General Betting
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05 Dec 09
21:08
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Date Joined:
27 Jan 09
hopefully this will help me keep my disipline, im goin to try and turn 100 into 1000 by xmas, going to take 25 bets all in each time at odds of 1.1 starting on monday
- 2 bets a day on weekdays (maximum)
-4 bets a day on saturday and sunday (maximum)
any thoughts on how to make my selections guys? appeciated, see jailer and tony not doing bad on the other thread :)
- 2 bets a day on weekdays (maximum)
-4 bets a day on saturday and sunday (maximum)
any thoughts on how to make my selections guys? appeciated, see jailer and tony not doing bad on the other thread :)
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Replies: 76
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Any reason for 1.1, if you stick to this it will be very hard to achieve 25 games.
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Stevie, I have followed your posts today and it seems you want to make £1000 from £100 in next 20 days (from christmas).. now its not an impossible task but i feel you are betting on too many games..
also i guess you will be looking at "1 goal or more" market with all-in every bet to reach your target.. again something that i think is very risky as there is no way to hedge against loss on such market due to short odds... I will recommend this bet for bigger return and less risk.. Take Everton vs. Tottenham tomorrow. now the chances of this game ending 0-0 is low and also i expect both teams to score... i also expect the game to end over 2.5 ... So, you can do the following bets £81 on over 2.5 @ 1.94 £5 on 0-1 CS @ 10 £3 on 0-2 CS @ 16 £4 on 1-0 CS @ 12.5 £7 on 1-1 CS @ 7.4 This way you have a potential profit of £55 and a loss of -£55 as long as its not 0-0 or 2-0.... if it ends 0-0 or 2-0, you lose £100.. if you dont fancy overs then you can do reverse and returns are even better If you do the same as 1 goal or more on this game, you get a return of only £7 and the risk of 0-0 is still there.... Think about it.. betfair gives you the oppurtunity to hedge your risks and having a single bet (all-in) sounds like great adventure but can end in tears when you bet £900 on 1.1 to win £90 ... the everton spurs game was an example... historically this game has ended unders... so overs may not be a good bet .. read form and make your mind up... Good luck with your attempt and hopefully you reach your target! Cheers |
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You are setting yourself parameters that will restrict your betting, why? Doing this only cuts down your choices and could leave you feeling 'hemmed in' by your own rules.
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In the last 10 games between this pair there was 7 unders 3 overs 4 of the last encounters have been unders which includes a cup game.
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thanks for the opinions guys, i will probably vary the odds instead of 1.1 to between 1.05 and 1.1,
jailer i see your point mate, the reason behind it is to try and keep disipline, maybe i could forget about the number of bets per rule and hopefully use this forum to keep the disipline? |
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varying the price will help, but it will still be hard, only about 1 in every 23 attempts reach 25 matches.
Good Luck |
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well, ill give it a shot anyway, wouldnt suprise me if i fail in the first day though or first week, would be nice to have some extra cash for xmas,
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yesterday was a bad day 13 0-0's.
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hull i found 2 of them :( lol hamburg match, hannover match done me, then besiktas on friday night, cant believe they all ended 0-0
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I see your average is about 20 matches and climbing on 1goal challenge website.
Not bad going |
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yes hull, on 1 goal is just mainly random picks tbh with odds about 1.09 if i can lol or if there is a match on, here im being more selective
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any recommendations on things i should look for when choosing a match such as the obvious things like strikers missing or formation?
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alway go for home team which is supposed to win - have fulham now and tonight I go for benfica (have just started the 1 goal website)
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lucky, problem with that is that away team could park the bus...
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What u starting with Stevies
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why dont you lay over 4.5 goals....do the research on betfair stats....the best leagues ive found is the polish ,italian and greek leagues for under 3.5 or 4.5 you usually get around 1.15 and if your selective and do your research you can build up a decent amount pretty quick....i average aabout 150-200 a week doing it along with the odd horse to be placed and laying 9 corners....
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thanks for that joey, will take it into consideration
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1) int. Curtea de Arges vs CFR Cluj @ 1.09
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bet 1) postponded, match called off after 25 minutes due to fog, thats my money tied up for few days :(
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it's still playing it restarted
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yep buzzer i see that now mate lol, not looking good anyway
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how much you got riding on this?
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0-1 as i typed, you got a break there
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always good to get 1st one away
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phew, lucky to get away with that one haha
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1) int. Curtea de Arges vs CFR Cluj @ 1.09 WON
2) Watford vs QPR @ 1.08 i know i had planned 1.1 but odds today are a little shorter so i dont mind, hopefully they will win anyway |
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Why don't you try bet against 0-0 streaks, or Over 4,5 streaks.
I'm using Bet Record Streaks software, there you can find all kinds of streaks based on over 30 types of bets, also special statistics available. Maybe you should consider laying other correct scores, try to place multiple lay on correct scores, that's available on weekend games. You can easily place 5 multiples with 8 games on each with total odds @ 1,7 - 2,0 with very good chance to win. Tomorrow and Wednesday you can also try Laying (correct score) multiples on Champions league |
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thanks alji mate, will have a look into that
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1) int. Curtea de Arges vs CFR Cluj @ 1.09 WON
2) Watford vs QPR @ 1.08 3) salernitana v empoli @ 1.1 -not normally a good league for goals but have a good feeling about this match, empoli should prove too strong for them,expecting couple of goals in this match |
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lucky, last of the 4 games to have a goal bet you were kicking yourself you hadnt done one of the others
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1) int. Curtea de Arges vs CFR Cluj @ 1.09 WON
2) Watford vs QPR @ 1.08 WON 3) salernitana vs empoli @ 1.1 WON 4) Astra Ploiesti vs Dinamo Bucharest @ 1.1 |
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0 - 1
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1) int. Curtea de Arges vs CFR Cluj @ 1.09 WON
2) Watford vs QPR @ 1.08 WON 3) salernitana vs empoli @ 1.1 WON 4) Astra Ploiesti vs Dinamo Bucharest @ 1.1 WON 5) Juventus vs Bayern Munich @ 1.11 bayern NEED to win to qualify, i dont expect juve to sit back here so expecting a goal, wont get money on this match for the first 5-10 mins until the other game is settled, gl all |
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change of plan for bet 5
1) int. Curtea de Arges vs CFR Cluj @ 1.09 WON 2) Watford vs QPR @ 1.08 WON 3) salernitana vs empoli @ 1.1 WON 4) Astra Ploiesti vs Dinamo Bucharest @ 1.1 WON 5) Atl Madrid vs Porto @ 1.10 *odds depending on what it is by the time i get my bet on in play* |
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change of plan again, other market wasnt settled and didnt get on in time
change of plan for bet 5 1) int. Curtea de Arges vs CFR Cluj @ 1.09 WON 2) Watford vs QPR @ 1.08 WON 3) salernitana vs empoli @ 1.1 WON 4) Astra Ploiesti vs Dinamo Bucharest @ 1.1 WON |
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1) int. Curtea de Arges vs CFR Cluj @ 1.09 WON
2) Watford vs QPR @ 1.08 WON 3) salernitana vs empoli @ 1.1 WON 4) Astra Ploiesti vs Dinamo Bucharest @ 1.1 WON 5) athletico madrid vs FC Porto @ 1.09 for 2 goals or more (already 0-1) |
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a quick winner for you for a change ;)
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yes buzzer, also did a small lay of besiktas (currently 1-0 down) hoping to add extra 20 to kitty just for fun, so not actually going to record it in the goal challenge
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go stevie
you can do it ;) |