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n88uk
15 Apr 26 22:07
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Date Joined: 26 May 12
| Topic/replies: 189,699 | Blogger: n88uk's blog
What's the basis?
Pause Switch to Standard View Bayern favs vs PSG?
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Report Crisp77 April 15, 2026 10:08 PM BST
The bookies think they are more likely to beat them than lose to them.
Report Susquehanna April 15, 2026 10:15 PM BST
Bayern have the second leg at home.
Report tobermory April 15, 2026 10:18 PM BST
It's because Bayern have gone up a couple of gears in the last 2 months, rather like PSG did a year ago.

Arsenal would have been favs v Bayern in February.

Though PSG haven't been far off their best lately so I would agree with OP and make it a coin toss.
Report tobermory April 15, 2026 10:20 PM BST
Yeah,  2nd leg home is enough make it 53-47 rather than 50-50, but the gap in the odds shows Bayern would have been favs wherever 2nd leg was.
Report SirNorbertClarke April 15, 2026 10:52 PM BST
Two great teams... so in my book both games will be a coin toss.
Report The Dragon April 16, 2026 10:30 AM BST
shd be the final
Report Crisp77 April 16, 2026 11:14 AM BST
Not really. Arsenal and Bayern won the league stages so that should be the final. PSG and Atletico scraped through to the knockouts.
Report SirNorbertClarke April 16, 2026 11:40 AM BST

Arsenal and Bayern won the league stages so that should be the final


You are funny Crisp

Report DBLyourmoney April 16, 2026 1:16 PM BST
Bayern already beat PSG 2-1 in their own yard in the league phase. Odds were 2.37-3.67-2.75  2nil up after half hour and largely dominant 1st half.. before going down to 10men just before HT. A shame since we never got to see how PSG would've coped and responded after the break. PSG naturally BOSSED the 2nd half with the xtra man. 

Early odds for upcoming clash 2.25-3.88-2.74

Overall, PSG look the better balanced of the 2 sides.. but when 2 monsters collide, winning/losing margins are wafer thin.
Report The Dragon April 16, 2026 1:38 PM BST
bayern had an easy run .. i think psg are the value
Report ----you-have-to-laugh--- April 16, 2026 1:48 PM BST
Psg were poor in league stage, do they care?

Knockout a different kettle of fish.

PSG rolled bayern in world club championship
to offset the group stage loss in this event.

I think it's about 40/40 with 20% randomness thrown in.

Maybe getting a lead is vital, and home advantage first
could be key... But that just sets it up as a festival
Report lurka April 16, 2026 2:20 PM BST
There is zero matched on the market. For the moment Mendes (marking Olise) is a doubt, as is Doue.

Group stage and WCC is completely irrelevant.
Report n88uk April 28, 2026 9:24 PM BST
Never made any sense, when has Bayern's kamikaze style ball ever won in the CL?
Report tobermory April 28, 2026 11:02 PM BST
to qualify market is 50-50 with PSG a goal up so market not changed mind here
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