General Betting
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29 Dec 11
16:21
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06 Apr 03
im convinced that hedging in running on any sport is a wekness and reckon never hedging is the way forward for 2012, im actually gonna start from this moment.the temptation to lay 1.6 about any sporting selection youve have much bigger is a negative ive cometo think.to win as a punter obviously you have to identify somethink that has a better than the price chance of copping, not easy in itself but to then hedge at the correct or shorter price means longter two good price decisions have tyo be made instead of one.i know its gonna drive me mad when a 10/1 probable winnin g bet gets beaten having taded at a low price but im gonna console myselfin the knowledge that long term im better off sticking to my bets.1st bet is hjuybrechts v nicholsdon small stakes.whether my guy looks like winning or not im not trading , this was gonna bre a new years resolution but why not start now if its the best thing to do.
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ok ive resisted laying 1.78 huybrechts simly as i said before if i handt already backed him i deffo wouldnt wanna be laying him at that price atm.hope i dont live to regret my new policy at the very first time the situation arises.
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3-1 up id now lay 1.33 if i hadnt done so already but s 3/1 nicholson any value? i knowhe can come back but once again if ni previous investment hadnt taken place i wouldnt be dreaming of taking 3/1 about his current chances.
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obviously you have to identify somethink that has a better than the price chance of copping, not easy in itself but to then hedge at the correct or shorter price means longter two good price decisions have tyo be made instead of one
Agree, you have made a good decision. |