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23 Aug 10
22:17
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Date Joined:
27 Sep 03
Ok, here we go... no laughing at the back please
My strategy involves filtering past runs to look for close finishes (1st, 2nd, less than 1L) and to compare the OR for that race with today's OR. I also filter on longer-distances, course etc.
On the whole it works pretty well, where today's OR is above the previous close-finish OR that horse normally doesn't run well.... with one exception, and that exception is where the close-finish was from a LTO race.
I accept that it happens because I've got the evidence in front of my face, but what I can't comprehend is WHY.
These aren't horses who are running at their highest ever OR either, these are horses whose OR has gone up and down - so what's the thing about doing well LTO? Is it that the horse has come into form - but why is there such a marked difference between close-finishes LTO and close-finished for second_LTO?
all answers much appreciated - ta
My strategy involves filtering past runs to look for close finishes (1st, 2nd, less than 1L) and to compare the OR for that race with today's OR. I also filter on longer-distances, course etc.
On the whole it works pretty well, where today's OR is above the previous close-finish OR that horse normally doesn't run well.... with one exception, and that exception is where the close-finish was from a LTO race.
I accept that it happens because I've got the evidence in front of my face, but what I can't comprehend is WHY.
These aren't horses who are running at their highest ever OR either, these are horses whose OR has gone up and down - so what's the thing about doing well LTO? Is it that the horse has come into form - but why is there such a marked difference between close-finishes LTO and close-finished for second_LTO?
all answers much appreciated - ta
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Don't really understand what you mean........I doubt anyone does.....as you have not IMO phrased your point or question well.
Can you clarify ....and give an example.
Can you clarify ....and give an example.
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