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nicholasdc
04 Jan 12 18:18
Joined:
Date Joined: 20 Jul 10
| Topic/replies: 300 | Blogger: nicholasdc's blog
inspired by egner's post:

0.01% increase target per market
1-4% liability
5000 markets

my basic idea is to do it in 6 months, but will see how it goes..

wish me luck

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Replies: 90
By:
acquiesce12
When: 04 Jan 12 18:24
good luck mate.
By:
nicholasdc
When: 04 Jan 12 19:04
yesterday's results

Soccer / Real Madrid v Malaga : Match Odds     03-Jan-12 21:00     03-Jan-12 22:52     15.39
Soccer / Wigan v Sunderland : Match Odds     03-Jan-12 19:45     03-Jan-12 21:42     -2.79
Soccer / Nacional v Braga : Match Odds     03-Jan-12 19:15     03-Jan-12 21:06     32.31
Soccer / Albacete v Ath Bilbao : Match Odds     03-Jan-12 19:00     03-Jan-12 20:53     2.86
Soccer / Man City v Liverpool : Half Time     03-Jan-12 20:00     03-Jan-12 20:46     1.91
Soccer / Wigan v Sunderland : Half Time     03-Jan-12 19:45     03-Jan-12 20:37     -26.00
Soccer / Tottenham v West Brom : Half Time     03-Jan-12 19:45     03-Jan-12 20:36     2.48
Soccer / Bath City v Newport County : Half Time     03-Jan-12 19:45     03-Jan-12 20:35     1.91
Soccer / Bristol City v Millwall : Half Time     03-Jan-12 19:45     03-Jan-12 20:34     0.00
Soccer / AEK v Doxa Dramas : Half Time     03-Jan-12 17:30     03-Jan-12 18:20     1.91
Soccer / Trabzonspor v Manisaspor : Match Odds     03-Jan-12 16:00     03-Jan-12 17:54     3.82
Soccer / Kayserispor v Bursaspor : Match Odds     03-Jan-12 16:00     03-Jan-12 17:53     1.15
Soccer / Portimonense v Penafiel : Half Time     03-Jan-12 17:00     03-Jan-12 17:47     1.91
Soccer / Panionios v Asteras Tripolis : Match Odds     03-Jan-12 15:15     03-Jan-12 17:07     5.04
Soccer / Trabzonspor v Manisaspor : Half Time     03-Jan-12 16:00     03-Jan-12 16:50     1.91
Soccer / Sivasspor v Karabukspor : Half Time     03-Jan-12 16:00     03-Jan-12 16:45     1.91
Soccer / Petrojet v Zamalek : Correct Score     03-Jan-12 14:45     03-Jan-12 16:40     1.91
Soccer / Petrojet v Zamalek : Match Odds     03-Jan-12 14:45     03-Jan-12 16:40     1.15
Soccer / Giannina v OFI : Half Time Score     03-Jan-12 15:15     03-Jan-12 16:04     1.91
Soccer / Giannina v OFI : Half Time     03-Jan-12 15:15     03-Jan-12 16:04     2.18
Soccer / Panionios v Asteras Tripolis : Half Time     03-Jan-12 15:15     03-Jan-12 16:02     3.82
By:
nicholasdc
When: 04 Jan 12 19:10
Soccer: €56.69  Total P&L:  €56.69
By:
will it lose
When: 04 Jan 12 20:06
Good start
By:
nicholasdc
When: 05 Jan 12 08:00
Basketball: €11.62 | Horse Racing: €11.45 | Soccer: €62.38  Total P&L:  €85.45

Basketball     Showing 1 - 6 of 6 markets
Market     Start time     Settled date     Profit/loss (€)
Basketball / Ulm v FC Bayern Munchen : Match Odds     04-Jan-12 17:15     04-Jan-12 19:00     2.72
Basketball / Kolossos Rhodes v Rethymno : Match Odds     04-Jan-12 14:00     04-Jan-12 16:18     -19.48
Basketball / Rain Or Shine v Powerade Tigers : Match Odds     04-Jan-12 10:45     04-Jan-12 12:44     -11.58
Basketball / LG Sakers v Samsung Thunders : Match Odds     04-Jan-12 10:00     04-Jan-12 11:44     0.81
Basketball / KT Sonicboom v SK Knights : Match Odds     04-Jan-12 10:00     04-Jan-12 11:37     35.48
Basketball / KB Savers v Woori Bank Hansae : Match Odds     04-Jan-12 08:00     04-Jan-12 10:44     3.67

Horse Racing / Ling 4th Jan : 7f Hcap     04-Jan-12 15:50     04-Jan-12 15:54     5.37
Horse Racing / Hunt 4th Jan : 2m5f Hcap Hrd     04-Jan-12 15:00     04-Jan-12 15:06     4.83
Horse Racing / Ling 4th Jan : 5f Mdn Stks     04-Jan-12 14:50     04-Jan-12 14:52     0.10
Horse Racing / Ling 4th Jan : 7f Hcap     04-Jan-12 12:50     04-Jan-12 12:51     1.15

Soccer / Sociedad v Mallorca : Half Time     04-Jan-12 19:00     04-Jan-12 19:46     2.31
Soccer / Olympiakos v Atromitos : Match Odds     04-Jan-12 17:30     04-Jan-12 19:21     4.58
Soccer / ENPPI v Smouha : Match Odds     04-Jan-12 17:15     04-Jan-12 19:19     1.91
Soccer / Al Shabab Riyadh v Al Hilal Riyadh : Match Odds     04-Jan-12 16:50     04-Jan-12 18:42     1.91
Soccer / Olympiakos v Atromitos : Half Time     04-Jan-12 17:30     04-Jan-12 18:16     6.21
Soccer / ENPPI v Smouha : Half Time     04-Jan-12 17:15     04-Jan-12 18:11     1.15
Soccer / Orduspor v Fenerbahce : Match Odds     04-Jan-12 16:00     04-Jan-12 17:50     1.91
Soccer / PAOK v Levadiakos : Match Odds     04-Jan-12 15:15     04-Jan-12 17:05     20.24
Soccer / Orduspor v Fenerbahce : Half Time     04-Jan-12 16:00     04-Jan-12 16:45     1.91
Soccer / PAOK v Levadiakos : Half Time     04-Jan-12 15:15     04-Jan-12 16:00     2.08
Soccer / Sharjah v Ajman : Match Odds     04-Jan-12 13:00     04-Jan-12 14:55     1.15
Soccer / Ergotelis v Xanthi : Match Odds     04-Jan-12 13:00     04-Jan-12 14:55     4.28
Soccer / Kerkira v Aris Thes. : Match Odds     04-Jan-12 13:00     04-Jan-12 14:54     8.50
Soccer / Kerkira v Aris Thes. : Half Time     04-Jan-12 13:00     04-Jan-12 13:49     2.33
Soccer / Sharjah v Ajman : Half Time     04-Jan-12 13:00     04-Jan-12 13:46     1.91
By:
nicholasdc
When: 06 Jan 12 08:05
yesterday's results. think i'm going to rule out horse racing in the future. i also might want to lower my stakes a bit and profits a bit as i'm well in front of schedule, which indicates that i'm taking a bit too much risk. the idea of the whole plan is thinking long term, winning a lot of very small profits with minimal risk (1-2%) bets. i notice that i don't mind losing 10 or 20 of my bank, but i feel a certain urge when i just lost 4% of my initial bank as it can easily destroy today's profit.

but so far: 61 hits in 68 bets


Basketball: €45.56 | Horse Racing: -€21.06 | Soccer: €62.16  Total P&L:  €86.66

Basketball     Showing 1 - 5 of 5 markets
Market     Start time     Settled date     Profit/loss (€)
Basketball / Baltai v Triumph : Match Odds     05-Jan-12 17:00     05-Jan-12 18:48     0.38
Basketball / Talk n Text v Petron Blaze Boosters : Match Odds     05-Jan-12 10:45     05-Jan-12 13:10     3.82
Basketball / Etland Elephants v Orions : Match Odds     05-Jan-12 10:00     05-Jan-12 12:01     6.04
Basketball / Dongbu Promy v Mobis Phoebus : Match Odds     05-Jan-12 10:00     05-Jan-12 12:00     10.89
Basketball / Samsung Life Bichumi v Shinhan Bank S Birds : Match Odds     05-Jan-12 08:00     05-Jan-12 10:58     24.43

Horse Racing / Sedge 5th Jan : 2m Hcap Chs     05-Jan-12 15:10     05-Jan-12 15:18     2.14
Horse Racing / Ludl 5th Jan : 2m4f Hcap Chs     05-Jan-12 13:30     05-Jan-12 13:36     -17.20
Horse Racing / Sedge 5th Jan : 2m4f Nov Hrd     05-Jan-12 12:40     05-Jan-12 12:46     -6.00

Soccer / Valencia v Sevilla : Match Odds     05-Jan-12 21:00     05-Jan-12 22:51     42.21
Soccer / Uniao Madeira v Atletico CP : Match Odds     05-Jan-12 20:15     05-Jan-12 22:05     5.73
Soccer / Cambridge Utd v Southport : Match Odds     05-Jan-12 19:30     05-Jan-12 21:25     1.91
Soccer / Cordoba v Espanyol : Match Odds     05-Jan-12 19:00     05-Jan-12 20:52     -40.75
Soccer / Al Ahly v Talaea El Gaish : Match Odds     05-Jan-12 17:15     05-Jan-12 19:18     4.77
Soccer / Al Ittihad Al Iskandary v Arab Contractors : Match Odds     05-Jan-12 14:45     05-Jan-12 16:48     2.86
Soccer / Misr Lel Makasa v Ghazl Mehalla : Match Odds     05-Jan-12 14:45     05-Jan-12 16:44     12.28
Soccer / Carranque v Villarrobledo : Half Time     05-Jan-12 15:30     05-Jan-12 16:17     1.91
Soccer / Al Ittihad Al Iskandary v Arab Contractors : Half Time     05-Jan-12 14:45     05-Jan-12 15:40     1.19
Soccer / Misr Lel Makasa v Ghazl Mehalla : Half Time     05-Jan-12 14:45     05-Jan-12 15:35     4.14
Soccer / Al Wasl Dubai v Dubai CSC : Match Odds     05-Jan-12 13:00     05-Jan-12 15:03     5.18
Soccer / Al Nassr Riyadh v Al Ahli Jeddah : Match Odds     05-Jan-12 12:20     05-Jan-12 14:19     14.71
Soccer / Al Wasl Dubai v Dubai CSC : Half Time     05-Jan-12 13:00     05-Jan-12 13:50     6.02
By:
Cooee
When: 06 Jan 12 09:55
Good stuff Nicholas. You seem to have learnt from your previous challenges. Keep it up and keep it steady.
By:
nicholasdc
When: 06 Jan 12 10:14
i did, but i still find myself chasing. i lost 40 on espanyol yesterday. they were 0-1 up and cought a red card, then 2 goals in the last 10 minutes, so i guess you can call that a bad beat. the idea is to gradually recover the loss in a couple of steps, or even just leave it like that because i'm ahead of schedule. then i saw valencia was up 1-0 against sevilla. i watched the match for 20 minutes, checked the stats etc. sevilla had 1 shot on target in about 60 minutes, so i layed them to win 40 on valencia and draw with a big liability. turned out fine, but i realize that these bets can destroy my bank, when in fact i could have left the loss like that and claim my daily profit..

i'm not sure how to arm myself against such weaknesses.. i noticed that i can easily transfer money (i think even without a fee) in and out of betfair, so maybe i should just allow myself a smaller percentage of my bank to play with to set a maximum liability. do you think that's a good idea?
By:
dlarssonf
When: 06 Jan 12 11:55
transfer a certain amount into your Aussie wallet if you feel the urge to go chasing
By:
nicholasdc
When: 06 Jan 12 12:29
i don't have an Aussie wallet :)
By:
greedkillsmybankagain
When: 06 Jan 12 12:38
how
does
transfering
into
aussie
wallet
stop
chasing
?
By:
Cooee
When: 06 Jan 12 13:24
Nicholas, open an electronic money account (Neteller, MoneyBooker etc.) and keep most of your money in there. Transfer a little money to Betfair every day, and use the Daily Deposit Limit to control exactly how much you can move across over a 24 hour period. That way, you're very limited in how much you can lose in one day.  And if you've had a good session and want to protect some of your profits, you can move that money out instantly, and the most you can then lose that day is whatever you have left in your Betfair account.
By:
nicholasdc
When: 06 Jan 12 13:35
sounds wonderful Cooee! i was already thinking of something like that. the only difficulty is that i only want to use 1 or 2% of my bank per market. but most of the time i play on multiple markets at the same time. maybe i can transfer 5% of my bank and set my own rules only to use about a fifth of that per market.

i also think that sometimes opportunities show up that entitle a bigger liability. for instance a 1.01 in the last 30 seconds of a basketball game can easily make some "riskfree" extra bucks, of course only using a small percentage of the bank, yet an amount bigger than 1 or 2% ..
By:
Cooee
When: 06 Jan 12 13:38
Yeah, that is the problem with using Neteller/Moneybooker. You are a little restricted in what you can do per day, so it won't suit everybody.   But if you can find a way of making it work with your system, it's a good way of cutting out those 'AAAGGHHH Why did I throw away so much money on that!' moments.
By:
nicholasdc
When: 06 Jan 12 13:45
true! i will also naturally be more careful when i only have 80 quid in my account instead of over 1k i guess
By:
nicholasdc
When: 06 Jan 12 13:45
true! i will also naturally be more careful when i only have 80 quid in my account instead of over 1k i guess
By:
Cooee
When: 06 Jan 12 13:55
Theoretically, yes. Of course, you might be more dismissive of it instead, and be more willing to bet the lot!  Worth considering though.
By:
greedkillsmybankagain
When: 06 Jan 12 14:06
appy
new
year
lordbobbin
By:
Cooee
When: 06 Jan 12 14:10
And
you
Greed
Happy
By:
nicholasdc
When: 06 Jan 12 14:57
will take the misses shopping this afternoon and will probably go out tonight, so these should be today's results:


Basketball: €48.10 | Soccer: €27.01  Total P&L:  €75.11

Basketball     Showing 1 - 4 of 4 markets
Market     Start time     Settled date     Profit/loss (€)
Basketball / Powerade Tigers v Rain or Shine : Match Odds     06-Jan-12 10:45     06-Jan-12 12:59     22.68
Basketball / SK Knights v LG Sakers : Match Odds     06-Jan-12 10:00     06-Jan-12 11:51     -20.00
Basketball / KT Sonicboom v KGC Pro : Match Odds     06-Jan-12 10:00     06-Jan-12 11:50     35.93
Basketball / Woori Bank Hansae v Shinesegae Coolcat : Match Odds     06-Jan-12 08:00     06-Jan-12 10:45     9.49

Soccer / Hapoel Givatayim v Maccabi Umm Al Fahm : Match Odds     06-Jan-12 13:00     06-Jan-12 14:48     5.25
Soccer / Hapoel Bnei Lod v Maccabi Herzliya : Match Odds     06-Jan-12 13:00     06-Jan-12 14:48     4.01
Soccer / Hapoel Givatayim v Maccabi Umm Al Fahm : Half Time     06-Jan-12 13:00     06-Jan-12 13:44     2.35
Soccer / Torino v Albinoleffe : Match Odds     06-Jan-12 11:30     06-Jan-12 13:21     11.37
Soccer / Torino v Albinoleffe : Half Time     06-Jan-12 11:30     06-Jan-12 12:17     4.03
By:
nicholasdc
When: 06 Jan 12 15:00
3/01/2012     1.000,00
4/01/2012     1.056,00
5/01/2012     1.141,00
6/01/2012     1.227,00
7/01/2012     1.302,00
By:
Cooee
When: 06 Jan 12 15:01
Misses?  You mean you have several of them???   Lucky guy!
By:
nicholasdc
When: 06 Jan 12 15:07
thanks Laugh
By:
henok
When: 06 Jan 12 15:29
300 in 5 days with a bank of 1000. that is amazing staff. do u stake the whole 1000 everytime u bet? if so what is ur plan when u lose, start again?
By:
nicholasdc
When: 07 Jan 12 11:08
i'm not staking the full bank at any time. i'm aiming at 1 to 4% of my bank
By:
nicholasdc
When: 07 Jan 12 21:38
today's results. too bad i could only start late in the afternoon, but a very good day. gonna get some sleep now after my hangover from yesterday's night Grin

Basketball: €1.43 | Soccer: €105.00  Total P&L:  €106.43

Basketball     Showing 1 - 1 of 1 markets
Market     Start time     Settled date     Profit/loss (€)
Basketball / Lietuvos Rytas v Zalgiris : Match Odds     07-Jan-12 15:10     07-Jan-12 17:19     1.43

Soccer / Inter v Parma : Correct Score     07-Jan-12 19:45     07-Jan-12 21:07     21.09
Soccer / Real Madrid v Granada : Match Odds     07-Jan-12 19:00     07-Jan-12 20:50     18.78
Soccer / Inter v Parma : Half Time     07-Jan-12 19:45     07-Jan-12 20:32     12.97
Soccer / Hapoel Beer Sheba v Hapoel Tel Aviv : Match Odds     07-Jan-12 18:00     07-Jan-12 19:53     1.91
Soccer / Bristol Rovers v Aston Villa : Match Odds     07-Jan-12 17:30     07-Jan-12 19:27     9.55
Soccer / Levadiakos v AEK : Match Odds     07-Jan-12 17:30     07-Jan-12 19:23     12.98
Soccer / Sable-sur-Sarthe v Sedan : Match Odds     07-Jan-12 17:00     07-Jan-12 19:03     -27.00
Soccer / FC Cartagena v Huesca : Match Odds     07-Jan-12 17:00     07-Jan-12 18:53     3.59
Soccer / Siena v Lazio : Match Odds     07-Jan-12 17:00     07-Jan-12 18:52     9.55
Soccer / Deportivo v Xerez : Match Odds     07-Jan-12 17:00     07-Jan-12 18:52     4.58
Soccer / Asteras Tripolis v Panetolikos : Match Odds     07-Jan-12 15:15     07-Jan-12 17:11     0.76
Soccer / Hull v Ipswich : Correct Score     07-Jan-12 15:00     07-Jan-12 17:00     2.86
Soccer / Hull v Ipswich : Match Odds     07-Jan-12 15:00     07-Jan-12 17:00     2.39
Soccer / Gillingham v Stoke : Match Odds     07-Jan-12 15:00     07-Jan-12 16:58     5.50
Soccer / Carlisle v L Orient : Match Odds     07-Jan-12 15:00     07-Jan-12 16:56     3.82
Soccer / Fleetwood Town v Blackpool : Match Odds     07-Jan-12 15:00     07-Jan-12 16:54     1.91
Soccer / Aldershot v Oxford Utd : Match Odds     07-Jan-12 15:00     07-Jan-12 16:54     1.91
Soccer / Barnsley v Swansea : Match Odds     07-Jan-12 15:00     07-Jan-12 16:53     2.86
Soccer / Tottenham v Cheltenham : Match Odds     07-Jan-12 15:00     07-Jan-12 16:52     1.43
Soccer / Fulham v Charlton : Match Odds     07-Jan-12 15:00     07-Jan-12 16:51     4.02
Soccer / Airdrie Utd v Dundee Utd : Match Odds     07-Jan-12 15:00     07-Jan-12 16:50     3.82
Soccer / FK Jablonec v Hradec Kralove : Match Odds     07-Jan-12 10:00     07-Jan-12 11:39     2.86
Soccer / Sun Hei v TSW Pegasus : Correct Score     07-Jan-12 09:30     07-Jan-12 11:19     2.86
By:
LordBobbin
When: 07 Jan 12 23:05
Very nice again Nicholas.  Great stuff.

(This is Cooee, by the way.  Don't ask about the change of name...)
By:
acquiesce12
When: 07 Jan 12 23:56
^^ personality disorder
By:
LordBobbin
When: 08 Jan 12 00:01
Yeah, and don't worry about Acquiesce either. He's just a brain-dead socialist.
By:
acquiesce12
When: 08 Jan 12 00:29
Lord Bobbin is a highly offensive individual who in my time on betifar, has done nothing but try to belittle and deride paul in order to make himself look big as he sees him as his intellectual inferior, unfortunantly, lord blobby has puerile debating skills and instead proceeds to get his knickers in twist at every turn, poor sodSad
By:
LordBobbin
When: 08 Jan 12 00:54
Well when I first met Paul I spent many hours writing him posts telling him what he needed to do to learn something about betting - I even gave him a couple of precise angles to explore, angles which I'm still using almost daily to make money with. What became apparent, though, was that he didn't actually have any interest in working and developing as a bettor - indeed, his posts the other day to Contrarian show that his knowledge of betting systems hasn't moved on one inch in several months.

When I tired of answering his many questions (most of which were very irrelevant to his development, and along the lines of 'are you a pro', 'what money do you make', 'can you give me tips' etc.), he started getting very aggressive with me and sent me a torrent of abusive pms. He also treated many other posters with similar contempt, and is still given to being very abusive to those he doesn't think are playing ball with him. There's nothing clever about the way he treats other people, and I've decided to prove that by being as least as nasty to him as he has been to others on Betfair.

I'm sorry to say this Acquiesce, but your friend isn't the nice chap he claims to be. You clearly haven't seen his nasty side yet, which rather leads me to the conclusion that you should reserve your favourite 'netted' photo for yourself.   Kindly don't respond to one of my posts again.
By:
LordBobbin
When: 08 Jan 12 00:55
Nicholas, I'm sorry for polluting your interesting thread with those last few posts. Please keep up the good trades.
By:
LordBobbin
When: 08 Jan 12 00:55
Nicholas, I'm sorry for polluting your interesting thread with those last few posts. Please keep up the good trades.
By:
nicholasdc
When: 08 Jan 12 08:15
feel free guys. thanks for the support anyway. i'll stick to the topic Happy

got up last night and made a little more money. won't have much time to bet today, but the daily target is already reached so will take it easy. that's probably key when you're in front of schedule. think i'm going to withdraw a couple hundred after today.

laters
By:
acquiesce12
When: 08 Jan 12 10:31
I'm sorry to say this Acquiesce, but your friend isn't the nice chap he claims to be. You clearly haven't seen his nasty side yet, which rather leads me to the conclusion that you should reserve your favourite 'netted' photo for yourself.   Kindly don't respond to one of my posts again


If you're going to post nonsense and than ask me not to reply, it makes me wonder if you just came down in the last shower, the only person with a nasty side here I have seen is from you - as seen from your recent vitriolic long and winded posts, put him on block if you dislike him that much but the truth of the matter is you won't because even Stevie Wonder can see you relish given him a tongue lashing on a daily basis to aid your own ego trip by answering his questions repetitively when most people would have just ignored along time ago, you don't appear to have the same brain cells.
By:
catflappo
When: 08 Jan 12 11:38
I have to side with Lordb here although I agree ignoring works better
By:
Cooee
When: 08 Jan 12 15:26
Well my Cooee persona appears to be back (I must have the most schizo Betfair account in the country), so I can safely ignore what that LordBobbin chap was on about!  Laugh
By:
egner
When: 08 Jan 12 16:30
nice start nicholasdcWink
By:
nicholasdc
When: 08 Jan 12 19:05
thanks egner Happy
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