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General Betting
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does any1 on here just lay favourites in horseracing, does it pay in the long run
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Replies: 150
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Yes its that easy just lay every fav
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As mechanical spider said.
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i find these forums very helpful these days
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layin all favs over the last few weeks and u would be losin bigtime
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no brainer - just lay 'em blindly - can't lose
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H240 Sakhee's Pearl should be okay?
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nasri youve been ere over 3 years
u must no the answer |
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i didnt mention blind laying, ovb some research wud be required
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Lay all the favourites that are going to lose.
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Sep so far 196 w - 545 r -8.93 points @ SP
Profits, if any, very skinny after BF comm. |
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Dont lay anything unlessyouve got a good system like ivor seems to ave
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Log into Ivors.tips.com ;)
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Total Impact currently fav in 3.20 race .....looks a lay to me .....in win market ...may place though....soon see
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So "easy" this game ....NOT!!!!!!!!!!
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Laying ALL favs blind you will do your boots .. why favs win 33% of the time so they lose 67% of the time every fav is 1/3 on to lose .. if you back favs you are odds on to lose .. Sounds daft but thats how it is ..... The Key is to Lay the false favs .. and it would take me a very long time too explain that .. but you get the drift ...
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Magic Doll fav in 3.30 ...3rd 1st time out ...so maybe not all that good !
Don't have strong view on race ...a bit open ...so would not lay fav there ....might win! |
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and H340 Funky will be a monkey ;)
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3.40 .....what will be fav ??????? Likely the Fallon factor combined with it being only 3yo in race etc ...will make Moon Lightning fav ?????? Soon see.
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lol - well avoided sir!
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If going was a bit softer MOONLIGHTING may well be a clear fav ......but 1 Mile and 1 Furlong races are difficult to "guess" on ......so looks a very competitive race.....so would not be surprised if fav beaten ...whatever it is ...BUT would not lay in this race.....SHADOWTIME may well win this if fav.........TRANSMISSION is my guess on race from BACKING perspective.
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Cheers Ivor ...was relatively "easy" race to avoid!
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Lottery race n'est ce pas! Could have been anything winning.
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I'm not betting today ...just keeping eye in , keeps falling out!!!!, to warm up for attempt at proper betting in October!!!!!!
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Now that IS a definishun of patients and discipline!!
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False fav heres 3 today ...4.30 Samaaha ... 5.00 Getcarter ... 5.20 Ancient Cross.
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why october?
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Shy Glance ...a former SWINBANK horse wins ..........mmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm!!!!
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and layed at 75's - ouch!
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Not been keeping eye on race results recently ...so need to get up to speed....also some work on ...on and off between now and then ....so near end October will get peace and quiet to focus properly on betting!
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Hope you weren't laying today's favs!
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3.50 a CLAIMER race where favs do ok in ....but distance of race could make this very open race !!!!
Traphalgar should have fair chance to win ...in poor race......though a 3 yo might take it on on going!!!! hard to guess which one....maybe Abulharith or Cherry Belle might take it on ....but 4 yo could win as well ...so again would not take fav on! |
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Right I will - LAYin Traphalgar
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zipper 21 Sep 15:24
favs win 33% of the time so they lose 67% of the time every fav is 1/3 on to lose For an ex-bookie, your maths (67% = 3/1 on to lose) leaves a lot to be desired! |
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he's including overround :)
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4.00 - tricky race ....Tinaar should run a fair race ...but 2 horses might be where winner comes from ... Simple Solution or Highland Glen. Not keen on OTTOMAN EMPIRE!
Fav now TINAAR ...and as Class 3 race and won 2 in a row .....and USA bred ...could well win ...so again too close to call as a lay ...as might well win! |
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H/capper might have got hold of Ottoman and Tinaar?
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A bit unlucky Ivor re that lay ...it must have been a good lay to back the way it ran allegedly :D
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Stout one now fav ...so again as fav would not lay as 1 of 3 that could / might win IMO in 4.00
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STOUTE even !
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