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LarsT
23 Apr 10 15:18
Joined:
Date Joined: 25 Apr 05
| Topic/replies: 39 | Blogger: LarsT's blog
Hi guys,

Right now I have 200GBP in my moneybookers account and I want to make the most of it. I think its boring to lay all the time, so I am going to back at the best odds available.

But I am not sure what to do with my staking, some say flat betting is the way to go, some dont.

In my situation, with a pretty small bank. What would you suggest?

My guess is that I will back bets in the region 1.6 - 4.
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Report Roger OASIS April 23, 2010 4:21 PM BST
LarsT, 5% of your bank maximum i.e. £ 10.

Any time your balance is above 240, withdraw.

Any time your balance is below £ 160, stop and evaluate what you have done wrong.
Report dlarssonf April 23, 2010 4:30 PM BST
roger makes good points there especially if you go down to 160 and re evaluate.

I wouldn't withdraw profits over 240 as then your bank will never really grow. Maybe something along the lines of - if you get to 300 withdraw 50% of profits and then keep going until you hit 325 say and withdraw 50% again and so on
Report LarsT April 23, 2010 5:39 PM BST
Thanks guys!

Do you recommend flat betting?
Report getting better April 23, 2010 6:13 PM BST
How about betting to return £20?
So if 1.6 bet £12.50, if 4.0 bet £5.
You'll lose your bank on average after 818 bets of which 348 will be winners.
Of course if you're only slightly better than average you'll increase your bank.
If you get to £400 you can double the stakes.
Report LarsT April 23, 2010 9:48 PM BST
Yes, I like that idea! Will give it a go!
Report dlarssonf April 23, 2010 10:12 PM BST
You'll lose your bank on average after 818 bets of which 348 will be winners.

sorry getting better, how did you come up with these figures? thanks
Report Deltâ April 23, 2010 10:19 PM BST
so you're sorting ya staking out to prolong your bank until you eventually lose it......... hmm

now call me old fashioned, BUT reading above you know nowt about flat racing, have expressed no edge - have no concept of value etc ............ because you need to address these issues BEFORE worrying about staking

imho
Report Deltâ April 23, 2010 10:21 PM BST
^ forget all that read flat racing when its flat betting


wot a numpty you are Delta


:^0
Report Deltâ April 23, 2010 10:22 PM BST
whats worse - havent even had a drink :(
Report TameTheTiger April 23, 2010 10:24 PM BST
I totally agree with you Delta.


You are a numpty.
Report internet April 24, 2010 12:44 AM BST
bit embarassing that!!
Report ror April 24, 2010 11:27 AM BST
Stick to level stakes, easier to track, easier to manage. Doesn't allow screwing up by being over-optimistic about edge.

It also helps keep your mind aware when you're on tilt because you'll find yourself either finding things to bet on that you normally don't or break rules by increasing your supposedly 'level' stakes, both of which are easy to spot as warning signs so you can get out and stop yourself.

So use level stakes, to help prevent it ever becoming a problem (because gambling is addictive) and to help manage your bank better.

As for how big your level bets should be, first figure out the kind of odds you bet on. (Do you bet typically 1.6 shots, evens, 4-5 shots, 20+?), then assume a very small edge, then calculate how big your bank will need to be so there's a good chance your bank will survive.

For example if you bet all evens shots, you could start with level stakes at 5% of your bank, because with a small edge and betting level stakes it's unlikely you'll lose it all. If you often back 10+ shots, you'll probably want a bank that can support 1000 losing bets. If you back 1.1 shots most the time then you can afford to have a bank that'll cope with only 3-4 losing shots.
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