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General Betting
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03 Jun 10
22:10
Joined:
Date Joined:
10 Jun 06
I'd take off the 2 grand someone's used to cap the melzer 3-0 market at 130.
go on, some big player take it off in one chunk. they'll sh!t themselves.
go on, some big player take it off in one chunk. they'll sh!t themselves.
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Replies: 11
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I used to have a 240K (Nissan) - nice engine, but a rustbucket.
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I have a feeling the layer would feel a good deal more uncomfortable about his position than the backer, particular if, as is likely, the backer is a big punter himself.
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With huge faves, the 3-0 can be just as likely as 3-2 because of the circumstances required for the upset to occur.
It's not like laying 2k is going to panic someone into rebuying their cash back. |
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not sure I buy that lori. any stats to back it up?
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There wouldn't be anywhere near the sample size required to even begin to make a pop at it sadly.
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only way its possible is if nadal gets injured and carries on.
its not impossible, he may well play out the game injured as its a slam final. |
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granted that there were very few scenarios where melzer beat nadal without the sets market being voided - I just don't buy that there were almost as many 3-0s in that subset as 3-1s or 3-2s.
north korea might beat brazil. but if they do it's massively more likely it'll be by 1 goal than by 2 or 3. |
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This Federer match an example in point (Although as it happens, it's 2-1 as I post this)
As Falla went 2-0 up, commentators, and forumites (not always the best of yardsticks, but not always bad either) saying 3-0 is his only chance etc etc. I realise that it could go from 1-0 to 1-1 to 2-1 and therefore 3-1 would be his best chance, but in general it's best to catch the good player off their game. imo of course. |
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I'd give it all to some poker player to 'invest' for me in betfair
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Past performance is not a certain indicator of future outcomes
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