*Laying Correct Score Market 2010/11*

Hey all,

I'll have a go at this and see how it goes. Starting bank will be 500 euros. My aim is to make 200-250 euros/week but may aim for lower when there are no midweek games. Will see how it goes in the process.

Bet 1 -> Haka - Lahti: Lay unquoted @11 liability 160 to win 16. Both teams are doing really bad, but Lahti has an impressive away record of draws 1-5-1. Recent form for the two teams is roughly the same. I expect a tight underish game.

Bet 2 -> Roda - Twente: Lay unquoted @ 8.4 liability 118,4 to win 16. Opening game in Holland and first couple of games are always tricky. I don't believe that any of the two teams will go out full attack as they're still going through an adjustment period. (Only 7 euros matched at the time of writing, will update tomorrow)

Good luck to all!

Bank £250

(01) Lay Lierse (IP 1-2 Standard) £2.50 @ 11.5
Potential Profit £2.26 Liability £24.99
(02) Lay Valencia (IP Villa 0v0) £7.75 @ 3.6
Potential Profit £7.34 Liability £20.10

Hi guys

I notice that a number of you dive straight in as soon as the footy season starts-up. Do any of you favour looking at stats on which to base your selections? If so, do you like to use the previous season's stats or do you prefer to look at the current season's also as they develop. Obviously the latter cannot be used at present.

Anyway, good luck to all for the coming season.

ebasson61- i always have a look at previous stats as i find them extremely healthy reading but the fact is that football is never that easy.  I enjoy the game to be IP and get a feel to the game prior to taking bets. 

Bet of the Decade- DFC always gives extremely efficient write ups prior to games which always makes good reading, i am not sure if he is having a break from the start of the season but have no doubt that he will be posting soon enough. Watch this space....

Bank £250

(01) Lay Lierse (IP 1-2 Standard) £2.50 @ 11.5
Potential Profit £2.26 Liability £24.99
(02) Lay Valencia (IP Villa 0v0) £7.75 @ 3.6
Potential Profit £7.34 Liability £20.10
(02a) Back Valencia (IP Villa 0v0) £3.31 @ 8.4
Guaranteed Profit £4.18
(03) Lay ANY UNQ (IP Norwich 0v2 Watford) £6.50 @ 5.15
Potential Profit £6.18 Liability £27.00
(03a) Back ANY UNQ (IP Norwich 1v3 Watford) £4.08 @ 8.2
Guaranteed Profit £2.30

IF IN DOUBT TRADE IT OUT!!

Bank £250

(01) Lay Lierse (IP 1-2 Standard) £2.50 @ 11.5 W £2.26
(02) Lay Valencia (IP Villa 0v0) £7.75 @ 3.6 Traded W £4.18
(03) Lay ANY UNQ (IP Norw 0v2 Watf) £6.50 @ 5.15 Traded W £2.30

Bank
Day 1- £259.69 (+ 3.88% increase)

Good first day, not sure where the extra 80 odd pence came from but an overall bank increase of nearly 4%.  My overall aim is to increase the bank by approximately 10% each week, im sure i will hit some losers but will keep a track of the results on here.  Night all.

Hi dlarssonf, apologies if i have offended you with starting a new thread, i honestly didnt mean to.

In all honesty i just wanted to record my results on a thread, the thread that was started last season was also to record my own results but other people also participated, i forgot this was a 'general betting' forum and didnt realise that there was a betfair rule that opposed 2 threads of the same origin.

Once again apologies if i have offended you but people can post there thoughts anywhere they wish, i hope you will all join in but i will take no offence if nobody comments on this one.

All the best with your bets this season and apologies that i disappered for 6 months, i didnt realise you missed me so much! xx

no1 said it was an offence to start a thread, i said it was poor form imo and I won't be losing sleep over it TOTGA.  Good luck with your bets also.

No but will be starting again soon

Both games fully matched and won 30.44 euros so new balance is 530.44 euros.

TOTGA well done for day 1. You mind me posting in this thread or should i start my own?

Wedged - hard to reply to that .....but it was over 192 days.

I had no edge on World Cup games....and I got caught up of "hype" ....but it is far harder to weigh up how such international matches will go .....so i lost a few thousand there.

No point saying AFTER event that had I adopted a different approach to such games I would have been better off.................as can't honestly answer that.

Perhaps it was down to just "luck" that I made a profit on thread.

What I can say that is to often I over staked LATE AT NIGHT/EARLY MORNING ......probably through "tiredness"..........and lost heavily on a number of matches......I do not believe this was just co-incidence.......others might say it was!

So better control of STAKING late in day FOR ME is important ( I know that control should be exercised with every bet ....but it is late at night i tend to lose control on staking ...WHEN AHEAD GENERALY( it is not chasing LOSSES ...but chasing more profit when over staking creeps in).

At one time I was achieving 2% approximately on stakes risked.......anddon't think I could do better than that with CS LAYS. After World Cup matches ...the 2 % was nearer 1%.......... I believe it is possible to make 2% with CLUB matches........but not with INTERNATIONAL comps......

Anyway, GL all on this years' bets.

G N the noooooo

Bank £250

(01) Lay Lierse (IP 1-2 Standard) £2.50 @ 11.5 W £2.26
(02) Lay Valencia (IP Villa 0v0) £7.75 @ 3.6 Traded W £4.18
(03) Lay ANY UNQ (IP Norw 0v2 Watf) £6.50 @ 5.15 Traded W £2.30

Bank
Day 1- £259.69 (+ 3.88% increase)

(04) Lay Middlesborough 1v0 Ipswich £4.25 @ 7.6
Potential Profit £4.04 Liability £28.05
(05) Lay Reading 1v1 Scunthorpe £3.00 @ 9.4
Potential Profit £2.85 Liability £25.20
(06) Lay Portsmouth (Coventry v) £10 @ 3.45
Potential Profit £9.50 Liability £24.50
(07) Lay Gillingham 1v0 Cheltenham £4 @ 7.8
Potential Profit £3.80 Liability £27.20

Good morning all,

Bet 3 -> Southampton - Plymouth: Lay unquoted @9.4 liability 134.4 to win 16. Southampton with a couple of important absences, will probably win, but I expect the game to end under 2.5 goals. Plymouth has a good history in there which puts me off from laying 1-1 which was my other choice.

(08) A/H Plymouth +1 (IP Soton 0v0) £12.50 @ 1.4

Hello everyone. Good to see this thread back for the new season. Don't like to get involved too early as my ratings need a few games to crunch. A hint of value so having a dabble at min stakes laying Milwall, Forest, Hudd, MK, Bradford & Aldershot.

Good luck.



(back to the racing)

Starting bank: 500 Euros. Current bank: 45,66 euros. Bets 3 won 3.

Bet 1 -> Haka - Lahti: Lay unquoted @11 liability 160 to win 16
Bet 2 -> Roda - Twente: Lay unquoted @ 8.4 liability 118,4 to win 16
Bet 3 -> Southampton - Plymouth: Lay unquoted @9.4 liability 134.4 to win 16

Hey Ice. Good luck to you too [:D] Mums Irish Stew, I agree with you regarding the unquoted lay, especially in the first 2-3 gameweeks where the players are still trying to get into the routine, and new players trying to adjust in the new surroundings.


Bet 4 -> QPR - Barnsley Lay 1-1
Bet 5 -> Reading - Scunthorpe Lay 1-0

will put stakes up later. Got to rush.

Starting bank: 500 Euros. Current bank 576,1 Euros. Bets 5 won 5. (Made a mistake at the previous bank post.. not 45,66 but 545,66)

Bet 1 -> Haka - Lahti: Lay unquoted @11 liability 160 to win 16 (15.22 net) *WON*
Bet 2 -> Roda - Twente: Lay unquoted @ 8.4 liability 118,4 to win 16 (15.22 net) *WON*
Bet 3 -> Southampton - Plymouth: Lay unquoted @9.4 liability 134.4 to win 16 (15.22 net) *WON*
Bet 4 -> QPR - Barnsley:  Lay 1-1 @8.4 liability 118.4 to win 16(15.22 net) *WON*
Bet 5 -> Reading - Scunthorpe: Lay 1-0 @8.8 liability 124.8 to win 16(15.22 net) *WON*

Off to a good start. Hope it continues this way

Bet 6 -> Bayern - Schalke: Lay 1-0 @10.5 to win 16. Bayern had many players in the world cup who came back to the squad just a couple of days ago. They also have major absences. Schalke already beat bayern pre-season, and I'm sure they can score 1 goal.

Bank £250

(01) Lay Lierse (IP 1-2 Standard) £2.50 @ 11.5 W £2.26
(02) Lay Valencia (IP Villa 0v0) £7.75 @ 3.6 Traded W £4.18
(03) Lay ANY UNQ (IP Norw 0v2 Watf) £6.50 @ 5.15 Traded W £2.30
(04) Lay Middlesborough 1v0 Ipswich £4.25 @ 7.6 W £4.04 £263.73
(05) Lay Reading 1v1 Scunthorpe £3.00 @ 9.4 W £2.85 £266.58
(06) Lay Portsmouth (Coventry v) £10 @ 3.45 W £9.50 £276.08
(07) Lay Gillingham 1v0 Cheltenham £4 @ 7.8 W £3.80 £279.88
(08) A/H Plymouth +1 (IP Soton 0v0) £12.50 @ 1.4 W £4.75 £284.63

Bank
Day 2 £284.63 (+ 13.85% Bank Increase)

Deposited £250.00

Bet (1) QPR v Barnsley Lay Barnsley £30 @ 5.6 Won Bank £277.00

Good Start