Inspired by TheSnapper's blog (horses) and some stats provided by a guy on the forum (foot) I have investigated more the information that I got (via stats) and finally I decided to check if the different edges that I found will confirm on a long run. I am running few strategies in parallel (horses win market, place market, foot correct score, foot under/over) each one with an initial bank between 100 and 200 euros but running everything in parallel (I assume that some strategies will lose money but will be sustained by others more successful) allows me to start with a relatively small "global" bank of ~ 260euros.
I will not post here all bets but only the biggest win/loss.
IRE / List 16th Sep / 14:45 To Be Placed On The Loose Lay 16341887888 16-Sep-11 14:45 18 2.00 18 16-Sep-11 14:45
IRE / List 16th Sep / 14:45 1m1f Hcap Marcus Attilius Back 16341881113 16-Sep-11 14:45 7 2.00 7.2 16-Sep-11 14:45
IRE / List 16th Sep / 14:45 1m1f Hcap Badger Or Bust Back 16341880823 16-Sep-11 14:45 7.2 2.00 7.2 16-Sep-11 14:45
IRE / List 16th Sep / 14:45 1m1f Hcap Midnight Music Lay 16341880551 16-Sep-11 14:45 4.7 2.00 4.7 16-Sep-11 14:45
IRE / List 16th Sep / 14:45 To Be Placed On The Loose Lay 16341887888 16-Sep-1114:45 18 2.00 18 16-Sep-11 14:45 IRE / List 16th Sep / 14:45 1m1f Hcap Marcus Attilius Back 163418811
IRE / List 16th Sep / 14:45 To Be Placed Erins Joy Back 16-Sep-11 14:46 6 3.00 6 16-Sep-11 14:46
IRE / List 16th Sep / 14:45 To Be Placed On The Loose Back 16-Sep-11 14:45 15 3.00 15.67 16-Sep-11 14:45
IRE / List 16th Sep / 14:45 To Be Placed Belles Ridge Back 16-Sep-11 14:45 5.2 3.00 5.2 16-Sep-11 14:45
IRE / List 16th Sep / 14:45 To Be Placed Walter De La Mare Back 16-Sep-11 14:45 2.98 6.00 2.98 16-Sep-11 14:45
2.45IRE / List 16th Sep / 14:45 To Be Placed Erins Joy Back 16-Sep-1114:46 6 3.00 6 16-Sep-11 14:46 IRE / List 16th Sep / 14:45 To Be Placed On The Loose Back 16-Sep-1114:45
FOOTBALL is far "easier" intellectually than HORSES A........You need years of experience to back em ...and LAYING is extremely difficult ......You will get runs of LUCK re LAYING .....but HITS will come if you don't have genuine EDGE/S etc etc
FOOTBALL is far "easier" intellectually than HORSES A........You need years of experience to back em ...and LAYING is extremely difficult ......You will get runs of LUCK re LAYING .....but HITS will come if you don't have genuine EDGE/S etc etc
Decided JUST to do PLACE bets on LISTOWEL race ....and that one did catch my eye at foot of H/C ......DRATTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT
DRAT ...never saw the race.......Decided JUST to do PLACE bets on LISTOWEL race ....and that one did catch my eye at foot of H/C ......DRATTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT
FFS A....just spotted you layed ON THE LOOSE in PLACE market at LISTOWEL!!!!!!
AGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH....how many times will you get fingers burnt by DABBLING in markets that you really don't know ebnough about to either BACK or LAY.....
LISTOWEL is a really tricky meeting....and "BEST" to leave alone!
You obviously never saw my post re BACKING it ....
Sorry I posted late ...but visitor in house and getting distrated a lot !!!!!!
FFS A....just spotted you layed ON THE LOOSE in PLACE market at LISTOWEL!!!!!!AGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH....how many times will you get fingers burnt by DABBLING in markets that you really don't know ebnough about to either B
GB / Ayr 16th Sep / 15:20 To Be Placed Even Stevens Lay 16342541974 16-Sep-11 15:20 5.5 2.00 5.5 16-Sep-11 15:20
GB / Ayr 16th Sep / 15:20 To Be Placed Thats A Fret Lay 16342542157 16-Sep-11 15:20 5.6 2.00 5.6 16-Sep-11 15:20
Late post ... distracted ... GB / Ayr 16th Sep / 15:20 To Be Placed Even Stevens Lay 16342541974 16-Sep-1115:20 5.5 2.00 5.5 16-Sep-11 15:20 GB / Ayr 16th Sep / 15:20 To Be Placed That
Acornel, Does it not strike you as odd that Listowel has had racing for the past 4(?) days, with valuable prizes, for both Flat and Jumps trainers, some trainers will plot their horses year around one race at Listowel, if you are just going into the markets with a minimal of effort and a small amount of research, then im not surprised your getting your fingers burnt. Even if you came out of the Festival with a small amount of profit then you should count yourself as very fortunate.
DO SOME RESEARCH !!!
Acornel, Does it not strike you as odd that Listowel has had racing for the past 4(?) days, with valuable prizes, for both Flat and Jumps trainers, some trainers will plot their horses year around one race at Listowel, if you are just going into the
So going is IN BETWEEN....therefore makes it far more difficult to guess on how horses will run etc etc
Listowel 16/09/2011Going: Heavy (Soft in places)So going is IN BETWEEN....therefore makes it far more difficult to guess on how horses will run etc etc
Busy a bit so I could not post on time IRE / List 16th Sep / 15:50 1m4f Mdn Smithfield Lay 16343069748 16-Sep-1115:50 C 4.3 2.00 4.3 2.00 GB / Newb 16th Sep / 15:45 1m Cond Stks Linkable
GB / Ayr 16th Sep / 16:30 5f Listed Caledonia Lady Back 16-Sep-11 16:07 2.56 6.00 2.58 16-Sep-11 16:07 GB / Ayr 16th Sep / 16:30 To Be Placed Kool Henry Back 16-Sep-11 16:07 2.7 4.00 2.74 16-Sep-11 16:07 GB / Ayr 16th Sep / 16:30 To Be Placed Hexagonal Back 16-Sep-11 16:07 5.3 4.00 5.4 16-Sep-11 16:07 GB / Ayr 16th Sep / 16:30 5f Listed Caledonia Lady Back 16-Sep-11 16:05 2.52 6.00 2.56 16-Sep-11 16:05 GB / Ayr 16th Sep / 16:30 5f Listed Hexagonal Back 16-Sep-11 16:05 23 2.00 25.28 16-Sep-11 16:05 GB / Ayr 16th Sep / 16:30 5f Listed Kool Henry Back 16-Sep-11 16:05 11 4.00 12.34 16-Sep-11 16:05 GB / Ayr 16th Sep / 16:30 5f Listed Alejandro Back 16-Sep-11 16:05 13.5 3.00 14 16-Sep-11 16:05
4.30 GB / Ayr 16th Sep / 16:30 5f Listed Caledonia Lady Back 16-Sep-1116:07 2.56 6.00 2.58 16-Sep-11 16:07 GB / Ayr 16th Sep / 16:30 To Be Placed Kool Henry Back 16-Sep-1116:07
Only £30 up today ....which considering the selections early on is pretty poor! Chucked far too much away in getting balance of bets wrong on some of later races.....
Only £30 up today ....which considering the selections early on is pretty poor! Chucked far too much away in getting balance of bets wrong on some of later races.....
Not really A........Just a tired LAZY bet ....when I LAY!
It was a small field race IN IRELAND!
Going was in between ....and that really means I SHOULD NOT LAY OR BACK ANYTHING IN SUCH A RACE........
Believed if GOING was more HEAVY than SOFT that the lay would not win......but older more experienced horse jumped well ...and other 2 were not that great at jumping ...The 2nd would have won had going been truly HEAVY!
IF I was gonna bet in that race I should have BACKED 1 of 2...and left it at that!
wd ANot really A........Just a tired LAZY bet ....when I LAY!It was a small field race IN IRELAND!Going was in between ....and that really means I SHOULD NOT LAY OR BACK ANYTHING IN SUCH A RACE........Believed if GOING was more HEAVY than SOFT that t
LAST bets for me on HORSES7.20 NAP's race in comp...GB / Wolv 16th Sep / 19:20 To Be Placed Beneath Back 16-Sep-1118:03 3.2 12.00 3.26 16-Sep-11 18:03 GB / Wolv 16th Sep / 19:20 1m1f Hcap Beneath
Horse Racing: -£116.12 | Soccer: £86.77 Total P&L: -£29.35
Horse Racing Showing 1 - 20 of 28 markets Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (£) Horse Racing / Wolv 16th Sep : To Be Placed 16-Sep-11 19:20 16-Sep-11 19:26 -63.00 Horse Racing / Wolv 16th Sep : 1m1f Hcap 16-Sep-11 19:20 16-Sep-11 19:23 -23.40 Horse Racing / List 16th Sep : To Be Placed 16-Sep-11 17:55 16-Sep-11 18:01 -3.56 Horse Racing / List 16th Sep : 2m INHF 16-Sep-11 17:55 16-Sep-11 18:01 -9.00 Horse Racing / List 16th Sep : 2m4f Chs 16-Sep-11 17:25 16-Sep-11 17:32 -47.70 Horse Racing / Ayr 16th Sep : To Be Placed 16-Sep-11 17:05 16-Sep-11 17:12 0.57 Horse Racing / Ayr 16th Sep : 2m1f Hcap 16-Sep-11 17:05 16-Sep-11 17:10 -24.00 Horse Racing / Ling 16th Sep : To Be Placed 16-Sep-11 16:45 16-Sep-11 16:54 -18.00 Horse Racing / Ling 16th Sep : 1m5f Hcap 16-Sep-11 16:45 16-Sep-11 16:48 -16.00 Horse Racing / Ayr 16th Sep : To Be Placed 16-Sep-11 16:30 16-Sep-11 16:35 13.00 Horse Racing / Ayr 16th Sep : 5f Listed 16-Sep-11 16:30 16-Sep-11 16:33 9.41 Horse Racing / Ayr 16th Sep : To Be Placed 16-Sep-11 15:55 16-Sep-11 16:03 12.86 Horse Racing / Ayr 16th Sep : 6f Hcap 16-Sep-11 15:55 16-Sep-11 16:00 -5.00 Horse Racing / List 16th Sep : To Be Placed 16-Sep-11 15:50 16-Sep-11 15:54 -6.00 Horse Racing / List 16th Sep : 1m4f Mdn 16-Sep-11 15:50 16-Sep-11 15:54 6.69 Horse Racing / List 16th Sep : To Be Placed 16-Sep-11 15:15 16-Sep-11 15:21 -13.00 Horse Racing / List 16th Sep : 1m1f Hcap 16-Sep-11 15:15 16-Sep-11 15:21 -9.00 Horse Racing / List 16th Sep : To Be Placed 16-Sep-11 14:45 16-Sep-11 14:50 30.59 Horse Racing / Ayr 16th Sep : To Be Placed 16-Sep-11 14:45 16-Sep-11 14:49 20.75 Horse Racing / Ayr 16th Sep : 6f Nursery 16-Sep-11 14:45 16-Sep-11 14:47 9.56 Pages: 1 2 of 2 Pages
Horse Racing Showing 21 - 28 of 28 markets Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (£) Horse Racing / Newb 16th Sep : To Be Placed 16-Sep-11 14:35 16-Sep-11 14:40 9.75 Horse Racing / Newb 16th Sep : 1m2f Hcap 16-Sep-11 14:35 16-Sep-11 14:38 28.68 Horse Racing / List 16th Sep : To Be Placed 16-Sep-11 14:15 16-Sep-11 14:20 -14.00 Horse Racing / List 16th Sep : 6f Hcap 16-Sep-11 14:15 16-Sep-11 14:19 -7.00 Horse Racing / Ayr 16th Sep : To Be Placed 16-Sep-11 14:10 16-Sep-11 14:17 7.34 Horse Racing / Ayr 16th Sep : 7f Mdn Stks 16-Sep-11 14:10 16-Sep-11 14:17 1.34 Horse Racing / Newb 16th Sep : To Be Placed 16-Sep-11 14:00 16-Sep-11 14:04 -6.00 Horse Racing / Newb 16th Sep : 6f Mdn Stks 16-Sep-11 14:00 16-Sep-11 14:03 -2.00 Pages: 1 2 of 2 Pages ==================================================================
Was in strong forum early on ....catching 20-1 winner/ a 33-1 sp 2nd ...almost won........then a visitor arrived at house! got sidetracked....was not concentrating 100%.....rushed bets on a LISTOWEL race and ,FOR ONCE , only backed 4 to PLACE in 2.45 ! I usually back em to win too.....but bet was so rushed and had to get back to talk to visitor that I only backed to PLACE! ON THE LOOSE wins at 33-1 SP and I miss out on that.
From memory..... early on got the 20-1 winner, then the 2nd at 33-1 followed by 1st 33-1........so it was "strong" form.....
Frustrated at losing out on the big odds winner...towards end of day...when ahead......I was in a CHASE MODE ....and layed 1 horse ( FIRST ONE ON DAY)....in a small field chase in IRELAND ....and of course it wins.Cost £ 47.70. A STUPID bet for me who knows LAY bets are a no no! In last race of day at 7.20 I go well over staking the race ....on AW at night.....and both main selections ran stinkers of a race, and I had lumped on the PLACE bets and lost over all £ 86.40 on race !
I know I need full concentration on HORSES, but just got knocked off the zone I was in early on by the visitor...........then the mind went astray towards end of racing! It really shoud have been a very good day .....but due to what happened it became another losing day on HORSES!
Luckily the FOOTBALL bets come off ....eventually, as took an early HIT with them too of about £78. Therefore over all LOSS on day was OK......but still a very frustrating day when I was well "IN THE ZONE" early on!
I've again decided acornel that I need to concentrate more on HORSES during racing .....so I will be keeping my posts down to minimum during racing TODAY.
Hope you get some good results today.....and watch out for AYR as now some HEAVY going there !
Cheers the nooooooooooooooooo
YESTERDAY RESULTS Horse Racing: -£116.12 | Soccer: £86.77 Total P&L: -£29.35 Horse Racing Showing 1 - 20 of 28 marketsMarket Start time Settled date Profit/loss (£)Horse Racing / Wolv 16th Sep : To Be Placed 16-Sep-11 19:20
Horse Racing: £86.30 | Soccer: £107.41 Total P&L: £193.71
Horse Racing Showing 1 - 18 of 18 markets Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (£) Horse Racing / Ayr (F/C) 17th Sep : Forecast 17-Sep-11 16:30 17-Sep-11 16:34 -4.00 Horse Racing / Ayr 17th Sep : To Be Placed 17-Sep-11 16:30 17-Sep-11 16:33 -14.00 Horse Racing / Ayr 17th Sep : 1m2f Listed 17-Sep-11 16:30 17-Sep-11 16:32 -14.00 Horse Racing / Newm 17th Sep : To Be Placed 17-Sep-11 16:05 17-Sep-11 16:14 31.97 Horse Racing / Newm 17th Sep : 1m4f Hcap 17-Sep-11 16:05 17-Sep-11 16:13 13.00 Horse Racing / Ayr 17th Sep : To Be Placed 17-Sep-11 15:55 17-Sep-11 16:00 -17.00 Horse Racing / Ayr 17th Sep : 7f Hcap 17-Sep-11 15:55 17-Sep-11 15:58 -10.00 Horse Racing / Newm 17th Sep : To Be Placed 17-Sep-11 15:30 17-Sep-11 15:42 31.06 Horse Racing / Newm 17th Sep : 2m2f Hcap 17-Sep-11 15:30 17-Sep-11 15:40 21.47 Horse Racing / Ayr 17th Sep : To Be Placed 17-Sep-11 15:20 17-Sep-11 15:26 2.87 Horse Racing / Ayr 17th Sep : 6f Grp3 17-Sep-11 14:45 17-Sep-11 14:50 22.33 Horse Racing / Catt 17th Sep : To Be Placed 17-Sep-11 14:35 17-Sep-11 14:42 11.01 Horse Racing / Newb 17th Sep : To Be Placed 17-Sep-11 14:30 17-Sep-11 14:41 -9.00 Horse Racing / Catt 17th Sep : 1m6f Hcap 17-Sep-11 14:35 17-Sep-11 14:40 9.56 Horse Racing / Newb 17th Sep : 6f Grp2 17-Sep-11 14:30 17-Sep-11 14:40 4.02 Horse Racing / Ayr 17th Sep : To Be Placed 17-Sep-11 14:15 17-Sep-11 14:21 10.32 Horse Racing / Newb 17th Sep : To Be Placed 17-Sep-11 14:00 17-Sep-11 14:04 -10.00 Horse Racing / Newb 17th Sep : 1m3f Grp3 17-Sep-11 14:00 17-Sep-11 14:03 6.69 ==================================================================
Keeping off thread seems to have helped me A on HORSES. Only last race where I was annoyed at losing ....was nap and it ran a stinker! So stopped HORSE bets after that....and concentrating on FOOTBALL now.
Hope you had a good day.
Cheers the noooooooooooooooo
TODAY RESULTS SO FAR Horse Racing: £86.30 | Soccer: £107.41 Total P&L: £193.71 Horse Racing Showing 1 - 18 of 18 marketsMarket Start time Settled date Profit/loss (£)Horse Racing / Ayr (F/C) 17th Sep : Forecast 17-Sep-11 16:
Very busy today (visitors) so I post now yesterday's results:
Horse Racing: -€26.16 | Soccer: €15.59 Total P&L: -€10.57 Horse Racing Showing 1 - 20 of 33 markets Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (€) Horse Racing / Wolv 16th Sep : 7f Hcap 16-Sep-11 20:50 16-Sep-11 20:52 -2.00 Horse Racing / Wolv 16th Sep : 1m Mdn Stks 16-Sep-11 20:20 16-Sep-11 20:23 1.90 Horse Racing / Belmont (US) 16th Sep : R4 1m Claim 16-Sep-11 19:35 16-Sep-11 19:48 0.40 Horse Racing / Wolv 16th Sep : 1m1f Hcap 16-Sep-11 19:20 16-Sep-11 19:23 -7.20 Horse Racing / Wolv 16th Sep : To Be Placed 16-Sep-11 18:20 16-Sep-11 18:25 -1.64 Horse Racing / Wolv 16th Sep : 7f Claim Stks 16-Sep-11 18:20 16-Sep-11 18:23 8.05 Horse Racing / Wolv 16th Sep : To Be Placed 16-Sep-11 17:50 16-Sep-11 17:57 -4.10 Horse Racing / Wolv 16th Sep : 7f Nursery 16-Sep-11 17:50 16-Sep-11 17:54 2.97 Horse Racing / Ayr 16th Sep : To Be Placed 16-Sep-11 17:40 16-Sep-11 17:45 1.90 Horse Racing / Ayr 16th Sep : 1m Hcap 16-Sep-11 17:40 16-Sep-11 17:43 8.50 Horse Racing / List 16th Sep : To Be Placed 16-Sep-11 17:25 16-Sep-11 17:32 1.90 Horse Racing / Ling 16th Sep : To Be Placed 16-Sep-11 17:20 16-Sep-11 17:27 1.90 Horse Racing / Ling 16th Sep : 1m2f Hcap 16-Sep-11 17:20 16-Sep-11 17:23 0.00 Horse Racing / Ayr 16th Sep : 2m1f Hcap 16-Sep-11 17:05 16-Sep-11 17:10 -2.00 Horse Racing / Newb 16th Sep : 7f Cond Stks 16-Sep-11 16:55 16-Sep-11 17:02 -6.40 Horse Racing / Ling 16th Sep : To Be Placed 16-Sep-11 16:45 16-Sep-11 16:54 -2.98 Horse Racing / Ling 16th Sep : 1m5f Hcap 16-Sep-11 16:45 16-Sep-11 16:48 -2.00 Horse Racing / List 16th Sep : 1m4f Mdn 16-Sep-11 15:50 16-Sep-11 15:54 1.90 Horse Racing / Newb 16th Sep : 1m Cond Stks 16-Sep-11 15:45 16-Sep-11 15:51 4.08 Horse Racing / Ling 16th Sep : To Be Placed 16-Sep-11 15:35 16-Sep-11 15:41 1.90 Horse Racing Showing 21 - 33 of 33 markets Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (€) Horse Racing / Ling 16th Sep : 5f Hcap 16-Sep-11 15:35 16-Sep-11 15:37 9.51 Horse Racing / Ayr 16th Sep : To Be Placed 16-Sep-11 15:20 16-Sep-11 15:27 3.80 Horse Racing / List 16th Sep : 1m1f Hcap 16-Sep-11 15:15 16-Sep-11 15:21 5.32 Horse Racing / Ling 16th Sep : 5f Mdn Stks 16-Sep-11 15:00 16-Sep-11 15:06 1.90 Horse Racing / List 16th Sep : To Be Placed 16-Sep-11 14:45 16-Sep-11 14:50 -34.00 Horse Racing / List 16th Sep : 1m1f Hcap 16-Sep-11 14:45 16-Sep-11 14:49 -2.00 Horse Racing / Newb 16th Sep : 1m2f Hcap 16-Sep-11 14:35 16-Sep-11 14:38 -4.00 Horse Racing / Ling 16th Sep : 7f Mdn Stks 16-Sep-11 14:25 16-Sep-11 14:35 -2.00 Horse Racing / List 16th Sep : To Be Placed 16-Sep-11 14:15 16-Sep-11 14:20 1.90 Horse Racing / Ayr 16th Sep : 7f Mdn Stks 16-Sep-11 14:10 16-Sep-11 14:17 0.00 Horse Racing / Newb 16th Sep : 6f Mdn Stks 16-Sep-11 14:00 16-Sep-11 14:03 -24.00 Horse Racing / PrIsleD (US) 15th Sep : R7 6f Allw 16-Sep-11 01:00 16-Sep-11 01:06 5.21 Horse Racing / Louis (US) 15th Sep : R9 1m Claim 15-Sep-11 23:18 15-Sep-11 23:36 5.12
Soccer Showing 1 - 3 of 3 markets Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (€) Soccer / Freiburg v Stuttgart : Over/Under 2.5 goals 16-Sep-11 19:45 16-Sep-11 21:28 0.00 Soccer / Gaziantepspor v Fenerbahce : Over/Under 3.5 Goals 16-Sep-11 18:00 16-Sep-11 19:40 6.08 Soccer / Birmingham v Braga : Correct Score 15-Sep-11 20:05 15-Sep-11 22:01 9.51
Very good results on US racing ... keep "waiting" for a HIT
Very busy today (visitors) so I post now yesterday's results:Horse Racing: -€26.16 | Soccer: €15.59 Total P&L: -€10.57 Horse Racing Showing 1 - 20 of 33 marketsMarket Start time Settled date Profit/loss (€)Horse Racing / Wol
LordBobbbin 15 Sep 11 17:17 ND47's suggestion makes a lot of sense. I do US racing, and there're so many races coming along every few minutes that if you get the chasing mentality there, you can flush your account down the pan in double quick time.
So what I tend to do is to sit down every now and again and look over the races coming up in the next hour or two. If there are any ones that stick out, I make a note of them and come back later to check out the odds. Most, though, I just pass straight over.
If you're betting 'real-time', it's very easy to convince yourself that the race coming up in a couple of minutes contains a brilliant selection - even though, deep down, you know it's a marginal bet at best, and that you shouldn't be playing it if you want to make money in the long term. Somehow, a race coming up in half an hour seems ages away. And it's easy to convince yourself that the upcoming race is the best chance of making money you're going to have in the near future - even though there're probably much better options coming up later in the evening, if only you cast your net wider.
If you're looking over a whole bunch of races, you tend to quickly dismiss the ones that aren't up to scratch. What you're left with are a few very viable propositions spread over the course of an evening. You're picking selections on merit, and not because they're the best of the chances coming up in the next ten or fifteen minutes.
Excellent post by LB on another thread ....a lot of sound points made......===============================================================LordBobbbin 15 Sep 11 17:17 ND47's suggestion makes a lot of sense. I do US racing, and there're so many races
A good day on horses after a woeful start ... saved by few good BACK and US races.
On foot everything was perfect until the spanish team decided not to score 2nd half
Horse Racing: €26.79 | Soccer: -€3.16 Total P&L: €23.63 Horse Racing Showing 1 - 20 of 44 marketsMarket Start time Settled date Profit/loss (€)Horse Racing / Wolv 17th Sep : To Be Placed 17-Sep-11 21:20 17-Sep-11 21:
Funnily enough, I find my strategies work less well at the weekends - particularly on saturdays. In my case there seem to be a lot of stakes races and the like, and I find it harder to determine the form on those. Horses which look as though they can be discounted often find a performance I couldn't predict from the form. As far as I can tell, you're going on other factors (like the movements in odds, perhaps), which maybe have more significance with a saturday crowd. Or it could be a coincidence, of course..
Funnily enough, I find my strategies work less well at the weekends - particularly on saturdays. In my case there seem to be a lot of stakes races and the like, and I find it harder to determine the form on those. Horses which look as though they ca
Very good result on horses (+60 euros) until US races when the first HIT came in. This is "normal" as I already said that an US races hit is expected after ~25 winning bets in a row.
I would have a question regarding Kelly stakes for LAYers ... is someone using/experimenting it?
Horse Racing: €36.64 | Soccer: -€12.36 | Tote: | Total P&L: €24.28 Horse Racing Showing 1 - 20 of 30 marketsMarket Start time Settled date Profit/loss (€)Horse Racing / Woodb (US) 18th Sep : R8 1m4f Grd1 18-Sep-11 21:34
Second HIT on US races last night ... this one hurts more than the first one :-( I start asking myself if it wouldn't be better to change the staking mgmt plan from Kelly to Fixed Liability.
Eg. I LAY odds between 5 and 15 with a bank of let's say 1000 euros and an edge of 8% ==> in case of Kelly/4 when I put my bet the backer stake corresponds to 2% of my bank = 20 euros ... it means that if I lose at odds of 4 I will lose 4 * 20 = 80 euros ... but if I lose at odds of 15 then I will lose 14*20 = 280 euros ... do you see the difference?
Second HIT on US races last night ... this one hurts more than the first one :-(I start asking myself if it wouldn't be better to change the staking mgmt plan from Kelly to Fixed Liability.Eg. I LAY odds between 5 and 15 with a bank of let's say 1000
It's been quite a long time since I read about Kelly, but didn't the calculations for that partly rely on knowing what percentage of your bets were winners?
Personally I'd stick to fixed liability until you've had a good few weeks of sturdy betting with your system. Although I look forwards to being contradicted by somebody else who'll tell you why Kelly is exactly what you need to be going with...
It's been quite a long time since I read about Kelly, but didn't the calculations for that partly rely on knowing what percentage of your bets were winners?Personally I'd stick to fixed liability until you've had a good few weeks of sturdy betting wi
Horse Racing: -€40.47 | Soccer: -€20.00 Total P&L: -€60.47
Horse Racing Showing 1 - 20 of 25 markets Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (€) Horse Racing / Ballin 19th Sep : To Be Placed 19-Sep-11 18:35 19-Sep-11 18:42 1.90 Horse Racing / Ballin 19th Sep : 2m Beg Chs 19-Sep-11 18:35 19-Sep-11 18:42 -2.00 Horse Racing / Leic 19th Sep : 7f Hcap 19-Sep-11 17:50 19-Sep-11 17:53 11.41 Horse Racing / Leic 19th Sep : 1m Hcap 19-Sep-11 17:20 19-Sep-11 17:23 0.00 Horse Racing / Ham 19th Sep : To Be Placed 19-Sep-11 17:10 19-Sep-11 17:14 -2.18 Horse Racing / Ballin 19th Sep : 2m4f Hcap Hrd 19-Sep-11 17:05 19-Sep-11 17:12 -6.00 Horse Racing / Kemp 19th Sep : To Be Placed 19-Sep-11 17:00 19-Sep-11 17:04 1.90 Horse Racing / Kemp 19th Sep : 1m Hcap 19-Sep-11 17:00 19-Sep-11 17:02 0.00 Horse Racing / Ballin 19th Sep : 2m4f Mdn Hrd 19-Sep-11 16:35 19-Sep-11 16:43 -4.00 Horse Racing / Leic 19th Sep : To Be Placed 19-Sep-11 16:20 19-Sep-11 16:23 1.90 Horse Racing / Leic 19th Sep : 1m2f Claim Stks 19-Sep-11 16:20 19-Sep-11 16:22 3.80 Horse Racing / Kemp 19th Sep : To Be Placed 19-Sep-11 16:00 19-Sep-11 16:03 -8.00 Horse Racing / Leic 19th Sep : To Be Placed 19-Sep-11 15:50 19-Sep-11 15:55 1.90 Horse Racing / Leic 19th Sep : 5f Hcap 19-Sep-11 15:50 19-Sep-11 15:54 11.79 Horse Racing / Kemp 19th Sep : 1m Mdn Stks 19-Sep-11 15:30 19-Sep-11 15:32 0.60 Horse Racing / Leic 19th Sep : 7f Sell Stks 19-Sep-11 15:20 19-Sep-11 15:23 -2.00 Horse Racing / Ham 19th Sep : To Be Placed 19-Sep-11 15:10 19-Sep-11 15:18 1.90 Horse Racing / Kemp 19th Sep : 7f Mdn Stks 19-Sep-11 15:00 19-Sep-11 15:04 1.90 Horse Racing / Leic 19th Sep : 6f Nursery 19-Sep-11 14:50 19-Sep-11 14:54 -2.00 Horse Racing / Ham 19th Sep : 6f Hcap 19-Sep-11 14:40 19-Sep-11 14:42 1.90 Horse Racing / Kemp 19th Sep : 7f Mdn Stks 19-Sep-11 14:30 19-Sep-11 14:34 -7.40 Horse Racing / Leic 19th Sep : 6f Nov Stks 19-Sep-11 14:20 19-Sep-11 14:22 1.90 Horse Racing / MountP (US) 18th Sep : R2 5f Claim 19-Sep-11 00:25 19-Sep-11 00:41 4.07 Horse Racing / Louis (US) 18th Sep : R10 1m Claim 18-Sep-11 23:44 19-Sep-11 00:03 5.09 Horse Racing / Emerald (US) 18th Sep : R4 6f 2yo 18-Sep-11 23:29 18-Sep-11 23:44 -58.85
Horse Racing: -€40.47 | Soccer: -€20.00 Total P&L: -€60.47 Horse Racing Showing 1 - 20 of 25 marketsMarket Start time Settled date Profit/loss (€)Horse Racing / Ballin 19th Sep : To Be Placed 19-Sep-11 18:35 19-Sep-1
Oh Acornel, on that Emerald race that you got stuffed on, I assume you were laying Brady's Kat? Be careful when it comes to laying horses that have only run once - particularly when that one race happens to have been a win. On paper that lowly maiden shouldn't stack up here, but horses often improve second time out, and you have no real way of knowing what it is you're laying. Plus, since this was over a longer distance, you really had very little to go on. It's fine to lay those horses when they're short, but this one was in double figures. Always be wary of laying an unknown factor at high prices.
Oh Acornel, on that Emerald race that you got stuffed on, I assume you were laying Brady's Kat? Be careful when it comes to laying horses that have only run once - particularly when that one race happens to have been a win. On paper that lowly maide
Indeed LB, I LAYed Brady's KAt in that race ... I LAY horses even if the odds are in double figures ... but no more than a certain acceptable level :-)
Indeed LB, I LAYed Brady's KAt in that race ... I LAY horses even if the odds are in double figures ... but no more than a certain acceptable level :-)
Horse Racing Showing 1 - 20 of 25 markets Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (€) Horse Racing / ZiaP (US) 20th Sep : R4 2f Claim 20-Sep-11 20:33 20-Sep-11 20:38 4.35 Horse Racing / FingL (US) 20th Sep : R1 6f Claim 20-Sep-11 18:10 20-Sep-11 18:18 4.27 Horse Racing / Bev 20th Sep : To Be Placed 20-Sep-11 17:30 20-Sep-11 17:36 -13.09 Horse Racing / Bev 20th Sep : 1m2f Hcap 20-Sep-11 17:30 20-Sep-11 17:33 8.30 Horse Racing / Newt 20th Sep : To Be Placed 20-Sep-11 17:10 20-Sep-11 17:18 1.90 Horse Racing / Newt 20th Sep : 2m6f Hcap Hrd 20-Sep-11 17:10 20-Sep-11 17:15 0.00 Horse Racing / Folk 20th Sep : 1m1f Mdn Stks 20-Sep-11 16:50 20-Sep-11 16:58 1.90 Horse Racing / Newt 20th Sep : To Be Placed 20-Sep-11 16:40 20-Sep-11 16:48 1.90 Horse Racing / Newt 20th Sep : 2m5f Hcap Chs 20-Sep-11 16:40 20-Sep-11 16:46 1.65 Horse Racing / Bev 20th Sep : To Be Placed 20-Sep-11 16:30 20-Sep-11 16:35 1.90 Horse Racing / Bev 20th Sep : 1m Hcap 20-Sep-11 16:30 20-Sep-11 16:33 -2.00 Horse Racing / Folk 20th Sep : To Be Placed 20-Sep-11 15:50 20-Sep-11 15:59 3.06 Horse Racing / Folk 20th Sep : 1m7f Hcap 20-Sep-11 15:50 20-Sep-11 15:55 -26.00 Horse Racing / Newt 20th Sep : To Be Placed 20-Sep-11 15:40 20-Sep-11 15:50 1.90 Horse Racing / Newt 20th Sep : 3m2f Hcap Chs 20-Sep-11 15:40 20-Sep-11 15:48 -2.65 Horse Racing / Bev 20th Sep : 5f Mdn Stks 20-Sep-11 15:30 20-Sep-11 15:32 -2.00 Horse Racing / Newt 20th Sep : 2m6f Nov Hrd 20-Sep-11 15:10 20-Sep-11 15:16 1.90 Horse Racing / Bev 20th Sep : 7f Hcap 20-Sep-11 15:00 20-Sep-11 15:03 -2.00 Horse Racing / Newt 20th Sep : To Be Placed 20-Sep-11 14:40 20-Sep-11 14:47 -3.54 Horse Racing / Newt 20th Sep : 2m Nov Chs 20-Sep-11 14:40 20-Sep-11 14:45 -7.40 Horse Racing / Bev 20th Sep : 7f Mdn Stks 20-Sep-11 14:30 20-Sep-11 14:36 1.90 Horse Racing / Folk 20th Sep : To Be Placed 20-Sep-11 14:20 20-Sep-11 14:24 3.80 Horse Racing / Newt 20th Sep : To Be Placed 20-Sep-11 14:10 20-Sep-11 14:18 -2.61 Horse Racing / MountP (US) 19th Sep : R4 1m Claim 20-Sep-11 01:15 20-Sep-11 01:23 4.18 Horse Racing / ZiaP (US) 19th Sep : R9 5f Claim 19-Sep-11 22:43 19-Sep-11 22:50 2.07
Today the BACK strategy did not help me to recover after one HIT. Also a double-loss in Place market about the end of the races destroyed my hopes to finish break-even.
Horse Racing: -€16.31 Total P&L: -€16.31 Horse Racing Showing 1 - 20 of 25 marketsMarket Start time Settled date Profit/loss (€)Horse Racing / ZiaP (US) 20th Sep : R4 2f Claim 20-Sep-11 20:33 20-Sep-11 20:38 4.35Hor
Horse Racing: €44.53 | Soccer: €61.04 Total P&L: €105.57
Horse Racing Showing 1 - 20 of 39 markets Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (€) Horse Racing / Kemp 21st Sep : 6f Hcap 21-Sep-11 21:20 21-Sep-11 21:21 0.00 Horse Racing / Kemp 21st Sep : 6f Hcap 21-Sep-11 20:50 21-Sep-11 20:54 -1.60 Horse Racing / Kemp 21st Sep : To Be Placed 21-Sep-11 20:20 21-Sep-11 20:24 1.90 Horse Racing / Kemp 21st Sep : 7f Hcap 21-Sep-11 20:20 21-Sep-11 20:22 -2.00 Horse Racing / Kemp 21st Sep : To Be Placed 21-Sep-11 19:50 21-Sep-11 19:56 1.90 Horse Racing / Kemp 21st Sep : 1m4f Hcap 21-Sep-11 19:50 21-Sep-11 19:54 -2.00 Horse Racing / Kemp 21st Sep : To Be Placed 21-Sep-11 19:20 21-Sep-11 19:25 1.90 Horse Racing / Kemp 21st Sep : 1m2f Hcap 21-Sep-11 18:50 21-Sep-11 18:53 -2.00 Horse Racing / DownP 21st Sep : To Be Placed 21-Sep-11 18:35 21-Sep-11 18:43 1.90 Horse Racing / DownP 21st Sep : 2m2f INHF 21-Sep-11 18:35 21-Sep-11 18:43 -4.00 Horse Racing / DownP 21st Sep : To Be Placed 21-Sep-11 18:05 21-Sep-11 18:15 -0.98 Horse Racing / DownP 21st Sep : 2m7f Hcap Chs 21-Sep-11 18:05 21-Sep-11 18:15 1.90 Horse Racing / Redc 21st Sep : To Be Placed 21-Sep-11 18:10 21-Sep-11 18:14 1.90 Horse Racing / Redc 21st Sep : 6f Hcap 21-Sep-11 18:10 21-Sep-11 18:13 10.27 Horse Racing / DownP 21st Sep : To Be Placed 21-Sep-11 17:35 21-Sep-11 17:46 1.90 Horse Racing / DownP 21st Sep : 2m7f Beg Chs 21-Sep-11 17:35 21-Sep-11 17:44 -2.00 Horse Racing / Redc 21st Sep : 5f Hcap 21-Sep-11 17:40 21-Sep-11 17:44 0.00 Horse Racing / Perth 21st Sep : To Be Placed 21-Sep-11 17:20 21-Sep-11 17:32 1.90 Horse Racing / Good 21st Sep : 5f Hcap 21-Sep-11 17:30 21-Sep-11 17:31 1.90 Horse Racing / Perth 21st Sep : 3m Hcap Hrd 21-Sep-11 17:20 21-Sep-11 17:26 -2.00 Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (€) Horse Racing / DownP 21st Sep : To Be Placed 21-Sep-11 17:05 21-Sep-11 17:12 -4.31 Horse Racing / DownP 21st Sep : 2m2f Beg Chs 21-Sep-11 17:05 21-Sep-11 17:12 -4.00 Horse Racing / Perth 21st Sep : To Be Placed 21-Sep-11 16:45 21-Sep-11 16:52 -3.20 Horse Racing / Perth 21st Sep : 3m Hcap Chs 21-Sep-11 16:45 21-Sep-11 16:52 4.26 Horse Racing / Redc 21st Sep : To Be Placed 21-Sep-11 16:35 21-Sep-11 16:43 5.16 Horse Racing / DownP 21st Sep : 2m7f Mdn Hrd 21-Sep-11 16:30 21-Sep-11 16:41 3.80 Horse Racing / Redc 21st Sep : 1m2f Hcap 21-Sep-11 16:35 21-Sep-11 16:39 3.80 Horse Racing / Good 21st Sep : To Be Placed 21-Sep-11 16:20 21-Sep-11 16:25 3.80 Horse Racing / Good 21st Sep : 1m3f Hcap 21-Sep-11 16:20 21-Sep-11 16:23 0.00 Horse Racing / Perth 21st Sep : 2m Juv Hrd 21-Sep-11 16:10 21-Sep-11 16:15 1.90 Horse Racing / DownP 21st Sep : To Be Placed 21-Sep-11 16:00 21-Sep-11 16:06 5.06 Horse Racing / DownP 21st Sep : 2m2f Hcap Hrd 21-Sep-11 16:00 21-Sep-11 16:06 10.65 Horse Racing / Good 21st Sep : 1m2f Listed 21-Sep-11 15:45 21-Sep-11 15:48 1.90 Horse Racing / Good 21st Sep : 6f Hcap 21-Sep-11 15:10 21-Sep-11 15:15 -2.00 Horse Racing / Perth 21st Sep : To Be Placed 21-Sep-11 15:00 21-Sep-11 15:08 3.80 Horse Racing / Redc 21st Sep : To Be Placed 21-Sep-11 14:50 21-Sep-11 14:56 1.90 Horse Racing / Good 21st Sep : 1m1f Mdn Stks 21-Sep-11 14:35 21-Sep-11 14:38 1.90 Horse Racing / Redc 21st Sep : 7f Mdn Stks 21-Sep-11 14:15 21-Sep-11 14:19 -4.00 Horse Racing / ZiaP (US) 20th Sep : R8 1m Claim 20-Sep-11 22:17 20-Sep-11 22:22 3.32
Solid result on horses today. No important HIT, almost all strategies performed well including the BACK one.
As I have the "infrastructure" for automatic betting on horses I am trying to get more info about greyhound races (history, odds, ...). There are many similarities from technical point of view between the two sports so it should not be difficult at all to start few strategies on greyhounds as well.
Horse Racing: €44.53 | Soccer: €61.04 Total P&L: €105.57 Horse Racing Showing 1 - 20 of 39 marketsMarket Start time Settled date Profit/loss (€)Horse Racing / Kemp 21st Sep : 6f Hcap 21-Sep-11 21:20 21-Sep-11 21:21
Horse Racing Showing 1 - 20 of 30 markets Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (€) Horse Racing / Wolv 22nd Sep : To Be Placed 22-Sep-11 21:00 22-Sep-11 21:04 -1.35 Horse Racing / Wolv 22nd Sep : To Be Placed 22-Sep-11 20:00 22-Sep-11 20:05 3.62 Horse Racing / Wolv 22nd Sep : 1m Hcap 22-Sep-11 20:00 22-Sep-11 20:05 -2.00 Horse Racing / Wolv 22nd Sep : 6f Hcap 22-Sep-11 19:00 22-Sep-11 19:02 -2.00 Horse Racing / Wolv 22nd Sep : 6f Hcap 22-Sep-11 18:30 22-Sep-11 18:33 -7.20 Horse Racing / Perth 22nd Sep : To Be Placed 22-Sep-11 17:50 22-Sep-11 17:55 1.90 Horse Racing / Newm 22nd Sep : 1m Hcap 22-Sep-11 17:40 22-Sep-11 17:44 -6.80 Horse Racing / Fairy 22nd Sep : 2m4f Hcap Hrd 22-Sep-11 17:35 22-Sep-11 17:42 -6.80 Horse Racing / Ponte 22nd Sep : To Be Placed 22-Sep-11 17:25 22-Sep-11 17:29 1.90 Horse Racing / Ponte 22nd Sep : 1m4f Hcap 22-Sep-11 17:25 22-Sep-11 17:28 -7.40 Horse Racing / Perth 22nd Sep : 2m4f Hcap Chs 22-Sep-11 17:15 22-Sep-11 17:21 0.00 Horse Racing / Newm 22nd Sep : 6f Hcap 22-Sep-11 17:05 22-Sep-11 17:07 -4.00 Horse Racing / Ponte 22nd Sep : 1m Mdn Stks 22-Sep-11 16:50 22-Sep-11 16:52 -7.40 Horse Racing / Perth 22nd Sep : 2m Hcap Hrd 22-Sep-11 16:40 22-Sep-11 16:45 10.27 Horse Racing / Fairy 22nd Sep : 2m4f Nov Hrd 22-Sep-11 16:25 22-Sep-11 16:31 1.90 Horse Racing / Ponte 22nd Sep : To Be Placed 22-Sep-11 16:15 22-Sep-11 16:20 1.90 Horse Racing / Ponte 22nd Sep : 1m2f Hcap 22-Sep-11 16:15 22-Sep-11 16:18 -9.20 Horse Racing / Perth 22nd Sep : 2m4f Hcap Hrd 22-Sep-11 16:05 22-Sep-11 16:12 11.79 Horse Racing / Newm 22nd Sep : 7f Grp3 22-Sep-11 15:55 22-Sep-11 15:57 -2.00 Horse Racing / Fairy 22nd Sep : 2m Hrd 22-Sep-11 15:50 22-Sep-11 15:56 1.90 Horse Racing / Ponte 22nd Sep : To Be Placed 22-Sep-11 15:40 22-Sep-11 15:42 3.27 Horse Racing / Ponte 22nd Sep : 5f Hcap 22-Sep-11 15:40 22-Sep-11 15:41 -2.00 Horse Racing / Newm 22nd Sep : 1m4f Listed 22-Sep-11 15:20 22-Sep-11 15:24 -4.20 Horse Racing / Ponte 22nd Sep : 1m Nursery 22-Sep-11 15:05 22-Sep-11 15:08 1.90 Horse Racing / Perth 22nd Sep : To Be Placed 22-Sep-11 14:55 22-Sep-11 15:02 -8.58 Horse Racing / Ponte 22nd Sep : 6f Mdn Stks 22-Sep-11 14:30 22-Sep-11 14:32 3.80 Horse Racing / Newm 22nd Sep : 1m Mdn Stks 22-Sep-11 14:10 22-Sep-11 14:18 1.90 Horse Racing / Albu (US) 21st Sep : R5 6f Claim 21-Sep-11 23:02 21-Sep-11 23:06 4.67 Horse Racing / PrIsleD (US) 21st Sep : R1 5f Claim 21-Sep-11 22:30 21-Sep-11 22:40 4.50 Horse Racing / Belmont (US) 21st Sep : R9 6f Claim 21-Sep-11 22:15 21-Sep-11 22:27 4.50
Break-even today ... but on horses I lost about 25 euros on UK races mostly because of my LAYing low odds in WIN market strategy ... you will see that in the last 6-7 races of the day the faves won almost every time!
Greyhound Racing: -€4.62 | Horse Racing: -€11.21 | Soccer: €17.32 Total P&L: €1.49 Horse Racing Showing 1 - 20 of 30 marketsMarket Start time Settled date Profit/loss (€)Horse Racing / Wolv 22nd Sep : To Be Placed 22-S
Acornel, WD yesterday, sorry about my comment the other day about research, id had a frustrating day where id spent too long on the forum instead of doing work and the rage rose.
All the best Coolhand
Acornel,WD yesterday, sorry about my comment the other day about research, id had a frustrating day where id spent too long on the forum instead of doing work and the rage rose.All the bestCoolhand
Added few new strategies on US races and greyhound races ... this might be dodgy because I don't have enough history information in order to define/verify my newly added strategies ... but I think it worth a try.
On US races, contrary as what Lord Bobbbin suggested the other day, I am BACKing low odds in Place market . Last night the result was poor mostly because I did some mistakes re the stake management plan but we will see how this strategy will perform in a long run.
Added few new strategies on US races and greyhound races ... this might be dodgy because I don't have enough history information in order to define/verify my newly added strategies ... but I think it worth a try.On US races, contrary as what Lord Bob
Horse Racing Showing 1 - 20 of 60 markets Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (€) Horse Racing / Dund 23rd Sep : To Be Placed 23-Sep-11 20:30 23-Sep-11 20:53 3.80 Horse Racing / Wolv 23rd Sep : To Be Placed 23-Sep-11 20:45 23-Sep-11 20:49 -1.21 Horse Racing / Wolv 23rd Sep : 1m1f Hcap 23-Sep-11 20:45 23-Sep-11 20:48 9.51 Horse Racing / FingL (US) 23rd Sep : To Be Placed 23-Sep-11 20:17 23-Sep-11 20:47 3.30 Horse Racing / Dund 23rd Sep : 1m4f Hcap 23-Sep-11 20:30 23-Sep-11 20:41 5.71 Horse Racing / Louis (US) 23rd Sep : To Be Placed 23-Sep-11 20:25 23-Sep-11 20:35 4.42 Horse Racing / FingL (US) 23rd Sep : To Be Placed 23-Sep-11 19:50 23-Sep-11 20:34 -3.70 Horse Racing / Wolv 23rd Sep : To Be Placed 23-Sep-11 20:15 23-Sep-11 20:19 1.90 Horse Racing / Wolv 23rd Sep : 1m Hcap 23-Sep-11 20:15 23-Sep-11 20:17 5.62 Horse Racing / Dund 23rd Sep : To Be Placed 23-Sep-11 20:00 23-Sep-11 20:11 -8.28 Horse Racing / Dund 23rd Sep : 1m Hcap 23-Sep-11 20:00 23-Sep-11 20:10 -30.60 Horse Racing / Louis (US) 23rd Sep : To Be Placed 23-Sep-11 19:55 23-Sep-11 20:03 4.32 Horse Racing / Wolv 23rd Sep : To Be Placed 23-Sep-11 19:45 23-Sep-11 19:49 1.90 Horse Racing / Wolv 23rd Sep : 1m Hcap 23-Sep-11 19:45 23-Sep-11 19:47 2.66 Horse Racing / Dund 23rd Sep : To Be Placed 23-Sep-11 19:30 23-Sep-11 19:44 1.90 Horse Racing / Dund 23rd Sep : 1m Hcap 23-Sep-11 19:30 23-Sep-11 19:42 -4.00 Horse Racing / Wolv 23rd Sep : 7f Mdn Stks 23-Sep-11 19:15 23-Sep-11 19:17 -4.60 Horse Racing / Wolv 23rd Sep : 7f Mdn Stks 23-Sep-11 18:45 23-Sep-11 18:48 -2.00 Horse Racing / Wolv 23rd Sep : To Be Placed 23-Sep-11 18:15 23-Sep-11 18:21 1.90 Horse Racing / Dund 23rd Sep : To Be Placed 23-Sep-11 18:00 23-Sep-11 18:08 1.90 Horse Racing / FingL (US) 23rd Sep : To Be Placed 23-Sep-11 17:35 23-Sep-11 17:43 4.26 Horse Racing / Newm 23rd Sep : 1m2f Hcap 23-Sep-11 17:20 23-Sep-11 17:22 -2.20 Horse Racing / Wolv 23rd Sep : To Be Placed 23-Sep-11 17:15 23-Sep-11 17:19 3.36 Horse Racing / Wolv 23rd Sep : 6f Hcap 23-Sep-11 17:15 23-Sep-11 17:17 9.89 Horse Racing / Worc 23rd Sep : To Be Placed 23-Sep-11 17:05 23-Sep-11 17:10 -5.62 Horse Racing / Hayd 23rd Sep : To Be Placed 23-Sep-11 16:55 23-Sep-11 17:01 -5.01 Horse Racing / Hayd 23rd Sep : 1m2f Hcap 23-Sep-11 16:55 23-Sep-11 16:58 -4.00 Horse Racing / List 23rd Sep : To Be Placed 23-Sep-11 16:50 23-Sep-11 16:57 -2.60 Horse Racing / List 23rd Sep : 2m INHF 23-Sep-11 16:50 23-Sep-11 16:57 14.40 Horse Racing / Worc 23rd Sep : 2m Hcap Chs 23-Sep-11 16:30 23-Sep-11 16:34 -6.20 Horse Racing / Hayd 23rd Sep : 1m6f Hcap 23-Sep-11 16:20 23-Sep-11 16:24 -2.00 Horse Racing / Worc 23rd Sep : To Be Placed 23-Sep-11 15:55 23-Sep-11 16:02 -8.40 Horse Racing / Worc 23rd Sep : 3m Hcap Hrd 23-Sep-11 15:55 23-Sep-11 16:01 7.16 Horse Racing / List 23rd Sep : To Be Placed 23-Sep-11 15:40 23-Sep-11 15:48 -7.73 Horse Racing / Worc 23rd Sep : To Be Placed 23-Sep-11 15:20 23-Sep-11 15:43 1.90 Horse Racing / Newm 23rd Sep : 7f Mdn Stks 23-Sep-11 15:35 23-Sep-11 15:38 -4.00 Horse Racing / Newm 23rd Sep : 1m Grp1 23-Sep-11 15:00 23-Sep-11 15:04 1.90 Horse Racing / Worc 23rd Sep : To Be Placed 23-Sep-11 14:45 23-Sep-11 14:50 3.46 Horse Racing / Worc 23rd Sep : 2m Hcap Hrd 23-Sep-11 14:45 23-Sep-11 14:49 -2.00 Horse Racing / Hayd 23rd Sep : To Be Placed 23-Sep-11 14:35 23-Sep-11 14:43 3.46 Horse Racing / Newm 23rd Sep : To Be Placed 23-Sep-11 14:25 23-Sep-11 14:30 1.90 Horse Racing / Worc 23rd Sep : 2m4f Mdn Hrd 23-Sep-11 14:15 23-Sep-11 14:22 -4.00 Horse Racing / List 23rd Sep : 2m Mdn Hrd 23-Sep-11 14:00 23-Sep-11 14:06 1.90 Horse Racing / Newm 23rd Sep : 1m Listed 23-Sep-11 13:50 23-Sep-11 13:54 -2.00 Horse Racing / Worc 23rd Sep : To Be Placed 23-Sep-11 13:40 23-Sep-11 13:48 -8.67 Horse Racing / Newm 23rd Sep : 7f Grp3 23-Sep-11 13:15 23-Sep-11 13:18 8.37 Horse Racing / RemmP (US) 22nd Sep : R4 1m Claim 23-Sep-11 01:54 23-Sep-11 02:03 4.35 Horse Racing / Turfway (US) 22nd Sep : To Be Placed 23-Sep-11 01:24 23-Sep-11 01:39 2.63 Horse Racing / CharlT (US) 22nd Sep : To Be Placed 23-Sep-11 01:07 23-Sep-11 01:19 -4.47 Horse Racing / CharlT (US) 22nd Sep : To Be Placed 23-Sep-11 00:41 23-Sep-11 00:50 -3.65 Horse Racing / PrIsleD (US) 22nd Sep : To Be Placed 23-Sep-11 00:35 23-Sep-11 00:49 -3.78 Horse Racing / PrIsleD (US) 22nd Sep : R6 1m Allw 23-Sep-11 00:35 23-Sep-11 00:48 4.26 Horse Racing / RemmP (US) 22nd Sep : To Be Placed 23-Sep-11 00:30 23-Sep-11 00:41 5.63 Horse Racing / PrIsleD (US) 22nd Sep : To Be Placed 23-Sep-11 00:10 23-Sep-11 00:22 1.14 Horse Racing / Albu (US) 22nd Sep : To Be Placed 23-Sep-11 00:11 23-Sep-11 00:17 -4.11 Horse Racing / Turfway (US) 22nd Sep : To Be Placed 22-Sep-11 23:57 23-Sep-11 00:06 -0.60 Horse Racing / Louis (US) 22nd Sep : To Be Placed 22-Sep-11 23:44 23-Sep-11 00:04 -15.01 ... overstake - mistake Horse Racing / PrIsleD (US) 22nd Sep : To Be Placed 22-Sep-11 23:20 22-Sep-11 23:37 5.36 Horse Racing / Albu (US) 22nd Sep : To Be Placed 22-Sep-11 23:25 22-Sep-11 23:29 -4.51 Horse Racing / Turfway (US) 22nd Sep : R1 5f Claim 22-Sep-11 22:30 22-Sep-11 22:41 -26.00
Good day on greyhound races, poor on US races (a HIT and a mistake) and one HIT on UK races. Some strategies almost lost their allocated bank so they will end soon ... some other are performing quite well (the best one almost doubled its bank).
Greyhound Racing: €26.47 | Horse Racing: -€46.78 | Soccer: -€13.45 Total P&L: -€33.76 Horse Racing Showing 1 - 20 of 60 marketsMarket Start time Settled date Profit/loss (€)Horse Racing / Dund 23rd Sep : To Be Placed 2
Greyhound Racing Showing 1 - 10 of 10 markets Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (€) Greyhound Racing / Sheff 23rd Sep : To Be Placed 23-Sep-11 20:43 23-Sep-11 20:45 4.01 Greyhound Racing / Sheff 23rd Sep : To Be Placed 23-Sep-11 19:58 23-Sep-11 20:00 1.93 Greyhound Racing / Nott 23rd Sep : To Be Placed 23-Sep-11 19:52 23-Sep-11 19:55 1.93 Greyhound Racing / Nott 23rd Sep : A3 500m 23-Sep-11 18:48 23-Sep-11 18:51 2.89 Greyhound Racing / Swin 23rd Sep : S2 685m 23-Sep-11 16:08 23-Sep-11 16:10 2.85 Greyhound Racing / Monm 23rd Sep : To Be Placed 23-Sep-11 15:58 23-Sep-11 16:00 1.90 Greyhound Racing / Hove 23rd Sep : A11 515m 23-Sep-11 13:44 23-Sep-11 13:49 2.81 Greyhound Racing / Hove 23rd Sep : A6 515m 23-Sep-11 13:12 23-Sep-11 13:14 2.73 Greyhound Racing / Hove 23rd Sep : A4 515m 23-Sep-11 12:58 23-Sep-11 13:02 2.73 Greyhound Racing / Hove 23rd Sep : A8 515m 23-Sep-11 12:42 23-Sep-11 12:44 2.69
Only winners ... for sure it is a coincidence.
Greyhound Racing Showing 1 - 10 of 10 marketsMarket Start time Settled date Profit/loss (€)Greyhound Racing / Sheff 23rd Sep : To Be Placed 23-Sep-11 20:43 23-Sep-11 20:45 4.01Greyhound Racing / Sheff 23rd Sep : To Be Pl
Horse Racing Showing 1 - 20 of 63 markets Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (€) Horse Racing / Wolv 24th Sep : To Be Placed 24-Sep-11 20:50 24-Sep-11 20:59 1.99 Horse Racing / Wolv 24th Sep : 1m1f Hcap 24-Sep-11 20:50 24-Sep-11 20:52 1.90 Horse Racing / Monm (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed 24-Sep-11 20:25 24-Sep-11 20:37 -3.55 Horse Racing / Wolv 24th Sep : To Be Placed 24-Sep-11 20:20 24-Sep-11 20:25 3.30 Horse Racing / Woodb (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed 24-Sep-11 20:00 24-Sep-11 20:23 3.49 Horse Racing / Parx (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed 24-Sep-11 19:44 24-Sep-11 19:55 3.48 Horse Racing / Wolv 24th Sep : To Be Placed 24-Sep-11 19:50 24-Sep-11 19:55 -3.60 Horse Racing / Wolv 24th Sep : 1m Hcap 24-Sep-11 19:50 24-Sep-11 19:54 1.90 Horse Racing / Belmont (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed 24-Sep-11 19:36 24-Sep-11 19:49 -2.15 Horse Racing / Wolv 24th Sep : 7f Hcap 24-Sep-11 19:20 24-Sep-11 19:24 -2.00 Horse Racing / Parx (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed 24-Sep-11 19:08 24-Sep-11 19:18 -4.27 Horse Racing / Belmont (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed 24-Sep-11 19:04 24-Sep-11 19:16 -2.36 Horse Racing / Woodb (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed 24-Sep-11 18:57 24-Sep-11 19:05 -2.00 Horse Racing / Monm (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed 24-Sep-11 18:52 24-Sep-11 19:02 -5.73 Horse Racing / Turfway (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed 24-Sep-11 18:40 24-Sep-11 18:49 -2.00 Horse Racing / Woodb (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed 24-Sep-11 18:28 24-Sep-11 18:37 3.78 Horse Racing / Wolv 24th Sep : To Be Placed 24-Sep-11 18:20 24-Sep-11 18:23 3.23 Horse Racing / Chest 24th Sep : 1m5f Hcap 24-Sep-11 17:55 24-Sep-11 17:59 0.00 Horse Racing / Wolv 24th Sep : 5f Claim Stks 24-Sep-11 17:50 24-Sep-11 17:53 -9.00 Horse Racing / Parx (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed 24-Sep-11 17:33 24-Sep-11 17:43 3.68 Horse Racing / Navan 24th Sep : To Be Placed 24-Sep-11 17:30 24-Sep-11 17:36 3.80 Horse Racing / Navan 24th Sep : 2m INHF 24-Sep-11 17:30 24-Sep-11 17:36 1.90 Horse Racing / Ripon 24th Sep : 1m4f Mdn Stks 24-Sep-11 17:25 24-Sep-11 17:29 9.89 Horse Racing / Chest 24th Sep : To Be Placed 24-Sep-11 17:20 24-Sep-11 17:26 1.90 Horse Racing / Chest 24th Sep : 6f Hcap 24-Sep-11 17:20 24-Sep-11 17:22 12.17 Horse Racing / GowP 24th Sep : 1m Mdn 24-Sep-11 17:15 24-Sep-11 17:20 -6.67 Horse Racing / MrktR 24th Sep : To Be Placed 24-Sep-11 17:10 24-Sep-11 17:17 -8.00 Horse Racing / MrktR 24th Sep : 2m1f NHF 24-Sep-11 17:10 24-Sep-11 17:14 -2.00 Horse Racing / Newm 24th Sep : 7f Hcap 24-Sep-11 17:00 24-Sep-11 17:05 -2.00 Horse Racing / Hayd 24th Sep : To Be Placed 24-Sep-11 16:30 24-Sep-11 16:38 3.18 Horse Racing / GowP 24th Sep : 1m Nursery 24-Sep-11 16:05 24-Sep-11 16:11 1.90 Horse Racing / Hayd 24th Sep : To Be Placed 24-Sep-11 15:55 24-Sep-11 16:02 1.90 Horse Racing / GowP 24th Sep : To Be Placed 24-Sep-11 15:30 24-Sep-11 15:36 -4.20 Horse Racing / GowP 24th Sep : 1m1f Grp3 24-Sep-11 15:30 24-Sep-11 15:36 3.85 Horse Racing / Ripon 24th Sep : To Be Placed 24-Sep-11 15:15 24-Sep-11 15:20 1.90 Horse Racing / Newm 24th Sep : To Be Placed 24-Sep-11 15:10 24-Sep-11 15:14 -6.00 Horse Racing / Chest 24th Sep : To Be Placed 24-Sep-11 15:00 24-Sep-11 15:07 1.90 Horse Racing / Chest 24th Sep : 5f Nursery 24-Sep-11 15:00 24-Sep-11 15:05 9.51 Horse Racing / GowP 24th Sep : To Be Placed 24-Sep-11 14:55 24-Sep-11 15:04 1.90 Horse Racing / GowP 24th Sep : 1m1f Hcap 24-Sep-11 14:55 24-Sep-11 15:03 1.90 Horse Racing / Hayd 24th Sep : To Be Placed 24-Sep-11 14:45 24-Sep-11 14:54 1.90 Horse Racing / MrktR 24th Sep : 2m1f Hcap Hrd 24-Sep-11 14:20 24-Sep-11 14:27 7.54 Horse Racing / Hayd 24th Sep : 1m2f Hcap 24-Sep-11 14:15 24-Sep-11 14:19 3.74 Horse Racing / Ripon 24th Sep : 6f Sell Stks 24-Sep-11 14:10 24-Sep-11 14:14 -2.00 Horse Racing / Newm 24th Sep : 1m Grp2 24-Sep-11 14:05 24-Sep-11 14:07 -6.40 Horse Racing / MrktR 24th Sep : 2m3f Hcap Hrd 24-Sep-11 13:50 24-Sep-11 13:57 -2.00 Horse Racing / Hayd 24th Sep : 1m Mdn Stks 24-Sep-11 13:40 24-Sep-11 13:46 -2.00 Horse Racing / Turfway (US) 23rd Sep : To Be Placed 24-Sep-11 02:51 24-Sep-11 02:59 -6.97 Horse Racing / RemmP (US) 23rd Sep : To Be Placed 24-Sep-11 02:50 24-Sep-11 02:59 -2.09 Horse Racing / CharlT (US) 23rd Sep : To Be Placed 24-Sep-11 02:00 24-Sep-11 02:11 -2.10 Horse Racing / Turfway (US) 23rd Sep : To Be Placed 24-Sep-11 01:24 24-Sep-11 01:37 0.38 Horse Racing / CharlT (US) 23rd Sep : To Be Placed 24-Sep-11 00:41 24-Sep-11 00:50 -2.95 Horse Racing / PrIsleD (US) 23rd Sep : To Be Placed 24-Sep-11 00:35 24-Sep-11 00:41 -3.09 Horse Racing / MountP (US) 23rd Sep : To Be Placed 24-Sep-11 00:25 24-Sep-11 00:34 -2.86 Horse Racing / CharlT (US) 23rd Sep : To Be Placed 24-Sep-11 00:15 24-Sep-11 00:22 -3.23 Horse Racing / Turfway (US) 23rd Sep : R4 6f Allw 23-Sep-11 23:57 24-Sep-11 00:05 4.42 Horse Racing / Penn (US) 23rd Sep : To Be Placed 23-Sep-11 23:49 24-Sep-11 00:04 1.64 Horse Racing / PrIsleD (US) 23rd Sep : To Be Placed 23-Sep-11 23:20 23-Sep-11 23:25 4.01 Horse Racing / Woodb (US) 23rd Sep : To Be Placed 23-Sep-11 23:04 23-Sep-11 23:13 4.19 Horse Racing / Turfway (US) 23rd Sep : To Be Placed 23-Sep-11 22:59 23-Sep-11 23:07 -5.38 Horse Racing / PrIsleD (US) 23rd Sep : To Be Placed 23-Sep-11 22:55 23-Sep-11 23:04 -2.29 Horse Racing / Woodb (US) 23rd Sep : To Be Placed 23-Sep-11 22:34 23-Sep-11 22:41 -2.23 Horse Racing / Louis (US) 23rd Sep : To Be Placed 23-Sep-11 21:54 23-Sep-11 22:08 3.25
Almost break even today ... 3 more winning bets on greyhound races ... no HIT on horses but many small winnings/losses. The number of bets on US races increased but the BACKing strategy in PLACE market lost a considerably amount.
Greyhound Racing: €7.99 | Horse Racing: €4.30 | Soccer: -€0.57 Total P&L: €11.72 Horse Racing Showing 1 - 20 of 63 marketsMarket Start time Settled date Profit/loss (€)Horse Racing / Wolv 24th Sep : To Be Placed 24-Sep
Soccer / Oud-Heverlee Leuven v Genk : Correct Score 24-Sep-11 19:00 24-Sep-11 20:57 4.75 Soccer / ADO Den Haag v VVV : Correct Score 24-Sep-11 18:45 24-Sep-11 20:42 -41.01 Soccer / Valenciennes v Marseille : Correct Score 24-Sep-11 18:00 24-Sep-11 20:10 4.44 Soccer / Nice v Dijon : Correct Score 24-Sep-11 18:00 24-Sep-11 19:57 4.44 Soccer / Lyon v Bordeaux : Correct Score 24-Sep-11 18:00 24-Sep-11 19:51 4.44 Soccer / Lyon v Bordeaux : Over/Under 3.5 Goals 24-Sep-11 18:00 24-Sep-11 19:45 9.52 Soccer / B Munich v Leverkusen : Correct Score 24-Sep-11 17:30 24-Sep-11 19:23 4.44 Soccer / Bologna v Inter : Correct Score 24-Sep-11 17:00 24-Sep-11 19:01 4.21 Soccer / Barcelona B v Rec de Huelva : Correct Score 24-Sep-11 17:00 24-Sep-11 18:50 4.21 Soccer / KV Mechelen v Lokeren : Over/Under 1.5 Goals 24-Sep-11 17:00 24-Sep-11 18:46 4.75 Soccer / Bologna v Inter : Over/Under 2.5 goals 24-Sep-11 17:00 24-Sep-11 18:44 3.14 Soccer / Girona v Las Palmas : Correct Score 24-Sep-11 17:00 24-Sep-11 18:39 4.21 Soccer / St Mirren v Kilmarnock : Correct Score 24-Sep-11 15:00 24-Sep-11 16:55 4.73 Soccer / Wigan v Tottenham : Correct Score 24-Sep-11 15:00 24-Sep-11 16:54 4.73 Soccer / Celtic v Inverness CT : Correct Score 24-Sep-11 15:00 24-Sep-11 16:51 -31.12 Soccer / Nocerina v Torino : Over/Under 1.5 Goals 24-Sep-11 14:00 24-Sep-11 15:22 4.70 Soccer / Albinoleffe v Sampdoria : Over/Under 1.5 Goals 24-Sep-11 14:00 24-Sep-11 15:08 4.85
Celtic and ADO Den Haag disappointed me ... it could have been a good day (lucky also ... I won 3 bets at the last second of the game) if at least one of these two teams had scored one more goal.
Soccer / Oud-Heverlee Leuven v Genk : Correct Score 24-Sep-11 19:00 24-Sep-11 20:57 4.75Soccer / ADO Den Haag v VVV : Correct Score 24-Sep-11 18:45 24-Sep-11 20:42 -41.01Soccer / Valenciennes v Marseille : Correct Score 24
Greyhound Racing: €11.89 | Horse Racing: -€38.61 Total P&L: -€26.72
Horse Racing Showing 1 - 20 of 48 markets Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (€) Horse Racing / Turfway (US) 25th Sep : To Be Placed 25-Sep-11 18:39 25-Sep-11 18:50 3.79 Horse Racing / Turfway (US) 25th Sep : To Be Placed 25-Sep-11 18:10 25-Sep-11 18:21 3.69 Horse Racing / Muss 25th Sep : 5f Hcap 25-Sep-11 18:00 25-Sep-11 18:05 -4.00 Horse Racing / Parx (US) 25th Sep : To Be Placed 25-Sep-11 17:46 25-Sep-11 17:59 3.43 Horse Racing / Curr 25th Sep : To Be Placed 25-Sep-11 17:25 25-Sep-11 17:39 -7.89 Horse Racing / Curr 25th Sep : 1m2f Mdn 25-Sep-11 17:25 25-Sep-11 17:38 2.28 Horse Racing / Clon 25th Sep : To Be Placed 25-Sep-11 17:05 25-Sep-11 17:17 -4.60 Horse Racing / Muss 25th Sep : To Be Placed 25-Sep-11 17:00 25-Sep-11 17:05 1.90 Horse Racing / Muss 25th Sep : 5f Nursery 25-Sep-11 17:00 25-Sep-11 17:04 1.90 Horse Racing / Curr 25th Sep : To Be Placed 25-Sep-11 16:55 25-Sep-11 17:04 1.90 Horse Racing / Epsm 25th Sep : 1m2f Mdn Stks 25-Sep-11 16:45 25-Sep-11 16:53 1.90 Horse Racing / Clon 25th Sep : To Be Placed 25-Sep-11 16:35 25-Sep-11 16:44 1.90 Horse Racing / Clon 25th Sep : 3m Nov Chs 25-Sep-11 16:35 25-Sep-11 16:44 1.90 Horse Racing / Muss 25th Sep : To Be Placed 25-Sep-11 16:30 25-Sep-11 16:37 1.90 Horse Racing / Muss 25th Sep : 1m Hcap 25-Sep-11 16:30 25-Sep-11 16:35 0.00 Horse Racing / Epsm 25th Sep : To Be Placed 25-Sep-11 16:10 25-Sep-11 16:21 1.90 Horse Racing / Clon 25th Sep : 3m Hcap Hrd 25-Sep-11 16:00 25-Sep-11 16:11 -70.88 Horse Racing / Muss 25th Sep : 7f Hcap 25-Sep-11 15:55 25-Sep-11 15:57 -9.00 Horse Racing / Curr 25th Sep : 7f Stks 25-Sep-11 15:45 25-Sep-11 15:53 1.90 Horse Racing / Epsm 25th Sep : 1m2f Hcap 25-Sep-11 15:35 25-Sep-11 15:40 -2.00 Horse Racing / Clon 25th Sep : To Be Placed 25-Sep-11 15:25 25-Sep-11 15:33 3.43 Horse Racing / Curr 25th Sep : To Be Placed 25-Sep-11 15:10 25-Sep-11 15:16 1.90 Horse Racing / Curr 25th Sep : 7f Grp3 25-Sep-11 15:10 25-Sep-11 15:16 0.00 Horse Racing / Epsm 25th Sep : To Be Placed 25-Sep-11 15:00 25-Sep-11 15:08 -0.07 Horse Racing / Clon 25th Sep : To Be Placed 25-Sep-11 14:55 25-Sep-11 15:03 6.61 Horse Racing / Curr 25th Sep : To Be Placed 25-Sep-11 14:40 25-Sep-11 14:49 3.80 Horse Racing / Muss 25th Sep : 1m4f Sell Stks 25-Sep-11 14:15 25-Sep-11 14:18 0.00 Horse Racing / Epsm 25th Sep : 7f Nursery 25-Sep-11 14:00 25-Sep-11 14:02 -2.00 Horse Racing / MountP (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed 25-Sep-11 02:55 25-Sep-11 03:04 3.44 Horse Racing / MountP (US) 24th Sep : R8 1m2f Allw 25-Sep-11 02:55 25-Sep-11 03:03 3.40 Horse Racing / RemmP (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed 25-Sep-11 02:50 25-Sep-11 02:56 3.45 Horse Racing / RemmP (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed 25-Sep-11 02:22 25-Sep-11 02:28 1.64 Horse Racing / MountP (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed 25-Sep-11 02:05 25-Sep-11 02:11 -2.00 Horse Racing / RemmP (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed 25-Sep-11 01:26 25-Sep-11 01:33 6.60 Horse Racing / Penn (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed 25-Sep-11 00:38 25-Sep-11 00:50 -7.57 Horse Racing / MountP (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed 25-Sep-11 00:25 25-Sep-11 00:32 -3.61 Horse Racing / CharlT (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed 25-Sep-11 00:15 25-Sep-11 00:26 -2.85 Horse Racing / Penn (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed 24-Sep-11 23:49 24-Sep-11 23:58 -2.00 Horse Racing / Turfway (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed 24-Sep-11 23:33 24-Sep-11 23:44 -2.49 Horse Racing / Turfway (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed 24-Sep-11 23:05 24-Sep-11 23:20 -1.83 Horse Racing / Woodb (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed 24-Sep-11 22:42 24-Sep-11 23:02 -2.00 Horse Racing / Belmont (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed 24-Sep-11 22:50 24-Sep-11 23:00 3.49 Horse Racing / Belmont (US) 24th Sep : R10 6f Claim 24-Sep-11 22:50 24-Sep-11 22:59 4.44 Horse Racing / Monm (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed 24-Sep-11 22:27 24-Sep-11 22:44 7.19 Horse Racing / Emerald (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed 24-Sep-11 22:33 24-Sep-11 22:41 3.54 Horse Racing / Turfway (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed 24-Sep-11 22:30 24-Sep-11 22:37 -1.71 Horse Racing / Woodb (US) 24th Sep : To Be Placed 24-Sep-11 22:10 24-Sep-11 22:22 0.31 Horse Racing / Turfway (US) 24th Sep : R8 6f Grd3 24-Sep-11 21:55 24-Sep-11 22:02 4.36
Important HIT on horses today ... greyhound are still performing quite well. Quite disappointed because it was the strategy that performed the best until now that has registered an important loss today.
Greyhound Racing: €11.89 | Horse Racing: -€38.61 Total P&L: -€26.72Horse Racing Showing 1 - 20 of 48 marketsMarket Start time Settled date Profit/loss (€)Horse Racing / Turfway (US) 25th Sep : To Be Placed 25-Sep-11 18:39
Horror day yesterday with too many HITs ... about to claw back a part today but still ... It looks like I am getting nowhere so I have decided to stop posting until I'll find smth that deserve to be published (or the GRAIL as DFC would say)
Many thanks for all your comments and advices!
Horror day yesterday with too many HITs ... about to claw back a part today but still ...It looks like I am getting nowhere so I have decided to stop posting until I'll find smth that deserve to be published (or the GRAIL as DFC would say) Many thank
Hi Acornel. I'm currently on a self-enforced holiday from the forum, but I've still been keeping up with your thread, so I thought I'd pop back briefly and give you a few words... (Whether appreciated or not!)
It's important you don't get discouraged about what's happened. I suspect the problems are in your systems not being tested properly. You're extremely diligent, and you definitely have the work ethic and the ideas needed to succeed. But unless a system is tested thoroughly, you have no way of knowing whether it's going to work in the real world or not.
I imagine your testing methods go something like this: You take a load of form and results, put them through the wringer and then see what trends emerge. You then come up with a series of rules and you make that your system. If things appear not to be working, you bring in new rules and modify the older ones so that your system continues to produce good 'results'. Is this familiar?
If so, don't worry about it - all of us who experiment with systems start out this way. (Well, okay, maybe not Catflappo but..) The key is this - until you've clarified your rules and set them in stone, you haven't done an ounce of real testing. Once (and *only* once) you've determined exactly what your system is and precisely what parameters you'll be using (which types of race, number of runners, what points lead you'll insist on, which odds you'll be looking for etc.), you're ready to start proper testing. And that means subjecting the system to a brand new set of races.
If you now test the system with a large sample of completely new races, and the system seems to be making good money without you having to modify the rules in any way, then you may have the basis of a good system. However, what you'll usually find is that, when faced with a new set of data, the system suddenly stops working. It's amazing how many times a strong trend appears from one set of data, but then dissolves as soon as it's tested against new stuff. As I say, almost everyone who tries creating a mechanical system comes up against this curvefitting problem, so you shouldn't feel discouraged.
However, it is important that you don't commit money to a system until you have laid down all of the rules and then tested it thoroughly against new data (as many months as you can). If you can test it for a few days or weeks without putting in any money (hard to resist the temptation, I know) then so much the better. The fact that you seemed to be coming up with new systems (the greyhounds, for instance) almost overnight suggests to me that your testing procedures aren't thorough enough.
Also, if I can offer one little piece of advice: Making mechanical systems that earn money week in and week out is very difficult. That's so even for somebody with vast experience of a market. However, a related field you might want to explore is creating statistics that you can use to determine where there's value.
In the UK racing arena, for example, there's very little information available on trainers (how well they work with horses making their debut, which types of race they seem to have the most success in, whether their horses do well after coming back from a lay-off, whether the trainers are good at winning with horses who have just been bought for their barn etc.). These figures work well enough in US racing, where they're freely available to those who bother to look at the form. In the UK, where such statistics are very hard to come by, I imagine they'd be worth a lot of money if played in races where a trainer has good percentages (30% upwards, for instance).
There are plenty of other situations where you can compare the horse to its competitors and then come up with some percentages that tell you how well it should do against that field. If you explore these avenues, I'm sure you can come up with some interesting statistics that will give you an advantage over the typical Betfair punter when that factor is particularly strong in a certain horse or in a certain race.
Again, don't be upset about what's happened. Many of us have been there, but I see you as being one of the strong-willed intelligent systematic types who can come through the other side and create something worth relying on. As Thomas Edison said, 'I have not failed. I've just found 10,000 ways that won't work!' I'm guessing it won't take you 10,000 ways before you succeed. Good luck, Lord Bobbin
Hi Acornel. I'm currently on a self-enforced holiday from the forum, but I've still been keeping up with your thread, so I thought I'd pop back briefly and give you a few words... (Whether appreciated or not!)It's important you don't get discouraged
i feel like ive tried 10.000 ideas but the fact is i dont have the patience lordbobbin sitting at a pc all day is getting to me
i feel like my minds a rollercoater i explore am idea something goes wrong then ill get pissed off bin it ry anoither idea get pissed off bin it repeat process
its not healthy sittin in front of a pc writin down stats unless im going to get some where believe me the ideas ive tried are crazy some of them
i was thinking there now maybe i should lay outsiders back short odds but then ive said theres no pint we know what will happen
maybe if i can jsut be patient and spend a two weeeks or so writing down stats but its stressful wiring details of every fave that goes 2-1 at the 2 minute mark before race start really is messed uo and my minds so messed up i cant read form properly anymore i really dont know how can people win day in day out yes im sounding like paulme
i now have paulme syndrome
i feel like ive tried 10.000 ideas but the fact is i dont have the patience lordbobbin sitting at a pc all day is getting to me i feel like my minds a rollercoater i explore am idea something goes wrong then ill get pissed off bin it ry anoither idea
Paulme syndrome? Well you want to get rid of that Dev! It's going to be a scorcher today, so perhaps you should go for a swan around the park or something, and just clear your mind for a few hours?
It is difficult if you can't program or don't have a way of electronically recording the form that's coming in. But which factors are you writing down?
Paulme syndrome? Well you want to get rid of that Dev! It's going to be a scorcher today, so perhaps you should go for a swan around the park or something, and just clear your mind for a few hours?It is difficult if you can't program or don't ha
odds beetween first two favorites form figures a field rating where i would add up the number of horses that finished in the first two last time out and divide it my the number iof horses to see if there was a relation but that kind of stupid becuase theres horses dropping class that could have finsih 6th of 8 lto in a better race pace so they would still be a threat lenghts like how many lenths the horse won by last time out etc
odds beetween first two favorites form figures a field rating where i would add up the number of horses that finished in the first two last time out and divide it my the number iof horses to see if there was a relation but that kind of stupid becuase
i dont think there are any mechanical systems there was a horse the other night at mountaineer park look a dead cert to place it went off at 1-5 didnt even place the bridge jumpers got stung all form said it would place the only factor i can think of it not placing might have been it was sloppy but if horses like that cant place then do we have much hope i know the horse would not have been value to place proabbaly im usining it as an example
there was a team this morning started off 1.36 all form pointed to them winning there now 2-0 down all tho i did see something strange they were 1.90 after like 20 mins or something with no red cards
i dont think there are any mechanical systems there was a horse the other night at mountaineer park look a dead cert to place it went off at 1-5 didnt even place the bridge jumpers got stung all form said it would place the only factor i can think of
Was that horse the 5. Big Thompson in R6 on Monday night? That horse looked like it ought to be the best, but it was way too short. Its last race had been good, but the three before that had been a little indifferent (poor Beyer figures) and it wasn't coming down in class. Its one performance on a sloppy/muddy track hadn't been great.
On the other hand, the 8 had a brilliant performance in its one sloppy/muddy race, so that would have been a good horse to put up against it - it came 2nd. You couldn't really have backed the newcomer (who won), since its first-time-starting sire stats weren't great, and the workouts were only adequate. Nonetheless, first-time starters in a Maiden Special Weight always need to be taken seriously, particularly if there's money coming for them. The 1 also had competitive figures and could possibly have won.
The fave was likely to win if it repeated its performance from the previous race, but it was an inconsistent horse, and if it regressed slightly it was going to be vulnerable - its other three Beyer figures probably weren't good enough to win it this race. At those short odds, that's the sort of horse worth laying in a race where few of the horses have any real form, and anything can happen.
Was that horse the 5. Big Thompson in R6 on Monday night? That horse looked like it ought to be the best, but it was way too short. Its last race had been good, but the three before that had been a little indifferent (poor Beyer figures) and it was