General Betting
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CORRECT SCORE BACKING PROJECT.
I have been predicting correct scores with certain success and from now on I will post some in here for those who wants to follow along with my laying teams thread.
Remember that the strike rate doesn't need to be high, we only need one winner here and there and we are in profit.
Lowest odd I hit was 6.2 and highest 21.
I'm backing these correct scores with flat staking, 10 points each.
Comments, suggestions are welcome.
Paderborn v St Pauli 0-1
Ingolstadt v Braunschweig 0-1
Caen v Marseille 0-1
Angers v Clermont 0-1
Laval v Guingamp 0-1
Bastia v Sedan 2-0
Troyes v Istres 2-0
Heracles v VVV 2-1
Dordrecht v Eindhoven 0-1
Telstar v Sparta 1-3
Helmond v Emmen 3-0
Den Bosch v Go Ahead Eagles 3-0
Zwolle v Cambuur Leeuwarden 3-1
Maastricht v AGOVV 3-0
Willem II v TOP Oss 2-1
Crystal Palace v Derby 2-0
Plzen v Bohemians 3-0
I have been predicting correct scores with certain success and from now on I will post some in here for those who wants to follow along with my laying teams thread.
Remember that the strike rate doesn't need to be high, we only need one winner here and there and we are in profit.
Lowest odd I hit was 6.2 and highest 21.
I'm backing these correct scores with flat staking, 10 points each.
Comments, suggestions are welcome.
Paderborn v St Pauli 0-1
Ingolstadt v Braunschweig 0-1
Caen v Marseille 0-1
Angers v Clermont 0-1
Laval v Guingamp 0-1
Bastia v Sedan 2-0
Troyes v Istres 2-0
Heracles v VVV 2-1
Dordrecht v Eindhoven 0-1
Telstar v Sparta 1-3
Helmond v Emmen 3-0
Den Bosch v Go Ahead Eagles 3-0
Zwolle v Cambuur Leeuwarden 3-1
Maastricht v AGOVV 3-0
Willem II v TOP Oss 2-1
Crystal Palace v Derby 2-0
Plzen v Bohemians 3-0
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Ingolstadt v Braunschweig 0-1 at 10.50 WON +90.25
Angers v Clermont 0-1 at 12.50 WON +109.25 2 games won: +199.5 15 games lost = -150 Total: +49.5 |
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good luck t11, can u post the odds along with your selections
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Thanks Ocean.
The odds are whatever is available 3 minutes before KO. I post the selections the earliest I can, so the odds 2 or 3 hours before ko will not be the right ones. These are the selections for today: Man City v Norwich 3-0 Tottenham v Bolton 3-1 Portsmouth v Coventry 2-0 Brighton v Nottm Forest 2-0 West Ham v Burnley 3-0 Kilmarnock v Aberdeen 2-1 St Mirren v Inverness CT 2-0 Napoli v Lecce 2-0 Valencia v Espanyol 2-0 Bayern Munich v Werder Bremen 3-0 VfB Stuttgart v FC Koln 3-0 Evian v Valenciennes 2-0 Montpellier v Lorient 2-0 Groningen v NEC 3-0 Ajax v Excelsior 3-0 Wigan v Arsenal 1-3 Aston Villa v Man Utd 0-1 Doncaster v Southampton 1-2 Ipswich v Watford 0-1 Hull v Leicester 0-1 Hearts v St Johnstone 0-1 Kaiserslautern v Hertha Berlin 0-1 Nice v Rennes 0-1 AC Ajaccio v Lille 1-2 Boulogne v Le Havre 0-1 Zulte v Lokeren 1-2 Westerlo v Club Brugge 1-2 Slavia Prague v Slovan Liberec 0-1 Kapfenberg v Rapid Vienna 0-1 Admira v Ried 1-2 |
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I'm a big fan of correct score betting, it's just slogging through so many teams which can be a little dull after a few weeks,
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T11, update pls..
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Hi Ocean, it wasnt good yesterday. I havent had the time yet to update.
Busy with the laying thread. |
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trader11, i am a CS devotee myself, how are you devising your selections ?
I wont clog your thread with all of my own selections but i do like Sonderjyske at these odds !... SonderjyskE v OB 2-0 @ 26 3-0 @ 75 GL with it , i hope you keep the thread going. |
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Hi fatal,
Last saturday I only hit one CS at 8.0, so it was a losing day, yesterday I hit more and it was profitable, but it takes me a lot of time to enter all selections into my CS predictions system and then post them in here, and there were not many people interested. For the game you mentioned I like 0-1 at 10.5 The thing is I only chose 1 CS per game, no dutching at all. So, you need only 2 o 3 hits out of around 15 to be in profit. |
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Please don't think lack of replys is lack of interest. Personally I prefer these threads when they are clean of chatter, although I occasionally pip in some encouragement!
So many people jack it in after 1 or 2 losing weeks but please don't. Even if you don't actually bet them, please continue picking and running the stats. Losing threads are just as interesting as winning ones. (And not for reasons of schadenfreude.) |
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ror makes a good point, trader11. Keep posting, mate!
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Hi ror and Rasp,
Ok, will keep posting. Pity I didn't do it yesterday, hit 3 CS for a healthy profit. Anyway, will post again soon. BTW, Rasp, I read your AW thread and was thinking, why don't you back them to place? I have no idea about it, is it not profitable?? Just a thought. |
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fair enough trader11, but i am interested in 'how' you come up with your selections ; ie is your system statistics based or form based or just personal selections... not after specific details of course... just interested.
for example, my method is market based, in that i use the markets themselves to point me to 'value'. ('Value betting' in Correct scores - is when your average dividend is higher than your average strike rate.) Olimpia Asuncion v Nacional Asuncion 0-1 @ 17 0-2 @ 32 GL all. |
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Hi Fatal,
I use both stats and form from the last 5 games of each team, table position, average ammount of goals scored, and quality of opposition. I come up with 2 CS for each game and then decide for one of them. These are the CS for today, a total of 18: Barcelona v BATE 3-0 Chelsea v Valencia 1-0 Olympiacos v Arsenal 1-2 Apoel v Shakhtar 1-1 Plzen v Milan 1-1 Genk v Bayer Leverkusen 1-2 Borussia Dortmund v Marseille 2-0 Porto v Zenit 2-0 Barnsley v Crystal Palace 1-0 Kettering v Darlington 0-1 Forest Green v Tamworth 1-0 Wrexham v Southport 0-1 Kidderminster v Bath 3-0 Telford v York 0-1 Grimsby v Mansfield 0-1 Ebbsfleet Utd v Cambridge Utd 0-1 Stockport v Gateshead 0-1 Alfreton Town v Newport 1-2 |
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Does current price factor into your method or do you think with cs betting that strike rate is more important?
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trader11, I normally back 'em win and place.
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ror,
I just back them at whatever price is available, well, not really, I always ask for 1 or 2 more ticks, but if not matched then I take whatever is available 2 mins before ko. Obviously there are time in which you are matched at 6ish 7ish, and that will not produce profit unless you hit 3 or 4 of them. But when you hit 10ish or higher then is much better. Rasp, ok, thanks, didnt know. |
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Only one hit today.
I will keep it going until this sunday, if it doesn't show a profit I will quit this system. Too many CS failed for only 1 goal, really annoying. It could have been an amazing day. Stockport v Gateshead 0-1 AT 10.0 +85.7 17 lost CS -170 Total = -84.3 |
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trader, if you are confident in the theory of your system, stick with it... Correct score betting is Torture !
it takes hundreds, even thousands of samples to be sure a method is profitable. Because your average odds are probably around 12.0 or more , the winning streaks can be fantastic, but so too the losing streaks can be devastating to your balance. ( Been there ! ) Good luck with it. |
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Thanks Fatal,
It was really frustrating today. About 5 CS failed for only 1 goal, that's why it could have been a great day, but it wasn't. Will see this weekend, plenty of games to try. |
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Tough nite for you, mate. Some were very close.
Keep yer chin up ! |
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Villarreal v Napoli 0-2
Ajax v Real Madrid 1-2 Basle v Man Utd 0-1 Benfica v Otelul Galati 3-0 Inter Milan v CSKA Moscow 1-1 Manchester City v Bayern Munich 2-0 Dynamo Zagreb v Lyon 0-2 Lille v Trabzonspor 2-0 Hull v Birmingham 1-1 |
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GL on BAYERN match......hope you get that one up!!!!
BAYERN usually score in games....and MC usually concede 1.....but 2-0 will do for me (I've lay on 1-0)  GL |
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Thanks DFC, we both scored today.
A profitable day. Villarreal v Napoli 0-2 at 10.5 +90.25 Manchester City v Bayern Munich 2-0 at 9.20 +78 7 lost CS = -70 Total: +98 |
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Friday:
Torquay v Barnet 3-2 Duisburg v Karlsruhe 2-0 Paderborn v Hansa Rostock 1-0 Sampdoria v Juve Stabia 1-1 Hertha Berlin v Schalke 0-1 1860 Munich v Braunschweig 2-2 ADO Den Haag v Heracles 2-0 Fortuna Sittard v Willem 1-2 Eindhoven v Den Bosch 1-1 AGOVV v Dordrecht 0-1 FC Oss v Telstar 2-2 Emmen v Zwolle 1-3 Go Ahead Eagles v Almere City 3-1 Cambuur v Veendam 3-1 Volendam v Helmond Sport 3-2 Sparta v Maastricht 3-0 Braga v Pacos Ferreira 2-0 Mechelen v Anderlecht 0-2 Wisla Krakow v Polonia Warsaw 1-0 Podbeskidzie B-B v GKS Belchatow 1-0 |
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New personal record achieved today, former highest odd was 21, today I got 22.
Quite a healthy profit today. Once again, thanks to all who follow and comment with ideas and encouragement. ADO Den Haag v Heracles 2-0 at 22 +199.5  Sampdoria v Juve Stabia 1-1 at 8.0 +66.5 Podbeskidzie B-B v GKS Belchatow 1-0 at 6.8 +55.1 3 CS won = +321.1 17 CS lost = -170 TOTAL: +151.1 |
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Excellent stuff, t11 !
Great progress (and I hope it continues) but keep your cool, objective head on. Brilliant so far! Well done. |
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Thanks Rasp!
Too much activity today: Werder Bremen v Wolfsburg 3-0 Hannover v Bayer Leverkusen 0-1 Mainz v Hamburg 0-1 Nurnberg v Hoffenheim 2-2 Koln v Freiburg 2-2 Augsburg v Borussia 0-1 Bochum v F. Dusseldorf 1-2 Union Berlin v Frankfurt 2-0 Liverpool v QPR 2-0 Man Utd v Wolverhampton 3-0 Arsenal v Everton 2-0 Bolton v Aston Villa 0-1 Norwich v Newcastle 0-1 Swansea v Fulham 1-1 West Brom v Wigan 2-0 Birmingham v Doncaster 2-0 Southampton v Blackpool 3-0 Nottm Forest v C. Palace 0-1 Burnley v Portsmouth 2-0 Coventry v Hull 0-1 Middlesbrough v Brighton 0-1 Barnsley v Ipswich 2-0 Millwall v Cardiff 0-1 Leicester v Peterborough 3-0 Watford v Leeds 1-2 Reading v West Ham 1-2 Derby v Bristol 0-1 Leyton v Exeter 2-2 Tranmere v MK Dons 0-1 Yeovil v Notts 1-2 Huddersfield v Bournemouth 2-0 Colchester v Bury 1-2 Brentford v Hartlepool 1-2 Oldham v Sheff Wedn 2-2 Walsall v Charlton 1-2 Sheff Utd v Rochdale 3-0 Preston v Stevenage 0-1 Wycombe v Chesterfield 2-2 Scunthorpe v Carlisle 0-1 Sturm Graz v Austria Vienna 2-2 Ried v Wiener 2-0 Mattersburg v Kapfenberg 3-0 Rapid Vienna v Wacker 2-1 Xanthi v Levadiakos 2-0 PAOK v Atromitos 1-1 AEK Athens v Giannina 3-0 Ruch Chorzow v Korona Kielce 1-1 Legia Warsaw v Cracovia 2-0 Widzew Lodz v Gornik 1-1 St Johnstone v Motherwell 0-1 Inverness CT v Dundee Utd 1-2 Aberdeen v St Mirren 0-1 Celtic v Hearts 1-0 Dunfermline v Kilmarnock 0-1 Hibernian v Rangers 1-2 Palermo v Cesena 2-0 Lecce v Lazio 0-2 Inter Milan v Fiorentina 1-0 Siena v Genoa 3-0 Vicenza v Empoli 1-0 Sassuolo v Livorno 1-0 Ascoli v Varese 1-2 Grosseto v Modena 1-0 Torino v Pescara 1-0 Cittadella v Reggina 1-2 Gubbio v Padova 0-1 Verona v Albinoleffe 2-0 Nocerina v Crotone 0-1 Beira Mar v Porto 0-2 Sporting Lisbon v Nacional 3-0 Levante v Sevilla1-1 Real Madrid v Barcelona 2-1 Betis v Valencia 0-2 Nancy v Ajaccio 2-0 Rennes v Brest 1-0 Marseille v Bordeaux 2-0 St Etienne v Caen 2-1 Toulouse v Evian 1-1 Sochaux v PSG 1-3 Valenciennes v Montpellier 0-1 Twente v NEC 3-0 AZ v De Graafschap 3-0 Excelsior v Heerenveen 1-2 PSV v NAC 3-0 |
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I'm dropping this project. It doesn't show profits. Will concentrate in my laying thread which is the one showing the best results.
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trader 11 thats a shame.. 1 week is very short term to say if it generates profits or not... why not paper trade/bet... but i guess it must be a drain on your time
gl with laying scores... |
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Hi Ocean, no it hasn't been 1 week, I have been trying this for 1 month and the results are not worth the time and effort that it takes.
I still keep the laying teams thread active. |