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General Betting

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Beefie
14 May 10 10:43
Joined:
Date Joined: 08 Feb 10
| Topic/replies: 140 | Blogger: Beefie's blog
I've been experimenting with a new system that, although early days, seems to work astonishing well.  Has anyone else tried this.

Using Parson's code (search Musipedia), which is a method for coding tunes. Humming the tune, if a note goes up it's u, d if it goes down and r for the same note.  So Twinkle twinkle little star would be *rururddrdrdrd.  So if you've got a tune in your head and can't remember what it's called you can search on Musipedia by putting in the udr coding, and it will give you the options for what it could be.

So I encode the names of the horses on today's card into Parsons code.  I do that by spelling out the horses name and saying that if the next letter in the name is further down the alphabet it's an up, if it's lower it's a down.  The same letter gives you a repeat (r).

So taking a horse that stands out in today's card Golden Shine 1.50 Newb, that codes up to *UDDUUUDUUD

I put that into Musipedia and see what it gives me.

Now the reason why Golden Shine stands out today is because it represents the opening bars of "Somewhere over the rainbow".  This was written by Harold Arlen, who was orignally born Chain Arluck.  Mrs Arluck, his mum was born on this day in 1881.

Now my system needs more than a coincidence like that.  I look for some additional confirmation connection.  Which today for Golden Shine is the fact that it also happens to be the opening bars to the first movement in Vivaldi's well known piece, the Sonata in F maj. for recorder and continuo RV 52.

And this is the clincher, Vivaldi's mother, Camilla Calicchio was also born on this day, abeit in 1652.

So there you have it - looks like a cert.  I've just lumped on big £2.00 at 4.7.

The trouble I'm finding with the system is that, as you can see, it requires quite a bit of research.  I'm hoping to perfect it so that I can identify particularly successful composers.  It may well be that Beethoven with a particular trainer and jockey under certain conditions does particularly well.

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Replies: 7
By:
buzzer
When: 14 May 10 11:10
Beefie Joined: 08 Feb 10
Replies: 15 13 May 10 15:22 
I'm pretty new to this, but I have a system which I built on historical data.  I took some advice from some of the financial traders who do similar stuff.  They strongly advised two things. Firstly, that I break my historical data into two sets.  Perfect the system on one set and then test it on the other.  If it holds up on the test set you may be onto something.  Secondly, be very very aware that the market changes its characteristics constantly.  If you have something that works expect it to decay after time as the market will adjust to effectively take into account what you are doing.

I've only been going a few months, and so far so good, but I think I already detect an element of decay.

Good luck.



Who are we to knock itLaugh[smiley:crazy]
By:
Beefie
When: 14 May 10 11:22
True Buzzer, but what does a man do to wile the hours waiting for the market to open?
By:
SA - Lacks middle pace - Faded
When: 14 May 10 12:20
Talks to a few plants I expect.
By:
Beefie
When: 14 May 10 13:28
Just found another one.  Primo Lady first race.

Codes as *UDUUDDUU, which is the opening bars to Old Lang Syne and first published by Rabbie Burns on this day in 1788, and also the Johnny Mathis hit A Certain Smile, also first published on this day in 1958

I'm on at 6.4
By:
Beefie
When: 14 May 10 13:42
There we go - works a treat.
By:
Beefie
When: 14 May 10 14:07
Not so good in 1.50.  Suspect I got a quaver in the wrong place.
By:
Puff The Magic Dragon
When: 14 May 10 20:36
Classic post Beefie. Keep up the good work
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