Catfloppo punters look at prices they have no ideas of there own .. say the daily paper says micky mouse in the 2.30 at Dream Land is 4/5 fav .... well its a cert .
Well zip has a different view i price up each race on merit dont take any notice about the press gang .
And i have been at this game the last 50 years
Heres my CV. my dad was a gambler my mum married a gambler .. so i did not have much choice zips follows family tradition I have no regets
Catfloppo punters look at prices they have no ideas of there own .. say the daily paper says micky mouse in the 2.30 at Dream Land is 4/5 fav .... well its a cert .Well zip has a different view i price up
I didn't realise this was YOUR thread and you're as thick as pigshi t if you think prices don't matter! A bookie who doesn't understand overround is unheard of. You spout some rubbish on here and expect people to listen to it!
I didn't realise this was YOUR thread and you're as thick as pigshi t if you think prices don't matter! A bookie who doesn't understand overround is unheard of. You spout some rubbish on here and expect people to listen to it!
Don't get bogged down with the word 'value', the point is that you need to be able to spot horses which are overpriced over a period of time, not on an individual race. If you are able to do this you will have an edge. Your profit/loss column will tell you whether you have this edge. Commission makes it alot harder than people realize to make this edge pay.
Don't get bogged down with the word 'value', the point is that you need to be able to spot horses which are overpriced over a period of time, not on an individual race. If you are able to do this you will have an edge. Your profit/loss column will te
Buzzer a bookie who dont understand over rounds Well Son if your a gambling bookie like my dad and myself over rounds mean nowt .. The Late Great John Banks would not know what you are talking about over rounds are for public owned companies .. 3 spring to mind ...Laddies , Billy Hills , And Joe Coral have say a winning run with any of em ... they close your account .. over round or not so stick your over rounds up your backside .. hope thats clear.
Buzzer a bookie who dont understand over rounds Well Son if your a gambling bookie like my dad and myself over rounds mean nowt .. The Late Great John Banks would not know what you are talking about over ro
dlarssonf what that means ive no idea and Buzzer . now this nonsense about over rounds .. take this onboard there are layers on here (Betfair ) who will stand a horse for say 10k or 20k to lose and nowt else in the book .. tell them about over rounds .
dlarssonf what that means ive no idea and Buzzer . now this nonsense about over rounds .. take this onboard there are layers on here (Betfair ) who will stand a horse for say 10k or 20k to lose and nowt e
gambler versus gambler gambler 1 bets horse at 3-1 (horse wins) gambler 2 bets same horse at 2-1 gambler 1 bets horse at 2-1 (horse loses) gambler 2 bets same horse at 13-8 gambler 1 bets horse at 5-4 (horse loses) gambler 2 bets same horse at 8-11
all to level stakes
gambler versus gambler gambler 1 bets horse at 3-1 (horse wins)gambler 2 bets same horse at 2-1gambler 1 bets horse at 2-1 (horse loses)gambler 2 bets same horse at 13-8gambler 1 bets horse at 5-4 (horse loses)gambler 2 bets same horse at 8-11all to
With a largish bank making money on football is fairly easy providing you know which prices are right and which are wrong.If you get that correct the result can be an irrelevance.
With a largish bank making money on football is fairly easy providing you know which prices are right and which are wrong.If you get that correct the result can be an irrelevance.
zipper 19 Aug 10 15:56 This nonsense about VALUE is just that Nonsense .. the ONLY value is the winner .. eg one you got 8/1 a horse who started 6/4 fav .. so you got the value . but but the nag ran last .. take your ticket up to your bookie and he will say .... sorry son that was a loser .get the drift
Finally......a bit mad, but a voice of reason...
Value is subjective.
zipper 19 Aug 10 15:56 This nonsense about VALUE is just that Nonsense .. the ONLY value is the winner .. eg one you got 8/1 a horse who started 6/4 fav .. so you got the value . but but the nag ran last .. take
No Name Specified 20 Aug 10 14:35 zipper 19 Aug 10 15:56 This nonsense about VALUE is just that Nonsense .. the ONLY value is the winner .. eg one you got 8/1 a horse who started 6/4 fav .. so you got the value . but but the nag ran last .. take your ticket up to your bookie and he will say .... sorry son that was a loser .get the drift
Finally......a bit mad, but a voice of reason...
Value is subjective.
If I back the same 100 horses with a BFSP of 5.0 as you and zipper, using identical stakes. I back them at 6.0 you guys who don't care about value back them at 5.0, who will be the biggest winner?
Value is subjective alright.
No Name Specified 20 Aug 10 14:35 zipper 19 Aug 10 15:56 This nonsense about VALUE is just that Nonsense .. the ONLY value is the winner .. eg one you got 8/1 a horse who started 6/4 fav .. so you got the value
Muqbil Joined: 18 May 03 Replies: 1961 20 Aug 10 14:53 If I back the same 100 horses with a BFSP of 5.0 as you and zipper, using identical stakes. I back them at 6.0 you guys who don't care about value back them at 5.0, who will be the biggest winner?
Value is subjective alright.
if they lose? Price is irrelvant. i don't think anyone's talking about who is a bigger winner, are we? its about making a profit.
Muqbil Joined: 18 May 03Replies: 1961 20 Aug 10 14:53 If I back the same 100 horses with a BFSP of 5.0 as you and zipper, using identical stakes. I back them at 6.0 you guys who don't care about value back them at 5.0, who will be the biggest wi
if they lose? Price is irrelvant. i don't think anyone's talking about who is a bigger winner, are we? its about making a profit.
roffle.
No Name Specified 20 Aug 10 15:05 if they lose? Price is irrelvant.i don't think anyone's talking about who is a bigger winner, are we? its about making a profit.roffle.
ok you guys please please one at a time now settle down
Zips take on value is this take Wootton Bassett yesterday every bookie in the land made this a 5/2 or 11/4 shot at 1.20 pm the horse was very backed at 5/4 it won like a cert you value men would not be on cause theres no value zip was on cause my take on value the only value is the winner
ok you guys please please one at a time now settle down Zips take on value is this take Wootton Bassett yesterday every bookie in the land made this a 5/2 or 11/4 shot at 1.20 pm the horse was very
Mugbil If i back the same horses as zipper. Let me stop you there son IF IF is all encompassing. Take for instance .... If my granny had testicles she would have been my Grandad .. need i go on
Mugbil If i back the same horses as zipper.Let me stop you there son IF IF is all encompassing.Take for instance .... If my granny had testicles she would have been my Grandad .. need i go on
Think this mug Zipper has got the wrong part of the forum this is General Chat nog bugger of to Horse Racing part, oh thats right they hate you on there and its not your thread you moron its Take Me Outs
Think this mug Zipper has got the wrong part of the forum this is General Chat nog bugger of to Horse Racing part, oh thats right they hate you on there and its not your thread you moron its Take Me Outs
Value lies in the thoughts of us. Sometimes a 1-3 shot is value it's about opinions. I rarely bet under 3-1 but yesterday thought Wooton Basset was good value 15-8. Tues thought Twice Over was value at 11-2 only 2 horse bets this week. I find it harder on footy but regularly bet on Rugby and having a poor run at present
Value lies in the thoughts of us. Sometimes a 1-3 shot is value it's about opinions. I rarely bet under 3-1 but yesterday thought Wooton Basset was good value 15-8. Tues thought Twice Over was value at 11-2 only 2 horse bets this week. I find it hard
If I say my purple trousers are lovely that is subjective. Others may disagree and no-one's opinion is dominant.
If I say Man Utd are 100/1 to win the premiership next year I would be objectively wrong. If I said they were 1.01 to win I would be wrong again. The fact that is very very hard to identify the exact point in between 1.01 and 100 that represents the true odds of them winning does not make it a subjective assessment.
No Name Specified Joined: 16 Feb 10Value is subjective. If I say my purple trousers are lovely that is subjective. Others may disagree and no-one's opinion is dominant.If I say Man Utd are 100/1 to win the premiership next year I would be objectively
Value is not subjective, but it is very difficult to pinpoint - so we need margings of error to work within if we are to profit from any meaningful analysis. If value had no meaning at all we would all willingly bet 1.01 on anything that we thought would win an event. In truth, value is everything to a punter, whether they actively look for it or not. Ask yourself, where would you be if you backed/layed at half the odds or twice the odds? The biggest mistake a punter can make is to think they have to find the most likely winner of an event. Wise advice whoever gave me that nugget.
Value is not subjective, but it is very difficult to pinpoint - so we need margings of error to work within if we are to profit from any meaningful analysis. If value had no meaning at all we would all willingly bet 1.01 on anything that we thought w
The biggest mistake a punter can make is to think they have to find the most likely winner of an event. =====================================================
A "punter" does not know where the likely winner of horse race will come from ...generally speaking!
Surely REM if you CAN identify where the winner is likely to come from, then you have a huge advantage compared to those who are only guessing.
I think you are talking from LAYING perspective......as it is NOT a big mistake to check out the odds of thoses that MIGHT win IF YOU ARE A BACKER.
VALUE lies more from a BACKING perspective than a LAYING one.......eg 100-1 SP winner compared to an evens money loser is quite a differnce in return on "investment" etc.
The biggest mistake a punter can make is to think they have to find the most likely winner of an event.=====================================================A "punter" does not know where the likely winner of horse race will come from ...generally spe
i started at the beginning of this year with a bank of 2k - and am now up to 12.5k I dont leave bets hanging out there tho and I aim to greenbook most of the time. and i generally only bet on games / matches where i can watch live (or a least a live scoreboard on the net somewhere), and I dont mind taking a pounce at the last minute on a short odds favorite - but still - like "dont stop winning" said - i only use a 2% of my bank per bet - its all about money management
i started at the beginning of this year with a bank of 2k - and am now up to 12.5k I dont leave bets hanging out there tho and I aim to greenbook most of the time. and i generally only bet on games / matches where i can watch live (or a least a live
Surely REM if you CAN identify where the winner is likely to come from, then you have a huge advantage compared to those who are only guessing.
The winner can come from anywhere it's how likely each of the runners are to win that is the key. If a 500/1 shot is priced at 600/1 it is worth backing.
DFCIRONMAN Joined: 04 Dec 04Surely REM if you CAN identify where the winner is likely to come from, then you have a huge advantage compared to those who are only guessing.The winner can come from anywhere it's how likely each of the runners are to wi
Disagree that a winner of a horse race can come from any of them generally! This is nonsense.
You don't back a horse just because the odds are higher than you think they should be.....that is flawed thinking IMO.
There have to be factors in favour of a horse that give it a winning chance in a race....such as when both 100-1 SP shots won the other day......
Disagree that a winner of a horse race can come from any of them generally! This is nonsense.You don't back a horse just because the odds are higher than you think they should be.....that is flawed thinking IMO.There have to be factors in favour of a
Nonsense, any horse can win in any field. You are confusing impossible with unlikely.
A 100/1 shot will win, on average, one in every hundred events - that's what it means. A 1000/1 shot will win, on average, one in every thousand events.
Nonsense, any horse can win in any field. You are confusing impossible with unlikely.A 100/1 shot will win, on average, one in every hundred events - that's what it means. A 1000/1 shot will win, on average, one in every thousand events.
Just because I know that a 100/1 shot will win sometimes does not mean I can tell when it is going to happen. I would only have backed those horses if I thought the odds offered were higher than the true chance of them winning.
Just because I know that a 100/1 shot will win sometimes does not mean I can tell when it is going to happen. I would only have backed those horses if I thought the odds offered were higher than the true chance of them winning.
"When it is going to happen" is the key........if you can identify horses that do have a chance to win....realistic chance to win...then generally 100-1 shots will be "value" to back.
The FACTORS must be in their favour though.......and you presumably ....if you saw these factors in favour of a horse winning would FIRST HAVE TO SEE THOSE FACTORS BEFORE YOU CAN DETERMINE "the odds offered were higher than the true chance of them winning".
The FIRST stage comes before you betting on them.......if they don't have factors in favour ....you should not back em .......
So i still disagree that "that a winner of a horse race can come from any of them generally!" This is just pure nonsense GENERALLY!
"When it is going to happen" is the key........if you can identify horses that do have a chance to win....realistic chance to win...then generally 100-1 shots will be "value" to back. The FACTORS must be in their favour though.......and you presumabl
catfloppo Joined: 16 Nov 06 Replies: 501 22 Aug 10 13:44
Nonsense, any horse can win in any field. You are confusing impossible with unlikely.
A 100/1 shot will win, on average, one in every hundred events - that's what it means. A 1000/1 shot will win, on average, one in every thousand events. ======================================================================
The FACTS are -
Results broken down by Year Bets Wins Win Strike Rate Win %Return at SP Placed (inc wins) Place Strike Rate Each-Way %Return at SP 2008 3177 5 0.2% 15.9% 59 1.9% 28.3% 2009 3079 7 0.2% 23.0% 82 2.7% 40.4% 2010 1696 8 0.5% 47.6% 35 2.1% 46.5%
Nothing like 1 race in 100 etc etc............
catfloppo Joined: 16 Nov 06Replies: 501 22 Aug 10 13:44 Nonsense, any horse can win in any field. You are confusing impossible with unlikely.A 100/1 shot will win, on average, one in every hundred events - that's what it means. A 1000/1 shot will
DFC, catfloppo is right. And you have kind of just proven it. You are correct, nothing like 1 in a 100 races, hence catfloppo is saying that obviously those horses were incorrectly priced and had we bet on them we would not be getting our moneys worth over time.
Cat is saying that if we knew a horse was 200/1 but true odds of 100/1 then you keep backing those odds and over time you are in profit.
1000/1 SPs have won, a couple quite recently - so there you have it, Cats "any horse can win in any field. You are confusing impossible with unlikely." statement is true.
The fact is though that we don't back the 600/1 over priced horse because A) I'm not sure anyone really ever knows true odds and B) we don't like to bet like that, over a long period of time for little return and dont get our 'fix' :)
Having said that, cats theory/statements are right.
DFC, catfloppo is right. And you have kind of just proven it. You are correct, nothing like 1 in a 100 races, hence catfloppo is saying that obviously those horses were incorrectly priced and had we bet on them we would not be getting our moneys wo
No one can say when it is going to happen. You can just try and get value. The factors you are taking about may mean you can get value if others have not taken them into account.
No one can say when it is going to happen. You can just try and get value. The factors you are taking about may mean you can get value if others have not taken them into account.
DFC lets have a bit of fun 3? for you 1 name me any Pro punter who bothered about value . 2 name the last 1000/1 shot to win l will give you any event . 3 name this year Ledger 2010 winner ..
DFC lets have a bit of fun 3? for you 1 name me any Pro punter who bothered about value .2 name the last 1000/1 shot to win l will give you any event . 3 name this year Ledger 2010 winner ..
Horse Racing > Bang 20th Aug : 2m4f Mdn Hrd Showing 1 - 6 of 6 Selections
Selection Odds Stake(£) Bid type Placed Profit/loss(£) Butlers Glen * 5.39 42.00 Lay 42.00 Himayna 17.50 3.00 Back 20-Aug-10 13:45 -3.00 Miss Franklin 315.85 2.00 Back 20-Aug-10 13:46 629.70 Miss Franklin 3.00 100.00 Lay 20-Aug-10 13:57 -200.00 Nouailhas 220.00 2.00 Back 20-Aug-10 13:46 -2.00 Pinerock 2.90 15.00 Back 20-Aug-10 13:45 -15.00 *Average odds: On Off Back subtotal: 609.70 Lay subtotal: -158.00 Market subtotal: 451.70 Commission @ 3.2%: 14.45 Net Market Total: 437.25 ================================================================ Borderlescott 12.00 2.00 Back 20-Aug-10 15:15 -2.00 Equiano 4.90 6.00 Back 20-Aug-10 15:21 -6.00 Kingsgate Native 6.60 15.00 Lay 20-Aug-10 15:21 15.00 Prime Defender 55.00 2.00 Back 20-Aug-10 15:15 -2.00 Rose Blossom 23.00 2.00 Back 20-Aug-10 15:15 -2.00 Sole Power 152.30 2.00 Back 20-Aug-10 15:20 302.60 Starspangledbanner 2.60 9.00 Back 20-Aug-10 15:25 -9.00 *Average odds: On Off Back subtotal: 281.60 Lay subtotal: 15.00 Market subtotal: 296.60 Commission @ 3.2%: 9.49 Net Market Total: 287.11 ====================================================================
Are you sure NO ONE CAN SAY WHEN IT IS GOING TO HAPPEN ?
Horse Racing > Bang 20th Aug : 2m4f Mdn Hrd Showing 1 - 6 of 6 Selections Selection Odds Stake(£) Bid type Placed Profit/loss(£) Butlers Glen * 5.39 42.00 Lay 42.00 Himayna 17.50 3.00 Back 20-Aug-10 13:45 -3.00 Miss Franklin 315.85 2.00 Back
DFC When is it going to happen zip thinks this will happen in the next 40 mins Mussle 3.50 misscomplacent . Folkestone 4.10 Cocohatchee Newton Abbot 4.30 Marufo All three will get beat .
DFC When is it going to happen zip thinks this will happen in the next 40 mins Mussle 3.50 misscomplacent .Folkestone 4.10 Cocohatchee Newton Abbot 4.30 Marufo All three will get beat .
You FIRST identify horses that CAN win a race........and I back them with small stakes initially ...WITHOUT LOOKING AT ODDS........This helps me decide IF I am gonna lay one ....just in case I inadvertently lay a horse that can win....
So Homer Jay Simspon ....I suppose in my case the answer is YES....but only due to the method i apply on betting on a race.
You FIRST identify horses that CAN win a race........and I back them with small stakes initially ...WITHOUT LOOKING AT ODDS........This helps me decide IF I am gonna lay one ....just in case I inadvertently lay a horse that can win....So Homer Jay Si
DFC lets have a bit of fun 3? for you 1 name me any Pro punter who bothered about value . 2 name the last 1000/1 shot to win l will give you any event . 3 name this year Ledger 2010 winner .. =============================================================
1. I don't "know" any ....and it is not relevant to topic. 2. No idea .....I don't BACK IR generally........so really not relevant , as i BACK and LAY PRIOR to off and that is all that interests me. 3. Will depend on going ....and will just have to wait before that is clear ..............obviously!
zipper Joined: 06 Jul 02Replies: 1941 22 Aug 10 15:26 DFC lets have a bit of fun 3? for you 1 name me any Pro punter who bothered about value .2 name the last 1000/1 shot to win l will give you any event . 3 name this
Welsh Inlet looks more of a lay than back....BUT NOT LAYING IN THIS RACE
Some small backs to pass the time
GB / Folk 22nd Aug / 16:10 5f Mdn Soviet Suspect Back 22-Aug-10 16:09 34 2.00 34.63 22-Aug-10 16:09
GB / Folk 22nd Aug / 16:10 5f Mdn Whitstable Native Back 22-Aug-10 16:08 9.6 2.00 9.62 22-Aug-10 16:08
GB / Folk 22nd Aug / 16:10 5f Mdn Silver Angel Back 22-Aug-10 16:08 13.5 3.00 12.99 22-Aug-10 16:08 APPEARS TO BE THE VALUE ONE
Welsh Inlet looks more of a lay than back....BUT NOT LAYING IN THIS RACESome small backs to pass the time GB / Folk 22nd Aug / 16:10 5f Mdn Soviet Suspect Back 22-Aug-1016:09 34 2.00 34.63 22-Aug-10 16:09 GB / Folk 22nd Aug / 16:10 5f Mdn
DFC 4.30 Marufo ( your words zip i wopuld not lay your pick cause itcan win ) Sure its can win but zips got at least four who can beat it ....hows that for value
DFC 4.30 Marufo ( your words zip i wopuld not lay your pick cause itcan win ) Sure its can win but zips got at least four who can beat it ....hows that for value
What someone else does is not really relevant to how much you can make ...or keep.....
All depends what sport and what markets you bet on ...so as i believe it is FOOTBALL markets you are interested in.....and it is more "luck" based, would believe it wuld be dangerous tp compare someone else's performance against yours....
TAKE ME OUT Joined: 13 Feb 10Replies: 8118 18 Aug 10 16:27 how much do you realistically think you could win a day/week? ===============================================================What someone else does is not really relevant to how much you c
OK this looks like the DFC man and Zipper show yes zipper is a girl . Been on here saying zips an old man call the nurse . any how deal with it any of you guys want to talk sense about gambling post it
OK this looks like the DFC man and Zipper show yes zipper is a girl . Been on here saying zips an old man call the nurse . any how deal with it any of you guys want to talk sense about gambling pos
Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (£) Horse Racing / Muss 22nd Aug : 1m Hcap 22-Aug-10 17:20 22-Aug-10 17:25 11.62 Horse Racing / Folk 22nd Aug : 1m4f Hcap 22-Aug-10 17:10 22-Aug-10 17:16 20.28 Horse Racing / Newt 22nd Aug : 2m1f NHF 22-Aug-10 17:00 22-Aug-10 17:08 36.01 Horse Racing / Muss 22nd Aug : 1m4f Hcap 22-Aug-10 16:50 22-Aug-10 16:57 24.39 Horse Racing / Folk 22nd Aug : 1m1f Hcap 22-Aug-10 16:40 22-Aug-10 16:45 -6.00 Horse Racing / Newt 22nd Aug : To Be Placed 22-Aug-10 16:30 22-Aug-10 16:44 -7.00 Horse Racing / Newt 22nd Aug : 3m2f Hcap Chs 22-Aug-10 16:30 22-Aug-10 16:42 -84.60 Horse Racing / Folk 22nd Aug : 5f Mdn 22-Aug-10 16:10 22-Aug-10 16:21 -7.00 Horse Racing / Folk (RFC) 22nd Aug : Reverse FC 22-Aug-10 16:10 22-Aug-10 16:21 -4.00 Horse Racing / Newt 22nd Aug : 2m6f Hcap Hrd 22-Aug-10 16:00 22-Aug-10 16:11 21.12 Horse Racing / Muss 22nd Aug : 5f Sell Stks 22-Aug-10 15:50 22-Aug-10 15:55 27.10 Horse Racing / Folk 22nd Aug : 6f Hcap 22-Aug-10 15:40 22-Aug-10 15:47 0.00 Horse Racing / Newt 22nd Aug : 2m6f Hcap Hrd 22-Aug-10 15:30 22-Aug-10 15:44 18.39 Horse Racing / Muss 22nd Aug : 1m6f Hcap 22-Aug-10 15:20 22-Aug-10 15:27 51.69 Horse Racing / Folk 22nd Aug : 7f Hcap 22-Aug-10 15:10 22-Aug-10 15:17 24.20 Horse Racing / Newt 22nd Aug : 2m5f Nov Chs 22-Aug-10 15:00 22-Aug-10 15:08 24.20 Horse Racing / Newt (F/C) 22nd Aug : Forecast 22-Aug-10 15:00 22-Aug-10 15:08 -4.00 Horse Racing / Folk 22nd Aug : 7f Sell Stks 22-Aug-10 14:40 22-Aug-10 14:48 -12.00 Horse Racing / Newt 22nd Aug : 2m1f Mdn Hrd 22-Aug-10 14:30 22-Aug-10 14:38 2.90 Horse Racing / Muss 22nd Aug : 1m Hcap 22-Aug-10 14:20 22-Aug-10 14:24 -3.00 Horse Racing / Newt 22nd Aug : 2m3f Nov Hrd 22-Aug-10 14:00 22-Aug-10 14:08 14.52 =====================================================================================
Just SMALL STAKES used ...and a profit of over 100 made ....but that is spending afternoon doing bets etc......So a large bank is not needed to make a profit ....but it does help psychologically to have a large bank.
Horse Racing: £148.82 Horse Racing Showing 1 - 20 of 21 markets Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (£) Horse Racing / Muss 22nd Aug : 1m Hcap 22-Aug-10 17:20 22-Aug-10 17:25 11.62 Horse Racing / Folk 22nd Aug : 1m4f Hcap 22-Aug-10
OK - it's late so no time for an essay, but the point I made was exactly that it is all a question of trying to quantify how likely a particular outcome is. We all know Man U are a better football team than Fulham, but knowing that is not enough. We need to know what happens if the game is played a thousand times (and the answer is not that Man U will win a thousand times because they are the better team)?
Horse racing is an entirely different beast. The market has always been nearer the true odds at the shorter end of the market and further away at the more fanciful end. In a conventional sense big priced outsiders do represent value, but the fact that they are outsiders is also often an indicator that all is not well. If the market speaks I listen to it.
Did I just open a can of worms...OK - it's late so no time for an essay, but the point I made was exactly that it is all a question of trying to quantify how likely a particular outcome is. We all know Man U are a better football team than Fulham, bu
TakeMO I firmly believe you can consistently turn over a decent wage. The 1% per day sounds about right. But we all know it isn't about making money, it's about holding on to it. It takes a lot of practice to take a pounding and not steam you're bank into oblivion. Gamblers don't lose their bankroll by losing bets, they lose their bankroll by continuosly making STUPID bets. (usually after a large loss or when you're drunk or stoned.) You're obviously switched on and i presume you've had the experience of chasing and making a complete cnt of yourself and waking up the next day feeling worse.(i know i have) Well how would you feel if you blew 10K? If you feel confident enough not to make this mistake, i reckon you could have a go. But bail out if you blow 50% and take a week to breath. By the way, i always like having my opinions questioned so i can evaluate my carry on. It's called learning. Thats why you started this thread. but as usual the fkn numpties arrived. Zipper was giving sound advice. And sound advice and opinions from a dude that has managed to play this game for 5 decades deserves respect. I am a value man too but he gave me a lot of food for thought. Its a pity the TOOLS ruined you're thread.
TakeMOI firmly believe you can consistently turn over a decent wage. The 1% per day sounds about right. But we all know it isn't about making money, it's about holding on to it. It takes a lot of practice to take a pounding and not steam you're bank