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Smooth Criminal
24 Jul 11 12:29
Joined:
Date Joined: 13 May 03
| Topic/replies: 4,498 | Blogger: Smooth Criminal's blog
£100 bank 5% risk a bet - winnings are minus commission

1. Back Celtic to win to Nil for £5.00 @2.3 to win £6.17  -     

Reason for bet:     
Celtic have won their last five meetings against Hibernian Also Hibs lost all three home games to nil against the Old Firm last season
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Report Smooth Criminal July 24, 2011 12:32 PM BST
The goal is to at least double my bank and hopefully show some discipline :)

Shamone!
Report the morrow is yesterday's toda July 24, 2011 12:38 PM BST
please explain discipline
Report Mr.Angry July 24, 2011 12:39 PM BST
Don't mention the PC.
Report Smooth Criminal July 24, 2011 12:41 PM BST
lol by discipline i just mean sticking to 5% of my bank each bet win or lose.
Report Smooth Criminal July 24, 2011 12:47 PM BST
0-1 CELTIC get in :)
Report Smooth Criminal July 24, 2011 2:32 PM BST
OMG nearly a back pass in last second of injury time could of cost me there PHEW!!!

New balance £106


1. Back Celtic to win to Nil for £5.00 @2.3 to win £6.17 - WON £106
2. Back both teams to score Dundee vs killy £5.30 @ 1.87 to win £4.38
Report Smooth Criminal July 24, 2011 4:30 PM BST
GET IN 1-1 :)

Shamoone Futher Muckas!
Report Smooth Criminal July 24, 2011 4:34 PM BST
New balance £110

1. Back Celtic to win to Nil for £5.00 @2.3 to win £6.17 - WON £106
2. Back both teams to score Dundee vs killy £5.30 @ 1.87 to win £4.38  WON £110
Report Smooth Criminal July 24, 2011 6:08 PM BST
New balance £110

1. Back Celtic to win to Nil for £5.00 @2.3 to win £6.17 - WON £106
2. Back both teams to score Dundee vs killy £5.30 @ 1.87 to win £4.38  WON £110
3. Back Uraguay to win for £5.50 @ 2.26 to win £6.58
Report Smooth Criminal July 24, 2011 8:25 PM BST
1-0 Uruguay get in :)
Report Smooth Criminal July 24, 2011 8:46 PM BST
2-0 URAGUAY Get in forlan !!!!
Report DancingBraveTheBest July 24, 2011 10:28 PM BST
w/d s.c.   16% profit on day 1 very good......all the best with your challenge m8.
Report Smooth Criminal July 24, 2011 11:03 PM BST
Thanks dancingwiththebrave appreciate it fingers crossed for the future about 17% profit.

New balance £117

1. Back Celtic to win to Nil for £5.00 @2.3 to win £6.17 - WON £106
2. Back both teams to score Dundee vs killy £5.30 @ 1.87 to win £4.38  WON £110
3. Back Uraguay to win for £5.50 @ 2.26 to win £6.58 WON £117 Next stake £5.85
Report Smooth Criminal July 24, 2011 11:04 PM BST
oops spelt your name wrong dancing with the best sorry.
Report roadrunner46 July 24, 2011 11:15 PM BST
3 good choices all you got to show for it it £17. BAD
Report thebert July 25, 2011 12:02 AM BST
Well played today, 3 decent winners.
Report Smooth Criminal July 25, 2011 8:48 PM BST
road runner i could of easily just said points instead of points its all relative to the bank you can afford, i could also lie but what be the point of that.

New balance £117

1. Back Celtic to win to Nil for £5.00 @2.3 to win £6.17 - WON £106
2. Back both teams to score Dundee vs killy £5.30 @ 1.87 to win £4.38  WON £110
3. Back Uraguay to win for £5.50 @ 2.26 to win £6.58 WON £117 Next stake £5.85
4. Lay St mirran at half time to win £2.64 for £5.84 liability (meant to lay pre ko but got in late)
Report Smooth Criminal July 25, 2011 8:51 PM BST
*i meant i could of easily said points instead of £s its all relative to your bank u can afford to lose and ive shown 17% point profit in a day if i had a £1000 bank that would be £170 profit.  Point of this is not how much i win but to show myself i can be disciplined and stick to a bank with a staking plan win or lose.
Report undern July 25, 2011 9:12 PM BST
Yep agreed with above post - however the real test of your discipline starts when you begin having losers. All the best with your thread.
Report Smooth Criminal July 25, 2011 9:43 PM BST
Thanks undern i will guarenteed have many losers just hope to have some fun along the way :)

New balance £119.70

1. Back Celtic to win to Nil for £5.00 @2.3 to win £6.17 - WON £106
2. Back both teams to score Dundee vs killy £5.30 @ 1.87 to win £4.38  WON £110
3. Back Uraguay to win for £5.50 @ 2.26 to win £6.58 WON £117 Next stake £5.85
4. Lay St mirran at half time to win £2.64 for £5.84 WON £119.70 Next stake £5.98
Report Smooth Criminal July 25, 2011 9:44 PM BST
slow n steady wins the race :)
Report roadrunner46 July 25, 2011 11:17 PM BST
whats your first target £1000, understand your using thread as a  way     of obtaining disciplin.

goodluck
Report Smooth Criminal July 25, 2011 11:31 PM BST
ive not got a target per say it would be nice to double my money but im hopefully in this for the long term just wanna see what i can achieve whilst keeping a written record to help keep me disciplined.  I dont even think im a good punter but hey hoh fingers crossed lets see what happens.
Report Smooth Criminal July 25, 2011 11:33 PM BST
no more bets till saturday now im researching the scottish premier games will post closer to saturday.
Report SHAPESHIFTER July 26, 2011 9:41 AM BST
You'll double at around 14 bets +- if 100%.

GL
Report Smooth Criminal July 27, 2011 7:19 PM BST
Fingers crossed shapeshifter im never going lower than 1.5 but ideally want closer to evens or better for my bets.  Not much on offer till season kicks off proper just looking into scots premier league this weekend.
Report Smooth Criminal July 27, 2011 7:52 PM BST
New balance £119.70

1. Back Celtic to win to Nil for £5.00 @2.3 to win £6.17 - WON £106
2. Back both teams to score Dundee vs killy £5.30 @ 1.87 to win £4.38  WON £110
3. Back Uraguay to win for £5.50 @ 2.26 to win £6.58 WON £117 Next stake £5.85
4. Lay St mirran at half time to win £2.64 for £5.84 WON £119.70 Next stake £5.98
5. Lay Bayern munich IR £3.30 @ 2.82 for £6.03 liability to win £3.14 after commision
Report Smooth Criminal July 27, 2011 8:29 PM BST
get in 1-0 BARCA, i wanted to back barca but the fact that this is effectively a freindly cup decided to keep draw on my side as well.
Report tobermory July 27, 2011 9:08 PM BST
3 good choices all you got to show for it it £17. BAD

Totally disagree with that.

The mentality of having 40% of bank on every bet would have of course seen him win much more on Saturday but it would also see him wiped out on a bad day.
Report Smooth Criminal July 27, 2011 9:18 PM BST
thanks tobermory,

I was influenced by watching chris ferguson, hes a poker player and was talking about bankroll management so i thought id try and apply this concept to football betting and see how i do.
Report Smooth Criminal July 27, 2011 9:20 PM BST
2-0 BARCA, should be safe now
Report Smooth Criminal July 27, 2011 10:13 PM BST
New balance £122.83

1. Back Celtic to win to Nil for £5.00 @2.3 to win £6.17 - WON £106
2. Back both teams to score Dundee vs killy £5.30 @ 1.87 to win £4.38  WON £110
3. Back Uraguay to win for £5.50 @ 2.26 to win £6.58 WON £117 Next stake £5.85
4. Lay St mirran at half time to win £2.64 for £5.84 WON £119.70 Next stake £5.98
5. Lay Bayern munich IR liability to win £3.14 after commision WON £122.83 Next stake £6.14
Report roadrunner46 July 27, 2011 10:18 PM BST
tobermory, who would of had nearly £700 went all in on those first 3 bets. and his 1st bet, bet celtic to win to nil,tells you that he fancied them strongly. increase of stakes would of been appropriate. his got a plan. no problem with his methods.wish him all best
Report Smooth Criminal July 27, 2011 10:30 PM BST
All opinions welcome, this next bet will likely be my 1st loser but i dont feel that in a freindly away from home man utd should be this short to be leading at half time. I watched them play last week against an american team and in the 1st half utd didnt even get started plus you gotta question there motivation even though in the 2nd half utd battered them.  So im laying them to be winning tonight at HT.

New balance £122.83

1. Back Celtic to win to Nil for £5.00 @2.3 to win £6.17 - WON £106
2. Back both teams to score Dundee vs killy £5.30 @ 1.87 to win £4.38  WON £110
3. Back Uraguay to win for £5.50 @ 2.26 to win £6.58 WON £117 Next stake £5.85
4. Lay St mirran at half time to win £2.64 for £5.84 WON £119.70 Next stake £5.98
5. Lay Bayern munich IR liability to win £3.14       WON £122.83 Next stake £6.14
6. Lay Man utd @ 1.79 for £6.14 liability to be winning at HT to win £7.38
Report aueng July 28, 2011 4:16 PM BST
man u were 2 nil up at half time??? or have i read this wrong?
Report Smooth Criminal July 28, 2011 6:52 PM BST
Ah my 1st loser, no regrets though what with that game being a freindly and motivation questionable id rather lay than back but maybe for future games i will swerve freindlies and cups.

Also thanks freddie heres a little video about bank roll management by chris ferguson there are more on youtube but this give a quick snippet of what its all about.  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fvscGfvE49s 

Its all about playing with what you can afford whatever amount that may be and never risking more than say 5% of my roll at any time. 

SC
Report Smooth Criminal July 28, 2011 6:59 PM BST
New balance £116.69

1. Back Celtic to win to Nil for £5.00 @2.3 to win £6.17 - WON £106
2. Back both teams to score Dundee vs killy £5.30 @ 1.87 to win £4.38  WON £110
3. Back Uraguay to win for £5.50 @ 2.26 to win £6.58 WON £117 Next stake £5.85
4. Lay St mirran at half time to win £2.64 for £5.84 WON £119.70 Next stake £5.98
5. Lay Bayern munich IR @ 2.82 for £6.03 liability to win £3.14 WON £122.83 Next stake £6.14
6. Lay Man utd @ 1.79 for £6.14 liability to be winning at HT to win £7.38 LOST Next stake £5.80
Report Smooth Criminal July 28, 2011 7:55 PM BST
New balance £116.69

1. Back Celtic to win to Nil for £5.00 @2.3 to win £6.17 - WON £106
2. Back both teams to score Dundee vs killy £5.30 @ 1.87 to win £4.38  WON £110
3. Back Uraguay to win for £5.50 @ 2.26 to win £6.58 WON £117 Next stake £5.85
4. Lay St mirran at half time to win £2.64 for £5.84 WON £119.70 Next stake £5.98
5. Lay Bayern munich IR @ 2.82 for £6.03 liability to win £3.14 WON £122.83 Next stake £6.14
6. Lay Man utd @ 1.79 for £6.14 liability to be winning at HT to win £7.38 LOST Next stake £5.80
7. Back IR Palermo 0-1 down £5.80 @ 2.76 to win £9.71 after commission
Report Smooth Criminal July 28, 2011 7:57 PM BST
BOOM 1-1 get in glad these posts are time stamped.
Report aueng July 28, 2011 8:18 PM BST
well done
Report Smooth Criminal July 28, 2011 9:44 PM BST
Man another loss, honestly thought palermo would win 2-1. Its ok cant win them all i still think it was a good bet its just practice for when the real season starts.

New balance £110.89

1. Back Celtic to win to Nil for £5.00 @2.3 to win £6.17 - WON £106
2. Back both teams to score Dundee vs killy £5.30 @ 1.87 to win £4.38  WON £110
3. Back Uraguay to win for £5.50 @ 2.26 to win £6.58 WON £117 Next stake £5.85
4. Lay St mirran at half time to win £2.64 for £5.84 WON £119.70 Next stake £5.98
5. Lay Bayern munich IR @ 2.82 for £6.03 liability to win £3.14 WON £122.83 Next stake £6.14
6. Lay Man utd @ 1.79 for £6.14 liability to be winning at HT to win £7.38 LOST Next stake £5.80
7. Back IR Palermo 0-1 down £5.80 @ 2.76 to win £9.71 after commission
Report Smooth Criminal July 30, 2011 1:53 PM BST
New balance £110.89

1. Back Celtic to win to Nil for £5.00 @2.3 to win £6.17 - WON £106
2. Back both teams to score Dundee vs killy £5.30 @ 1.87 to win £4.38  WON £110
3. Back Uraguay to win for £5.50 @ 2.26 to win £6.58 WON £117 Next stake £5.85
4. Lay St mirran at half time to win £2.64 for £5.84 WON £119.70 Next stake £5.98
5. Lay Bayern munich IR @ 2.82 for £6.03 liability to win £3.14 WON £122.83 Next stake £6.14
6. Lay Man utd @ 1.79 for £6.14 liability to be winning at HT to win £7.38 LOST Next stake £5.80
7. Back IR Palermo 0-1 down £5.80 @ 2.76 to win £9.71 after commission
8. Back Inverness CT £5.50 @ 2.3 to win £6.79 after commission.

Reason For bet:
Inverness have won three of their last four home games
Hibernian have kept just one clean sheet in their last 12 league matches
Hibernian lost 13 out of 19 away games last season Also showed nothing vs celtic last week.
Inverness did lost last week vs motherwell AWAY last week but they are stronger at home.
Report Smooth Criminal July 30, 2011 7:00 PM BST
New balance £105.39

1. Back Celtic to win to Nil for £5.00 @2.3 to win £6.17 - WON £106
2. Back both teams to score Dundee vs killy £5.30 @ 1.87 to win £4.38  WON £110
3. Back Uraguay to win for £5.50 @ 2.26 to win £6.58 WON £117 Next stake £5.85
4. Lay St mirran at half time to win £2.64 for £5.84 WON £119.70 Next stake £5.98
5. Lay Bayern munich IR @ 2.82 for £6.03 liability to win £3.14 WON £122.83 Next stake £6.14
6. Lay Man utd @ 1.79 for £6.14 liability to be winning at HT to win £7.38 LOST Next stake £5.80
7. Back IR Palermo 0-1 down £5.80 @ 2.76 to win £9.71 after commission LOST next stake £5.50
8. Back Inverness CT £5.50 @ 2.3 to win £6.79 after commission. LOST next stake £5.25

Well lost again but if this game was easy id be drinking cocktails on a beach instead of spending all week asking people to "turn it off and on again"  Looking forward to the "real season" starting as im eager to try a little form system ive been working on - No doubt i will still lose lol :)
Report Smooth Criminal July 31, 2011 1:25 PM BST
New balance £105.39

1. Back Celtic to win to Nil for £5.00 @2.3 to win £6.17 - WON £106
2. Back both teams to score Dundee vs killy £5.30 @ 1.87 to win £4.38  WON £110
3. Back Uraguay to win for £5.50 @ 2.26 to win £6.58 WON £117 Next stake £5.85
4. Lay St mirran at half time to win £2.64 for £5.84 WON £119.70 Next stake £5.98
5. Lay Bayern munich IR @ 2.82 for £6.03 liability to win £3.14 WON £122.83 Next stake £6.14
6. Lay Man utd @ 1.79 for £6.14 liability to be winning at HT to win £7.38 LOST Next stake £5.80
7. Back IR Palermo 0-1 down £5.80 @ 2.76 to win £9.71 after commission LOST next stake £5.50
8. Back Inverness CT £5.50 @ 2.3 to win £6.79 after commission. LOST next stake £5.25
9. Back IR (20mins played) Silkeborg £5.25 @ 2.02 to win £5.09
Report Smooth Criminal August 1, 2011 12:47 PM BST
New balance £100.14

1. Back Celtic to win to Nil for £5.00 @2.3 to win £6.17 - WON £106
2. Back both teams to score Dundee vs killy £5.30 @ 1.87 to win £4.38  WON £110
3. Back Uraguay to win for £5.50 @ 2.26 to win £6.58 WON £117 Next stake £5.85
4. Lay St mirran at half time to win £2.64 for £5.84 WON £119.70 Next stake £5.98
5. Lay Bayern munich IR @ 2.82 for £6.03 liability to win £3.14 WON £122.83 Next stake £6.14
6. Lay Man utd @ 1.79 for £6.14 liability to be winning at HT to win £7.38 LOST Next stake £5.80
7. Back IR Palermo 0-1 down £5.80 @ 2.76 to win £9.71 after commission LOST next stake £5.50
8. Back Inverness CT £5.50 @ 2.3 to win £6.79 after commission. LOST next stake £5.25
9. Back IR (20mins played) Silkeborg £5.25 @ 2.02 to win £5.09 LOST went 1-0 then drew 1-1 :(

WOO 14p profit in a week.
Report Smooth Criminal August 5, 2011 3:48 PM BST
Ok championship football continues tonight with one of my favourate managers mr "at leaset we got her in the taxi" Hollaway, kinda reminds of that crazy cheeky teacher at school anyway i digress.  Im stuck between a few bets tonight

1. laying blackpool i beleive they have a 30.5% chance of winning away so i think they should be nearer to 4.00 than 3.5 so i think theres value in laying them away from home here plus this year they have yet to win away from home.

2. Backing both teams to score @ 1.8 This has happend 4 out of the last 5 meetings

3. Backing over 2.5 @ 2.04 This has also happend in 4 out the last 5 meetings

I think all 3 are good bets need to have a think id like to bet on them all.

New balance £100.14

1. Back Celtic to win to Nil for £5.00 @2.3 to win £6.17 - WON £106
2. Back both teams to score Dundee vs killy £5.30 @ 1.87 to win £4.38  WON £110
3. Back Uraguay to win for £5.50 @ 2.26 to win £6.58 WON £117 Next stake £5.85
4. Lay St mirran at half time to win £2.64 for £5.84 WON £119.70 Next stake £5.98
5. Lay Bayern munich IR @ 2.82 for £6.03 liability to win £3.14 WON £122.83 Next stake £6.14
6. Lay Man utd @ 1.79 for £6.14 liability to be winning at HT to win £7.38 LOST Next stake £5.80
7. Back IR Palermo 0-1 down £5.80 @ 2.76 to win £9.71 after commission LOST next stake £5.50
8. Back Inverness CT £5.50 @ 2.3 to win £6.79 after commission. LOST next stake £5.25
9. Back IR (20mins played) Silkeborg £5.25 @ 2.02 to win £5.09 LOST went 1-0 then drew 1-1 :(
Report Smooth Criminal August 5, 2011 3:57 PM BST
im doing all 3 laying blackpool for £2 for £5 liability, £5 on both teams to score @ 1.8 to win £3.80 and over 2.5 £5@ 2.04 to win £4.94

Im being a little flexible with my 5% stakes but that is a guideline, I will update later.
Report Smooth Criminal August 5, 2011 8:41 PM BST
0-0 @ HT im doing great again lol :)
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