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jimk
30 Dec 09 09:38
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Date Joined: 17 Feb 03
| Topic/replies: 327 | Blogger: jimk's blog
i remember reading a system on here ages ago. i think it was something to do with backing 3yo's in in handicaps in january, when they are racing against older horses. i can't remember the exact system.

can anyone recall this?
Pause Switch to Standard View 3 year old' s in handicaps in january
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Report jimk December 30, 2009 11:37 PM GMT
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Report DFCIRONMAN December 30, 2009 11:39 PM GMT
DAFT
Report DFCIRONMAN December 30, 2009 11:39 PM GMT
DECEMBER
Report jimk December 31, 2009 2:34 PM GMT
found it at last.

6yo in Selling Stakes
System: Back 6yo's in middle and long distance selling stakes in January. (Works best with contenders who are within the first three in the betting)
Date created: 04-Jan-02
Initial Results: 62% strike rate, 112% profit

Why does it work?: Because of a flaw in the weight for age scale. On Jan 1st all horses are one year older. In this month there are peculiarities in certain stakes races which creates biases to certain age groups. 6yo's in selling stakes are one such advantaged group.



i got the january bit right anyway.
Report jimk December 31, 2009 2:36 PM GMT
on the AW only by the way.
Report grendel December 31, 2009 3:35 PM GMT
i just run this thru raceform interactive and although the results weren't as spectacular as the sample you posted .. it does show a profi since 2003, but you said works best with middle to long distance, whereas i tried over 7f and below 8f as seperate queries and both showed healthy profit.. i stipulated sp as being less than 7/1
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