights 5 games are on both the home and away list so double stakes on these 4 and hopefully cross off 2 winners. |
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Instead of backing overs @ 2.50 I am going to lay unders @ 1.66 because it is easier to get matched for obvious reasons. Also alot easier to lay for a stake that having to calculate how much stake I need for backing.
Revised list Premiership home team Chelsea (82%) Man City (82%) Blackburn (82%) Wolves (82%) £20 WON Man Utd (73%) (-£12.99) Bolton (64%) Fulham (64%) Newcastle (64%) Norwich (55%) Stoke (55%) Wigan (45%) QPR (45%) Tottenham (45%) Arsenal (45%) Sunderland (45%) West Brom (45%) Premiership away teams Bolton (91%) Arsenal (82%) Tottenham (73%) Wigan (73%) West Brom (73%) Blackburn (64%) Man City (64%) (-£12.82) Norwich (64%) Stoke (55%) (-£12.99) Wolves (55%) AVilla (55%) Newcastle (55%) Chelsea (45%) (-£12.66) Sunderland (45%) Man Utd (45%) QPR (45%) Swansea (45%) |
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Been matched in Villa game @ 1.65
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Laying unders that is
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About 2 mins away from getting matched in the Blackburn and now there a goal
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Been matched in Fulham game @ 1.65
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oh piss off. about 2 mins away again in the Sunderland match and theres a goal
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Been matched in Bolton game @ 1.66
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Villa/QPR game won before halftime
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Matched in Blackburn game @ 1.65
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Pertinent points (a) Why would laying 'unders' be easier to match than 'backing overs' ?
(b) Why 2.50/1.66 (c) Losing bets will ALWAYS get matched but 'winning bets' WON'T. Any thoughts ? |
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Cant believe out of all the bets matched there was only 2 winners. Blackburn absolutly destroyed Newcastle and battered them for 90 mins. How on earth they failed to score is a mystery
 Bolton/Arsenal could of ended 4-4 but ended 0-0  Revised list Premiership home team Chelsea (82%) Man City (82%) Blackburn (82%) (-£13.00) Wolves (82%) £20 WON Man Utd (73%) (-£12.99) Bolton (64%) (-£13.20) Fulham (64%) (-£13.00) Newcastle (64%) Norwich (55%) Stoke (55%) Wigan (45%) QPR (45%) Tottenham (45%) Arsenal (45%) Sunderland (45%) West Brom (45%) Premiership away teams Bolton (91%) Arsenal (82%) (-£13.20) Tottenham (73%) Wigan (73%) West Brom (73%) (-£13.00) Blackburn (64%) Man City (64%) (-£12.82) Norwich (64%) Stoke (55%) (-£12.99) Wolves (55%) AVilla (55%) Newcastle (55%) (-£13.00) Chelsea (45%) (-£12.66) Sunderland (45%) Man Utd (45%) QPR (45%) £20 WON Swansea (45%) |
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Saturdays home team games
Arsenal vs Blackburn Norwich vs Bolton QPR vs Wolves Stoke vs Sunderland West Brom vs Swansea Wigan vs Everton MCity vs Fulham Saturdays away team games Arsenal vs Blackburn Norwich vs Bolton QPR vs Wolves Stoke vs Sunderland West Brom vs Swansea |
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I wasn't going to use cup games but as there is no SPL this weekend I will use cup games.
Been matched laying unders in ICT game @ 1.50 |
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Been matched in West Brom game @ 1.65
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Been matched in Wigan game @ 1.66
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Been matched in Stoke game @ 1.66
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Been matched in QPR game @ 1.65
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Been matched in Norwich game @ 1.65
Been matched in all 3pm KO's now in premiership. Come on the goals! |
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Bit frustrating not to have more teams marked off the list but another 4 are gone today. How on earth Norwich only had 2 goals is a mystery.
Revised List Premiership home team Chelsea (82%) Man City (82%) Blackburn (82%) (-£13.00) Wolves (82%) £20 WON Man Utd (73%) (-£12.99) Bolton (64%) (-£13.20) Fulham (64%) (-£13.00) Newcastle (64%) Norwich (55%) (-£13.00) Stoke (55%) (-£13.20) Wigan (45%) (-£13.20) QPR (45%) £20 WON Tottenham (45%) Arsenal (45%) Sunderland (45%) (-£13.20) West Brom (45%) £20 WON Premiership away teams Bolton (91%) (-£13.00) Arsenal (82%) (-£13.20) Tottenham (73%) Wigan (73%) West Brom (73%) (-£13.00) Blackburn (64%) Man City (64%) (-£12.82) Norwich (64%) Stoke (55%) (-£12.99) Wolves (55%) £20 WON AVilla (55%) Newcastle (55%) (-£13.00) Chelsea (45%) (-£12.66) Sunderland (45%) Man Utd (45%) QPR (45%) £20 WON Swansea (45%) £20 WON Scots prem home teams Dunfermline (82%) Kilmarnock (58%) Celtic (58%) Aberdeen (54%) Motherwell (50%) St Mirren (50%) Rangers (46%) St Johnstone (42%) Inverness (42%) [color=red](-£10.00)[/color Hibs (42%) Hearts (42%) |
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Sundays premiership home team games
Newcastle vs A Villa Chelsea vs Man Utd Sundays premiership away team games Newcastle vs A Villa Chelsea vs Man Utd I will also do the scottish cup game between Rangers and Dundee Utd |
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Matched in newcastle game @ 1.65
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Thats another 2 crossed off the list and another. Hopefully land it in the next match aswell
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Matched Chelsea game @ 1.65
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Another winner. 2 wins out of 2 today and 4 teams crossed off the list
Revised List Revised List Premiership home team Chelsea (82%) £20 WON Man City (82%) Blackburn (82%) (-£13.00) Wolves (82%) £20 WON Man Utd (73%) (-£12.99) Bolton (64%) (-£13.20) Fulham (64%) (-£13.00) Newcastle (64%) £20 WON Norwich (55%) (-£13.00) Stoke (55%) (-£13.20) Wigan (45%) (-£13.20) QPR (45%) £20 WON Tottenham (45%) Arsenal (45%) Sunderland (45%) (-£13.20) West Brom (45%) £20 WON Premiership away teams Bolton (91%) (-£13.00) Arsenal (82%) (-£13.20) Tottenham (73%) Wigan (73%) West Brom (73%) (-£13.00) Blackburn (64%) Man City (64%) (-£12.82) Norwich (64%) Stoke (55%) (-£12.99) Wolves (55%) £20 WON AVilla (55%) £20 WON Newcastle (55%) (-£13.00) Chelsea (45%) (-£12.66) Sunderland (45%) Man Utd (45%) £20 WON QPR (45%) £20 WON Swansea (45%) £20 WON Scots prem home teams Dunfermline (82%) Kilmarnock (58%) Celtic (58%) Aberdeen (54%) Motherwell (50%) St Mirren (50%) Rangers (46%) St Johnstone (42%) Inverness (42%) (-£10.00) Hibs (42%) Hearts (42%) |
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No home team match tomorrow but tottenham are away so will obviously be doing the MNF game
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and why would you scratch one off the list when it has won ?
and which pub were you in at 3am when you thought up this system ? |
