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GazzaB
02 Oct 10 10:29
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Date Joined: 03 Feb 08
| Topic/replies: 225 | Blogger: GazzaB's blog
What lay betting staking plan would you recommend for a strike rate of 85.7% with average odds of 6.69? 1 lay  bet per day.

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Report hummingsox October 2, 2010 12:03 PM BST
Try  www.thestakingmachine.com

Lots of staking plans on there and if none of them suit you can go on to devise your own version of one.
Report SHAPESHIFTER October 2, 2010 10:18 PM BST
Gazza,

if you were BACKING a team at 4/7, how much would you risk?

therefore:

if you are LAYING a team at 7/4, how much would you risk?
Report scotbet October 2, 2010 11:57 PM BST
1the numbers here demonstrate a very low margin , as a rule I'd look at levels ( staking ) , however in truth I'd be looking at improving the margins
Report GazzaB October 3, 2010 8:46 AM BST
Thanks. I'm hoping the rate strike rate will increase, the data collected is only over a month so there's a way to go before the real pattern emerges, just a set of selection criteria I'm toying with for a daily lay bet on horses. The odds vary considerably so I may have to narrow that down a bit.

I've had a play with the staking machine and run some results through and it suggests Lay 1-4 is most profitable, I would cap with with a max liability at these odds though. A run of a few losing lays will wipe the bank.

The thing I struggle with laying is finding the right balance between risk (and so healthy returns) and the capping of liability for when the inevitable losing run comes.

It's a larf a minute this laying! Happy
Report FINE AS FROG HAIR October 3, 2010 10:24 AM BST
Remember laying is still just betting, except that you're dutching a few horses.
The principles of staking don't vary if you're betting or laying.
Report kenilworth October 3, 2010 12:44 PM BST
Lay to what you are comfortable with.
Report FINE AS FROG HAIR October 3, 2010 1:03 PM BST
Just remember you have to wake up with it though.
Report kenilworth October 3, 2010 1:57 PM BST
you wake up ok if your comfortable to start with.
Report FINE AS FROG HAIR October 3, 2010 2:52 PM BST
I don't think that is necessarily true.
Comfort in a bet is one of the worst feelings to have, from my personal experience.
The more comfortable I feel, the more I usually get bitten in the backside.
Report kenilworth October 3, 2010 3:23 PM BST
I don't mean comfortable as to whether your bet will
be successful or not, but that the money lost won't
be too painful.
Report FINE AS FROG HAIR October 3, 2010 4:17 PM BST
OK I agree with that.
An important aspect of staking or capital allocation.
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