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acornel
31 Aug 11 11:09
Joined:
Date Joined: 30 Sep 10
| Topic/replies: 29,282 | Blogger: acornel's blog
Inspired by TheSnapper's blog (horses) and some stats provided by a guy on the forum (foot) I have investigated more the information that I got (via stats) and finally I decided to check if the different edges that I found will confirm on a long run. I am running few strategies in parallel (horses win market, place market, foot correct score, foot under/over) each one with an initial bank between 100 and 200 euros but running everything in parallel (I assume that some strategies will lose money but will be sustained by others more successful) allows me to start with a relatively small "global" bank of ~ 260euros.

I will not post here all bets but only the biggest win/loss.
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Report acornel September 16, 2011 2:46 PM BST
I'm such a lousy BACKer Cry
Report acornel September 16, 2011 2:47 PM BST
IRE / List 16th Sep / 14:45 To Be Placed    
    On The Loose     Lay     16341887888     16-Sep-11
14:45           18     2.00         18     16-Sep-11 14:45    
   
IRE / List 16th Sep / 14:45 1m1f Hcap    
    Marcus Attilius     Back     16341881113     16-Sep-11
14:45           7     2.00         7.2     16-Sep-11 14:45    
   
IRE / List 16th Sep / 14:45 1m1f Hcap    
    Badger Or Bust     Back     16341880823     16-Sep-11
14:45           7.2     2.00         7.2     16-Sep-11 14:45    
   
IRE / List 16th Sep / 14:45 1m1f Hcap    
    Midnight Music     Lay     16341880551     16-Sep-11
14:45           4.7     2.00         4.7     16-Sep-11 14:45
Report DFCIRONMAN September 16, 2011 2:48 PM BST
2.45

IRE / List 16th Sep / 14:45 To Be Placed    
    Erins Joy     Back         16-Sep-11
14:46           6     3.00         6     16-Sep-11 14:46    
   
IRE / List 16th Sep / 14:45 To Be Placed    
    On The Loose     Back          16-Sep-11
14:45           15     3.00         15.67     16-Sep-11 14:45    
   
IRE / List 16th Sep / 14:45 To Be Placed    
    Belles Ridge     Back          16-Sep-11
14:45           5.2     3.00         5.2     16-Sep-11 14:45    
   
IRE / List 16th Sep / 14:45 To Be Placed    
    Walter De La Mare     Back
         16-Sep-11
14:45           2.98     6.00         2.98     16-Sep-11 14:45
Report acornel September 16, 2011 2:49 PM BST
What did you say about LISTOWEL? CryCryCry
Report acornel September 16, 2011 2:50 PM BST
WD DFC ... If you had BACK to WIN On the loose ............
Report DFCIRONMAN September 16, 2011 2:51 PM BST
FOOTBALL is far "easier" intellectually than HORSES A........You need years of experience to back em ...and LAYING is extremely difficult ......You will get runs of LUCK re LAYING .....but HITS will come if you don't have genuine EDGE/S etc etc
Report DFCIRONMAN September 16, 2011 2:52 PM BST
DRAT ...never saw the race.......

Decided JUST to do PLACE bets on LISTOWEL race ....and that one did catch my eye at foot of H/C ......DRATTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT
Report acornel September 16, 2011 2:53 PM BST
I Keep learning, DFC ...
Report DFCIRONMAN September 16, 2011 2:54 PM BST
£79.01 ahead currently ......Need to focus
Report acornel September 16, 2011 2:54 PM BST
Already 60 euros down ... could it be worst than thatConfused
Report acornel September 16, 2011 3:00 PM BST
GB / Ling 16th Sep / 15:00 5f Mdn Stks     Mister Mackenzie     Lay     16342161549     16-Sep-11
15:00           4.2     2.00         4.2     16-Sep-11 15:00
Report DFCIRONMAN September 16, 2011 3:08 PM BST
3.10 PASS
Report DFCIRONMAN September 16, 2011 3:12 PM BST
3.15

    IRE / List 16th Sep / 15:15 1m1f Hcap     Hawkhill     Back          16-Sep-11
15:11           6.8     2.00         7.2     16-Sep-11 15:11    
    IRE / List 16th Sep / 15:15 1m1f Hcap     Hisaabaat     Back         16-Sep-11
15:10           5.2     2.00         5.7     16-Sep-11 15:10    
    IRE / List 16th Sep / 15:15 1m1f Hcap     Gentleman Duke     Back      16-Sep-11
15:10           9.8     3.00         9.87     16-Sep-11 15:10    
    IRE / List 16th Sep / 15:15 1m1f Hcap     Duchess Of Foxland     Back         16-Sep-11
15:10           13.5     2.00         14     16-Sep-11 15:10    
    IRE / List 16th Sep / 15:15 To Be Placed     Gentleman Duke     Back         16-Sep-11
15:10           3.7     4.00         3.7     16-Sep-11 15:10    
    IRE / List 16th Sep / 15:15 To Be Placed     Duchess Of Foxland     Back    16-Sep-11
15:09           3.05     9.00         3.1     16-Sep-11 15:09
Report DFCIRONMAN September 16, 2011 3:16 PM BST
FFS A....just spotted you layed ON THE LOOSE in PLACE market at LISTOWEL!!!!!!


AGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH....how many times will you get fingers burnt by DABBLING in markets that you really don't know ebnough about to either BACK or LAY.....

LISTOWEL is a really tricky meeting....and "BEST" to leave alone!

You obviously never saw my post re BACKING it ....

Sorry I posted late ...but visitor in house and getting distrated a lot !!!!!!
Report acornel September 16, 2011 3:17 PM BST
IRE / List 16th Sep / 15:15 1m1f Hcap     Gentleman Duke     Lay     16342422959     16-Sep-11
15:15           8.4     5.59         8.4     16-Sep-11 15:15
Report DFCIRONMAN September 16, 2011 3:18 PM BST
3.20 PASS
Report acornel September 16, 2011 3:18 PM BST
What is so special with Listowel? Is it smth particular today / ... ?
Report DFCIRONMAN September 16, 2011 3:18 PM BST
GOING!
Report acornel September 16, 2011 3:21 PM BST
In fact I saw your post ... but for the moment I trust my system
Report DFCIRONMAN September 16, 2011 3:21 PM BST
DUTCHESS OF FOXxxxxx.......jockey gave up again re PLACE! IMO
Report acornel September 16, 2011 3:22 PM BST
Ok, so when GOING is Heavy ............ what happens / what should I pay attention of?
Report DFCIRONMAN September 16, 2011 3:22 PM BST
Are you WINNING on it A re such lays?
Report acornel September 16, 2011 3:27 PM BST
Late post ... distracted ...
   
GB / Ayr 16th Sep / 15:20 To Be Placed    
    Even Stevens     Lay     16342541974     16-Sep-11
15:20           5.5     2.00         5.5     16-Sep-11 15:20    
   
GB / Ayr 16th Sep / 15:20 To Be Placed    
    Thats A Fret     Lay     16342542157     16-Sep-11
15:20           5.6     2.00         5.6     16-Sep-11 15:20
Report acornel September 16, 2011 3:28 PM BST
Are you WINNING on it A re such lays?

Not yet ... but need to accumulate more bets in order to draw a conclusion Plain
Report coolhand September 16, 2011 3:30 PM BST
Acornel,
Does it not strike you as odd that Listowel has had racing for the past 4(?) days, with valuable prizes, for both Flat and Jumps trainers, some trainers will plot their horses year around one race at Listowel, if you are just going into the markets with a minimal of effort and a small amount of research, then im not surprised your getting your fingers burnt.  Even if you came out of the Festival with a small amount of profit then you should count yourself as very fortunate.

DO SOME RESEARCH !!!
Report acornel September 16, 2011 3:36 PM BST
GB / Ling 16th Sep / 15:35 5f Hcap     Whitecrest     Back     16342802292     16-Sep-11
15:35           7     2.00         7     16-Sep-11 15:35    
    GB / Ling 16th Sep / 15:35 To Be Placed     Commandingpresence     Lay     16342801797     16-Sep-11
15:35           3.35     2.00         3.35     16-Sep-11 15:35    
    GB / Ling 16th Sep / 15:35 5f Hcap     Imaginary Diva     Back     16342802003     16-Sep-11
15:35           6.2     2.00         6.2     16-Sep-11 15:35
Report acornel September 16, 2011 3:36 PM BST
coolhand,

Could you be more precise? (concrete examples)
Report DFCIRONMAN September 16, 2011 3:38 PM BST
3.45 PASS
Report DFCIRONMAN September 16, 2011 3:42 PM BST
3.50

    IRE / List 16th Sep / 15:50 1m4f Mdn     Allied Answer     Back     16342912939     16-Sep-11
15:41           10.5     2.00         12     16-Sep-11 15:41    
    IRE / List 16th Sep / 15:50 1m4f Mdn     Wakhan     Back          16-Sep-11
15:41           2.18     12.00         2.26     16-Sep-11 15:41    
    IRE / List 16th Sep / 15:50 To Be Placed     Shake The Bucket     Back         16-Sep-11
15:40           4     6.00         4.1     16-Sep-11 15:40    
    IRE / List 16th Sep / 15:50 1m4f Mdn     Shake The Bucket     Back         16-Sep-11
15:40           18     3.00         18.5     16-Sep-11 15:40
Report DFCIRONMAN September 16, 2011 3:45 PM BST
Listowel 16/09/2011
Going: Heavy (Soft in places)


So going is IN BETWEEN....therefore makes it far more difficult to guess on how horses will run etc etc
Report DFCIRONMAN September 16, 2011 3:54 PM BST
3.55

GB / Ayr 16th Sep / 15:55 6f Hcap     Sunrise Safari     Back         16-Sep-11
15:52           28     2.00         29     16-Sep-11 15:52    
    GB / Ayr 16th Sep / 15:55 To Be Placed     Mon Brav     Back         16-Sep-11
15:51           6.2     2.00         6.2     16-Sep-11 15:51    
    GB / Ayr 16th Sep / 15:55 To Be Placed     Sunrise Safari     Back         16-Sep-11
15:51           6.2     3.00         6.4     16-Sep-11 15:51    
    GB / Ayr 16th Sep / 15:55 To Be Placed     Jeannie Galloway     Back         16-Sep-11
15:50           3     9.00         3.05     16-Sep-11 15:50    
    GB / Ayr 16th Sep / 15:55 6f Hcap     Jeannie Galloway     Back         16-Sep-11
15:50           9.4     3.00         9.8     16-Sep-11 15:50
Report DFCIRONMAN September 16, 2011 3:56 PM BST
4.10 PASS
Report DFCIRONMAN September 16, 2011 3:59 PM BST
4.20 PASS   2 MULLINS in top 2 in market etc etc
Report acornel September 16, 2011 3:59 PM BST
Busy a bit so I could not post on time

    IRE / List 16th Sep / 15:50 1m4f Mdn     Smithfield     Lay     16343069748     16-Sep-11
15:50           C     4.3     2.00           4.3     2.00    
    GB / Newb 16th Sep / 15:45 1m Cond Stks     Linkable     Lay     16342971424     16-Sep-11
15:45           C     15     4.29           15     4.29
Report DFCIRONMAN September 16, 2011 4:03 PM BST
4.20 NEWBURY PASS
Report DFCIRONMAN September 16, 2011 4:04 PM BST
RAIN now TORRENTIAL at AYR ...GOING must be well SOFT if not going to HEAVY!
Report DFCIRONMAN September 16, 2011 4:12 PM BST
4.30

    GB / Ayr 16th Sep / 16:30 5f Listed     Caledonia Lady     Back         16-Sep-11
16:07           2.56     6.00         2.58     16-Sep-11 16:07    
    GB / Ayr 16th Sep / 16:30 To Be Placed     Kool Henry     Back          16-Sep-11
16:07           2.7     4.00         2.74     16-Sep-11 16:07    
    GB / Ayr 16th Sep / 16:30 To Be Placed     Hexagonal     Back         16-Sep-11
16:07           5.3     4.00         5.4     16-Sep-11 16:07    
    GB / Ayr 16th Sep / 16:30 5f Listed     Caledonia Lady     Back          16-Sep-11
16:05           2.52     6.00         2.56     16-Sep-11 16:05    
    GB / Ayr 16th Sep / 16:30 5f Listed     Hexagonal     Back         16-Sep-11
16:05           23     2.00         25.28     16-Sep-11 16:05    
    GB / Ayr 16th Sep / 16:30 5f Listed     Kool Henry     Back          16-Sep-11
16:05           11     4.00         12.34     16-Sep-11 16:05    
    GB / Ayr 16th Sep / 16:30 5f Listed     Alejandro     Back          16-Sep-11
16:05           13.5     3.00         14     16-Sep-11 16:05
Report DFCIRONMAN September 16, 2011 4:28 PM BST
4.45


GB / Ling 16th Sep / 16:45 To Be Placed     Undulant Way     Back         16-Sep-11
16:26           2.18     12.00         2.2     16-Sep-11 16:26    
    GB / Ling 16th Sep / 16:45 1m5f Hcap     Undulant Way     Back          16-Sep-11
16:26           5.9     6.00         6     16-Sep-11 16:26    
    GB / Ling 16th Sep / 16:45 To Be Placed     Promised Wings     Back         16-Sep-11
16:26           25     2.00         25     16-Sep-11 16:26    
    GB / Ling 16th Sep / 16:45 1m5f Hcap     Promised Wings     Back          16-Sep-11
16:25           2     2.00         120     16-Sep-11 16:25    
    GB / Ling 16th Sep / 16:45 1m5f Hcap     Albertus Pictor     Back         16-Sep-11
16:15           4     6.00         4.2     16-Sep-11 16:15    
    GB / Ling 16th Sep / 16:45 To Be Placed     Sumani     Back         16-Sep-11
16:14           3.95     4.00         3.98     16-Sep-11 16:14    
    GB / Ling 16th Sep / 16:45 1m5f Hcap     Sumani     Back         16-Sep-11
16:14           15     2.00         15.5     16-Sep-11 16:14
Report DFCIRONMAN September 16, 2011 4:31 PM BST
4.50 PASS
Report acornel September 16, 2011 4:33 PM BST
4.30 ... looks like a good bet for you DFC
Report DFCIRONMAN September 16, 2011 4:33 PM BST
4.55 PASS
Report DFCIRONMAN September 16, 2011 4:33 PM BST
YUP ....helps boost profits a bit ALaughCool
Report acornel September 16, 2011 4:35 PM BST
DFC, are u using a specific staking mgmt plan?
Report DFCIRONMAN September 16, 2011 4:35 PM BST
£74.97 up SO FAR ....away to check FOOTBALL KOs at 5pm...Back soon
Report DFCIRONMAN September 16, 2011 4:36 PM BST
NOPE ...A ...I just ad-lib on STAKING ...which I know is NOT what to do.....
Report acornel September 16, 2011 4:46 PM BST
GB / Ling 16th Sep / 16:45 1m5f Hcap    
    Undulant Way     Back     16344062065     16-Sep-11
16:45           6     2.00         6     16-Sep-11 16:45    
   
GB / Ling 16th Sep / 16:45 To Be Placed    
    Mazagee     Lay     16344061806     16-Sep-11
16:45           1.86     3.46         1.86     16-Sep-11 16:45
Report DFCIRONMAN September 16, 2011 4:49 PM BST
FFS ...Jockey never tried for place on UNDULANT WAY IMO again....COSTLY race that one !
Report acornel September 16, 2011 4:49 PM BST
Gtg ... GL on foot, DFC!
Report DFCIRONMAN September 16, 2011 4:55 PM BST
Cheers the noooooooooooooooo A
Report DFCIRONMAN September 16, 2011 5:00 PM BST
5.05


GB / Ayr 16th Sep / 17:05 2m1f Hcap     Sphinx     Back         16-Sep-11
16:58           21     2.00         22     16-Sep-11 16:58    
    GB / Ayr 16th Sep / 17:05 To Be Placed     Sphinx     Back         16-Sep-11
16:58           4.8     4.00         4.9     16-Sep-11 16:58    
    GB / Ayr 16th Sep / 17:05 To Be Placed     Bosss Destination     Back          16-Sep-11
16:57           1.97     15.00         2.06     16-Sep-11 16:57    
    GB / Ayr 16th Sep / 17:05 2m1f Hcap     Pokfulham     Back         16-Sep-11
16:57           8     3.00         8     16-Sep-11 16:57    
    GB / Ayr 16th Sep / 17:05 2m1f Hcap     John Forbes     Back         16-Sep-11
16:56           13.5     2.00         15     16-Sep-11 16:56    
    GB / Ayr 16th Sep / 17:05 2m1f Hcap     Soprano     Back          16-Sep-11
16:56           13     2.00         13.5     16-Sep-11 16:56    
    GB / Ayr 16th Sep / 17:05 2m1f Hcap     Bollin Judith     Back         16-Sep-11
16:56           7.8     3.00         8.2     16-Sep-11 16:56    
    GB / Ayr 16th Sep / 17:05 2m1f Hcap     Mohawk Ridge     Back          16-Sep-11
16:56           12     3.00         13     16-Sep-11 16:56    
    GB / Ayr 16th Sep / 17:05 2m1f Hcap     Bosss Destination     Back     16-Sep-11
16:56           5.3    
9.00         5.5     16-Sep-11 16:56
Report DFCIRONMAN September 16, 2011 5:11 PM BST
Another £24 chucked away late on in win market ....AGHHHHHHHHHHHHH
Report DFCIRONMAN September 16, 2011 5:12 PM BST
5.15 PASS
Report DFCIRONMAN September 16, 2011 5:13 PM BST
Only £30 up today ....which considering the selections early on is pretty poor! Chucked far too much away in getting balance of bets wrong on some of later races.....
Report DFCIRONMAN September 16, 2011 5:14 PM BST
£60 chucked away on last 2 races !
Report DFCIRONMAN September 16, 2011 5:16 PM BST
5.20 PASS
Report DFCIRONMAN September 16, 2011 5:18 PM BST
Pouring RAIN at WOLVERHAMPTON!
Report DFCIRONMAN September 16, 2011 5:19 PM BST
5.25 have done a LAY as can't split top 2 in market !


    IRE / List 16th Sep / 17:25 2m4f Chs     Finger Onthe Pulse     Lay         16-Sep-11
17:17           3.65     18.00         3.65     16-Sep-11 17:17
Report DFCIRONMAN September 16, 2011 5:20 PM BST
5.30 PASS
Report DFCIRONMAN September 16, 2011 5:21 PM BST
5.40 PASS
Report DFCIRONMAN September 16, 2011 5:31 PM BST
1 lay = 1 HIT!

Why was i tempted to do a LAY bet???? CHASE mode I suspect!
Report DFCIRONMAN September 16, 2011 5:32 PM BST
2nd horse really should have won that race ...difference was jockeys!
Report acornel September 16, 2011 5:39 PM BST
When you LAY you have the impression that you win money faster, isn't it?
Report acornel September 16, 2011 5:40 PM BST
BIG liability

GB / Ayr 16th Sep / 17:40 1m Hcap     Cosmic Moon     Lay     16345318028     16-Sep-11
17:40           11     3.12         11     16-Sep-11 17:40    
    GB / Ayr 16th Sep / 17:40 1m Hcap     Cosmic Moon     Lay     16345317749     16-Sep-11
17:40           11     5.82         11     16-Sep-11 17:40
Report acornel September 16, 2011 5:42 PM BST
and ...

GB / Ayr 16th Sep / 17:40 To Be Placed    
    Qubuh     Lay     16345328853     16-Sep-11
17:40           17.5     2.00         17.5     16-Sep-11 17:40
Report DFCIRONMAN September 16, 2011 5:48 PM BST
wd A


Not really A........Just a tired LAZY bet ....when I LAY!

It was a small field race IN IRELAND!

Going was in between ....and that really means I SHOULD NOT LAY OR BACK ANYTHING IN SUCH A RACE........

Believed if GOING was more HEAVY than SOFT that the lay would not win......but older more experienced horse jumped well ...and other 2 were not that great at jumping ...The 2nd would have won had going been truly HEAVY!

IF I was gonna bet in that race I should have BACKED 1 of 2...and left it at that!
Report acornel September 16, 2011 5:50 PM BST
GB / Wolv 16th Sep / 17:50 7f Nursery     Abhaath     Lay     16345549441     16-Sep-11
17:50           9     3.12         9     16-Sep-11 17:50    
    GB / Wolv 16th Sep / 17:50 To Be Placed     Abhaath     Lay     16345549118     16-Sep-11
17:50           3.05     2.00         3.05     16-Sep-11 17:50
Report DFCIRONMAN September 16, 2011 6:02 PM BST
4th again at LISTOWEL for me ...a costly last few races !
Report DFCIRONMAN September 16, 2011 6:05 PM BST
LAST bets for me on HORSES

7.20 NAP's race in comp...

GB / Wolv 16th Sep / 19:20 To Be Placed     Beneath     Back         16-Sep-11
18:03           3.2     12.00         3.26     16-Sep-11 18:03    
    GB / Wolv 16th Sep / 19:20 1m1f Hcap     Beneath     Back         16-Sep-11
18:03           11.5     4.00         12     16-Sep-11 18:03    
    GB / Wolv 16th Sep / 19:20 1m1f Hcap     Supa Seeker     Back      16-Sep-11
18:03           5.8     3.00         6     16-Sep-11 18:03    
    GB / Wolv 16th Sep / 19:20 1m1f Hcap     Aldo     Back          16-Sep-11
18:03           6.4     3.00         6.8     16-Sep-11 18:03    

GB / Wolv 16th Sep / 19:20 To Be Placed     Beneath     Back         16-Sep-11
12:22           2.98     6.00         3     16-Sep-11 12:22    
    GB / Wolv 16th Sep / 19:20 1m1f Hcap     Beneath     Back     16-Sep-11
12:22           9.4     6.00         9.62     16-Sep-11 12:22    
    GB / Wolv 16th Sep / 19:20 1m1f Hcap     Monster Munchie     Back          16-Sep-11
12:21           3.55     4.00         3.65     16-Sep-11 12:21


Cheers the nooooooooooooo A
Report DFCIRONMAN September 17, 2011 9:14 AM BST
YESTERDAY RESULTS

Horse Racing: -£116.12 | Soccer: £86.77  Total P&L:  -£29.35

Horse Racing     Showing 1 - 20 of 28 markets
Market     Start time     Settled date     Profit/loss (£)
Horse Racing / Wolv 16th Sep : To Be Placed     16-Sep-11 19:20     16-Sep-11 19:26     -63.00
Horse Racing / Wolv 16th Sep : 1m1f Hcap     16-Sep-11 19:20     16-Sep-11 19:23     -23.40
Horse Racing / List 16th Sep : To Be Placed     16-Sep-11 17:55     16-Sep-11 18:01     -3.56
Horse Racing / List 16th Sep : 2m INHF     16-Sep-11 17:55     16-Sep-11 18:01     -9.00
Horse Racing / List 16th Sep : 2m4f Chs     16-Sep-11 17:25     16-Sep-11 17:32     -47.70
Horse Racing / Ayr 16th Sep : To Be Placed     16-Sep-11 17:05     16-Sep-11 17:12     0.57
Horse Racing / Ayr 16th Sep : 2m1f Hcap     16-Sep-11 17:05     16-Sep-11 17:10     -24.00
Horse Racing / Ling 16th Sep : To Be Placed     16-Sep-11 16:45     16-Sep-11 16:54     -18.00
Horse Racing / Ling 16th Sep : 1m5f Hcap     16-Sep-11 16:45     16-Sep-11 16:48     -16.00
Horse Racing / Ayr 16th Sep : To Be Placed     16-Sep-11 16:30     16-Sep-11 16:35     13.00
Horse Racing / Ayr 16th Sep : 5f Listed     16-Sep-11 16:30     16-Sep-11 16:33     9.41
Horse Racing / Ayr 16th Sep : To Be Placed     16-Sep-11 15:55     16-Sep-11 16:03     12.86
Horse Racing / Ayr 16th Sep : 6f Hcap     16-Sep-11 15:55     16-Sep-11 16:00     -5.00
Horse Racing / List 16th Sep : To Be Placed     16-Sep-11 15:50     16-Sep-11 15:54     -6.00
Horse Racing / List 16th Sep : 1m4f Mdn     16-Sep-11 15:50     16-Sep-11 15:54     6.69
Horse Racing / List 16th Sep : To Be Placed     16-Sep-11 15:15     16-Sep-11 15:21     -13.00
Horse Racing / List 16th Sep : 1m1f Hcap     16-Sep-11 15:15     16-Sep-11 15:21     -9.00
Horse Racing / List 16th Sep : To Be Placed     16-Sep-11 14:45     16-Sep-11 14:50     30.59
Horse Racing / Ayr 16th Sep : To Be Placed     16-Sep-11 14:45     16-Sep-11 14:49     20.75
Horse Racing / Ayr 16th Sep : 6f Nursery     16-Sep-11 14:45     16-Sep-11 14:47     9.56
Pages: 1  2   of 2 Pages

Horse Racing     Showing 21 - 28 of 28 markets
Market     Start time     Settled date     Profit/loss (£)
Horse Racing / Newb 16th Sep : To Be Placed     16-Sep-11 14:35     16-Sep-11 14:40     9.75
Horse Racing / Newb 16th Sep : 1m2f Hcap     16-Sep-11 14:35     16-Sep-11 14:38     28.68
Horse Racing / List 16th Sep : To Be Placed     16-Sep-11 14:15     16-Sep-11 14:20     -14.00
Horse Racing / List 16th Sep : 6f Hcap     16-Sep-11 14:15     16-Sep-11 14:19     -7.00
Horse Racing / Ayr 16th Sep : To Be Placed     16-Sep-11 14:10     16-Sep-11 14:17     7.34
Horse Racing / Ayr 16th Sep : 7f Mdn Stks     16-Sep-11 14:10     16-Sep-11 14:17     1.34
Horse Racing / Newb 16th Sep : To Be Placed     16-Sep-11 14:00     16-Sep-11 14:04     -6.00
Horse Racing / Newb 16th Sep : 6f Mdn Stks     16-Sep-11 14:00     16-Sep-11 14:03     -2.00
Pages: 1 2   of 2 Pages
==================================================================


Was in strong forum early on ....catching 20-1 winner/ a 33-1 sp 2nd ...almost won........then a visitor arrived at house! got sidetracked....was not concentrating 100%.....rushed bets on a LISTOWEL race and ,FOR ONCE , only backed 4 to PLACE in 2.45 ! I usually back em to win too.....but bet was so rushed and had to get back to talk to visitor that I only backed to PLACE! ON THE LOOSE wins at 33-1 SP and I miss out on that.

From memory..... early on got the 20-1 winner, then the 2nd at 33-1 followed by 1st 33-1........so it was "strong" form.....

Frustrated at losing out on the big odds winner...towards end of day...when ahead......I was in a CHASE MODE ....and layed 1 horse ( FIRST ONE ON DAY)....in a small field chase in IRELAND ....and of course it wins.Cost £ 47.70. A STUPID bet for me who knows LAY bets are a no no! In last race of day at 7.20 I go well over staking the race ....on AW at night.....and both main selections ran stinkers of a race, and I had lumped on the PLACE bets and lost over all £ 86.40 on race !


I know I need full concentration on HORSES, but just got knocked off the zone I was in early on by the visitor...........then the mind went astray towards end of racing! It really shoud have been a very good day .....but due to what happened it became another losing day on HORSES!

Luckily the FOOTBALL bets come off ....eventually, as took an early HIT with them too of about £78. Therefore over all LOSS on day was OK......but still a very frustrating day when I was well "IN THE ZONE" early on!

I've again decided acornel that I need to concentrate more on HORSES during racing .....so I will be keeping my posts down to minimum during racing TODAY.

Hope you get some good results today.....and watch out for AYR as now some HEAVY going there !

Cheers the nooooooooooooooooo
Report DFCIRONMAN September 17, 2011 5:10 PM BST
TODAY RESULTS SO FAR

Horse Racing: £86.30 | Soccer: £107.41  Total P&L:  £193.71

Horse Racing     Showing 1 - 18 of 18 markets
Market     Start time     Settled date     Profit/loss (£)
Horse Racing / Ayr (F/C) 17th Sep : Forecast     17-Sep-11 16:30     17-Sep-11 16:34     -4.00
Horse Racing / Ayr 17th Sep : To Be Placed     17-Sep-11 16:30     17-Sep-11 16:33     -14.00
Horse Racing / Ayr 17th Sep : 1m2f Listed     17-Sep-11 16:30     17-Sep-11 16:32     -14.00
Horse Racing / Newm 17th Sep : To Be Placed     17-Sep-11 16:05     17-Sep-11 16:14     31.97
Horse Racing / Newm 17th Sep : 1m4f Hcap     17-Sep-11 16:05     17-Sep-11 16:13     13.00
Horse Racing / Ayr 17th Sep : To Be Placed     17-Sep-11 15:55     17-Sep-11 16:00     -17.00
Horse Racing / Ayr 17th Sep : 7f Hcap     17-Sep-11 15:55     17-Sep-11 15:58     -10.00
Horse Racing / Newm 17th Sep : To Be Placed     17-Sep-11 15:30     17-Sep-11 15:42     31.06
Horse Racing / Newm 17th Sep : 2m2f Hcap     17-Sep-11 15:30     17-Sep-11 15:40     21.47
Horse Racing / Ayr 17th Sep : To Be Placed     17-Sep-11 15:20     17-Sep-11 15:26     2.87
Horse Racing / Ayr 17th Sep : 6f Grp3     17-Sep-11 14:45     17-Sep-11 14:50     22.33
Horse Racing / Catt 17th Sep : To Be Placed     17-Sep-11 14:35     17-Sep-11 14:42     11.01
Horse Racing / Newb 17th Sep : To Be Placed     17-Sep-11 14:30     17-Sep-11 14:41     -9.00
Horse Racing / Catt 17th Sep : 1m6f Hcap     17-Sep-11 14:35     17-Sep-11 14:40     9.56
Horse Racing / Newb 17th Sep : 6f Grp2     17-Sep-11 14:30     17-Sep-11 14:40     4.02
Horse Racing / Ayr 17th Sep : To Be Placed     17-Sep-11 14:15     17-Sep-11 14:21     10.32
Horse Racing / Newb 17th Sep : To Be Placed     17-Sep-11 14:00     17-Sep-11 14:04     -10.00
Horse Racing / Newb 17th Sep : 1m3f Grp3     17-Sep-11 14:00     17-Sep-11 14:03     6.69
==================================================================


Keeping off thread seems to have helped me A on HORSES. Only last race where I was annoyed at losing ....was nap and it ran a stinker! So stopped HORSE bets after that....and concentrating on FOOTBALL now.

Hope you had a good day.

Cheers the noooooooooooooooo
Report acornel September 17, 2011 7:47 PM BST
Very busy today (visitors) so I post now yesterday's results:


Horse Racing: -€26.16 | Soccer: €15.59  Total P&L:  -€10.57
Horse Racing     Showing 1 - 20 of 33 markets
Market     Start time     Settled date     Profit/loss (€)
Horse Racing / Wolv 16th Sep : 7f Hcap     16-Sep-11 20:50     16-Sep-11 20:52     -2.00
Horse Racing / Wolv 16th Sep : 1m Mdn Stks     16-Sep-11 20:20     16-Sep-11 20:23     1.90
Horse Racing / Belmont (US) 16th Sep : R4 1m Claim     16-Sep-11 19:35     16-Sep-11 19:48     0.40
Horse Racing / Wolv 16th Sep : 1m1f Hcap     16-Sep-11 19:20     16-Sep-11 19:23     -7.20
Horse Racing / Wolv 16th Sep : To Be Placed     16-Sep-11 18:20     16-Sep-11 18:25     -1.64
Horse Racing / Wolv 16th Sep : 7f Claim Stks     16-Sep-11 18:20     16-Sep-11 18:23     8.05
Horse Racing / Wolv 16th Sep : To Be Placed     16-Sep-11 17:50     16-Sep-11 17:57     -4.10
Horse Racing / Wolv 16th Sep : 7f Nursery     16-Sep-11 17:50     16-Sep-11 17:54     2.97
Horse Racing / Ayr 16th Sep : To Be Placed     16-Sep-11 17:40     16-Sep-11 17:45     1.90
Horse Racing / Ayr 16th Sep : 1m Hcap     16-Sep-11 17:40     16-Sep-11 17:43     8.50
Horse Racing / List 16th Sep : To Be Placed     16-Sep-11 17:25     16-Sep-11 17:32     1.90
Horse Racing / Ling 16th Sep : To Be Placed     16-Sep-11 17:20     16-Sep-11 17:27     1.90
Horse Racing / Ling 16th Sep : 1m2f Hcap     16-Sep-11 17:20     16-Sep-11 17:23     0.00
Horse Racing / Ayr 16th Sep : 2m1f Hcap     16-Sep-11 17:05     16-Sep-11 17:10     -2.00
Horse Racing / Newb 16th Sep : 7f Cond Stks     16-Sep-11 16:55     16-Sep-11 17:02     -6.40
Horse Racing / Ling 16th Sep : To Be Placed     16-Sep-11 16:45     16-Sep-11 16:54     -2.98
Horse Racing / Ling 16th Sep : 1m5f Hcap     16-Sep-11 16:45     16-Sep-11 16:48     -2.00
Horse Racing / List 16th Sep : 1m4f Mdn     16-Sep-11 15:50     16-Sep-11 15:54     1.90
Horse Racing / Newb 16th Sep : 1m Cond Stks     16-Sep-11 15:45     16-Sep-11 15:51     4.08
Horse Racing / Ling 16th Sep : To Be Placed     16-Sep-11 15:35     16-Sep-11 15:41     1.90
Horse Racing     Showing 21 - 33 of 33 markets
Market     Start time     Settled date     Profit/loss (€)
Horse Racing / Ling 16th Sep : 5f Hcap     16-Sep-11 15:35     16-Sep-11 15:37     9.51
Horse Racing / Ayr 16th Sep : To Be Placed     16-Sep-11 15:20     16-Sep-11 15:27     3.80
Horse Racing / List 16th Sep : 1m1f Hcap     16-Sep-11 15:15     16-Sep-11 15:21     5.32
Horse Racing / Ling 16th Sep : 5f Mdn Stks     16-Sep-11 15:00     16-Sep-11 15:06     1.90
Horse Racing / List 16th Sep : To Be Placed     16-Sep-11 14:45     16-Sep-11 14:50     -34.00
Horse Racing / List 16th Sep : 1m1f Hcap     16-Sep-11 14:45     16-Sep-11 14:49     -2.00
Horse Racing / Newb 16th Sep : 1m2f Hcap     16-Sep-11 14:35     16-Sep-11 14:38     -4.00
Horse Racing / Ling 16th Sep : 7f Mdn Stks     16-Sep-11 14:25     16-Sep-11 14:35     -2.00
Horse Racing / List 16th Sep : To Be Placed     16-Sep-11 14:15     16-Sep-11 14:20     1.90
Horse Racing / Ayr 16th Sep : 7f Mdn Stks     16-Sep-11 14:10     16-Sep-11 14:17     0.00
Horse Racing / Newb 16th Sep : 6f Mdn Stks     16-Sep-11 14:00     16-Sep-11 14:03     -24.00
Horse Racing / PrIsleD (US) 15th Sep : R7 6f Allw     16-Sep-11 01:00     16-Sep-11 01:06     5.21
Horse Racing / Louis (US) 15th Sep : R9 1m Claim     15-Sep-11 23:18     15-Sep-11 23:36     5.12


Soccer     Showing 1 - 3 of 3 markets
Market     Start time     Settled date     Profit/loss (€)
Soccer / Freiburg v Stuttgart : Over/Under 2.5 goals     16-Sep-11 19:45     16-Sep-11 21:28     0.00
Soccer / Gaziantepspor v Fenerbahce : Over/Under 3.5 Goals     16-Sep-11 18:00     16-Sep-11 19:40     6.08
Soccer / Birmingham v Braga : Correct Score     15-Sep-11 20:05     15-Sep-11 22:01     9.51

Very good results on US racing ... keep "waiting" for a HIT
Report acornel September 17, 2011 7:47 PM BST
well done DFC ... looks like you have very good results when not posting
Report DFCIRONMAN September 17, 2011 7:59 PM BST
Excellent post by LB on another thread ....a lot of sound points made......

===============================================================

LordBobbbin 15 Sep 11 17:17 
ND47's suggestion makes a lot of sense. I do US racing, and there're so many races coming along every few minutes that if you get the chasing mentality there, you can flush your account down the pan in double quick time.

So what I tend to do is to sit down every now and again and look over the races coming up in the next hour or two. If there are any ones that stick out, I make a note of them and come back later to check out the odds. Most, though, I just pass straight over.

If you're betting 'real-time', it's very easy to convince yourself that the race coming up in a couple of minutes contains a brilliant selection - even though, deep down, you know it's a marginal bet at best, and that you shouldn't be playing it if you want to make money in the long term. Somehow, a race coming up in half an hour seems ages away. And it's easy to convince yourself that the upcoming race is the best chance of making money you're going to have in the near future - even though there're probably much better options coming up later in the evening, if only you cast your net wider.

If you're looking over a whole bunch of races, you tend to quickly dismiss the ones that aren't up to scratch. What you're left with are a few very viable propositions spread over the course of an evening. You're picking selections on merit, and not because they're the best of the chances coming up in the next ten or fifteen minutes.


================================================================

Better go ...have to help with dishes CryCryCry


Cheers the nooooooooooooooo A
Report acornel September 17, 2011 10:28 PM BST
Horse Racing: €26.79 | Soccer: -€3.16  Total P&L:  €23.63

Horse Racing     Showing 1 - 20 of 44 markets
Market     Start time     Settled date     Profit/loss (€)
Horse Racing / Wolv 17th Sep : To Be Placed     17-Sep-11 21:20     17-Sep-11 21:25     1.90
Horse Racing / Wolv 17th Sep : 1m4f Hcap     17-Sep-11 21:20     17-Sep-11 21:23     12.30
Horse Racing / Wolv 17th Sep : To Be Placed     17-Sep-11 20:50     17-Sep-11 20:55     1.90
Horse Racing / Wolv 17th Sep : 1m Hcap     17-Sep-11 20:50     17-Sep-11 20:53     3.80
Horse Racing / Woodb (US) 17th Sep : R6 1m Grd3     17-Sep-11 20:32     17-Sep-11 20:42     5.42
Horse Racing / Wolv 17th Sep : To Be Placed     17-Sep-11 19:50     17-Sep-11 19:54     1.31
Horse Racing / Wolv 17th Sep : 7f Hcap     17-Sep-11 19:50     17-Sep-11 19:53     2.32
Horse Racing / Wolv 17th Sep : 6f Sell Stks     17-Sep-11 19:20     17-Sep-11 19:23     4.62
Horse Racing / Wolv 17th Sep : To Be Placed     17-Sep-11 18:50     17-Sep-11 18:55     -8.21
Horse Racing / Wolv 17th Sep : 6f Hcap     17-Sep-11 18:50     17-Sep-11 18:54     16.71
Horse Racing / Wolv 17th Sep : 5f Hcap     17-Sep-11 18:20     17-Sep-11 18:21     -2.00
Horse Racing / Ayr 17th Sep : 1m5f Hcap     17-Sep-11 17:35     17-Sep-11 17:38     8.12
Horse Racing / Catt 17th Sep : To Be Placed     17-Sep-11 17:30     17-Sep-11 17:34     3.80
Horse Racing / Newb 17th Sep : To Be Placed     17-Sep-11 17:25     17-Sep-11 17:30     -3.88
Horse Racing / Newb 17th Sep : 7f Hcap     17-Sep-11 17:25     17-Sep-11 17:28     1.90
Horse Racing / Newm 17th Sep : To Be Placed     17-Sep-11 17:15     17-Sep-11 17:22     1.90
Horse Racing / Ayr 17th Sep : 1m Hcap     17-Sep-11 17:00     17-Sep-11 17:02     -2.00
Horse Racing / Catt 17th Sep : To Be Placed     17-Sep-11 16:55     17-Sep-11 17:00     1.90
Horse Racing / Catt 17th Sep : 1m6f Hcap     17-Sep-11 16:55     17-Sep-11 17:00     1.90
Horse Racing / Newb 17th Sep : 6f Nursery     17-Sep-11 16:50     17-Sep-11 16:52     1.90
Horse Racing / Newm 17th Sep : 1m Hcap     17-Sep-11 16:40     17-Sep-11 16:46     1.90
Horse Racing / Newb 17th Sep : 7f Mdn Stks     17-Sep-11 16:15     17-Sep-11 16:19     -2.00
Horse Racing / Newm 17th Sep : To Be Placed     17-Sep-11 16:05     17-Sep-11 16:14     3.80
Horse Racing / Newm 17th Sep : 1m4f Hcap     17-Sep-11 16:05     17-Sep-11 16:13     15.22
Horse Racing / Catt 17th Sep : To Be Placed     17-Sep-11 15:45     17-Sep-11 15:50     1.90
Horse Racing / Catt 17th Sep : 1m4f Hcap     17-Sep-11 15:45     17-Sep-11 15:48     -2.00
Horse Racing / Catt 17th Sep : 7f Nursery     17-Sep-11 15:10     17-Sep-11 15:48     -2.00
Horse Racing / Newb 17th Sep : To Be Placed     17-Sep-11 15:40     17-Sep-11 15:45     1.90
Horse Racing / Newb 17th Sep : 5f Grp3     17-Sep-11 15:40     17-Sep-11 15:42     -2.00
Horse Racing / Ayr 17th Sep : To Be Placed     17-Sep-11 15:20     17-Sep-11 15:26     -6.00
Horse Racing / Ayr 17th Sep : 6f Hcap     17-Sep-11 15:20     17-Sep-11 15:23     -26.00
Horse Racing / Newm 17th Sep : To Be Placed     17-Sep-11 14:55     17-Sep-11 15:01     -2.40
Horse Racing / Newm 17th Sep : 7f Stks     17-Sep-11 14:55     17-Sep-11 14:59     -27.63
Horse Racing / Ayr 17th Sep : 6f Grp3     17-Sep-11 14:45     17-Sep-11 14:50     -2.00
Horse Racing / Catt 17th Sep : 1m6f Hcap     17-Sep-11 14:35     17-Sep-11 14:40     10.27
Horse Racing / Newm 17th Sep : 6f Stks     17-Sep-11 14:20     17-Sep-11 14:25     -6.00
Horse Racing / Ayr 17th Sep : To Be Placed     17-Sep-11 14:15     17-Sep-11 14:21     1.90
Horse Racing / Ayr 17th Sep : 6f Hcap     17-Sep-11 14:15     17-Sep-11 14:17     1.90
Horse Racing / Catt 17th Sep : 6f Mdn Stks     17-Sep-11 14:05     17-Sep-11 14:07     0.00
Horse Racing / Newm 17th Sep : 1m Mdn Stks     17-Sep-11 13:45     17-Sep-11 13:49     -2.00
Horse Racing / Ayr 17th Sep : To Be Placed     17-Sep-11 13:40     17-Sep-11 13:44     3.30
Horse Racing / Ayr 17th Sep : 1m Nursery     17-Sep-11 13:40     17-Sep-11 13:42     0.00
Horse Racing / Newb 17th Sep : 7f Mdn Stks     17-Sep-11 13:25     17-Sep-11 13:32     3.80
Horse Racing / Turfway (US) 16th Sep : R2 1m Claim     16-Sep-11 22:59     16-Sep-11 23:12     5.32

Soccer / Nacional v Pacos Ferreira : Over/Under 2.5 goals     17-Sep-11 19:15     17-Sep-11 21:07     7.15
Soccer / Brest v Montpellier : Correct Score     17-Sep-11 18:00     17-Sep-11 19:53     5.23
Soccer / Toulouse v Bordeaux : Correct Score     17-Sep-11 18:00     17-Sep-11 19:52     5.22
Soccer / Gijon v Valencia : Correct Score     17-Sep-11 17:00     17-Sep-11 18:55     -17.57
Soccer / Mallorca v Malaga : Correct Score     17-Sep-11 17:00     17-Sep-11 18:48     -18.12
Soccer / Cittadella v Vicenza : Correct Score     17-Sep-11 14:00     17-Sep-11 16:57     4.66
Soccer / Bolton v Norwich : Correct Score     17-Sep-11 15:00     17-Sep-11 16:54     4.77
Soccer / Wolves v QPR : Correct Score     17-Sep-11 15:00     17-Sep-11 16:53     4.77
Soccer / Hoffenheim v Wolfsburg : Correct Score     17-Sep-11 14:30     17-Sep-11 16:21     4.77
Soccer / Blackburn v Arsenal : Correct Score     17-Sep-11 12:45     17-Sep-11 14:14     4.66
Soccer / Gil Vicente v Olhanense : Over/Under 2.5 goals     16-Sep-11 20:15     16-Sep-11 22:09     -8.70

A good day on horses after a woeful start ... saved by few good BACK and US races.

On foot everything was perfect until the spanish team decided not to score 2nd halfSad
Report acornel September 18, 2011 7:17 PM BST
Another great weekend on horses (I'll post the results ASAP) ... can someone explain why my strategies perform very well during the weekends?
Report LordBobbbin September 18, 2011 7:43 PM BST
Funnily enough, I find my strategies work less well at the weekends - particularly on saturdays.  In my case there seem to be a lot of stakes races and the like, and I find it harder to determine the form on those. Horses which look as though they can be discounted often find a performance I couldn't predict from the form.      As far as I can tell, you're going on other factors (like the movements in odds, perhaps), which maybe have more significance with a saturday crowd.   Or it could be a coincidence, of course..
Report acornel September 19, 2011 8:39 AM BST
Horse Racing: €36.64 | Soccer: -€12.36 | Tote: |  Total P&L:  €24.28

Horse Racing     Showing 1 - 20 of 30 markets
Market     Start time     Settled date     Profit/loss (€)
Horse Racing / Woodb (US) 18th Sep : R8 1m4f Grd1     18-Sep-11 21:34     18-Sep-11 21:43     3.77
Horse Racing / Woodb (US) 18th Sep : R6 1m Claim     18-Sep-11 20:30     18-Sep-11 20:36     -31.97
Horse Racing / Woodb (US) 18th Sep : R5 1m1f Grd2     18-Sep-11 19:59     18-Sep-11 20:07     4.16
Horse Racing / Fairy 18th Sep : To Be Placed     18-Sep-11 17:15     18-Sep-11 17:21     1.90
Horse Racing / Fairy 18th Sep : 1m4f Hcap     18-Sep-11 17:15     18-Sep-11 17:21     -4.00
Horse Racing / Ham 18th Sep : 1m3f Hcap     18-Sep-11 17:10     18-Sep-11 17:14     1.90
Horse Racing / Fairy 18th Sep : To Be Placed     18-Sep-11 16:45     18-Sep-11 16:58     1.90
Horse Racing / Fairy 18th Sep : 1m2f Hcap     18-Sep-11 16:45     18-Sep-11 16:56     1.90
Horse Racing / Uttox 18th Sep : 2m Hcap Chs     18-Sep-11 16:50     18-Sep-11 16:54     -2.00
Horse Racing / Ham 18th Sep : To Be Placed     18-Sep-11 16:40     18-Sep-11 16:47     1.90
Horse Racing / Ham 18th Sep : 1m5f Hcap     18-Sep-11 16:40     18-Sep-11 16:44     -2.00
Horse Racing / Plump 18th Sep : 2m Hcap Hrd     18-Sep-11 16:30     18-Sep-11 16:34     9.51
Horse Racing / Fairy 18th Sep : To Be Placed     18-Sep-11 16:15     18-Sep-11 16:30     1.90
Horse Racing / Fairy 18th Sep : 1m2f Stks     18-Sep-11 16:15     18-Sep-11 16:30     4.52
Horse Racing / Fairy 18th Sep : To Be Placed     18-Sep-11 15:45     18-Sep-11 16:08     1.90
Horse Racing / Plump 18th Sep : 2m4f Hcap Chs     18-Sep-11 16:00     18-Sep-11 16:05     11.79
Horse Racing / Uttox 18th Sep : 2m5f Hcap Chs     18-Sep-11 15:50     18-Sep-11 15:55     -2.00
Horse Racing / Plump 18th Sep : To Be Placed     18-Sep-11 15:30     18-Sep-11 15:38     -3.00
Horse Racing / Plump 18th Sep : 2m Hcap Hrd     18-Sep-11 15:30     18-Sep-11 15:34     11.03
Horse Racing / Uttox 18th Sep : To Be Placed     18-Sep-11 15:20     18-Sep-11 15:30     1.90
Horse Racing / Uttox 18th Sep : 2m4f Nov Hrd     18-Sep-11 15:20     18-Sep-11 15:27     -2.00
Horse Racing / Plump 18th Sep : 3m2f Hcap Chs     18-Sep-11 15:00     18-Sep-11 15:07     9.89
Horse Racing / Ham 18th Sep : 1m Mdn Stks     18-Sep-11 14:40     18-Sep-11 14:43     1.90
Horse Racing / Plump 18th Sep : To Be Placed     18-Sep-11 14:30     18-Sep-11 14:40     1.90
Horse Racing / Plump 18th Sep : 2m Nov Hrd     18-Sep-11 14:30     18-Sep-11 14:36     -2.00
Horse Racing / Fairy 18th Sep : 6f Mdn     18-Sep-11 14:15     18-Sep-11 14:30     1.90
Horse Racing / Ham 18th Sep : To Be Placed     18-Sep-11 14:10     18-Sep-11 14:13     0.02
Horse Racing / Ham 18th Sep : 6f Nursery     18-Sep-11 14:10     18-Sep-11 14:12     6.82
Horse Racing / Plump 18th Sep : To Be Placed     18-Sep-11 14:00     18-Sep-11 14:07     1.90
Horse Racing / Woodb (US) 17th Sep : R9 1m Grd3     17-Sep-11 22:10     17-Sep-11 22:20     1.30

Soccer     Showing 1 - 19 of 19 markets
Market     Start time     Settled date     Profit/loss (€)
Soccer / Lyon v Marseille : Correct Score     18-Sep-11 20:00     18-Sep-11 21:53     -17.50
Soccer / Olympiakos v Xanthi : Over/Under 2.5 goals     18-Sep-11 18:30     18-Sep-11 20:20     0.00
Soccer / Newells v Velez : Correct Score     18-Sep-11 18:00     18-Sep-11 19:50     17.40
Soccer / Atl Madrid v Santander : Over/Under 3.5 Goals     18-Sep-11 17:00     18-Sep-11 18:37     -8.50
Soccer / Leiria v Maritimo : Correct Score     18-Sep-11 16:00     18-Sep-11 18:00     4.76
Soccer / Man Utd v Chelsea : Correct Score     18-Sep-11 16:00     18-Sep-11 17:56     4.76
Soccer / Utrecht v Heracles : Correct Score     18-Sep-11 15:30     18-Sep-11 17:24     4.66
Soccer / Sunderland v Stoke : Over/Under 4.5 Goals     18-Sep-11 15:00     18-Sep-11 16:55     -6.66
Soccer / Sunderland v Stoke : Correct Score     18-Sep-11 15:00     18-Sep-11 16:15     4.46
Soccer / Bologna v Lecce : Over/Under 2.5 goals     18-Sep-11 14:00     18-Sep-11 15:54     0.00
Soccer / Bologna v Lecce : Correct Score     18-Sep-11 14:00     18-Sep-11 15:53     4.35
Soccer / Gent v Anderlecht : Correct Score     18-Sep-11 13:30     18-Sep-11 15:26     -24.80
Soccer / Waalwijk v AZ Alkmaar : Correct Score     18-Sep-11 13:30     18-Sep-11 15:22     4.23
Soccer / Twente v ADO Den Haag : Correct Score     18-Sep-11 13:30     18-Sep-11 15:07     4.23
Soccer / Rangers v Celtic : Correct Score     18-Sep-11 12:30     18-Sep-11 14:22     4.75
Soccer / Rangers v Celtic : Over/Under 4.5 Goals     18-Sep-11 12:30     18-Sep-11 13:56     4.93
Soccer / PSV v Ajax : Correct Score     18-Sep-11 11:30     18-Sep-11 13:39     4.63
Soccer / Getafe v Rayo Vallecano : Correct Score     18-Sep-11 11:00     18-Sep-11 12:51     -16.56
Soccer / Sevilla v Sociedad : Correct Score     17-Sep-11 21:00     17-Sep-11 22:57     -1.50

Very good result on horses (+60 euros) until US races when the first HIT came in. This is "normal" as I already said that an US races hit is expected after ~25 winning bets in a row.

I would have a question regarding Kelly stakes for LAYers ... is someone using/experimenting it?
Report acornel September 19, 2011 4:51 PM BST
Second HIT on US races last night ... this one hurts more than the first one :-(
I start asking myself if it wouldn't be better to change the staking mgmt plan from Kelly to Fixed Liability.

Eg. I LAY odds between 5 and 15 with a bank of let's say 1000 euros and an edge of 8% ==> in case of Kelly/4 when I put my bet the backer stake corresponds to 2% of my bank = 20 euros ... it means that if I lose at odds of 4 I will lose 4 * 20 = 80 euros ... but if I lose at odds of 15 then I will lose 14*20 = 280 euros ... do you see the difference?
Report LordBobbbin September 19, 2011 5:09 PM BST
It's been quite a long time since I read about Kelly, but didn't the calculations for that partly rely on knowing what percentage of your bets were winners?

Personally I'd stick to fixed liability until you've had a good few weeks of sturdy betting with your system. Although I look forwards to being contradicted by somebody else who'll tell you why Kelly is exactly what you need to be going with...
Report acornel September 19, 2011 9:01 PM BST
Horse Racing: -€40.47 | Soccer: -€20.00  Total P&L:  -€60.47

Horse Racing     Showing 1 - 20 of 25 markets
Market     Start time     Settled date     Profit/loss (€)
Horse Racing / Ballin 19th Sep : To Be Placed     19-Sep-11 18:35     19-Sep-11 18:42     1.90
Horse Racing / Ballin 19th Sep : 2m Beg Chs     19-Sep-11 18:35     19-Sep-11 18:42     -2.00
Horse Racing / Leic 19th Sep : 7f Hcap     19-Sep-11 17:50     19-Sep-11 17:53     11.41
Horse Racing / Leic 19th Sep : 1m Hcap     19-Sep-11 17:20     19-Sep-11 17:23     0.00
Horse Racing / Ham 19th Sep : To Be Placed     19-Sep-11 17:10     19-Sep-11 17:14     -2.18
Horse Racing / Ballin 19th Sep : 2m4f Hcap Hrd     19-Sep-11 17:05     19-Sep-11 17:12     -6.00
Horse Racing / Kemp 19th Sep : To Be Placed     19-Sep-11 17:00     19-Sep-11 17:04     1.90
Horse Racing / Kemp 19th Sep : 1m Hcap     19-Sep-11 17:00     19-Sep-11 17:02     0.00
Horse Racing / Ballin 19th Sep : 2m4f Mdn Hrd     19-Sep-11 16:35     19-Sep-11 16:43     -4.00
Horse Racing / Leic 19th Sep : To Be Placed     19-Sep-11 16:20     19-Sep-11 16:23     1.90
Horse Racing / Leic 19th Sep : 1m2f Claim Stks     19-Sep-11 16:20     19-Sep-11 16:22     3.80
Horse Racing / Kemp 19th Sep : To Be Placed     19-Sep-11 16:00     19-Sep-11 16:03     -8.00
Horse Racing / Leic 19th Sep : To Be Placed     19-Sep-11 15:50     19-Sep-11 15:55     1.90
Horse Racing / Leic 19th Sep : 5f Hcap     19-Sep-11 15:50     19-Sep-11 15:54     11.79
Horse Racing / Kemp 19th Sep : 1m Mdn Stks     19-Sep-11 15:30     19-Sep-11 15:32     0.60
Horse Racing / Leic 19th Sep : 7f Sell Stks     19-Sep-11 15:20     19-Sep-11 15:23     -2.00
Horse Racing / Ham 19th Sep : To Be Placed     19-Sep-11 15:10     19-Sep-11 15:18     1.90
Horse Racing / Kemp 19th Sep : 7f Mdn Stks     19-Sep-11 15:00     19-Sep-11 15:04     1.90
Horse Racing / Leic 19th Sep : 6f Nursery     19-Sep-11 14:50     19-Sep-11 14:54     -2.00
Horse Racing / Ham 19th Sep : 6f Hcap     19-Sep-11 14:40     19-Sep-11 14:42     1.90
Horse Racing / Kemp 19th Sep : 7f Mdn Stks     19-Sep-11 14:30     19-Sep-11 14:34     -7.40
Horse Racing / Leic 19th Sep : 6f Nov Stks     19-Sep-11 14:20     19-Sep-11 14:22     1.90
Horse Racing / MountP (US) 18th Sep : R2 5f Claim     19-Sep-11 00:25     19-Sep-11 00:41     4.07
Horse Racing / Louis (US) 18th Sep : R10 1m Claim     18-Sep-11 23:44     19-Sep-11 00:03     5.09
Horse Racing / Emerald (US) 18th Sep : R4 6f 2yo     18-Sep-11 23:29     18-Sep-11 23:44     -58.85
Report LordBobbbin September 20, 2011 1:31 AM BST
Oh Acornel, on that Emerald race that you got stuffed on, I assume you were laying Brady's Kat? Be careful when it comes to laying horses that have only run once - particularly when that one race happens to have been a win.  On paper that lowly maiden shouldn't stack up here, but horses often improve second time out, and you have no real way of knowing what it is you're laying. Plus, since this was over a longer distance, you really had very little to go on. It's fine to lay those horses when they're short, but this one was in double figures. Always be wary of laying an unknown factor at high prices.
Report acornel September 20, 2011 11:07 PM BST
Indeed LB, I LAYed Brady's KAt in that race ...
I LAY horses even if the odds are in double figures ... but no more than a certain acceptable level :-)
Report acornel September 20, 2011 11:10 PM BST
Horse Racing: -€16.31 Total P&L:  -€16.31

Horse Racing     Showing 1 - 20 of 25 markets
Market     Start time     Settled date     Profit/loss (€)
Horse Racing / ZiaP (US) 20th Sep : R4 2f Claim     20-Sep-11 20:33     20-Sep-11 20:38     4.35
Horse Racing / FingL (US) 20th Sep : R1 6f Claim     20-Sep-11 18:10     20-Sep-11 18:18     4.27
Horse Racing / Bev 20th Sep : To Be Placed     20-Sep-11 17:30     20-Sep-11 17:36     -13.09
Horse Racing / Bev 20th Sep : 1m2f Hcap     20-Sep-11 17:30     20-Sep-11 17:33     8.30
Horse Racing / Newt 20th Sep : To Be Placed     20-Sep-11 17:10     20-Sep-11 17:18     1.90
Horse Racing / Newt 20th Sep : 2m6f Hcap Hrd     20-Sep-11 17:10     20-Sep-11 17:15     0.00
Horse Racing / Folk 20th Sep : 1m1f Mdn Stks     20-Sep-11 16:50     20-Sep-11 16:58     1.90
Horse Racing / Newt 20th Sep : To Be Placed     20-Sep-11 16:40     20-Sep-11 16:48     1.90
Horse Racing / Newt 20th Sep : 2m5f Hcap Chs     20-Sep-11 16:40     20-Sep-11 16:46     1.65
Horse Racing / Bev 20th Sep : To Be Placed     20-Sep-11 16:30     20-Sep-11 16:35     1.90
Horse Racing / Bev 20th Sep : 1m Hcap     20-Sep-11 16:30     20-Sep-11 16:33     -2.00
Horse Racing / Folk 20th Sep : To Be Placed     20-Sep-11 15:50     20-Sep-11 15:59     3.06
Horse Racing / Folk 20th Sep : 1m7f Hcap     20-Sep-11 15:50     20-Sep-11 15:55     -26.00
Horse Racing / Newt 20th Sep : To Be Placed     20-Sep-11 15:40     20-Sep-11 15:50     1.90
Horse Racing / Newt 20th Sep : 3m2f Hcap Chs     20-Sep-11 15:40     20-Sep-11 15:48     -2.65
Horse Racing / Bev 20th Sep : 5f Mdn Stks     20-Sep-11 15:30     20-Sep-11 15:32     -2.00
Horse Racing / Newt 20th Sep : 2m6f Nov Hrd     20-Sep-11 15:10     20-Sep-11 15:16     1.90
Horse Racing / Bev 20th Sep : 7f Hcap     20-Sep-11 15:00     20-Sep-11 15:03     -2.00
Horse Racing / Newt 20th Sep : To Be Placed     20-Sep-11 14:40     20-Sep-11 14:47     -3.54
Horse Racing / Newt 20th Sep : 2m Nov Chs     20-Sep-11 14:40     20-Sep-11 14:45     -7.40
Horse Racing / Bev 20th Sep : 7f Mdn Stks     20-Sep-11 14:30     20-Sep-11 14:36     1.90
Horse Racing / Folk 20th Sep : To Be Placed     20-Sep-11 14:20     20-Sep-11 14:24     3.80
Horse Racing / Newt 20th Sep : To Be Placed     20-Sep-11 14:10     20-Sep-11 14:18     -2.61
Horse Racing / MountP (US) 19th Sep : R4 1m Claim     20-Sep-11 01:15     20-Sep-11 01:23     4.18
Horse Racing / ZiaP (US) 19th Sep : R9 5f Claim     19-Sep-11 22:43     19-Sep-11 22:50     2.07

Today the BACK strategy did not help me to recover after one HIT. Also a double-loss in Place market about the end of the races destroyed my hopes to finish break-even.
Report acornel September 21, 2011 10:21 PM BST
Horse Racing: €44.53 | Soccer: €61.04  Total P&L:  €105.57

Horse Racing     Showing 1 - 20 of 39 markets
Market     Start time     Settled date     Profit/loss (€)
Horse Racing / Kemp 21st Sep : 6f Hcap     21-Sep-11 21:20     21-Sep-11 21:21     0.00
Horse Racing / Kemp 21st Sep : 6f Hcap     21-Sep-11 20:50     21-Sep-11 20:54     -1.60
Horse Racing / Kemp 21st Sep : To Be Placed     21-Sep-11 20:20     21-Sep-11 20:24     1.90
Horse Racing / Kemp 21st Sep : 7f Hcap     21-Sep-11 20:20     21-Sep-11 20:22     -2.00
Horse Racing / Kemp 21st Sep : To Be Placed     21-Sep-11 19:50     21-Sep-11 19:56     1.90
Horse Racing / Kemp 21st Sep : 1m4f Hcap     21-Sep-11 19:50     21-Sep-11 19:54     -2.00
Horse Racing / Kemp 21st Sep : To Be Placed     21-Sep-11 19:20     21-Sep-11 19:25     1.90
Horse Racing / Kemp 21st Sep : 1m2f Hcap     21-Sep-11 18:50     21-Sep-11 18:53     -2.00
Horse Racing / DownP 21st Sep : To Be Placed     21-Sep-11 18:35     21-Sep-11 18:43     1.90
Horse Racing / DownP 21st Sep : 2m2f INHF     21-Sep-11 18:35     21-Sep-11 18:43     -4.00
Horse Racing / DownP 21st Sep : To Be Placed     21-Sep-11 18:05     21-Sep-11 18:15     -0.98
Horse Racing / DownP 21st Sep : 2m7f Hcap Chs     21-Sep-11 18:05     21-Sep-11 18:15     1.90
Horse Racing / Redc 21st Sep : To Be Placed     21-Sep-11 18:10     21-Sep-11 18:14     1.90
Horse Racing / Redc 21st Sep : 6f Hcap     21-Sep-11 18:10     21-Sep-11 18:13     10.27
Horse Racing / DownP 21st Sep : To Be Placed     21-Sep-11 17:35     21-Sep-11 17:46     1.90
Horse Racing / DownP 21st Sep : 2m7f Beg Chs     21-Sep-11 17:35     21-Sep-11 17:44     -2.00
Horse Racing / Redc 21st Sep : 5f Hcap     21-Sep-11 17:40     21-Sep-11 17:44     0.00
Horse Racing / Perth 21st Sep : To Be Placed     21-Sep-11 17:20     21-Sep-11 17:32     1.90
Horse Racing / Good 21st Sep : 5f Hcap     21-Sep-11 17:30     21-Sep-11 17:31     1.90
Horse Racing / Perth 21st Sep : 3m Hcap Hrd     21-Sep-11 17:20     21-Sep-11 17:26     -2.00
Market     Start time     Settled date     Profit/loss (€)
Horse Racing / DownP 21st Sep : To Be Placed     21-Sep-11 17:05     21-Sep-11 17:12     -4.31
Horse Racing / DownP 21st Sep : 2m2f Beg Chs     21-Sep-11 17:05     21-Sep-11 17:12     -4.00
Horse Racing / Perth 21st Sep : To Be Placed     21-Sep-11 16:45     21-Sep-11 16:52     -3.20
Horse Racing / Perth 21st Sep : 3m Hcap Chs     21-Sep-11 16:45     21-Sep-11 16:52     4.26
Horse Racing / Redc 21st Sep : To Be Placed     21-Sep-11 16:35     21-Sep-11 16:43     5.16
Horse Racing / DownP 21st Sep : 2m7f Mdn Hrd     21-Sep-11 16:30     21-Sep-11 16:41     3.80
Horse Racing / Redc 21st Sep : 1m2f Hcap     21-Sep-11 16:35     21-Sep-11 16:39     3.80
Horse Racing / Good 21st Sep : To Be Placed     21-Sep-11 16:20     21-Sep-11 16:25     3.80
Horse Racing / Good 21st Sep : 1m3f Hcap     21-Sep-11 16:20     21-Sep-11 16:23     0.00
Horse Racing / Perth 21st Sep : 2m Juv Hrd     21-Sep-11 16:10     21-Sep-11 16:15     1.90
Horse Racing / DownP 21st Sep : To Be Placed     21-Sep-11 16:00     21-Sep-11 16:06     5.06
Horse Racing / DownP 21st Sep : 2m2f Hcap Hrd     21-Sep-11 16:00     21-Sep-11 16:06     10.65
Horse Racing / Good 21st Sep : 1m2f Listed     21-Sep-11 15:45     21-Sep-11 15:48     1.90
Horse Racing / Good 21st Sep : 6f Hcap     21-Sep-11 15:10     21-Sep-11 15:15     -2.00
Horse Racing / Perth 21st Sep : To Be Placed     21-Sep-11 15:00     21-Sep-11 15:08     3.80
Horse Racing / Redc 21st Sep : To Be Placed     21-Sep-11 14:50     21-Sep-11 14:56     1.90
Horse Racing / Good 21st Sep : 1m1f Mdn Stks     21-Sep-11 14:35     21-Sep-11 14:38     1.90
Horse Racing / Redc 21st Sep : 7f Mdn Stks     21-Sep-11 14:15     21-Sep-11 14:19     -4.00
Horse Racing / ZiaP (US) 20th Sep : R8 1m Claim     20-Sep-11 22:17     20-Sep-11 22:22     3.32


Solid result on horses today. No important HIT, almost all strategies performed well including the BACK one.

As I have the "infrastructure" for automatic betting on horses I am trying to get more info about greyhound races (history, odds, ...). There are many similarities from technical point of view between the two sports so it should not be difficult at all to start few strategies on greyhounds as well.
Report acornel September 22, 2011 9:29 PM BST
Greyhound Racing: -€4.62 | Horse Racing: -€11.21 | Soccer: €17.32  Total P&L:  €1.49

Horse Racing     Showing 1 - 20 of 30 markets
Market     Start time     Settled date     Profit/loss (€)
Horse Racing / Wolv 22nd Sep : To Be Placed     22-Sep-11 21:00     22-Sep-11 21:04     -1.35
Horse Racing / Wolv 22nd Sep : To Be Placed     22-Sep-11 20:00     22-Sep-11 20:05     3.62
Horse Racing / Wolv 22nd Sep : 1m Hcap     22-Sep-11 20:00     22-Sep-11 20:05     -2.00
Horse Racing / Wolv 22nd Sep : 6f Hcap     22-Sep-11 19:00     22-Sep-11 19:02     -2.00
Horse Racing / Wolv 22nd Sep : 6f Hcap     22-Sep-11 18:30     22-Sep-11 18:33     -7.20
Horse Racing / Perth 22nd Sep : To Be Placed     22-Sep-11 17:50     22-Sep-11 17:55     1.90
Horse Racing / Newm 22nd Sep : 1m Hcap     22-Sep-11 17:40     22-Sep-11 17:44     -6.80
Horse Racing / Fairy 22nd Sep : 2m4f Hcap Hrd     22-Sep-11 17:35     22-Sep-11 17:42     -6.80
Horse Racing / Ponte 22nd Sep : To Be Placed     22-Sep-11 17:25     22-Sep-11 17:29     1.90
Horse Racing / Ponte 22nd Sep : 1m4f Hcap     22-Sep-11 17:25     22-Sep-11 17:28     -7.40
Horse Racing / Perth 22nd Sep : 2m4f Hcap Chs     22-Sep-11 17:15     22-Sep-11 17:21     0.00
Horse Racing / Newm 22nd Sep : 6f Hcap     22-Sep-11 17:05     22-Sep-11 17:07     -4.00
Horse Racing / Ponte 22nd Sep : 1m Mdn Stks     22-Sep-11 16:50     22-Sep-11 16:52     -7.40
Horse Racing / Perth 22nd Sep : 2m Hcap Hrd     22-Sep-11 16:40     22-Sep-11 16:45     10.27
Horse Racing / Fairy 22nd Sep : 2m4f Nov Hrd     22-Sep-11 16:25     22-Sep-11 16:31     1.90
Horse Racing / Ponte 22nd Sep : To Be Placed     22-Sep-11 16:15     22-Sep-11 16:20     1.90
Horse Racing / Ponte 22nd Sep : 1m2f Hcap     22-Sep-11 16:15     22-Sep-11 16:18     -9.20
Horse Racing / Perth 22nd Sep : 2m4f Hcap Hrd     22-Sep-11 16:05     22-Sep-11 16:12     11.79
Horse Racing / Newm 22nd Sep : 7f Grp3     22-Sep-11 15:55     22-Sep-11 15:57     -2.00
Horse Racing / Fairy 22nd Sep : 2m Hrd     22-Sep-11 15:50     22-Sep-11 15:56     1.90
Horse Racing / Ponte 22nd Sep : To Be Placed     22-Sep-11 15:40     22-Sep-11 15:42     3.27
Horse Racing / Ponte 22nd Sep : 5f Hcap     22-Sep-11 15:40     22-Sep-11 15:41     -2.00
Horse Racing / Newm 22nd Sep : 1m4f Listed     22-Sep-11 15:20     22-Sep-11 15:24     -4.20
Horse Racing / Ponte 22nd Sep : 1m Nursery     22-Sep-11 15:05     22-Sep-11 15:08     1.90
Horse Racing / Perth 22nd Sep : To Be Placed     22-Sep-11 14:55     22-Sep-11 15:02     -8.58
Horse Racing / Ponte 22nd Sep : 6f Mdn Stks     22-Sep-11 14:30     22-Sep-11 14:32     3.80
Horse Racing / Newm 22nd Sep : 1m Mdn Stks     22-Sep-11 14:10     22-Sep-11 14:18     1.90
Horse Racing / Albu (US) 21st Sep : R5 6f Claim     21-Sep-11 23:02     21-Sep-11 23:06     4.67
Horse Racing / PrIsleD (US) 21st Sep : R1 5f Claim     21-Sep-11 22:30     21-Sep-11 22:40     4.50
Horse Racing / Belmont (US) 21st Sep : R9 6f Claim     21-Sep-11 22:15     21-Sep-11 22:27     4.50


Break-even today ... but on horses I lost about 25 euros on UK races mostly because of my LAYing low odds in WIN market strategy ... you will see that in the last 6-7 races of the day the faves won almost every time!
Report coolhand September 22, 2011 9:40 PM BST
Acornel,
WD yesterday, sorry about my comment the other day about research, id had a frustrating day where id spent too long on the forum instead of doing work and the rage rose.

All the best
Coolhand Cool
Report acornel September 23, 2011 1:13 PM BST
Added few new strategies on US races and greyhound races ... this might be dodgy because I don't have enough history information in order to define/verify my newly added strategies ... but I think it worth a try.

On US races, contrary as what Lord Bobbbin suggested the other day, I am BACKing low odds in Place market Devil. Last night the result was poor mostly because I did some mistakes re the stake management plan but we will see how this strategy will perform in a long run.
Report acornel September 23, 2011 9:46 PM BST
Greyhound Racing: €26.47 | Horse Racing: -€46.78 | Soccer: -€13.45  Total P&L:  -€33.76

Horse Racing     Showing 1 - 20 of 60 markets
Market     Start time     Settled date     Profit/loss (€)
Horse Racing / Dund 23rd Sep : To Be Placed     23-Sep-11 20:30     23-Sep-11 20:53     3.80
Horse Racing / Wolv 23rd Sep : To Be Placed     23-Sep-11 20:45     23-Sep-11 20:49     -1.21
Horse Racing / Wolv 23rd Sep : 1m1f Hcap     23-Sep-11 20:45     23-Sep-11 20:48     9.51
Horse Racing / FingL (US) 23rd Sep : To Be Placed     23-Sep-11 20:17     23-Sep-11 20:47     3.30
Horse Racing / Dund 23rd Sep : 1m4f Hcap     23-Sep-11 20:30     23-Sep-11 20:41     5.71
Horse Racing / Louis (US) 23rd Sep : To Be Placed     23-Sep-11 20:25     23-Sep-11 20:35     4.42
Horse Racing / FingL (US) 23rd Sep : To Be Placed     23-Sep-11 19:50     23-Sep-11 20:34     -3.70
Horse Racing / Wolv 23rd Sep : To Be Placed     23-Sep-11 20:15     23-Sep-11 20:19     1.90
Horse Racing / Wolv 23rd Sep : 1m Hcap     23-Sep-11 20:15     23-Sep-11 20:17     5.62
Horse Racing / Dund 23rd Sep : To Be Placed     23-Sep-11 20:00     23-Sep-11 20:11     -8.28
Horse Racing / Dund 23rd Sep : 1m Hcap     23-Sep-11 20:00     23-Sep-11 20:10     -30.60
Horse Racing / Louis (US) 23rd Sep : To Be Placed     23-Sep-11 19:55     23-Sep-11 20:03     4.32
Horse Racing / Wolv 23rd Sep : To Be Placed     23-Sep-11 19:45     23-Sep-11 19:49     1.90
Horse Racing / Wolv 23rd Sep : 1m Hcap     23-Sep-11 19:45     23-Sep-11 19:47     2.66
Horse Racing / Dund 23rd Sep : To Be Placed     23-Sep-11 19:30     23-Sep-11 19:44     1.90
Horse Racing / Dund 23rd Sep : 1m Hcap     23-Sep-11 19:30     23-Sep-11 19:42     -4.00
Horse Racing / Wolv 23rd Sep : 7f Mdn Stks     23-Sep-11 19:15     23-Sep-11 19:17     -4.60
Horse Racing / Wolv 23rd Sep : 7f Mdn Stks     23-Sep-11 18:45     23-Sep-11 18:48     -2.00
Horse Racing / Wolv 23rd Sep : To Be Placed     23-Sep-11 18:15     23-Sep-11 18:21     1.90
Horse Racing / Dund 23rd Sep : To Be Placed     23-Sep-11 18:00     23-Sep-11 18:08     1.90
Horse Racing / FingL (US) 23rd Sep : To Be Placed     23-Sep-11 17:35     23-Sep-11 17:43     4.26
Horse Racing / Newm 23rd Sep : 1m2f Hcap     23-Sep-11 17:20     23-Sep-11 17:22     -2.20
Horse Racing / Wolv 23rd Sep : To Be Placed     23-Sep-11 17:15     23-Sep-11 17:19     3.36
Horse Racing / Wolv 23rd Sep : 6f Hcap     23-Sep-11 17:15     23-Sep-11 17:17     9.89
Horse Racing / Worc 23rd Sep : To Be Placed     23-Sep-11 17:05     23-Sep-11 17:10     -5.62
Horse Racing / Hayd 23rd Sep : To Be Placed     23-Sep-11 16:55     23-Sep-11 17:01     -5.01
Horse Racing / Hayd 23rd Sep : 1m2f Hcap     23-Sep-11 16:55     23-Sep-11 16:58     -4.00
Horse Racing / List 23rd Sep : To Be Placed     23-Sep-11 16:50     23-Sep-11 16:57     -2.60
Horse Racing / List 23rd Sep : 2m INHF     23-Sep-11 16:50     23-Sep-11 16:57     14.40
Horse Racing / Worc 23rd Sep : 2m Hcap Chs     23-Sep-11 16:30     23-Sep-11 16:34     -6.20
Horse Racing / Hayd 23rd Sep : 1m6f Hcap     23-Sep-11 16:20     23-Sep-11 16:24     -2.00
Horse Racing / Worc 23rd Sep : To Be Placed     23-Sep-11 15:55     23-Sep-11 16:02     -8.40
Horse Racing / Worc 23rd Sep : 3m Hcap Hrd     23-Sep-11 15:55     23-Sep-11 16:01     7.16
Horse Racing / List 23rd Sep : To Be Placed     23-Sep-11 15:40     23-Sep-11 15:48     -7.73
Horse Racing / Worc 23rd Sep : To Be Placed     23-Sep-11 15:20     23-Sep-11 15:43     1.90
Horse Racing / Newm 23rd Sep : 7f Mdn Stks     23-Sep-11 15:35     23-Sep-11 15:38     -4.00
Horse Racing / Newm 23rd Sep : 1m Grp1     23-Sep-11 15:00     23-Sep-11 15:04     1.90
Horse Racing / Worc 23rd Sep : To Be Placed     23-Sep-11 14:45     23-Sep-11 14:50     3.46
Horse Racing / Worc 23rd Sep : 2m Hcap Hrd     23-Sep-11 14:45     23-Sep-11 14:49     -2.00
Horse Racing / Hayd 23rd Sep : To Be Placed     23-Sep-11 14:35     23-Sep-11 14:43     3.46
Horse Racing / Newm 23rd Sep : To Be Placed     23-Sep-11 14:25     23-Sep-11 14:30     1.90
Horse Racing / Worc 23rd Sep : 2m4f Mdn Hrd     23-Sep-11 14:15     23-Sep-11 14:22     -4.00
Horse Racing / List 23rd Sep : 2m Mdn Hrd     23-Sep-11 14:00     23-Sep-11 14:06     1.90
Horse Racing / Newm 23rd Sep : 1m Listed     23-Sep-11 13:50     23-Sep-11 13:54     -2.00
Horse Racing / Worc 23rd Sep : To Be Placed     23-Sep-11 13:40     23-Sep-11 13:48     -8.67
Horse Racing / Newm 23rd Sep : 7f Grp3     23-Sep-11 13:15     23-Sep-11 13:18     8.37
Horse Racing / RemmP (US) 22nd Sep : R4 1m Claim     23-Sep-11 01:54     23-Sep-11 02:03     4.35
Horse Racing / Turfway (US) 22nd Sep : To Be Placed     23-Sep-11 01:24     23-Sep-11 01:39     2.63
Horse Racing / CharlT (US) 22nd Sep : To Be Placed     23-Sep-11 01:07     23-Sep-11 01:19     -4.47
Horse Racing / CharlT (US) 22nd Sep : To Be Placed     23-Sep-11 00:41     23-Sep-11 00:50     -3.65
Horse Racing / PrIsleD (US) 22nd Sep : To Be Placed     23-Sep-11 00:35     23-Sep-11 00:49     -3.78
Horse Racing / PrIsleD (US) 22nd Sep : R6 1m Allw     23-Sep-11 00:35     23-Sep-11 00:48     4.26
Horse Racing / RemmP (US) 22nd Sep : To Be Placed     23-Sep-11 00:30     23-Sep-11 00:41     5.63
Horse Racing / PrIsleD (US) 22nd Sep : To Be Placed     23-Sep-11 00:10     23-Sep-11 00:22     1.14
Horse Racing / Albu (US) 22nd Sep : To Be Placed     23-Sep-11 00:11     23-Sep-11 00:17     -4.11
Horse Racing / Turfway (US) 22nd Sep : To Be Placed     22-Sep-11 23:57     23-Sep-11 00:06     -0.60
Horse Racing / Louis (US) 22nd Sep : To Be Placed     22-Sep-11 23:44     23-Sep-11 00:04     -15.01
... overstake - mistake
Horse Racing / PrIsleD (US) 22nd Sep : To Be Placed     22-Sep-11 23:20     22-Sep-11 23:37     5.36
Horse Racing / Albu (US) 22nd Sep : To Be Placed     22-Sep-11 23:25     22-Sep-11 23:29     -4.51
Horse Racing / Turfway (US) 22nd Sep : R1 5f Claim     22-Sep-11 22:30     22-Sep-11 22:41     -26.00


Good day on greyhound races, poor on US races (a HIT and a mistake) and one HIT on UK races.
Some strategies almost lost their allocated bank so they will end soon ... some other are performing quite well (the best one almost doubled its bank).
Report acornel September 23, 2011 9:47 PM BST
Greyhound Racing     Showing 1 - 10 of 10 markets
Market     Start time     Settled date     Profit/loss (€)
Greyhound Racing / Sheff 23rd Sep : To Be Placed     23-Sep-11 20:43     23-Sep-11 20:45     4.01
Greyhound Racing / Sheff 23rd Sep : To Be Placed     23-Sep-11 19:58     23-Sep-11 20:00     1.93
Greyhound Racing / Nott 23rd Sep : To Be Placed     23-Sep-11 19:52     23-Sep-11 19:55     1.93
Greyhound Racing / Nott 23rd Sep : A3 500m     23-Sep-11 18:48     23-Sep-11 18:51     2.89
Greyhound Racing / Swin 23rd Sep : S2 685m     23-Sep-11 16:08     23-Sep-11 16:10     2.85
Greyhound Racing / Monm 23rd Sep : To Be Placed     23-Sep-11 15:58     23-Sep-11 16:00     1.90
Greyhound Racing / Hove 23rd Sep : A11 515m     23-Sep-11 13:44     23-Sep-11 13:49     2.81
Greyhound Racing / Hove 23rd Sep : A6 515m     23-Sep-11 13:12     23-Sep-11 13:14     2.73
Greyhound Racing / Hove 23rd Sep : A4 515m     23-Sep-11 12:58     23-Sep-11 13:02     2.73
Greyhound Racing / Hove 23rd Sep : A8 515m     23-Sep-11 12:42     23-Sep-11 12:44     2.69

Only winners ... for sure it is a coincidence.Devil
Report acornel September 24, 2011 9:17 PM BST
Greyhound Racing: €7.99 | Horse Racing: €4.30 | Soccer: -€0.57  Total P&L:  €11.72

Horse Racing     Showing 1 - 20 of 63 markets
Market     Start time     Settled date     Profit/loss (€)
Horse Racing / Wolv 24th Sep : To Be Placed     24-Sep-11 20:50     24-Sep-11 20:59     1.99
Horse Racing / Wolv 24th Sep : 1m1f Hcap     24-Sep-11 20:50     24-Sep-11 20:52     1.90
Horse Racing / Monm (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed     24-Sep-11 20:25     24-Sep-11 20:37     -3.55
Horse Racing / Wolv 24th Sep : To Be Placed     24-Sep-11 20:20     24-Sep-11 20:25     3.30
Horse Racing / Woodb (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed     24-Sep-11 20:00     24-Sep-11 20:23     3.49
Horse Racing / Parx (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed     24-Sep-11 19:44     24-Sep-11 19:55     3.48
Horse Racing / Wolv 24th Sep : To Be Placed     24-Sep-11 19:50     24-Sep-11 19:55     -3.60
Horse Racing / Wolv 24th Sep : 1m Hcap     24-Sep-11 19:50     24-Sep-11 19:54     1.90
Horse Racing / Belmont (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed     24-Sep-11 19:36     24-Sep-11 19:49     -2.15
Horse Racing / Wolv 24th Sep : 7f Hcap     24-Sep-11 19:20     24-Sep-11 19:24     -2.00
Horse Racing / Parx (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed     24-Sep-11 19:08     24-Sep-11 19:18     -4.27
Horse Racing / Belmont (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed     24-Sep-11 19:04     24-Sep-11 19:16     -2.36
Horse Racing / Woodb (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed     24-Sep-11 18:57     24-Sep-11 19:05     -2.00
Horse Racing / Monm (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed     24-Sep-11 18:52     24-Sep-11 19:02     -5.73
Horse Racing / Turfway (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed     24-Sep-11 18:40     24-Sep-11 18:49     -2.00
Horse Racing / Woodb (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed     24-Sep-11 18:28     24-Sep-11 18:37     3.78
Horse Racing / Wolv 24th Sep : To Be Placed     24-Sep-11 18:20     24-Sep-11 18:23     3.23
Horse Racing / Chest 24th Sep : 1m5f Hcap     24-Sep-11 17:55     24-Sep-11 17:59     0.00
Horse Racing / Wolv 24th Sep : 5f Claim Stks     24-Sep-11 17:50     24-Sep-11 17:53     -9.00
Horse Racing / Parx (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed     24-Sep-11 17:33     24-Sep-11 17:43     3.68
Horse Racing / Navan 24th Sep : To Be Placed     24-Sep-11 17:30     24-Sep-11 17:36     3.80
Horse Racing / Navan 24th Sep : 2m INHF     24-Sep-11 17:30     24-Sep-11 17:36     1.90
Horse Racing / Ripon 24th Sep : 1m4f Mdn Stks     24-Sep-11 17:25     24-Sep-11 17:29     9.89
Horse Racing / Chest 24th Sep : To Be Placed     24-Sep-11 17:20     24-Sep-11 17:26     1.90
Horse Racing / Chest 24th Sep : 6f Hcap     24-Sep-11 17:20     24-Sep-11 17:22     12.17
Horse Racing / GowP 24th Sep : 1m Mdn     24-Sep-11 17:15     24-Sep-11 17:20     -6.67
Horse Racing / MrktR 24th Sep : To Be Placed     24-Sep-11 17:10     24-Sep-11 17:17     -8.00
Horse Racing / MrktR 24th Sep : 2m1f NHF     24-Sep-11 17:10     24-Sep-11 17:14     -2.00
Horse Racing / Newm 24th Sep : 7f Hcap     24-Sep-11 17:00     24-Sep-11 17:05     -2.00
Horse Racing / Hayd 24th Sep : To Be Placed     24-Sep-11 16:30     24-Sep-11 16:38     3.18
Horse Racing / GowP 24th Sep : 1m Nursery     24-Sep-11 16:05     24-Sep-11 16:11     1.90
Horse Racing / Hayd 24th Sep : To Be Placed     24-Sep-11 15:55     24-Sep-11 16:02     1.90
Horse Racing / GowP 24th Sep : To Be Placed     24-Sep-11 15:30     24-Sep-11 15:36     -4.20
Horse Racing / GowP 24th Sep : 1m1f Grp3     24-Sep-11 15:30     24-Sep-11 15:36     3.85
Horse Racing / Ripon 24th Sep : To Be Placed     24-Sep-11 15:15     24-Sep-11 15:20     1.90
Horse Racing / Newm 24th Sep : To Be Placed     24-Sep-11 15:10     24-Sep-11 15:14     -6.00
Horse Racing / Chest 24th Sep : To Be Placed     24-Sep-11 15:00     24-Sep-11 15:07     1.90
Horse Racing / Chest 24th Sep : 5f Nursery     24-Sep-11 15:00     24-Sep-11 15:05     9.51
Horse Racing / GowP 24th Sep : To Be Placed     24-Sep-11 14:55     24-Sep-11 15:04     1.90
Horse Racing / GowP 24th Sep : 1m1f Hcap     24-Sep-11 14:55     24-Sep-11 15:03     1.90
Horse Racing / Hayd 24th Sep : To Be Placed     24-Sep-11 14:45     24-Sep-11 14:54     1.90
Horse Racing / MrktR 24th Sep : 2m1f Hcap Hrd     24-Sep-11 14:20     24-Sep-11 14:27     7.54
Horse Racing / Hayd 24th Sep : 1m2f Hcap     24-Sep-11 14:15     24-Sep-11 14:19     3.74
Horse Racing / Ripon 24th Sep : 6f Sell Stks     24-Sep-11 14:10     24-Sep-11 14:14     -2.00
Horse Racing / Newm 24th Sep : 1m Grp2     24-Sep-11 14:05     24-Sep-11 14:07     -6.40
Horse Racing / MrktR 24th Sep : 2m3f Hcap Hrd     24-Sep-11 13:50     24-Sep-11 13:57     -2.00
Horse Racing / Hayd 24th Sep : 1m Mdn Stks     24-Sep-11 13:40     24-Sep-11 13:46     -2.00
Horse Racing / Turfway (US) 23rd Sep : To Be Placed     24-Sep-11 02:51     24-Sep-11 02:59     -6.97
Horse Racing / RemmP (US) 23rd Sep : To Be Placed     24-Sep-11 02:50     24-Sep-11 02:59     -2.09
Horse Racing / CharlT (US) 23rd Sep : To Be Placed     24-Sep-11 02:00     24-Sep-11 02:11     -2.10
Horse Racing / Turfway (US) 23rd Sep : To Be Placed     24-Sep-11 01:24     24-Sep-11 01:37     0.38
Horse Racing / CharlT (US) 23rd Sep : To Be Placed     24-Sep-11 00:41     24-Sep-11 00:50     -2.95
Horse Racing / PrIsleD (US) 23rd Sep : To Be Placed     24-Sep-11 00:35     24-Sep-11 00:41     -3.09
Horse Racing / MountP (US) 23rd Sep : To Be Placed     24-Sep-11 00:25     24-Sep-11 00:34     -2.86
Horse Racing / CharlT (US) 23rd Sep : To Be Placed     24-Sep-11 00:15     24-Sep-11 00:22     -3.23
Horse Racing / Turfway (US) 23rd Sep : R4 6f Allw     23-Sep-11 23:57     24-Sep-11 00:05     4.42
Horse Racing / Penn (US) 23rd Sep : To Be Placed     23-Sep-11 23:49     24-Sep-11 00:04     1.64
Horse Racing / PrIsleD (US) 23rd Sep : To Be Placed     23-Sep-11 23:20     23-Sep-11 23:25     4.01
Horse Racing / Woodb (US) 23rd Sep : To Be Placed     23-Sep-11 23:04     23-Sep-11 23:13     4.19
Horse Racing / Turfway (US) 23rd Sep : To Be Placed     23-Sep-11 22:59     23-Sep-11 23:07     -5.38
Horse Racing / PrIsleD (US) 23rd Sep : To Be Placed     23-Sep-11 22:55     23-Sep-11 23:04     -2.29
Horse Racing / Woodb (US) 23rd Sep : To Be Placed     23-Sep-11 22:34     23-Sep-11 22:41     -2.23
Horse Racing / Louis (US) 23rd Sep : To Be Placed     23-Sep-11 21:54     23-Sep-11 22:08     3.25

Almost break even today ... 3 more winning bets on greyhound races ... no HIT on horses but many small winnings/losses. The number of bets on US races increased but the BACKing strategy in PLACE market lost a considerably amount.
Report acornel September 24, 2011 9:20 PM BST
Soccer / Oud-Heverlee Leuven v Genk : Correct Score     24-Sep-11 19:00     24-Sep-11 20:57     4.75
Soccer / ADO Den Haag v VVV : Correct Score     24-Sep-11 18:45     24-Sep-11 20:42     -41.01
Soccer / Valenciennes v Marseille : Correct Score     24-Sep-11 18:00     24-Sep-11 20:10     4.44
Soccer / Nice v Dijon : Correct Score     24-Sep-11 18:00     24-Sep-11 19:57     4.44
Soccer / Lyon v Bordeaux : Correct Score     24-Sep-11 18:00     24-Sep-11 19:51     4.44
Soccer / Lyon v Bordeaux : Over/Under 3.5 Goals     24-Sep-11 18:00     24-Sep-11 19:45     9.52
Soccer / B Munich v Leverkusen : Correct Score     24-Sep-11 17:30     24-Sep-11 19:23     4.44
Soccer / Bologna v Inter : Correct Score     24-Sep-11 17:00     24-Sep-11 19:01     4.21
Soccer / Barcelona B v Rec de Huelva : Correct Score     24-Sep-11 17:00     24-Sep-11 18:50     4.21
Soccer / KV Mechelen v Lokeren : Over/Under 1.5 Goals     24-Sep-11 17:00     24-Sep-11 18:46     4.75
Soccer / Bologna v Inter : Over/Under 2.5 goals     24-Sep-11 17:00     24-Sep-11 18:44     3.14
Soccer / Girona v Las Palmas : Correct Score     24-Sep-11 17:00     24-Sep-11 18:39     4.21
Soccer / St Mirren v Kilmarnock : Correct Score     24-Sep-11 15:00     24-Sep-11 16:55     4.73
Soccer / Wigan v Tottenham : Correct Score     24-Sep-11 15:00     24-Sep-11 16:54     4.73
Soccer / Celtic v Inverness CT : Correct Score     24-Sep-11 15:00     24-Sep-11 16:51     -31.12
Soccer / Nocerina v Torino : Over/Under 1.5 Goals     24-Sep-11 14:00     24-Sep-11 15:22     4.70
Soccer / Albinoleffe v Sampdoria : Over/Under 1.5 Goals     24-Sep-11 14:00     24-Sep-11 15:08     4.85

Celtic and ADO Den Haag disappointed me ... it could have been a good day (lucky also ... I won 3 bets at the last second of the game) if at least one of these two teams had scored one more goal.
Report acornel September 25, 2011 7:50 PM BST
Greyhound Racing: €11.89 | Horse Racing: -€38.61 Total P&L:  -€26.72

Horse Racing     Showing 1 - 20 of 48 markets
Market     Start time     Settled date     Profit/loss (€)
Horse Racing / Turfway (US) 25th Sep : To Be Placed     25-Sep-11 18:39     25-Sep-11 18:50     3.79
Horse Racing / Turfway (US) 25th Sep : To Be Placed     25-Sep-11 18:10     25-Sep-11 18:21     3.69
Horse Racing / Muss 25th Sep : 5f Hcap     25-Sep-11 18:00     25-Sep-11 18:05     -4.00
Horse Racing / Parx (US) 25th Sep : To Be Placed     25-Sep-11 17:46     25-Sep-11 17:59     3.43
Horse Racing / Curr 25th Sep : To Be Placed     25-Sep-11 17:25     25-Sep-11 17:39     -7.89
Horse Racing / Curr 25th Sep : 1m2f Mdn     25-Sep-11 17:25     25-Sep-11 17:38     2.28
Horse Racing / Clon 25th Sep : To Be Placed     25-Sep-11 17:05     25-Sep-11 17:17     -4.60
Horse Racing / Muss 25th Sep : To Be Placed     25-Sep-11 17:00     25-Sep-11 17:05     1.90
Horse Racing / Muss 25th Sep : 5f Nursery     25-Sep-11 17:00     25-Sep-11 17:04     1.90
Horse Racing / Curr 25th Sep : To Be Placed     25-Sep-11 16:55     25-Sep-11 17:04     1.90
Horse Racing / Epsm 25th Sep : 1m2f Mdn Stks     25-Sep-11 16:45     25-Sep-11 16:53     1.90
Horse Racing / Clon 25th Sep : To Be Placed     25-Sep-11 16:35     25-Sep-11 16:44     1.90
Horse Racing / Clon 25th Sep : 3m Nov Chs     25-Sep-11 16:35     25-Sep-11 16:44     1.90
Horse Racing / Muss 25th Sep : To Be Placed     25-Sep-11 16:30     25-Sep-11 16:37     1.90
Horse Racing / Muss 25th Sep : 1m Hcap     25-Sep-11 16:30     25-Sep-11 16:35     0.00
Horse Racing / Epsm 25th Sep : To Be Placed     25-Sep-11 16:10     25-Sep-11 16:21     1.90
Horse Racing / Clon 25th Sep : 3m Hcap Hrd     25-Sep-11 16:00     25-Sep-11 16:11     -70.88
Horse Racing / Muss 25th Sep : 7f Hcap     25-Sep-11 15:55     25-Sep-11 15:57     -9.00
Horse Racing / Curr 25th Sep : 7f Stks     25-Sep-11 15:45     25-Sep-11 15:53     1.90
Horse Racing / Epsm 25th Sep : 1m2f Hcap     25-Sep-11 15:35     25-Sep-11 15:40     -2.00
Horse Racing / Clon 25th Sep : To Be Placed     25-Sep-11 15:25     25-Sep-11 15:33     3.43
Horse Racing / Curr 25th Sep : To Be Placed     25-Sep-11 15:10     25-Sep-11 15:16     1.90
Horse Racing / Curr 25th Sep : 7f Grp3     25-Sep-11 15:10     25-Sep-11 15:16     0.00
Horse Racing / Epsm 25th Sep : To Be Placed     25-Sep-11 15:00     25-Sep-11 15:08     -0.07
Horse Racing / Clon 25th Sep : To Be Placed     25-Sep-11 14:55     25-Sep-11 15:03     6.61
Horse Racing / Curr 25th Sep : To Be Placed     25-Sep-11 14:40     25-Sep-11 14:49     3.80
Horse Racing / Muss 25th Sep : 1m4f Sell Stks     25-Sep-11 14:15     25-Sep-11 14:18     0.00
Horse Racing / Epsm 25th Sep : 7f Nursery     25-Sep-11 14:00     25-Sep-11 14:02     -2.00
Horse Racing / MountP (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed     25-Sep-11 02:55     25-Sep-11 03:04     3.44
Horse Racing / MountP (US) 24th Sep : R8 1m2f Allw     25-Sep-11 02:55     25-Sep-11 03:03     3.40
Horse Racing / RemmP (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed     25-Sep-11 02:50     25-Sep-11 02:56     3.45
Horse Racing / RemmP (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed     25-Sep-11 02:22     25-Sep-11 02:28     1.64
Horse Racing / MountP (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed     25-Sep-11 02:05     25-Sep-11 02:11     -2.00
Horse Racing / RemmP (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed     25-Sep-11 01:26     25-Sep-11 01:33     6.60
Horse Racing / Penn (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed     25-Sep-11 00:38     25-Sep-11 00:50     -7.57
Horse Racing / MountP (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed     25-Sep-11 00:25     25-Sep-11 00:32     -3.61
Horse Racing / CharlT (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed     25-Sep-11 00:15     25-Sep-11 00:26     -2.85
Horse Racing / Penn (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed     24-Sep-11 23:49     24-Sep-11 23:58     -2.00
Horse Racing / Turfway (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed     24-Sep-11 23:33     24-Sep-11 23:44     -2.49
Horse Racing / Turfway (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed     24-Sep-11 23:05     24-Sep-11 23:20     -1.83
Horse Racing / Woodb (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed     24-Sep-11 22:42     24-Sep-11 23:02     -2.00
Horse Racing / Belmont (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed     24-Sep-11 22:50     24-Sep-11 23:00     3.49
Horse Racing / Belmont (US) 24th Sep : R10 6f Claim     24-Sep-11 22:50     24-Sep-11 22:59     4.44
Horse Racing / Monm (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed     24-Sep-11 22:27     24-Sep-11 22:44     7.19
Horse Racing / Emerald (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed     24-Sep-11 22:33     24-Sep-11 22:41     3.54
Horse Racing / Turfway (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed     24-Sep-11 22:30     24-Sep-11 22:37     -1.71
Horse Racing / Woodb (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed     24-Sep-11 22:10     24-Sep-11 22:22     0.31
Horse Racing / Turfway (US) 24th Sep : R8 6f Grd3     24-Sep-11 21:55     24-Sep-11 22:02     4.36

Important HIT on horses today ... greyhound are still performing quite well. Quite disappointed because it was the strategy that performed the best until now that has registered an important loss today.
Report acornel September 27, 2011 7:28 PM BST
Horror day yesterday with too many HITs ... about to claw back a part today but still ...
It looks like I am getting nowhere so I have decided to stop posting until I'll find smth that deserve to be published (or the GRAIL as DFC would say)

Many thanks for all your comments and advices!
Report LordBobbbin September 28, 2011 5:32 AM BST
Hi Acornel. I'm currently on a self-enforced holiday from the forum, but I've still been keeping up with your thread, so I thought I'd pop back briefly and give you a few words... (Whether appreciated or not!)

It's important you don't get discouraged about what's happened. I suspect the problems are in your systems not being tested properly. You're extremely diligent, and you definitely have the work ethic and the ideas needed to succeed. But unless a system is tested thoroughly, you have no way of knowing whether it's going to work in the real world or not.

I imagine your testing methods go something like this: You take a load of form and results, put them through the wringer and then see what trends emerge. You then come up with a series of rules and you make that your system. If things appear not to be working, you bring in new rules and modify the older ones so that your system continues to produce good 'results'.  Is this familiar?

If so, don't worry about it - all of us who experiment with systems start out this way. (Well, okay, maybe not Catflappo but..)  The key is this - until you've clarified your rules and set them in stone, you haven't done an ounce of real testing. Once (and *only* once) you've determined exactly what your system is and precisely what parameters you'll be using (which types of race, number of runners, what points lead you'll insist on, which odds you'll be looking for etc.), you're ready to start proper testing. And that means subjecting the system to a brand new set of races.

If you now test the system with a large sample of completely new races, and the system seems to be making good money without you having to modify the rules in any way, then you may have the basis of a good system. However, what you'll usually find is that, when faced with a new set of data, the system suddenly stops working. It's amazing how many times a strong trend appears from one set of data, but then dissolves as soon as it's tested against new stuff. As I say, almost everyone who tries creating a mechanical system comes up against this curvefitting problem, so you shouldn't feel discouraged.

However, it is important that you don't commit money to a system until you have laid down all of the rules and then tested it thoroughly against new data (as many months as you can). If you can test it for a few days or weeks without putting in any money (hard to resist the temptation, I know) then so much the better. The fact that you seemed to be coming up with new systems (the greyhounds, for instance) almost overnight suggests to me that your testing procedures aren't thorough enough.

Also, if I can offer one little piece of advice: Making mechanical systems that earn money week in and week out is very difficult. That's so even for somebody with vast experience of a market. However, a related field you might want to explore is creating statistics that you can use to determine where there's value.

In the UK racing arena, for example, there's very little information available on trainers (how well they work with horses making their debut, which types of race they seem to have the most success in, whether their horses do well after coming back from a lay-off, whether the trainers are good at winning with horses who have just been bought for their barn etc.). These figures work well enough in US racing, where they're freely available to those who bother to look at the form. In the UK, where such statistics are very hard to come by, I imagine they'd be worth a lot of money if played in races where a trainer has good percentages (30% upwards, for instance). 

There are plenty of other situations where you can compare the horse to its competitors and then come up with some percentages that tell you how well it should do against that field. If you explore these avenues, I'm sure you can come up with some interesting statistics that will give you an advantage over the typical Betfair punter when that factor is particularly strong in a certain horse or in a certain race.

Again, don't be upset about what's happened. Many of us have been there, but I see you as being one of the strong-willed intelligent systematic types who can come through the other side and create something worth relying on.  As Thomas Edison said, 'I have not failed. I've just found 10,000 ways that won't work!' I'm guessing it won't take you 10,000 ways before you succeed.   Good luck, Lord Bobbin  Happy
Report THE-REVOLUTIONARY. September 28, 2011 6:47 AM BST
i feel like ive tried 10.000 ideas but the fact is i dont have the patience lordbobbin sitting at a pc all day is getting to me SadSadSadSadSadSad


i feel like my minds a rollercoater i explore am idea something goes wrong then ill get pissed off bin it ry anoither idea get pissed off bin it repeat process


its not healthy sittin in front of a pc writin down stats unless im going to get some where believe me the ideas ive tried are crazy some of them

i was thinking there now maybe i should lay outsiders back short odds but then ive said theres no pint we know what will happen

maybe if i can jsut be patient and spend a two weeeks or so writing down stats but its stressful wiring details of every fave that goes 2-1 at the 2 minute mark before race start really is messed uo and my minds so messed up i cant read form properly anymore i really dont know how can people win day in day out  yes im sounding like paulme

i now have paulme syndrome SadSadSadSadSadSadSad
Report LordBobbbin September 28, 2011 9:18 AM BST
Paulme syndrome?  Well you want to get rid of that Dev!     It's going to be a scorcher today, so perhaps you should go for a swan around the park or something, and just clear your mind for a few hours?

It is difficult if you can't program or don't have a way of electronically recording the form that's coming in.     But which factors are you writing down?
Report THE-REVOLUTIONARY. September 28, 2011 9:51 AM BST
odds beetween first two favorites form figures a field rating where i would add up the number of horses that finished in the first two last time out and divide it my the number iof horses to see if there was a relation but that kind of stupid becuase theres horses dropping class that could have finsih 6th of 8 lto in a better race pace  so they would still be a threat  lenghts like how many lenths the horse won by last time out etc
Report THE-REVOLUTIONARY. September 28, 2011 10:07 AM BST
i dont think there are any mechanical systems there was a horse the other night at mountaineer park look a dead cert to place it went off at 1-5 didnt even place the bridge jumpers got stung all form said it would place the only factor i can think of it not placing might have been it was sloppy but if horses like that cant place then do we have much hope i know the horse would not have been value to place proabbaly im usining it as an example


there was a team this morning started off 1.36 all form pointed to them winning there now 2-0 down all tho i did see something strange they were 1.90 after like 20 mins or something with no red cards
Report LordBobbbin September 28, 2011 10:46 AM BST
What was the horse at Mountaineer that went off at 1/5?
Report LordBobbbin September 28, 2011 11:12 AM BST
Was that horse the 5. Big Thompson in R6 on Monday night?   That horse looked like it ought to be the best, but it was way too short. Its last race had been good, but the three before that had been a little indifferent (poor Beyer figures) and it wasn't coming down in class. Its one performance on a sloppy/muddy track hadn't been great.       

On the other hand, the 8 had a brilliant performance in its one sloppy/muddy race, so that would have been a good horse to put up against it - it came 2nd.   You couldn't really have backed the newcomer (who won), since its first-time-starting sire stats weren't great, and the workouts were only adequate. Nonetheless, first-time starters in a Maiden Special Weight always need to be taken seriously, particularly if there's money coming for them.  The 1 also had competitive figures and could possibly have won.

The fave was likely to win if it repeated its performance from the previous race, but it was an inconsistent horse, and if it regressed slightly it was going to be vulnerable - its other three Beyer figures probably weren't good enough to win it this race. At those short odds, that's the sort of horse worth laying in a race where few of the horses have any real form, and anything can happen.
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