I am a firm believer of the above title and will be using this thread to keep track of some bets that i feel are value lays due to the fact of potential home advantage.
I think it was Kenilworth that did a thread on here a year or so ago but i am going to try a little tester myself, i will post my lays below, i realise that i am after-timing somewhat but lets see how they go!
Premiership 2/8 25% Championship 1/10 10% League One 3/12 25% League Two 2/9 22.22% Conference 3/12 25% Scottish Prem 0/5 0% Scottish One 0/2 0% Scottish Two 0/2 0% Scottish Three 1/3 33%
Away Wins today in the English/ Scottish Leagues:Premiership 2/8 25%Championship 1/10 10%League One 3/12 25%League Two 2/9 22.22%Conference 3/12 25%Scottish Prem 0/5 0%Scottish One 0/2 0%Scottish Two 0/2 0%Scottish Three 1/3 33%
Part of my selection criteria is to lay Away Teams that fit the selection criteria who are less than 5.01 odds.
I am going to post up other selections that were over 5.01 and see how i would have done laying to larger liabilities:
Part of my selection criteria is to lay Away Teams that fit the selection criteria who are less than 5.01 odds.I am going to post up other selections that were over 5.01 and see how i would have done laying to larger liabilities:
To save me the effort of adding it up, as you're clearly presenting all the facts, are you doing this with or without any commission levels.
Either is fine by me, just curious.
To save me the effort of adding it up, as you're clearly presenting all the facts, are you doing this with or without any commission levels.Either is fine by me, just curious.
Hi Ken, apologies if i was mistaken but im sure you started a thread, many months ago now with the title or initial comments about Home Advantages.
I believe you selectedHome Teams where you thought the Home Team represented Value and backed them to level stakes?.
I may have dreamt it in all honesty though!
Hi Ken, apologies if i was mistaken but im sure you started a thread, many months ago now with the title or initial comments about Home Advantages.I believe you selectedHome Teams where you thought the Home Team represented Value and backed them to l
By: Lori Date Joined: 20 Apr 04 Add contact | Send message When: 23 Jan 11 09:44 To save me the effort of adding it up, as you're clearly presenting all the facts, are you doing this with or without any commission levels.
Either is fine by me, just curious.
Hi Lori, all of the above totals etc have been deducted BF Commission at 5%.
By: Lori Date Joined: 20 Apr 04 Add contact | Send message When: 23 Jan 11 09:44 To save me the effort of adding it up, as you're clearly presenting all the facts, are you doing this with or without any commission levels.Either is fine by me, just cu
My main aim is to creat a bank increase of 8% per week (8 points).
So far, since 3rd January i have averaged 2.16pts profit per day and have so far comfortably achieved my 8% weekly increasefor the past 3 weeks.
Godd start.. so far..
My main aim is to creat a bank increase of 8% per week (8 points).So far, since 3rd January i have averaged 2.16pts profit per day and have so far comfortably achieved my 8% weekly increasefor the past 3 weeks.Godd start.. so far..
TOTGA, I remember doing something like that but not specifically on home teams. I quit as there wasn't any interest despite the fact I was showing a small loss, which normally create attention !! GL to you.
TOTGA, I remember doing something like that but not specifically on home teams. I quit as there wasn't any interest despite the fact I was showing a small loss, which normally create attention !!GL to you.
TOTGA, A VERY INTERESTING THREAD AND YOU HAVE CLEARLY GIVEN THIS MUCH THOUGHT.YOUR STATS ARE VERY STRONG WHEN SHOWING THE AMOUNT OF AWAY TEAMS WHO WON IN ENGLAND AND SCOTLAND AS TE PERCENTAGES ARE VERY LOW.COULD YOU CLARIFY TO ME HOW YOU CALCULATE THE POINTS SYSTEM PLEASE.APOLOGIES TO ALL IF THIS IS A BASIC QUESTION BUT IM SLIGHTLY UNSURE.GOOD LUCK TO YOU THOUGH.
TOTGA, A VERY INTERESTING THREAD AND YOU HAVE CLEARLY GIVEN THIS MUCH THOUGHT.YOUR STATS ARE VERY STRONG WHEN SHOWING THE AMOUNT OF AWAY TEAMS WHO WON IN ENGLAND AND SCOTLAND AS TE PERCENTAGES ARE VERY LOW.COULD YOU CLARIFY TO ME HOW YOU CALCULATE TH
Basically, i lay to 1pt on each bet. 1 pt could be £2, £10 or even £100, obviously if i was laying for £100 on Santander away to Barcelona my liability would be £3900!!.
At present i am laying to £4 per bet and am only laying the bets that are under 5.01. Meaning so far this weekend i am 6.26 + 13.3 pts up (or 19.56 x £4 = £78.24).
Hope this clarifies things....
Elvis,Basically, i lay to 1pt on each bet. 1 pt could be £2, £10 or even £100, obviously if i was laying for £100 on Santander away to Barcelona my liability would be £3900!!.At present i am laying to £4 per bet and am only laying the bets tha
Hi Woodhouse, a bit of both really, i make my selections initially (as long as they fall within my selection criteria) and then i use a football statistical website in which i compare the odds too.
So far so good. This weekend has been the highest amount of pts profit that i have made, the biggest losing one was -6pts, so far i have only had 4 losing days in 3 weeks!.
Hi Woodhouse, a bit of both really, i make my selections initially (as long as they fall within my selection criteria) and then i use a football statistical website in which i compare the odds too.So far so good. This weekend has been the highest am
hi again yea ive been doing something similar for a week or so now using a soccerstats site also with decent results i have criteria etc to follow. Are you just laying the under 5 and has it had better results over the 3 weeks than the over do you use a staking plan or is this to level stakes
Cheers
hi again yea ive been doing something similar for a week or so now using a soccerstats site also with decent results i have criteria etc to follow. Are you just laying the under 5 and has it had better results over the 3 weeks than the over do you us
woodhouse Date Joined: 14 Dec 07 Add contact | Send message When: 24 Jan 11 19:52 hi again yea ive been doing something similar for a week or so now using a soccerstats site also with decent results i have criteria etc to follow. Are you just laying the under 5 and has it had better results over the 3 weeks than the over do you use a staking plan or is this to level stakes
Cheers
Hi Woodhouse, at present i am laying to level stakes. I am unsure as to how the over 5.1 lay bets have profited over the past 3 weeks as i have only been betting on the under 5.01 bets.
I will try and work out how the over 5.01 lays would have done but it may take me some time!
woodhouse Date Joined: 14 Dec 07 Add contact | Send message When: 24 Jan 11 19:52 hi again yea ive been doing something similar for a week or so now using a soccerstats site also with decent results i have criteria etc to follow. Are you just laying
its ok ill be laying under 5 anyhow was just interested my lay tonight was the Buyuksehir game which duly won i tend to keep away from dutch second division stuff my other possible lay was the bochum game to any lays for tommorow i have mine ready
its ok ill be laying under 5 anyhow was just interested my lay tonight was the Buyuksehir game which duly won i tend to keep away from dutch second division stuff my other possible lay was the bochum game to any lays for tommorow i have mine ready
at least im along the same lines mine are padova bradford and barnet lets hope they come in unlucky tonight with the telstar one but take it you didnt bet that one
at least im along the same lines mine are padova bradford and barnet lets hope they come in unlucky tonight with the telstar one but take it you didnt bet that one
No, i managed to avoid the Telstar bet as it was over 5.01!
Im never going to win all the bets but as long as i come out in profit over the week then im happy!
No, i managed to avoid the Telstar bet as it was over 5.01!Im never going to win all the bets but as long as i come out in profit over the week then im happy!
I had a filter on my spreadsheet where i record my Lay Bets under 5.01, the actual stats are as follows:
63 Bets so far 56 winners 7 losing bets
Average Odds 3.98 Strike Rate 88.88% Total Profit +22.66pts (to level stakes)
I had a filter on my spreadsheet where i record my Lay Bets under 5.01, the actual stats are as follows:63 Bets so far56 winners7 losing betsAverage Odds 3.98Strike Rate 88.88%Total Profit +22.66pts (to level stakes)
Wednesdays Lay Bets Under 5.01 Lays Bursaspor 2.16 (1v1) 3v1 DH Karsiyaka 2.4 (0v2) 2v5! AA Cabofriense 5.0 (1v0) 2v0 HH Linense 4.3 (1v1) 3v3 DD Oeste 3.3 (0v0) 0v2 DA Aberdeen 3.3 (0v1) 0v2 AA West Ham 4.2 (0v1) 2v1 AH Santo Andre 4.3 (1v0) 1v1 HD Ponte Preta 4.7 (1v2) 1v3 AA Sau Paulo 1.9 (2v1) 3v4 HA Current P&L -5.85pts
Under 5.01 Lay Bets Day One P&L +6.26pts Day Two P&L +14.25pts Day Three P&L +1.9pts Day Four P&L +0.25pts Day Five P&L -5.85pts
Over 5.01 Lay Bets Day One P&L +10.95pts Day Two P&L +16.75pts Day Three P&L -2.2pts Day Four P&L -0.1pts Day Five P&L +6.65pts
Total Profit- Under 5.01 Lay Bets +16.81pts Over 5.01 Lay Bets +32.05pts
Under 5.01 Lay BetsDay One P&L +6.26ptsDay Two P&L +14.25pts Day Three P&L +1.9ptsDay Four P&L +0.25ptsDay Five P&L -5.85ptsOver 5.01 Lay Bets Day One P&L +10.95ptsDay Two P&L +16.75pts Day Three P&L -2.2ptsDay Four P&L -0.1ptsDay Five P&L +6.65ptsTo
Averaging 10 PINTS a day Jodie..........................even ANDY GRAY could not compete with that.....unless MUR DOCH wanted him tooooooooooooooooooo........
GRAY taking on NOW = M.............re HACKING......about 7 days ago........BEFORE the controversy....then ...low and behold.....S K YYYYYY..sack GRAY + PAL...........using OFF SCREEN tapes etc etc .....WHY?????? M empire taking over S K YYYYYYYYYYYYYYY....then a POLITICIAN resigns ( re conversations made in private.....not open to public)...why ???? WAs he taking on M empire????? YES! Was AG doing same SOONNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNNN??????? YES!
Would AG get millions if case proven re HACKING.........( strange how "private " off stage videos made by S KYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY....that MIGHT be controlled totally by M empire......use PRIVATE ...off air footage to smear AG............the empire to be taken on by AG re HACKING!
A settlement likely to be had.....and AG will get not as much as before what transpired OFF AIR ( tapes etc provided by S K YYYYYYYYYYYYYY a co soon to be MAYBE controlled by the M empire ...that is likely to be SUED soon by AG re HACKING !!!!! You got to laugh at just how far some people will go to ERADICATE anyone who takes the m on.............................
Politicians and ex A R A BS..........................the MEDIA MOGUL using anything he can to attack people who are to take him on and his EMP!
None of the above has anything to do with your thread Jodie.......but I suspect anyone with a brain ....few though they may be.......will be checking your thread out etc ....so EXPOSE here.....on your thread...RE - THE "DARK FORCES "!
Hope you are using REAL MONEY re above bets?
Gl with bets.
Sorry about highlighting what will be breaking news here......................SOON....watch out for follow-up stories re above.....
Averaging 10 PINTS a day Jodie..........................even ANDY GRAY could not compete with that.....unless MUR DOCH wanted him tooooooooooooooooooo........GRAY taking on NOW = M.............re HACKING......about 7 days ago........BEFORE the cont
Very true DFC with what you have posted above! unsure what you are actually talking about but at 2am in the morning i am assuming that you have had a few drinks!!!
I am not quite averaging 10pts a day but the profit is there to be seen (even though its only been 5 days so far!).
Yes i am using real money, only £4 per point but its certainly adding up!
Hope you and your family are ok x
Very true DFC with what you have posted above! unsure what you are actually talking about but at 2am in the morning i am assuming that you have had a few drinks!!!I am not quite averaging 10pts a day but the profit is there to be seen (even though it
Under 5.01 Lay Bets Day One P&L +6.26pts Day Two P&L +14.25pts Day Three P&L +1.9pts Day Four P&L +0.25pts Day Five P&L -5.85pts Day Six P&L 0pts
Over 5.01 Lay Bets Day One P&L +10.95pts Day Two P&L +16.75pts Day Three P&L -2.2pts Day Four P&L -0.1pts Day Five P&L +6.65pts Day Six P&L +1.9pts
Total Profit-Under 5.01 Lay Bets +16.81pts Over 5.01 Lay Bets +33.95pts
Thursday Lay Bets Macae 12.0 (1v0) 3v1 HHPaulista 8.6 (2v0) 3v1 HHUnder 5.01 Lay BetsDay One P&L +6.26ptsDay Two P&L +14.25pts Day Three P&L +1.9ptsDay Four P&L +0.25ptsDay Five P&L -5.85ptsDay Six P&L 0ptsOver 5.01 Lay Bets Day One P&L +10.95ptsDay
Hi again had two lays today osnabruck and heracles can not believe the osnabruck result its my first loss in 14 so lost 4 points of the bank plus 9 points for this week though do you think your 88 per cent strike rate is attainable long term also do you find between odds 3 and 4 loses more than 4 to 5 obviously it should but do your bets show that was thinking of introducing a staking plan thats all
Hi again had two lays today osnabruck and heracles can not believe the osnabruck result its my first loss in 14 so lost 4 points of the bank plus 9 points for this week though do you think your 88 per cent strike rate is attainable long term also do
VPS 2.42 (0v0) 0v0 DD Osnabruck 4.7 (0v0) 0v1 DA FC Ingolstadt 2.92 (0v1) 1v1 AD Heracles 4.6 (0v0) 1v1 DD Dordrecht 5.0 (0v0) 0v1 DA Albacete 4.5 (0v0) 2v0 DH Total P&L -3.9pts
Den Bosch 5.8 (0v0) 0v1 DA Almere City 9.6 (0v1) 2v2 AD Roosendaal 7.2 (3v0) 4v1 HH Hannover 6.8 (2v0) 2v0 HH Barnsley 5.8 (2v0) 2v0 HH Total P&L -2pts
Under 5.01 Lay Bets Day One P&L +6.26pts Day Two P&L +14.25pts Day Three P&L +1.9pts Day Four P&L +0.25pts Day Five P&L -5.85pts Day Six P&L -0pts Day Seven P&L -3.9pts
Over 5.01 Lay Bets Day One P&L +10.95pts Day Two P&L +16.75pts Day Three P&L -2.2pts Day Four P&L -0.1pts Day Five P&L +6.65pts Day Six P&L +1.9pts Day Seven P&L -2pts
Total Profit- Under 5.01 Lay Bets +12.92pts Over 5.01 Lay Bets +31.95pts
Under 5.01 Lay Bets Day One P&L +6.26pts Day Two P&L +14.25pts Day Three P&L +1.9pts Day Four P&L +0.25pts Day Five P&L -5.85pts Day Six P&L -0pts Day Seven P&L -3.9pts
Over 5.01 Lay Bets Day One P&L +10.95pts Day Two P&L +16.75pts Day Three P&L -2.2pts Day Four P&L -0.1pts Day Five P&L +6.65pts Day Six P&L +1.9pts Day Seven P&L -2pts
Total Profit (Week One)- Under 5.01 Lay Bets +12.92pts Over 5.01 Lay Bets +31.95pts
Week Two Under 5.01 Lay Bets Day One +3.54pts
Over 5.01 Lay Bets Day One +0.5pts
Under 5.01 Lay BetsDay One P&L +6.26ptsDay Two P&L +14.25pts Day Three P&L +1.9ptsDay Four P&L +0.25ptsDay Five P&L -5.85ptsDay Six P&L -0ptsDay Seven P&L -3.9ptsOver 5.01 Lay Bets Day One P&L +10.95ptsDay Two P&L +16.75pts Day Three P&L -2.2ptsDay F
Hi, very interesting system. Looks like its working for you. I'm a little unsure on the points system at the mo, so could you give me an idea of your profit/loss in £'s so far with this system and with your £4 stakes?
Cheers. Hope it continues to work for you!
Hi, very interesting system. Looks like its working for you. I'm a little unsure on the points system at the mo, so could you give me an idea of your profit/loss in £'s so far with this system and with your £4 stakes?Cheers. Hope it continues to wo