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DFCIRONMAN
02 Aug 11 21:54
Joined:
Date Joined: 04 Dec 04
| Topic/replies: 29,282 | Blogger: DFCIRONMAN's blog
Had a "few" drinks.....and under "some" pressure re "personal life"......but want to have a go at "guessing" on how football matches MIGHT go.....generally laying a CS.

Using starting BANK £76.74........for this purpose...........and some bets WILL be far too much re taking all factors into a/c........but hoping kennilworth will accept I POST BEFORE MATCH STARTS!


layed  1-0...as believe that HOME TEAM WILL WIN...........but likely to be at least 2 goals in game......


      Fixtures 02 August / Guarani SP v Sao Caetano / Correct Score       1 - 0      Lay         02-Aug-11
21:45           10     8.00         10     02-Aug-11 21:45   



MGOFS is 2-1...or 2-2.

GL with bets
Pause Switch to Standard View GENERALLY CORRECT SCORE LAYS 2011-12
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Report PJMASTER September 17, 2011 3:14 PM BST
Hoff v Wolfsburg - not Bremen!
Report DFCIRONMAN September 17, 2011 3:18 PM BST
17'    Swansea City    1-0 (-)LaughLaughLaugh
Report DFCIRONMAN September 17, 2011 3:19 PM BST
Good stuff PJCool
Report DFCIRONMAN September 17, 2011 4:10 PM BST
50'    Dagenham & Red.0-1Morecambe

WD JS....going well today on thread!!!Laugh
Report DFCIRONMAN September 17, 2011 4:45 PM BST
Fixtures 17 September / Granada v Villarreal / Match Odds     The Draw     Lay         17-Sep-11
16:42           3.4     60.00         3.4     17-Sep-11 16:42    
    Fixtures 17 September / Granada v Villarreal / Correct Score     0 - 0     Back          17-Sep-11
16:41           12     15.00         12     17-Sep-11 16:41
===============================================================

VILLARREAL had some tough games recently ...and home team desperate to get off mark......so they may wel take the lead ....though they looked pretty hopeless the last time watched then v REAL BETIS!

May stay 0-0 for a while ......MGOFS 1-0 or 0-1....

GL with bets.
Report DFCIRONMAN September 17, 2011 4:50 PM BST
Fixtures 17 September / Mallorca v Malaga / Correct Score     1 - 1     Lay         17-Sep-11
16:48           7.8     21.00         7.8     17-Sep-11 16:48
=====================================================================


Tricky game to guess what way it goes..........

Both teams capable of winning.....Home team more likely to play a TIGHT game trying to score from set pieces......and MALAGA probably dangerous on break....But will home team attack? So hoping both nullify moves and stays 0-0 for a while ! MGOFS is 1-0 or 0-1.

GL with bets.
Report jim smith September 17, 2011 6:33 PM BST
bank £199

dfc i was watching oxford at dagenham (and again at barnet today) coz i live in london now, but always pays to keep an eye on the oppo for betting purposes. made a few bob on morecambe today Cool
Report DFCIRONMAN September 17, 2011 6:43 PM BST
Eliminated liability on DRAW and layed 1-0....in VILLARREAL game
Report DFCIRONMAN September 17, 2011 6:48 PM BST
Eliminated liability on 1-1 lay in MALAGA match too
Report DFCIRONMAN September 17, 2011 6:56 PM BST
Fixtures 17 September / Barcelona v Osasuna / Match Odds     The Draw     Lay         17-Sep-11
18:53           13.5     33.00         13.5     17-Sep-11 18:53    
    Fixtures 17 September / Barcelona v Osasuna / Correct Score     0 - 0     Back          17-Sep-11
18:53           38     15.00         40     17-Sep-11 18:53


Just hope OS don't score 1st! MGOFS 3-1.

GL with bets.
Report DFCIRONMAN September 17, 2011 7:49 PM BST
Fixtures 17 September / Inter v Roma / Correct Score    
    0 - 1     Lay          17-Sep-11
19:47           16     12.00         16     17-Sep-11 19:47


Both teams unreliable ...but INTER should score. MGOFS 3-1.


GL with bets.
Report DFCIRONMAN September 17, 2011 8:39 PM BST
0-0 HT so dn't like sitting on lay on 0-1...therefore have eleiminated liability on 0-1 by backing it ...and switched the lay to 1-1.....as looks TIGHT game and likely to finish 1-0 or 0-1....or 0-0...


Fixtures 17 September / Inter v Roma / Correct Score    
    0 - 1     Back         17-Sep-11
20:37           8.6     24.00         8.8     17-Sep-11 20:37    
   
Fixtures 17 September / Inter v Roma / Correct Score    
    1 - 1     Lay          17-Sep-11
20:36           8     24.00         8     17-Sep-11 20:36
Report DFCIRONMAN September 17, 2011 8:40 PM BST
eliminated even !
Report DFCIRONMAN September 17, 2011 9:01 PM BST
Fixtures 17 September / Sevilla v Sociedad / Correct Score     1 - 0     Lay         17-Sep-11
20:59           9.2     8.50         9.2     17-Sep-11 20:59
=============================================================================

Just believe away team will score. MGOFS 1-2.


GL with bets.
Report DFCIRONMAN September 17, 2011 9:24 PM BST
layed 0-0 in ROMA game to gain £6 ...and have a back in place on 1-1 to eliminate the liability.
Report DFCIRONMAN September 17, 2011 9:27 PM BST
Matched at 32s for £6 on....

Just need a goal ...preferably from ROMA
Report acornel September 17, 2011 9:31 PM BST
I'd be amazed to see a goal in this match ....
Report acornel September 17, 2011 9:33 PM BST
Sevilla match ... better to turn off your computer than watching it ...
Report DFCIRONMAN September 17, 2011 9:38 PM BST
SEVILLA look more likely to take lead ...so coming out on 1-0 lay by backing it....and also LAYING DRAW ( cheaper than laying 0-0!)


Fixtures 17 September / Sevilla v Sociedad / Match Odds    
    The Draw     Lay         17-Sep-11
21:36           3.3     24.00         3.26     17-Sep-11 21:36    
   
Fixtures 17 September / Sevilla v Sociedad / Correct Score    
    1 - 0     Back         17-Sep-11
21:35           4.9     24.00         4.9     17-Sep-11 21:35
Report DFCIRONMAN September 17, 2011 9:42 PM BST
massive £1.50 profit after commission on the ROMA gameCool
Report DFCIRONMAN September 17, 2011 9:46 PM BST
Fixtures 17 September / Sevilla v Sociedad / Correct Score    
    1 - 1     Back          17-Sep-11
21:43           8.6     3.00         8.6     17-Sep-11 21:43    
   
Fixtures 17 September / Sevilla v Sociedad / Correct Score    
    0 - 1     Back      17-Sep-11
21:43           12     3.00         12     17-Sep-11 21:43


Rather than lay 0-0 ( too expensive at this stage in game) .....surrounding it with backs on 1-0 /0-1 and 1-1 now....
Report DFCIRONMAN September 17, 2011 9:47 PM BST
Backed 2-2 as well ...as expect gme to come to life 2nd half....
Report acornel September 17, 2011 9:51 PM BST
DFC, do you watch many games in parallel? Or, how do you cover simultaneous events?
Report DFCIRONMAN September 17, 2011 9:54 PM BST
BF had INTER game on ....and SKY SPORTS had /has SEVILLA game on.....so 1 on computer and 1 on TV ....easy peasy !Cool


Don't always watch 2 /3 games though.......
Report DFCIRONMAN September 17, 2011 10:00 PM BST
Decided a goal will come ....so now LAYED 0-0 and backed 1-1 a bit more ....Just need 1 goal for good profit!

   
Fixtures 17 September / Sevilla v Sociedad / Correct Score    
    0 - 0     Lay         17-Sep-11
21:58           4.7     24.00         4.7     17-Sep-11 21:58    
   
Fixtures 17 September / Sevilla v Sociedad / Correct Score    
    1 - 1     Back          17-Sep-11
21:58           9     6.00         9.05     17-Sep-11 21:58



If stays 0-0 WILL BE BAD LOSSCry
Report DFCIRONMAN September 17, 2011 10:12 PM BST
Layed profit off on 1-0 ....
Report DFCIRONMAN September 17, 2011 10:14 PM BST
Fixtures 17 September / Sevilla v Sociedad / Correct Score    
    1 - 0     Lay         17-Sep-11
22:11           3.95     10.00         3.85     17-Sep-11 22:11
Report DFCIRONMAN September 17, 2011 10:16 PM BST
£4 on DRAW to reduce liability on it......an equaliser would be good now as have 1-1 and 2-2 covered....
Report DFCIRONMAN September 17, 2011 11:04 PM BST
Stopping now .......

TODAY RESULTS

Football: £153.03 | Horse Racing: £86.30  Total P&L:  £239.33

Football     Showing 1 - 14 of 14 markets
Market     Start time     Settled date     Profit/loss (£)
Football / Sevilla v Sociedad : Correct Score     17-Sep-11 21:00     17-Sep-11 22:57     5.16
Football / Sevilla v Sociedad : Match Odds     17-Sep-11 21:00     17-Sep-11 22:52     19.12
Football / Inter v Roma : Correct Score     17-Sep-11 19:45     17-Sep-11 21:43     1.61
Football / Barcelona v Osasuna : Match Odds     17-Sep-11 19:00     17-Sep-11 20:52     31.55
Football / Barcelona v Osasuna : Correct Score     17-Sep-11 19:00     17-Sep-11 19:47     -15.00
Football / Granada v Villarreal : Correct Score     17-Sep-11 17:00     17-Sep-11 18:56     -25.50
Football / Granada v Villarreal : Match Odds     17-Sep-11 17:00     17-Sep-11 18:53     17.21
Football / Mallorca v Malaga : Correct Score     17-Sep-11 17:00     17-Sep-11 18:48     11.47
Football / Swansea v West Brom : Correct Score     17-Sep-11 15:00     17-Sep-11 17:04     22.94
Football / Wolves v QPR : Correct Score     17-Sep-11 15:00     17-Sep-11 16:53     11.24
Football / Blackburn v Arsenal : Match Odds     17-Sep-11 12:45     17-Sep-11 14:37     34.99
Football / Blackburn v Arsenal : Correct Score     17-Sep-11 12:45     17-Sep-11 14:14     0.00
Football / Sendai v Niigata : Correct Score     17-Sep-11 11:00     17-Sep-11 12:58     17.21
Football / Kobe v Kashiwa : Correct Score     17-Sep-11 11:00     17-Sep-11 12:38     21.03
==================================================================================


A "good" day all round....other than me chucking over £30 on a nap that ran a stinker in the last race selected !

I eased down a gear late on re FOOTBALL ...as did not want a late HIT to ruin a good da results etc. NOT GOOD FOR MIND , OR BANK, IF GET SUCH A HIT! Having said that the position in SEVILLA game would have led to nasty HIT if it stayed 0-0 .......I did take a chance on a goal coming and SEVILLA were the ones IP that looked likely to do it ( GLAD CAME OUT LAY ON !_) )

G N the nooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 10:37 AM BST
Fixtures 18 September / Kashima v Nagoya / Correct Score    
    1 - 1     Back         18-Sep-11
10:34           8     6.93         8     18-Sep-11 10:34    
   
Fixtures 18 September / Kashima v Nagoya / Match Odds    
    The Draw     Lay         18-Sep-11
10:33           3.95     24.00         3.95     18-Sep-11 10:33
======================================================================

Could go either way ....and likely to be TIGHT game for while.....Hopefully a goal comes ....probably from away team. MGOFS is 0-1 or 1-2.

GL with bets.
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 10:48 AM BST
Fixtures 18 September / Omiya v C-Osaka / Correct Score     1 - 3     Back          18-Sep-11
10:44           21     2.00         22     18-Sep-11 10:44    
    Fixtures 18 September / Omiya v C-Osaka / Half Time/Full Time     C-Osaka/Draw     Back         18-Sep-11
10:42           16     2.00         16     18-Sep-11 10:42    
    Fixtures 18 September / Omiya v C-Osaka / Half Time/Full Time     Omiya/Draw     Back         18-Sep-11
10:42           17     2.00         17     18-Sep-11 10:42    
    Fixtures 18 September / Omiya v C-Osaka / Match Odds     The Draw     Lay         18-Sep-11
10:42           3.7     15.00         3.7     18-Sep-11 10:42    
    Fixtures 18 September / Omiya v C-Osaka / Match Odds     C-Osaka     Lay         18-Sep-11
10:42           2.56     42.00         2.56     18-Sep-11 10:42    
    Fixtures 18 September / Omiya v C-Osaka / Correct Score     0 - 0     Back          18-Sep-11
10:41           16     2.00         16     18-Sep-11 10:41    
    Fixtures 18 September / Omiya v C-Osaka / Half Time/Full Time     Omiya/C-Osaka     Back          18-Sep-11
===================================================================


As away team had a cup game recently.....I suspect their energy levels might be low for this match. Home team will want to win and try to exploit away team's position. Perhaps they grab an early goal .....well that is what I hope for. My main bet is a LAY on away team , but have hedge bets in HT/FT market and back on 0-0. MGOFS is 2-1.


GL with bets.
10:41           34     2.00         34     18-Sep-11 10:41    
    Fixtures 18 September / Omiya v C-Osaka / Half Time/Full Time     Draw/C-Osaka     Back          18-Sep-11
10:41           7     4.00         7     18-Sep-11 10:41    
    Fixtures 18 September / Omiya v C-Osaka / Half Time/Full Time     C-Osaka/C-Osaka     Back         18-Sep-11
10:41           4.3     18.00         4.3     18-Sep-11 10:41
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 12:36 PM BST
Fixtures 18 September / Rangers v Celtic / Match Odds    
    The Draw     Lay         18-Sep-11
12:34           3.25     66.00         3.25     18-Sep-11 12:34    
========================================================================

Could go either way......MGOFS 2-1 or 1-2



GL with bets.
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 12:42 PM BST
Fixtures 18 September / Tottenham v Liverpool / Correct Score     1 - 1     Lay         18-Sep-11
12:40           7.8     36.00         7.8     18-Sep-11 12:40
============================================================================

TIGHT game likely. Suspect LIVERPOOL will score.......MGOFS 1-2.

GL with bets.
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 1:00 PM BST
FT    Omiya Ardija    0-0 (0-0)    Cerezo Osaka


BAD START! £180 roughly lost on this match. Was making breakfast when a family member telephoned......and was on phone for about 40 mins! I was totally distracted from the bets...... I hurriedly (when HT ) layed off 0-0....and OVER DID STAKING!..........Never thought hard enough about position.....as was still on phone!!!! AGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH

I should have just left 0-0 back in place.....and adjusted MM......as there was a fair chance the home team would not be good enough to score ...and away team would be happy with a draw....I knew that at start of match ....but all the PRIOR THOUGHTS ON GAME went out the window when I hurriedly layed 0-0.....


My own fault......

Letting lay on DRAW stand in RANGERS game as believe they will score again...and win now.

Can claw most of loss back over 2 days ...hopefully!
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 1:14 PM BST
£216.16 down after first 2 games.......

The other match also cost me due to telephone interruption......as when the first goal went in ....normally I reduce liability on DRAW .....but when got back during phone call to computer ...it was already 1-1 from a 0-0 position when I left computer!

AGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH....Expensive phone call!!!!!!!
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 1:14 PM BST
1-2 CELTIC .....Just hope one of them wins now ....DON'T CARE WHODevilLaugh
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 1:48 PM BST
Stuck  £18 on 3-3 ....as hedge for lay on DRAW in RANGERS game .....currently 2-2
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 1:49 PM BST
Fixtures 18 September / Rangers v Celtic / Correct Score    
    3 - 3     Back     18-Sep-11
13:47           9     18.00         9     18-Sep-11 13:47
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 2:36 PM BST
Fixtures 18 September / Fulham v Man City / Correct Score     0 - 0     Back         18-Sep-11
14:33           15     15.00         15     18-Sep-11 14:33    
    Fixtures 18 September / Fulham v Man City / Match Odds     The Draw     Lay         18-Sep-11
14:32           3.85     66.00         3.85     18-Sep-11 14:32
===================================================================

MC likely to win........AGUERO likely to score. MGOFS is 1-3.

GL with bets.
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 3:00 PM BST
Fixtures 18 September / Sunderland v Stoke / Correct Score     0 - 1     Lay         18-Sep-11
14:58           9.6     24.00         9.6     18-Sep-11 14:58
==========================================================================

STOKE may well have a reaction physically after their great performance against RUSSIAN team. MGOFS is 1-0 or 2-1.


GL with bets.
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 3:10 PM BST
A quickieLaugh

10'    Sunderland AFC    1-0 (-)    Stoke City
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 3:11 PM BST
2-0 now .....and RUSSIANS could not get 1.......
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 3:50 PM BST
Fixtures 18 September / Man Utd v Chelsea / Correct Score     1 - 1     Lay         18-Sep-11
15:46           8     24.00         8     18-Sep-11 15:46    
==========================================================================


DRAW would be acceptable to both teams .......and with both playing in Europe last few days .....the game should be TIGHT at start. It might be MU really go at CHELSEA early and blitz em til goal comes......would not be surprised if this is MU tactics at start. MGOFS is 1-0 or 2-0. ..

GL with bets.
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 4:08 PM BST
50'    Fulham FC    0-2 (0-1)

Some more clawed back!
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 4:09 PM BST
ProbablyDevil
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 4:12 PM BST
Just went all green ......just in case in MC game...
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 4:45 PM BST
42'    Manchester United    2-0 (-)    Chelsea F


Some more clawed back!
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 4:53 PM BST
Was not paying any attention to MAN CITY game after deciding to go all green at 0-2......£108 -15 profit off that match ...a good bonus as 2-2 FT
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 4:57 PM BST
Fixtures 18 September / Atl Madrid v Santander / Match Odds     The Draw     Lay         18-Sep-11
16:55           5     24.00         5     18-Sep-11 16:55    
=======================================================================

ATH MAD strolled against CELTIC .......and looked like they are warming up. MGOFS 3-1.


GL with bets.
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 5:32 PM BST
Fixtures 18 September / Newells v Velez / Correct Score     0 - 1     Lay         18-Sep-11
17:31           9     24.00         9     18-Sep-11 17:31
==========================================================================

Suspect NEWELLS will be well up for match ...and are likely to score. MGOFS is 2-1.

GL with bets.
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 5:36 PM BST
Must be a PENALTY ....what the feck is ref doing in CHELSEA match?????
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 5:37 PM BST
As player hit ball into net ......the tackle was late....so presumably not a goal scoring chance stopped.......

IT WAS A DANGEROUS lunge by COLE and he should be off though!
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 6:48 PM BST
Fixtures 18 September / Levante v Real Madrid / Match Odds     The Draw     Lay         18-Sep-11
18:46           6.6     30.00         6.6     18-Sep-11 18:46
==================================================================

RM should be too match fit for home team ....and MGOFS is 1-4.

GL with bets.
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 7:36 PM BST
Fixtures 18 September / Napoli v AC Milan / Match Odds     The Draw     Lay         18-Sep-11
19:32           3.35     48.00         3.35     18-Sep-11 19:32    

Fixtures 18 September / Napoli v AC Milan / Correct Score     1 - 0     Back          18-Sep-11
19:31           8.4     15.00         8.4     18-Sep-11 19:31
================================================================

NAPOLI likely to score against a team of old timers........MILAN should feel the effects of playing BARCA in mid-week.......though NAPOL1 have had 1 less day rest compared to MILAN......

If chances are created ...goals should come in this match. MGOFS 2-1.


GL with bets.
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 7:43 PM BST
Very LUCKY late goal stops the HIT

89'    Newell's Old Boys1-1Vélez Sársfield
Report acornel September 18, 2011 7:52 PM BST
Thanks DFC for Newell's call ... second time when I take your suggestion @1.33 and @1.25 (after Dinamo Kiev) Grin
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 7:57 PM BST
Fixtures 18 September / Estudiantes v Argentinos Juniors / Match Odds     The Draw     Lay         18-Sep-11
19:55           3.7     48.00         3.7     18-Sep-11 19:55
==============================================================

Both teams out the COPA SUD ....and neither team been in good form. I thought EST were showing some signs of playing better recently ...so fair chance they score. MGOFS is 2-1.


GL with bets.
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 8:09 PM BST
FFS ...I meant to back 1-1 as hedge in MILAN game ......not 1-0 ..ERROR by meeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeSad

Got side tracked AGAIN!
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 8:10 PM BST
WD A ....Twas your decision that made money thoughCool
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 8:30 PM BST
Backed 1-1 as hedge in case a goal in REAL MADRID match ....RED CARD for RM spoiling bet really!
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 8:38 PM BST
LIQUIDITY is C R A P in ARGENT game ...When 0-2 could not get matched on 8s...PATHETIC market....

Just letting bet stand ...so far re lay on DRAW
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 8:40 PM BST
Something ST IN KS re this EST game ...............
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 8:42 PM BST
Whoever is CONTROLLING markets in ARG game ....they are having a laugh!

Last time I enter a market that operates this way .......SOMETHING S T IN K ING


Suspend was on before 2-2 happened .... etc etc
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 8:44 PM BST
3-2 ...STINKS!
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 8:46 PM BST
Hardly ANYTHING matched last few minutes in MATCH MARKET ...S T I N K S
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 8:46 PM BST
Still suspended .....................
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 9:10 PM BST
Eliminated liability on DRAW in MILAN game ...and gone all green.....Some odd games today!
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 9:27 PM BST
Fixtures 18 September / Lanus v Boca Juniors / Correct Score     1 - 1     Lay         18-Sep-11
21:22           7.2     36.00         7.2     18-Sep-11 21:22
===============================================

Should be a TIGHT game.......and MGOFS is 1-0 or 0-1........Probably 1-0.

GL with bets.
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 9:40 PM BST
Still ODD market in ARG game ....hardly anything matches ...only £7,000 in last 50/60 mins ...WEIRD!
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 9:42 PM BST
Gone ALL GREEN in ARG game ....don't like game at all!
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 9:43 PM BST
3-3 ...GAME S T IN KS
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 9:43 PM BST
Just looks like an agreed DRAW!
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 9:44 PM BST
4-3 ....something really weird here
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 9:46 PM BST
Still hardly ANYTHING matched since I posted the £7,00 fig!
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 9:47 PM BST
£7,000
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 9:47 PM BST
7 mins elapsed since I posted the £7,000 comment .....!
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 9:48 PM BST
MARKET MOVING now though!!!!!!!
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 10:02 PM BST
Fixtures 18 September / Cruzeiro v America MG / Correct Score     0 - 0     Lay         18-Sep-11
22:00           18.5     12.00         18.5     18-Sep-11 22:00

Likely a goal will be scored.....MGOFS is 2-1.
==================================================================
   
    Fixtures 18 September / Internacional v Coritiba / Correct Score     1 - 1     Back         18-Sep-11
21:58           7.8     12.00         7.8     18-Sep-11 21:58    
    Fixtures 18 September / Internacional v Coritiba / Match Odds     The Draw     Lay         18-Sep-11
21:57           3.7     36.00         3.7     18-Sep-11 21:57


Goals likely....MGOFS 2-0.


GL with bets.
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 10:17 PM BST
Early goal for BOCA in LANUS match 0-1......should help the lay ...I hope on 1-1
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 10:20 PM BST
14'    Internacional/RS    1-0 (-)    Coritiba/PR


As have part cover on lay on DRAW by backing 1-1 ....will just leave bets standing.
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 11:14 PM BST
1-1 in LANUS game .......so a fair bit to go ....so hopefully HIT on lay on 1-1 might be avoided!
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 11:15 PM BST
1-1 in INTERNATIONAL game .....Just leaving position same...
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 11:16 PM BST
CRUZEIRO one of my JINX teams ...and still 0-0 ......About time this jinx was broken!
Report DFCIRONMAN September 18, 2011 11:59 PM BST
Some one up there is taking the xxxx!!!!!

Lost £216 on first 2 games in JAPAN today........Clawed it all back plus a bit more ......then for the last bet of night I choose one of my jinx teams to LAY 0-0 in!

I have not layed 0-0 for weeks ..........................in CS market .....so why the feck do I choose a  JINX team to do so?

A CRAZY bet........Lost over £200 on the CRUZEIRO game .....plus a small hit in INTERNATIONAL match .....so back into LOSS position!

The 0-0 was definitely a TIRED bet ......a LAZY bet ......

Will see if any suitable games left to CLAW some back...AGAIN!
Report DFCIRONMAN September 19, 2011 12:11 AM BST
Fixtures 18 September / Union Santa Fe v Racing Club / Correct Score     1 - 1     Lay         19-Sep-11
00:04           7.4     48.00         7.4     19-Sep-11 00:09    




Home team are a weird team .....hard to predict what they will do in matches....they were useless playing against 9 men in one game ....then played really well away . they seem to be better away than at home.

RACING C ....seem to have TIGHT defence ...so layed 1-1 ...and hope they end up 0-0. MGOFS 0-0 or 1-0 or 0-1.

GL with bets
Report DFCIRONMAN September 19, 2011 12:16 AM BST
Fixtures 18 September / M Morelia v Queretaro / Match Odds    
    The Draw     Lay         19-Sep-11
00:13           4.5     24.00         4.5     19-Sep-11 00:14    
==============================================================

Just a gamble ........MGOFS 2-0.

GL with bets.
Report DFCIRONMAN September 19, 2011 2:25 AM BST
Was 0-1 RACING til ref gives a penalty ...when it was the centre of SANTA FE who was the culprit c h eett  ting......So 1-1 FS.

Home team were absolute c ra p whole game ...other than the 1 ch eeeeeeetttting incident 2nd half.

RACINg only team trying to play football.

2nd time SANTA F have cost me a HUGE HIT........They are now in the JINX category....1st hit when they were useless with 11 v 9 at home ...and now today when they do nothing other than fool the ref into awarding a penalty.

SF never looked like scoring whole match....

This is what happens in FOOTBALL.......it is decided by REF giving bad decisions or non decisions when he should. Makes it difficult to say "I have an edge" ....as RED CARDS  and other circumstances come into play and ruin bets.

Double HIT late on


Football: -£407.37 | Horse Racing: -£153.49  Total P&L:  -£560.86

Football     Showing 1 - 20 of 25 markets
Market     Start time     Settled date     Profit/loss (£)
Football / Union Santa Fe v Racing Club : Correct Score     19-Sep-11 00:15     19-Sep-11 02:09     -307.20
Football / M Morelia v Queretaro : Match Odds     18-Sep-11 23:59     19-Sep-11 01:54     19.12
Football / Internacional v Coritiba : Correct Score     18-Sep-11 22:00     19-Sep-11 00:02     78.01
Football / Internacional v Coritiba : Match Odds     18-Sep-11 22:00     19-Sep-11 00:02     -97.20
Football / Lanus v Boca Juniors : Correct Score     18-Sep-11 22:10     19-Sep-11 00:01     34.42
Football / Cruzeiro v America MG : Correct Score     18-Sep-11 22:00     18-Sep-11 23:54     -210.00
Football / Estudiantes v Argentinos Juniors : Match Odds     18-Sep-11 20:00     18-Sep-11 21:53     26.77
Football / Napoli v AC Milan : Correct Score     18-Sep-11 19:45     18-Sep-11 21:41     -15.00
Football / Napoli v AC Milan : Match Odds     18-Sep-11 19:45     18-Sep-11 21:40     35.37
Football / Levante v Real Madrid : Match Odds     18-Sep-11 19:00     18-Sep-11 21:01     11.59
Football / Levante v Real Madrid : Correct Score     18-Sep-11 19:00     18-Sep-11 21:00     -16.00
Football / Newells v Velez : Correct Score     18-Sep-11 18:00     18-Sep-11 19:50     22.94
Football / Atl Madrid v Santander : Match Odds     18-Sep-11 17:00     18-Sep-11 18:51     22.94
Football / Man Utd v Chelsea : Correct Score     18-Sep-11 16:00     18-Sep-11 17:56     22.94
Football / Fulham v Man City : Correct Score     18-Sep-11 15:00     18-Sep-11 16:54     -15.00
Football / Fulham v Man City : Match Odds     18-Sep-11 15:00     18-Sep-11 16:52     104.11
Football / Sunderland v Stoke : Correct Score     18-Sep-11 15:00     18-Sep-11 16:15     21.03
Football / Tottenham v Liverpool : Correct Score     18-Sep-11 13:30     18-Sep-11 15:29     32.50
Football / Rangers v Celtic : Match Odds     18-Sep-11 12:30     18-Sep-11 14:23     55.45
Football / Rangers v Celtic : Correct Score     18-Sep-11 12:30     18-Sep-11 14:22     -18.00
Pages: 1  2   of 2 Pages

Football     Showing 21 - 25 of 25 markets
Market     Start time     Settled date     Profit/loss (£)
Football / Omiya v C-Osaka : Half Time/Full Time     18-Sep-11 11:00     18-Sep-11 12:55     -28.00
Football / Omiya v C-Osaka : Correct Score     18-Sep-11 11:00     18-Sep-11 12:55     -158.42
Football / Omiya v C-Osaka : Match Odds     18-Sep-11 11:00     18-Sep-11 12:54     -2.50
Football / Kashima v Nagoya : Match Odds     18-Sep-11 10:30     18-Sep-11 12:26     -70.80
Football / Kashima v Nagoya : Correct Score     18-Sep-11 10:30     18-Sep-11 12:26     43.56
Pages: 1 2   of 2 Pages
================================================================

So having had 2 HITS at start of day putting me £216 down ....pulling it all back.....and being ahead about £90.......then comes 2 more late HITS making it a c r a p day.

I know with BOTH the last 2 HITS that I was aware that a team in BOTH games was either a JINX one or a WEIRD TEAM .....Those were the descriptions I gave them BEFORE the games started........So knowing that I should have left BOTH matches alone.

At least had a 10-1 SP nap in HORSES competition .....but even there my betting was terrible towards the end of racing.

Will try to claw some back today/night.....but likely to be night as preoccupied most of day!

Cheers the noooooooooooooooo
Report undern September 19, 2011 1:43 PM BST
Tough day there DFC. I certainly know what its like to have large early hits as I experienced it the day before yesterday.

I hope you have a better day today/tonight.
Report johnizere September 19, 2011 4:05 PM BST
Yes, tough one DFC.
Too many times I get an early hit, then it's uphill all day, sometimes into the next day!
Grind away.
Report coolhand September 19, 2011 4:27 PM BST
Unlucky DFC,
I think you are maybe being too hard on yourself and pushing to make a profit in a single day, when it may be actually hurting your bank further as you are searching for more bets to 'claw' back any losses, instead of waiting for good bets which may not come until the next day, i think you are putting yourself under unnecessary pressure to end the day in profit.

All the best
Report jim smith September 20, 2011 6:53 PM BST
tough luck dfc

bet 11 for me

lay 0-1 sociedad v granada

£16.50 @13
Report jim smith September 20, 2011 8:24 PM BST
1-0 sociedad at last Cool

bank £215
Report DFCIRONMAN September 20, 2011 9:33 PM BST
Great stuff Jim ....keep it going.......I'm just taking a break off thread and being selective on matches.

Once bank grown a bit , then shall returnCool.....and will TRY to keep being more "selective", cutting down on number of matches taken on....but STAKING likely to be aggressive , as usualDevilLaugh

Wd again
Report jim smith September 21, 2011 9:26 PM BST
good call dfc

started to post an ip bet then but valencia scored before i got it typedLaugh so it doesnt count
Report jim smith September 21, 2011 9:29 PM BST
plus i did say no inplay on this thread
Report jim smith September 24, 2011 3:04 PM BST
bet 12 lay 1-2 northampton v dag and red £9.50 @13

only part matched, market maker being an @rse
Report jim smith September 24, 2011 4:21 PM BST
2-0 northampton

bank £224
Report jim smith September 24, 2011 10:29 PM BST
Shockedbet 13

lay 0-0 univ conception v palestino

£19 @12.5
Report jim smith September 25, 2011 12:26 AM BST
inevitable wasnt it - as soon as i take on a chile game, and on bet 13, three reds and no goalsCry
Report DFCIRONMAN September 25, 2011 12:50 PM BST
Yup I noticed last night Jim that you went for 0-0 lay in a game.....I checked score with about 19 mins to go ...saw RED CARD and feared worse. Did not want to post.....as wanted to stay in cheap seats! Hoped a goal would come....but not to beCryCryCry

Very good run of results thoughCool

0-0 lays are always tricky ....and I tend to take HITS far too frequently on them. I usually try to lay away from 0-0........but I sometimes relent....and do a "lazy" bet....and on thread I think last HIT was a 0-0 !!!!

Hope you have another go.....Perhaps after 10 in a row , using all-in method,it is time to split bank up etc etc ???

I'm still preoccupied checking out STRATEGIES on HORSE ratings.....so won't be on thread for a while !!!

GL with bets.
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