Forums

General Betting

Welcome to Live View – Take the tour to learn more
Start Tour
There is currently 1 person viewing this thread.
CLYDEBANK29
23 Sep 11 23:50
Joined:
Date Joined: 10 Jan 02
| Topic/replies: 15,534 | Blogger: CLYDEBANK29's blog
Anyone care to estimate a percentage?
Pause Switch to Standard View What percentage of Betfair customers...
Show More
Loading...
Report bf_fananatic September 24, 2011 12:29 AM BST
Ask betfair as they know all about who has won what and how much there entitled too keep by the grace of the commanders in the tower.
Report hazel September 24, 2011 12:38 AM BST
CLYDEBANK if I recall correctly in the latest conference call (quarterly report) either morano or yu said there were 200,000 "net winners".

They didnt clarify what a net winner was, but taking PC2/3 speak I would say it was "excluding commission", i.e. gross wins minus loses

I cant recall if they said that the number of users was in respect of last year, this year, or if it was current users. I certainly don't recall "lifetime users" being mentioned.

You can listen to the conference call and check the facts.
Report Trevh September 24, 2011 3:00 AM BST
Hazel, if a net winner is someone who's winning "excluding commission" then most of them will be losing after commission, i'e a recreational punter may win 10k over a year and only lose 9.6k, and be classed as a winner even though he's losing.

Any fool can break level excluding commission, so if BF said there were 200,000 net winners then your definition is probably correct :)
Wouldn't just over half of BF accounts show a slight profit and just under half a slight loss without commission?

I think Clydebank means how may winners were there after commission was deducted, which I would guess at less than 1%.
Report acquiesce12 September 24, 2011 3:27 AM BST
net=after all deductions

=2% pf all active betfiar customers
Report Trevh September 24, 2011 4:47 AM BST
That's what net should mean Acquiesce, I suspect it doesn't in the case above (and I've never believed the 2% figure).
Report Beat The OverRound September 24, 2011 4:57 AM BST
Trevh is right, net is post commission and premium charges.

Of the 2% estimate, 1.80% are winning a yearly pittance and .20% are making obscene amounts of money.
Report catflmasppo September 24, 2011 7:07 AM BST
Well, the only thing gross profit can mean is profit before charges so net must mean after charges.  I suspect they just mean gross - commission as pc will virtually never make a winning account into a losing one and there must be a negligible number of losers who pay data/transaction costs.
Report hazel September 24, 2011 8:22 AM BST
Sorry, to correct my earlier comment, having read Betfair term and conditions, it should be:

"***By ‘net profits’ we mean the amounts won less the amounts lost, on all Betfair markets, less all commission paid and Premium Charges debited."
Report GranpaChook. September 24, 2011 9:43 AM BST
BTO, I've sent you a PM mate.  If you get a chance to reply it'd be most appreciated!  Cheers.
Report Richard LL September 24, 2011 10:07 AM BST
of people who placed one bet or more I'd guess 15% were net winners on the year.
Report CLYDEBANK29 September 24, 2011 10:20 AM BST
Apparently its over 52.5%...hazel really stole my thunder but here goes...

To quote the chairman in the Q1 FY12 IMS Analyst Conference Call

"and, in fact, in stark contrast to any of our competitors, over 200,000 of our customers were net winners last year"

and according to reports from the AGM this week active customers are "down 19% to 381,000"

...............................................

somehow I doubt it myselfSilly
Report CLYDEBANK29 September 24, 2011 10:22 AM BST
be careful posting on my threads Richard LL....we have the same joining date so we might get linked for PC3 purposes
Report TheInvestor2 September 24, 2011 11:03 AM BST
I'd guess about 20%
Report Eddie the eagle September 24, 2011 11:04 AM BST
My guess is that roughly 15 % of active customers make a profit over a one year period.
  My definition of  an active customer would be one that on average places at least one bet weekly.
Report hazel September 24, 2011 11:08 AM BST
CLYDEBANK its amazing isn't it.  I suspect that there is some mistruth or misleading information given out from time to time.  They are very good at spin.
Report Beat The OverRound September 24, 2011 11:10 AM BST
Yes I would say it's definitely misleading.
Like their 20% better odds and the matched amounts.

Betfair speak...

Nett equals gross
Matched equals twice matched amount
20% equals 10%
etc etc.
Report CLYDEBANK29 September 24, 2011 11:11 AM BST
I was thinking it was a possible typo and the real figure was "over 20,000"
Report hazel September 24, 2011 11:15 AM BST
He would have corrected himself, surely, but after all what is a zero, its nothing really [;)]
Report Eddie the eagle September 24, 2011 11:16 AM BST
CLYDEBANK and hazel. That 381 k active customers was for that quarter only. I think Betfair reported more than one million active customers in their last yearly report. So 200 k winners would be closer to 20 %.
Report CLYDEBANK29 September 24, 2011 11:23 AM BST
over 52.5% seems much too high for gross winners even if you assume "net is gross" but net is net in any language and I don't think Betfair would be misleading like that. I reckon gross winners are probably nearer 25-35%.

I think it's just a mistake.  My point is that, that sort of mistake should be glaringly obvious to the chairman of the company and the people who prepared the speech/presentation.  You should just instinctively know it can't be right.
Report hazel September 24, 2011 11:27 AM BST
thanks for that eddie, that could be the explanation. I would guess that sounds reasonable.
Report CLYDEBANK29 September 24, 2011 11:48 AM BST
ah ok..cheers eddie....sounds feasible then if there were over 1 million active customers annually and only 381,000 active customers in the quarter it means that the vast majority of "active" customers are not very active at all which in turn would mean a higher proportion of net winners.

...................

Over 1 million customers active annually yet only 381,000 of them were active in the quarter.  I'd have never of thought that likeConfused
Report Coachbuster September 24, 2011 11:54 AM BST
there are easily more winning registered customers than losers on here imo
Report Coachbuster September 24, 2011 11:55 AM BST
think of all the thousands who just take the free bonus and run
Report Coachbuster September 24, 2011 12:01 PM BST
then you have all the penny pinchers ,who make maybe a tenner a week to supplement their giro cheque.


just a few thousand heavy losers will take care of that bunch  imo
Report Richard LL September 24, 2011 2:06 PM BST
if we were linked for PC3 purposes, it would probably save you a fortune CBGrin, I think 10/01/02 is a default date for ex flutter users they acquired
Report CLYDEBANK29 September 24, 2011 7:13 PM BST
Hardly a fortune unfortunately Sad
Report moisok September 24, 2011 8:48 PM BST
i won 1.17 pounds on rugby this morning  does this help
how embarrassing is that!!
Report bf_fananatic September 24, 2011 8:50 PM BST
careful if you make a profit and don't pay pc3 you may be viewed as a secret agent[;)]
Report moisok September 24, 2011 8:55 PM BST
yet another big bet missed out on by seconds  grrrrrrrrrr!!
Report no moves September 24, 2011 9:44 PM BST
I am grappling with the true figure! All I know is its the exactly same amount as use the forum.
Post Your Reply
<CTRL+Enter> to submit
Please login to post a reply.

Wonder

Instance ID: 13539
www.betfair.com