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jepfrog
10 Jan 10 17:10
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Date Joined: 15 Jun 08
| Topic/replies: 32 | Blogger: jepfrog's blog
Just wanted to think out load with this system and get some feedback.
Before kick off i will bet approx 30% of my bank on under 1.5 goals and 1-1 correct score with a 60/40 split in favour of correct score..
A example would be betting £10 with £6 on 1-1 score line and £4 on under 1.5 goals.The idea is to trade at twenty minute mark if game is goalless or if a goal is scored to reduce losses,whichever comes quicker. Once i doubled my bank i will increase my stakes.

For a game to be traded, iam looking for games were sides are roughly equal odds to each other or slight favourites to be playing away.

YOU guys and ladies will have more experience than me, so post any comments on how this can be refined or how it might not work.

I'm aware if two quick goals go (2-0) in then i may lose both stakes.
What sort of odds can i expect on under1.5 goals if a goal is scored within twenty minutes.

Well here goes on my results to day so far.

game under1.5 goals 1-1 score profit
bologna v cagliari£10 3.4/2.34 7.2/6.8 £2.44

gijon v getafe 3.55/2.52 7.2/7.2 £1.56

My next match is juventus v milan.

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Replies: 19
By:
ibrox
When: 10 Jan 10 18:11
dont do it,you would be better off just backing over 1.5 goals
By:
jepfrog
When: 10 Jan 10 18:41
ibrox wouldn't you lose money if it's 0-0 after 20 minutes, tight games do not produce of lot of early goals.
By:
ibrox
When: 10 Jan 10 18:50
no the game last for 90 mins,you lose if less than 2 goals
By:
ibrox
When: 10 Jan 10 18:54
have backed 11 games over 1.5 today,won 8 lost 3
By:
jepfrog
When: 10 Jan 10 19:23
cannot see much return on over 1.5 goals,say you backed for a average of 1.4 at £10 a bet with 8 wins,thats £32 won and 3 losses at £30 thats around £2 profit. £110 capital employed for a small return.

i hope with my system ROCE of 10-20% for 20 minutes work.losses of less 10%
By:
ibrox
When: 10 Jan 10 19:30
its all to do with the staking m8,iv,e said enough but good luck with it,small gains small % increase is the way to go,and have not had a bet at less than 1.5 today and most higher
By:
kenilworth
When: 10 Jan 10 19:48
ibrox 10 Jan 19:54


have backed 11 games over 1.5 today,won 8 lost 3


Thats about right for 1.36 chances
By:
ibrox
When: 10 Jan 10 19:55
cool, have had 1.5 or bigger,pre match or i/r so more than happy with my days work,hope you have had a good one olso ken
By:
jepfrog
When: 11 Jan 10 13:40
juventus v milan under 1.5 goals 3.7/2.6 & 1-1 score 7.4/6.8
total profit £2.13 or 21% on ROCE.
Starting bank £30
Bank now £33.38
By:
jepfrog
When: 11 Jan 10 13:43
Tonights match: Gallipoli v Modena K.O.18.00
By:
kenilworth
When: 11 Jan 10 15:27
ibrox, 1.50 about is ok :)
By:
ibrox
When: 11 Jan 10 17:04
happy with 1.5 going in again 2 night for a bit more ken
By:
ibrox
When: 11 Jan 10 17:09
modena 1.6 i/r
By:
jepfrog
When: 11 Jan 10 17:32
i'm done and dusted after 20 mins approx 10% return.
next game : grosseto v empoli 8pm ko
By:
ibrox
When: 11 Jan 10 17:36
well done m8 keep keep it up,love it when a plan comes together
By:
ibrox
When: 11 Jan 10 18:22
nxt game amiens 1.51
By:
jepfrog
When: 11 Jan 10 19:00
who's m8?
By:
ibrox
When: 12 Jan 10 17:09
m8 is short for mate
By:
jepfrog
When: 12 Jan 10 17:15
haha i see ibrox.

right back to business and last nights results:
gallipoli v modena u1.5 2.86/2.3 & 1-1 score 6.8/7.2 (20 mins) WIN
grosseto v empoli u1.5 3.05/2.26 & 1-1 score 6.8/7.4 (20 mins) WIN

profit from both games starting bank £30,new bank £35.50.

Tonights game coventry v pompey.
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