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viva el presidente!
03 Jun 10 22:10
Joined:
Date Joined: 10 Jun 06
| Topic/replies: 18,002 | Blogger: viva el presidente!'s blog
I'd take off the 2 grand someone's used to cap the melzer 3-0 market at 130.

go on, some big player take it off in one chunk. they'll sh!t themselves.
Pause • Switch to Standard View if I had a spare 280K
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Report General Midwinter • June 4, 2010 12:31 AM BST
I used to have a 240K (Nissan) - nice engine, but a rustbucket.
Report Bayes. • June 4, 2010 9:27 AM BST
I have a feeling the layer would feel a good deal more uncomfortable about his position than the backer, particular if, as is likely, the backer is a big punter himself.
Report Lori • June 4, 2010 3:59 PM BST
With huge faves, the 3-0 can be just as likely as 3-2 because of the circumstances required for the upset to occur.

It's not like laying 2k is going to panic someone into rebuying their cash back.
Report viva el presidente! • June 5, 2010 4:27 PM BST
not sure I buy that lori. any stats to back it up?
Report Lori • June 5, 2010 4:44 PM BST
There wouldn't be anywhere near the sample size required to even begin to make a pop at it sadly.
Report clacherholiday2 • June 5, 2010 4:44 PM BST
only way its possible is if nadal gets injured and carries on.

its not impossible, he may well play out the game injured as its a slam final.
Report viva el presidente! • June 6, 2010 12:11 AM BST
granted that there were very few scenarios where melzer beat nadal without the sets market being voided - I just don't buy that there were almost as many 3-0s in that subset as 3-1s or 3-2s.

north korea might beat brazil. but if they do it's massively  more likely it'll be by 1 goal than by 2 or 3.
Report Lori • June 21, 2010 3:38 PM BST
This Federer match an example in point (Although as it happens, it's 2-1 as I post this)

As Falla went 2-0 up, commentators, and forumites (not always the best of yardsticks, but not always bad either) saying 3-0 is his only chance etc etc.

I realise that it could go from 1-0 to 1-1 to 2-1 and therefore 3-1 would be his best chance, but in general it's best to catch the good player off their game.

imo of course.
Report buzzer • June 21, 2010 3:54 PM BST
I'd give it all to some poker player to 'invest' for me in betfair Cry
Report Lori • June 21, 2010 3:57 PM BST
Laugh
Report Sterling Morrison • June 22, 2010 10:45 PM BST
Past performance is not a certain indicator of future outcomes
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