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TheUps&Downs
30 Sep 16 11:00
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Date Joined: 19 Jul 02
| Topic/replies: 18 | Blogger: TheUps&Downs's blog
Trying something new, just focusing on statistics for this season (not perfect by any means)

Everton vs Crystal Palace
Everton have led for 47% of the minutes when playing at home, Crystal Palace have led for 22% of the minutes when away from home.   
Everton have scored 5 and conceded 2 at home (60% of goals scored allowing them to take the lead), Crystal Palace have scored 5 and conceded 4 away from home.
Both teams have scored 10 goals (home and away), with Everton scoring 5 in each half, whereas Crystal Palace have scored 7 in the second half. 
Crystal Palace are on a run (three consecutive wins), Everton had a run of 4 wins on the trot, but lost to Bournemouth in the last match. 
Everton have scored in 100% of their home matches.
Prediction:    Everton win – most likely take the lead in the first half, Crystal Palace will most likely try to come back in the second, may succeed, but would like to think Everton will either score again or hold on. 

Burnley vs Arsenal
Burnley have led for 40% of the minutes when playing at home, Arsenal have led for 51% of the minutes when away from home.   
Burnley have scored 5 and conceded 2 at home, Arsenal have scored 7 and conceded 2 away from home. 
Burnley have scored 5 goals, with 60% in the first half, Arsenal have scored 15, with 60% in the first half. 
Arsenal are on a run of 4 wins.
Prediction:    Arsenal to be leading at half time, they score early on to take the lead.  Burnley have some good stats for home, but Arsenal should be too good for them

Man Utd vs Stoke
Man Utd have led for 41% of the minutes when playing at home, Stoke have led for 0% of the minutes when away from home.   
Man Utd have scored 7 and conceded 3 at home, Stoke have scored 2 and conceded 6 away from home. 
Man Utd have scored 12 goals, with 58% in the first half (6 out of 7 when playing at home), Stoke have scored 4, with 0% in the first half. 
Prediction:    Man Utd to be leading at half time, they score early on to take the lead. 

Everton vs Crystal Palace – Everton Win Full time: 8/11
Burnley vs Arsenal – Arsenal Win Half Time: 17/20
Man Utd vs Stoke – Man Utd Win Half Time: 17/20
Only doubles for small stakes, should mean that if two come in, get just over my initial stake back (6% profit), all three come in and treble my money

Was looking at West Brom, who are away to Sunderland.  Sunderland are pretty poor and the 9/4 on West Brom looks tempting, however the stats show West Brom aren't great away from home.  Stats aren't everything.

Would welcome thoughts

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By:
Burton-Brewers
When: 30 Sep 16 12:01
I do use them but only to finalise a selection not on their own as they do not account for injuries and suspensions.
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