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Neveris
26 Dec 09 09:24
Joined:
Date Joined: 15 Jun 02
| Topic/replies: 232 | Blogger: Neveris's blog
will think woefully,at the end of a full,and not particularly successful,day of betting,'' why didn't I just make one bet today,why didn't I just put as much as I could afford on Liverpool to beat wolves at home,and watch my money grow by 32 % ?
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Report age 21 December 26, 2009 9:27 AM GMT
because they are the biggest mug bets going
Report Treble_Underscore December 26, 2009 9:40 AM GMT
couldn't imagine a worse 1.32 shot at the moment. HTH
Report catfloppo December 26, 2009 9:42 AM GMT
Then lay it.
Report Neveris December 26, 2009 3:59 PM GMT
bump
Report trader-james December 26, 2009 4:07 PM GMT
I know liverpool are garbage!! But this has to be a great bet.
Report Discipline87 December 26, 2009 5:28 PM GMT
ttt
Report flatliner December 26, 2009 5:33 PM GMT
Nope.
Report Neveris December 26, 2009 5:52 PM GMT
bump
Report McChicken_Sandwich December 26, 2009 6:03 PM GMT
Genius.
Report mythical prince December 26, 2009 9:33 PM GMT
neveris, foydsc.
Report Neveris December 26, 2009 10:09 PM GMT
FOYDSC? ah got it:

Forum
Oracle,
You
Deliver
So
Consistently.

Why thanks Mythical! Are you really a GM of chess?
Report chop180 December 26, 2009 10:18 PM GMT
It was an awful bet at that price, but still one that was more likely to suceed than not. Quite easy, really :|

And had there not been a sending off, there's every chance it would have gone down even so. Anyone who lumped on at 1/3 is almost certain to lose money long term imo.
Report Neveris December 27, 2009 2:10 PM GMT
My point wasn't about value,I simply chose something that was probably going to happen,in order to make a poignant observation about the agonies of gambling - and especially,the agonies of someone who gambles all day,loses overall,and regrets not making that simple,single bet which they felt sure about,and which would have left them ahead with very little effort.
Perhaps I didn't give the best example,but we all from time to time have a bet which we feel confident about,but which loses it's benefit if we dilute it with 100s of random bets.
Report scrooge_mcduck December 27, 2009 9:20 PM GMT
Very wise words imo
Report DFCIRONMAN December 27, 2009 11:02 PM GMT
N - you say - "why didn't I just put as much as I could afford on Liverpool to beat wolves at home,and watch my money grow by 32 % ? "
=========================================================

In effect betting 100% of your bank on one bet at short odds..................

Betting that way will just lose..............................

With football bets ....probably 3% to 5% of bank on bet is reasonable limit not to go beyond.....100 % of bank is just "crazy".

If you have a small bank there is always the temptation to bet 100% on a bet........but you really know that is not a "sensible" thing to do.........most people have bet that way when using small stakes, .....but really you should not bet that way, especially when you have a sizeable bank to "play" with.

If you had same thought on PORTSMOUTH game v Liverpool recently....your bank would be gone.......I lost £70 on that match, but fortunately through other football bets that day was about break-even on day.

GL with bets.
Report Thebas December 27, 2009 11:44 PM GMT
i dont think he said 100% of his bank on the bet ... just 100% of what he would have gambled on one particular day ... over a series of (often losing in total) bets
Report Thebas December 28, 2009 12:25 AM GMT
or maybe he did i guess lol if, as much as you can afford, equals your bank
Report joshuag December 28, 2009 8:00 AM GMT
There are no 'great' bets, just a long series of bets that either make you a profit or dont. If they dont then your stategy is wrong and needs attention. Drop the begginners mistake of thinking that A particular bet was a great bet and another was poor. Often this is simply because the former has won.
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