Smashing Sp with Edge bets

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SkintofGreatYarmouth

thanks for info. backed his tip today. only realised he
knows his horses, last few days. great tipster.
goodluck

when tipping to make profit you have to look for  and avoid the "sinks" as I call it in the book make-ups

here is a list of sinks that the firms and odds compilers use.

prolific trainers and jockeys> prices cut

popular horses> prices cut

horse with good form but over weighted> prices cut

early office money movers> prices cut

the reason why I refer to these and many other pointers as sinks is because punters invariably
sink thier money into these and so the prices sink making backing them a risky business
if you want to tip horses for profit you have to find where the real value will be much better
as all the prices will be better due to the sinks effect to all markets.

the above tips seem to me to be typical sink bets and if you can make more than 5% profit ROI BSP very well done.

Below is a typical sink runner that will reel in the bookmakers some of
there daily money mountain.

the horse is hopeless at grade 4 having been beat 41 and 41 length in its last
2 runnings also it is up to 11-9 in weight a raise of 14 pounds!!!

the mere fact mc coy has his ass on it means today it is 3/1 favorite
it amazes me how silly the betting public are in this country compared to others
and the winner of the race at least had the decency to only be beaten 18 lengths in similar conditions for same weight!!!


682         SAVES TIME
62
    5    11-9
102    A P McCoy   Jonjo O´Neill59    74     100    No betting

bay gelding Presenting  — Cool Eile (IRE) (King´s Ride)

Possible improver back up in trip on handicap debut.      DATE    RACE CONDITIONS    WGT    RACE OUTCOME    JOCKEY    OR    TS    RPR
    26Nov11       Ban 17GS  C3NvH 5K     10-12    2/8 (49L Peckhamecho 10-13) 66/1     Richie McLernon     —    *    *
    08Nov11       Lin 20GS  C4NvH 2K     10-9    8/14 (41L Mister Dillon 10-5) 100/1     Mr A J Berry     —    *    *
    25Oct11       Chp 17GS  C4NvH 2K     10-9    6/15 (41L Golden Gael 10-5) 100/1     Mr A J Berry     —    *    *

Betting public beware of following the crowd as you will get fleeced if you do my fine woolly friends.

one positve from that race is if mc coy can get a poor horse over weighted into second place then this jocky is not only fit to race but extreamly good if getting a real ride in a good race.

redair 2.35 wolves
reasons in winning form
doubt price will be generous.
goodluck

bf_fanatic,  you can't compare weight carried in novice hurdles to weight carried in handicaps and a grade 4 novice hurdle to a grade 4 handicap!

pick a little 2.30 southwell
reasons this little bit easier than its last race
not really edge bet and price is low
likeable type, hopefully overcome the older experienced horses
bank +17
goodluck

winner and Sp smashed
bank +19
yesterdays tip redair useless horse
winner
tiablo horse to follow
goodluck enjoy the winnings

mongoose 5.20 kempton
reasons unexposed type with good form
goodluck

bad tip today.
specialist over c/d megalala won easily
obvious choice.
ahwell.
hopefully weekends racing will be good.
going to be more selective on tips from now on
and have set myself limit of 100 tips for the year.

maybe have a tip for weekend
goodluck

la capriosa 1.30 southwell
very competetive race
percentage call
goodouck

Roadrunner

Get a grip mate,you're flying to the poorhouse on a rocket at present.

You can't hope to be covering as many races as you're doing and maintain any sort of discipline and staking structure.

You appear to be literally miles away from getting value,this will eat both you and any winnings up v v quickly when you hit a bad phase.

Presume you're very young mate and I wish you well but ffs don't be throwing anyhting you can't afford on this little foray.

thanks  for advice. todays tip drifted badly.
winner held its place in the market as fav.
no complaints.
next tip munsarim 2.40 wolves
its won for me twice in a row, now its price is low
hopefull it can complete the hatrick

will find some value bets soon
goodluck

winner and price smashed
round up to 1 point win
adjust the next winners price

trainer has done very well
completed the hatrick for me
and found some value

bank + 18
strike rate 9/22
ROI 175%
goodluck enjoy the winnings

lockantanks 3.00 lingfield
this horse deserves a big race win
difficult race, hopefully can give weight away to its
rivals, and  a win will prove its a real war horse
goodluck

no complaints lockantanks run its race
winner had the run of the race and reciept of 5lbs
bank + 17
next week get the 10th winner
goodluck

steelcut 2.00 wolves
reasons well handicapped
goodluck

speedi mouse 4.30 wolves
reasons step up in distance
fav is no value
bank +16
goodluck

redair 3.25 kempton
bank + 15
on losing run at moment
strike rate 9/25

on a bad losing run, the dreaded losing run
captain louis 4.05 wolves
strike rate 9/26
bank +14
goodluck

losing run continues, it was the
the other horse with jumps form
won the race. running tomoro
no mean trick 5.10 wolves
bank + 13
strike rate 9/27
goodluck

blue cossack 2.30 lingfield
bank + 13
reasons this horse went really close LTO
hopefully still inform, and improving.

Keep your nerve. GL.

tourist 3.30 lingfield
mister green 4.30 lingfied
best trip 6.10 kempton
well handicapped horses
good prices
bank +12
all bets 1 point win

no luck again bank + 8
did have some luck with mcconnel
22/1 wish I put the tip on the thread.
fluctuation 4.55 southwell
can get the better of andiamo via
goodluck

tiablo 5.15 wolves
impressive LTO winner
5f hopefully not a problem
bank +7
man utd was free money tonight.

no luck again today. market mover
was a decisive factor in a close race
on the early betting.
nubar boy 3.25 lingfield
bank + 6
goodluck

just five 2.45 wolves
gin twist 5.00 wolves
bank + 5
goodluck

biggest winner so far
8/1 just five
round down bank + 12
goodluck enjoy the winnings
gin twist later on is up against
very strong paper fav

unlucky with gin twist.
goodthing I had a saver on
all the outsiders
redair owed me .
tipped it twice on this thread
finally won a race for me.

37 tips
39 points invested
11 winners
11 points profit
all commission paid
pelican rock 2.20
goodluck

waseem faris 4.30 lingfield
reason good price against
the fav
bank + 10

bramshill lass 2.50 lingfield
goodluck

pick a little 8.00 kempton
bank + 8

jungle bay 8.50 kempton
bank + 7

twinkled 2.50  lingfield
bank + 6
goodluck

Your leaking liquidity quicker than a power shower, what on earth is going wring road runner

chelsea
man city
newcastle
5 point treble
pays 6/4

gin twist 2nd
at 16/1
matched as low
1.06 that took
care of lquidity
problems

cancel football bet.
horse tips only
goodluck enjoy the winnings
bank + 11

palace moon 2.50 lingfield
reasons times very close
with oasis dancer.

42 tips
44 points invested
12 winners
11 points profit
28.57 % strike rate
125 % ROI after commission

very competitve card at wovles
tomoro interesting races.
4.00 royal alcor
reasons think its improving horse
hopefully get the better of illustrious forest
bank + 10

no mean trick 2.30 wolves
reasons lightly race and
hopefully improving
goodluck

lol, you can't just 'cancel' your football bet when you finally get a winner.

finally get a winner.
newcastle cost me
thats why layed them at 2-1
got most of my stake back.
should of layed them at 2-0
then I would of still made
probablly more profit.
west brom was the bet of weekend.
studying the horses. football knowledge
got bit lazy.

smashed sp on mean trick into 9/2 fav
ahwell didnt win:]

last bet of the thread
shrewsbury town
8 points win
goodluck
end of thread

46 tips
55 points invested
13 winners
28.26% strike rate
132.72% ROI
enjoy the winnings
goodluck
end of thread

maddest thread ever

What happened to no football bets?

This entire thread is a joke and the figures are skewed.

fcuk off tawt

Stop moving the goalposts then, dickhead.

when I win no comments. just rubbish all time.
I dont see other tipsters in this forum showing
a profit. I put bet on at 6/4. calculated more
commission then I actually paid. to keep it
simple. I won around 54 points, lost 34
rounded prices down made 18 points.

You 'canceled' a big football bet and said 'no football bets' because you finally got a horse winner, then you go and do a huge 8 point football bet and close the thread shortly after.

You're changing your own rules to suit your %s and quitting when you're ahead.

Poor excuse for a 'tipster'. You don't see the guys in the Racing Post 'cancelling' bets and closing their columns when they are finally in profit.

blue cossack wins tonight
tipped on 15 th feb
good little winner

tiablo horse to follow. as tipped 31 jan
thats the thing with sprinters just
need the right race, 7/1

just five tipped on 19 feb
wins at 20/1 good horse