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Wedged
29 Mar 10 17:03
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Date Joined: 19 Nov 05
| Topic/replies: 8,302 | Blogger: Wedged's blog
I simply want to work out the average odds of winning horses, going back over a long period.

Any help appreciated, ty chaps.

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Replies: 12
By:
TameTheTiger
When: 29 Mar 10 17:13
Find the average price of winners,then lay everything under that price.
By:
no moves
When: 29 Mar 10 17:20
look at favourites find which jockey has a blue hat and back the others, I think you'll find this will work just as well as tame tigers suggestion.
By:
TameTheTiger
When: 29 Mar 10 17:31
cheers "no moves".I'll try that one myself,can't be any worse than my theory.
By:
cloughandtaylor
When: 29 Mar 10 17:55
Maybe Adrian Masseys site will help Wedged?.
By:
Stevie Strikes
When: 29 Mar 10 17:56
Adrian Massey
By:
Stevie Strikes
When: 29 Mar 10 17:56
Blimey!
By:
zipper
When: 29 Mar 10 18:13
Tiger ......... Zip here The guy asked a ? ...... have some respect .. your answer was silly ........ ok move on odds on winning favs abouts 33 %....
By:
I am the one and only223
When: 29 Mar 10 18:20
In decimal odds, I make it about 7.64 on the flat and 6.92 over the jumps.
By:
Wedged
When: 30 Mar 10 00:07
Thanks for all the help gents. My first stop was Massey's, but couldn't find quite what I wanted. Probably not looking in the right place. Found it on betfair data now though.

223 - interesting. I'll see how close my figure is to yours.
By:
I am the one and only223
When: 30 Mar 10 00:15
The averages I gave were industry SPs over the last 14 years.
By:
Wedged
When: 30 Mar 10 00:25
That's very kind of you. Unusual for someone to be willing to share what must have been a fair bit of work? Hardly makes it worthwhile me doing my own... I can't beat 14 years worth!
By:
zipper
When: 30 Mar 10 09:33
Keep it short , this is my take On The One 223 .. you are spot on son .. but heres a clue .. why the jumps beat the flat ..... easy when they go over the jumps .. we know more about them ....... most have run on the flat .......
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