My OVERS/UNDERS challenge.

Ok mate i'll be selective. Scrapping betting on every match. Again feel free to join in, especially you Betfairy :D

Cheers. I won 4K on the Overs markets yesterday. Do I win?

Well done .On what game?

Many of them.

Has anybody mentioned yet that as a matter of etiquette this thread should be on the "Your Competitions" forum?

Again well done, superb. Post your bet up so i can see your selections pal.

Soccer / Atl Madrid v Real Madrid : Over/Under 2.5 goals 07-Nov-09 21:00 07-Nov-09 22:23 -46.78
Soccer / Barcelona v Mallorca : Over/Under 6.5 Goals 07-Nov-09 19:00 07-Nov-09 20:55 -43.69
Soccer / Barcelona v Mallorca : Over/Under 5.5 Goals 07-Nov-09 19:00 07-Nov-09 20:52 282.5
Soccer / Barcelona v Mallorca : Over/Under 4.5 Goals 07-Nov-09 19:00 07-Nov-09 20:48 409.46
Soccer / Barcelona v Mallorca : Over/Under 3.5 Goals 07-Nov-09 19:00 07-Nov-09 19:47 170.91
Soccer / Barcelona v Mallorca : Over/Under 2.5 goals 07-Nov-09 19:00 07-Nov-09 19:43 318.6
Soccer / Wolves v Arsenal : Over/Under 5.5 Goals 07-Nov-09 17:30 07-Nov-09 19:26 -95.48
Soccer / Wolves v Arsenal : Over/Under 4.5 Goals 07-Nov-09 17:30 07-Nov-09 19:22 -466.74
Soccer / Wolves v Arsenal : Over/Under 3.5 Goals 07-Nov-09 17:30 07-Nov-09 19:00 259.04
Soccer / Wolves v Arsenal : Over/Under 2.5 goals 07-Nov-09 17:30 07-Nov-09 18:20 172.96
Soccer / Tottenham v Sunderland : Over/Under 2.5 goals 07-Nov-09 15:00 07-Nov-09 17:04 21.24
Soccer / Paulton Rovers v Norwich : Over/Under 6.5 Goals 07-Nov-09 12:45 07-Nov-09 14:31 87.71
Soccer / Paulton Rovers v Norwich : Over/Under 5.5 Goals 07-Nov-09 12:45 07-Nov-09 14:29 646.67
Soccer / Paulton Rovers v Norwich : Over/Under 4.5 Goals 07-Nov-09 12:45 07-Nov-09 14:24 644.47
Soccer / Paulton Rovers v Norwich : Over/Under 3.5 Goals 07-Nov-09 12:45 07-Nov-09 14:22 86.37
Soccer / Paulton Rovers v Norwich : Over/Under 2.5 goals 07-Nov-09 12:45 07-Nov-09 13:31 309.62
Soccer / Leverkusen v Frankfurt : Over/Under 3.5 Goals 06-Nov-09 19:30 06-Nov-09 21:17 308.71
Soccer / Arsenal v AZ Alkmaar : Over/Under 4.5 Goals 04-Nov-09 19:45 04-Nov-09 21:23 612.87
Soccer / Arsenal v AZ Alkmaar : Over/Under 3.5 Goals 04-Nov-09 19:45 04-Nov-09 21:12 -105.09
Soccer / Arsenal v AZ Alkmaar : Over/Under 2.5 goals 04-Nov-09 19:45 04-Nov-09 20:53 253.15
Soccer / Arsenal v AZ Alkmaar : Over/Under 1.5 Goals 04-Nov-09 19:45 04-Nov-09 20:28 179.46

The majority of my bets are unders/overs bets and I expect to make well more than £4k a day from it. Move the fred over to the "Your Competitions" forum and I will contribute.

I may start a tipping service.

Me too.

'Your Competitions'

That suggests to me it is for Competitions , between groups of people , rather than the bets of one individual.

If i see any Challenge Threads in theRE i am going to post WRONG PHORUM MUPPETT!

It is like golf tober. You are not really playing against other people, you are playing against yourself.

The Betfairy total credit to you. You won a fortune well done.

The Betfairy - I thought you won nearly 4k yesterday?

Hyperbole.

Ha ha another dreamer, goodbye Betfairy

sorry to see you have ended - my betting blog - on what grounds have you decided to concentrate on overs/unders ? anyway good luck with it.

I have just decided to try something else i'll still be betting on the match odds market and that though.

First bet.

Inter Milan v Roma

4 of Inter Milans last 6 league games have finished over 2.5 goals. 4 of Roma's last 6 league games have also been over 2.5 goals. Having watching Roma a few times this season ive been shocked to see just how poor they really are. A couple of seasons ago they looked a great side. Not anymore. Inter Milan have scored more than any of team in the league and will definitely take the game to Roma. Roma aren't very good defensively and this will probably finish 3-1.

Good luck with your bets.


£10 on over 2.5 goals at 1.67

Bet 1 lost

New bank £90

Bet 2 Rio v S Lisbon over 4.5 at 1.86 (15 pound)

Bet 3 Botafogo over 2.5 goals £20 at 2.36

Bet 4 - los a under 2.5 goals at 1.86 (£50)

go in higher and trade out imo...........got to be easier than hitting a 60% strike-rate

uws I believe you started off with good intentions with your other thread-you had good write ups and were quiet successful early days when you were being selective. Now you have become like 99% of all forumites-chasing losses on games you probably know nothing about.

You are fast becoming a few forumites wind up toy-they know they can get to you and you are betting irrationally.

Stick to what you were doing well at the start of your betting blog thread.

Swapping and changing strategies from one day to the next will not work-you will lose money and make yourself a laughing stock.

If needs be take a break from the forum and stop trying to win adulation from complete strangers.

Bet 4 - los a under 2.5 goals at 1.86 (£50) WON

New bank £92.95

Bet 5 - Under 2.5 goals. Liverpool v Birmingham at 2.27 £50

Right this is a massive risk im taking here. More than half my bank is on this tonight. The way i see tonight's game is this, i cannot see Birmingham scoring. I know Liverpool haven't been strong at the back recently but Birmingham seriously lack fire power. So the bet is whether i can see Liverpool scoring 3. I can't i think the game will finish 1 or 2 nil and im just hoping that Birmingham will be as good at the back as they were against Man City.

Let's look at some stats, in Liverpool's last 6 league games 3 have been over 2.5 goals. Their last Champions league game was under 2.5 goals all be it against a far stronger team than Birmingham. 4 of Birmingham's last 6 games have been over 2.5 goals which doesn't bode well for my bet but i can only see their being 2 goals in this game. I think the market is about right. Over 2.5 goals at 1.78 and unders at 2.27 but im willing to go with judgement, i hope this doesn't backfire.

Good luck with your bets.

bounce back factor is on Liverpool game tonight

it would be typical of them to hit five or six at home, just when everyone is tipping them as a lay opportunity tonight............Torres starting is crucial before betting, but if he does.......Liverpool could hit six

Blues have impressed in recent games at home, but whether they can transfer that form to Anfield is another matter.................Liverpool will come out firing and have this game won by ht imo......

Well i respect your views pal, as i say im going against the form book and this could well backfire. My bet is matched and i just hope Birmingham can be resolute tonight. If Liverpool hit 6 i will hold my hands up and admit it was a stupid bet.

Unders has dropped to 2.14 overs up to 1.87. I could make a profit now but it'd be so slight there's no point.

I just feel they will be desperate to impress tonight..................Blues are tough to play against though so they could restrict Liverpool early............Liverpool are a hard team to judge for me, when you think are a value lay - they hit six................when you think they are a value bet - they lose miserably.............watch the game, at least with your bet you can trade out at anytime for profit

LIVERPOOL likely to score 2 goals within 30 mins IMO........so is your staking "sensible"?????

My staking definitely isn't sensible but im going with what i feel tonight. Torres is out so N'Gog and Kuyt upfront.

is Torres out confirmed? He has a fitness test before the game, doesn't he?

LIVERPOOL are well capable of playing a power game .......so UNDER 2.5 bet looks one that could "easily" be lost....................................my guess on final score is 3-1 or 4-1.

GL with bets

Torres and Gerard face late fitness tests with Torres the more likely of the pair to come through.

Good luck with your bets lads anyway :D

Soccer / Spain U17 v Uruguay U17 : Over/Under 3.5 Goals 09-Nov-09 15:00 09-Nov-09 16:09 247.76
Soccer / Spain U17 v Uruguay U17 : Over/Under 2.5 goals 09-Nov-09 15:00 09-Nov-09 16:07 160.91
Soccer / Spain U17 v Uruguay U17 : Over/Under 1.5 Goals 09-Nov-09 15:00 09-Nov-09 15:17 120.01

Betfairy you don't need to keep proving yourself. Well done now lets get back onto todays game eh

Feel free to post yours.

Post my what?

You said it in your opening post. I thought that's what you wanted?

Oh right well done. For someone who insists i have no place on the forum why do you keep posting on my thread?


Your my first ever stalker, cheers kid

No problem, pal.
Where ever there's a wannabe tipster, I'll be there :)

he'l be there laying the tips - the b a s t a r d :)

no Torres is good news for your bet, not good for my ht/ft selection

No Torres

Gerard on the bench

Yeah i know lads i didn't think he'd be playing.

I could get out now and take £7 profit if unders and lose nothing if overs but i'd be a bit of a hypocrite so the bet rides.

uws I'd rather be a hypocrite with a profit than lose half my bank should the bet come unstuck

I know what your saying mate but i'll see how the game starts. Hopefully their won't be an early goal

u want some 09 Nov 17:11
Bet 5 - Under 2.5 goals. Liverpool v Birmingham at 2.27 £50

Right this is a massive risk im taking here. More than half my bank is on this tonight. The way i see tonight's game is this, i cannot see Birmingham scoring. I know Liverpool haven't been strong at the back recently but Birmingham seriously lack fire power. So the bet is whether i can see Liverpool scoring 3. I can't i think the game will finish 1 or 2 nil and im just hoping that Birmingham will be as good at the back as they were against Man City.

Let's look at some stats, in Liverpool's last 6 league games 3 have been over 2.5 goals. Their last Champions league game was under 2.5 goals all be it against a far stronger team than Birmingham. 4 of Birmingham's last 6 games have been over 2.5 goals which doesn't bode well for my bet but i can only see their being 2 goals in this game. I think the market is about right. Over 2.5 goals at 1.78 and unders at 2.27 but im willing to go with judgement, i hope this doesn't backfire.

Good luck with your bets.

==============================================

OVERSTAKING
BAD VALUE
WHAT HAPPENS if LIVERPOOL SCORE IN FIRST 15 MINS? Still unders good?????????


If you believe LIVERPOOL will score and be ahead HT ....then based on your post they will still be ahead at FT.........So why is LIV/LIV bet at 2.08?????? and

UNDER 2.5 goals currently 2.02

If you believe it will be tight game 1st half .....0-0 is 14.5...........instead of risking "massive" chunk of bank on your bet..........why not stick £3 on 14.5.........0-0....then lay off 2nd half........as you believe LIVERPOOL will struggle to score goals ...then 0-0 bet looks the bet on your initial post + lay IR......

Just a bad bet IMO.............................even if you win............................half your bank on a 50% odds bet AND IT IS A FOOTBALL MATCH!!!!!!!!! Where edge is dodgy IMO......on this match anyway !

Of course ...it is a challenge ...but is it worth getting into bad betting habits ?????????

What's bad betting about it? I could get out now and take a profit so surely thats good betting, no?

Get out now IMO .....if you do it NOW it is a bet only ....it is only won if it stays UNDER 2.5 goals ....

If you really believe LIVERPOOL won't score 3 goals in this ....nor BIRMINGHAM won't score...thyen IMO poor judgment!

Well your entitled to your opinion, thanks for your post gonna let the game start first

26-09-2009 Premier League
L
Birmingham City 1 - 2 Bolton Wanderers View events More info
03-10-2009 Premier League
L
Burnley 2 - 1 Birmingham City View events More info
17-10-2009 Premier League
L
Arsenal 3 - 1 Birmingham City View events More info
24-10-2009 Premier League
W
Birmingham City 2 - 1 Sunderland View events More info
01-11-2009 Premier League
D
Birmingham City 0 - 0 Manchester City


B have scored on their two last awy games against "easy" opponents.........so are LIVERPOOL harder to score against?

GL if you stick with bet ....

No offense mate but i know all the stats please don't insult my intelligence. Have you seen the stats on Liverpool v Birmingham? Interesting stuff.

Under 2.5 goals is now the market favourite at 1.97

Yup ...although games played YONKS ago....and probably not relevant........trust you noted that BIRMINGHAM scored at least 1 goal in 7 out of 8 of LEAGUE matches................

So if they score ....which I believe they will.......will LIVERPOOL still get 2 goals ????? Soon see.

Early goal likely IMO...

Well good luck pal, im not here to argue im here to post my selections and if im wrong so be it.

Jesus ive called this one wrong

You never know u want some with football....might stay 1-1 ....unlikely ...but fingers crossed for you....

Ha ha well that's that. Quality strike though. Time to chase.

Bet 6 - Under 4.5 goals at 2.12 £42

On a separate note ive just layed Liverpool for £339, nothing to do with the thread of course.

LIV still very likely to win this ...they should be 5-3 up on 1st half chances.......

They should be pal but Liverpool still massive favourites im not having that.

What a diving fooker

**ing scouse b a s t a r d s

I don't know whether to get out now and take a loss

Im out £5 if liverpool win lose nothing on the draw or defeat

Bet 6 - Under 4.5 goals at 2.12 £42 won

New bank £88.99

I should of stayed strong with my lay but i just didn't have the stomach for it.

I don't know if i can make it pay in the Overs/Unders market. Struggling like hell so far. I have far more success backing Match Odds and what not. Still its only £100.

It's taken me a very long time to get my head around Overs/Under markets. Luckily I was able to break (roughly) even during that learning phase. But even now I still wouldn't count on it for income.

Well total credit to you. You can obviously make it pay but im really struggling so far. Do you lump on say under 4.5 goals or just play the 2.5 market?

well today was one of the worst days for unders imo (few games and loads of goals)

but a great day for late goals (overs)

dont take today as a usual day it wasnt

Ok mate cheers.

u want some

here are some figures for today in-play matches:

14 in-play games

over4.5= 4
over3.5= 8
over2.5= 9

Total Goals= 46

Total goals above 70min= 25

not usual at all ;)

Yeah just a bad night im definitely gonna be more selective now.

Leeds v Grimsby. A great goals market and it kicks off in a couple of hours.


No bet?

Alex the old wrinkled retainer 10 Nov 16:34


Leeds v Grimsby. A great goals market and it kicks off in a couple of hours.


No bet?

Whats your fancy Alex? Overs for me

13 corners for me

Leeds v Grimsby - Over/Unders




Shall I post my profit when this is done an dusted?

plz

missing you - u want some ! no post now for two days, is this down to increased selectivity ? or have you given up the chase ? my advice ( for what its worth ) is go back to your original thread which was giving you better results, restricting yourself to unders/overs is cramping your style. spread your wings but STOP CHASING. GL.

Over 2.5 goals Albania v Austria u'21 at 1.71 £20

u want some 13 Nov 12:16
Over 2.5 goals Albania v Austria u'21 at 1.71 £20



Great.

Over 2.5 goals Albania v Austria u'21 at 1.71 £20 WON

New bank £103.14

Over 2.5 goals Paraguay game at 1.91 £20

Over 2.5 goals Northern Ireland kids at 1.75 £10

Right im sh1t at this market back to normal bets tomorrow.

this used to wind me up to fook but "too many bets" and erratic staking £50 on, £20 on, now £10 on....
what you expect? 60% is the strike-rate required if you are taking around EVEN money shots to make a level stakes profit...............I haven't counted your strike-rate only glanced through but you win some/lose some..........that's the nature of this game (particularly under/over bets)

u want some

Your original thread with your betting blog was making you a reasonable income and you changed to this market, now after a few losers you have ditched this and you are now going back to your original thread.

You need to find a market where you have a definitive edge and stick at it long term-a few days is not a large enough sample of bets for you to gather whether you are sh1t at this market or not.

Flitting from one market to the next just because you experience a few losers will never make you money over time.

Hope this helps.

Good luck by the way whatever you choose.

Its become evident that i cannot make it pay playing the Over/Under market so from now on im going to back the outsider in the Over/Under market for every premier league game.

If i lose i lose but i cannot make it pay going off my judgement alone. So im going to see if i can make it pay like this. Ive read The Magician thread where he's backed the draw in every premier league game and he's made a fortune. I will now something similar but obviously i do not have the money to place 5 thousand on each game.

I will be placing a tenner on each ha ha.

Anyway i'll be back saturday to see if this will work. Will it work ? I don't know but im going to give it a try.

In your original thread you stated you trust your judgement on match betting and you seemed to be doing quiet well.

Don't go throwing money away chasing pie in the sky riches.

It always ends in failure.

I do trust my judgement on match betting but i can't keep posting my selections for a reason i can't discuss pal. Ive got something lined up so i cannot keep posting my selections for the night.

Like I have stated in the past-why worry about posting selections on a forum.

Be happy making money not trying to gain forum approval.

I know mate, you talk a lot of sense.

u want some 13 Nov 21:25
Right im sh1t at this

:0