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GTFI
30 Nov 15 23:44
Joined:
Date Joined: 23 Mar 12
| Topic/replies: 14,395 | Blogger: GTFI's blog
As explained in the 1.5goals thread i will no longer be posting in there.
During the past 4.5 weeks my prog' has made potentially over £1000 on the 2.5 goals market (Using £100 stakes)
With the 1.5 goals market letting down the overall profits i am concentrating on the 2.5 goals market and will try to post the games in advance.

I hope that perhaps one or two of you will follow the thread and hopefully give it a bash yourself,  REMEMBER, only ever bet what you can afford to lose.
Also remember it is an electronic machine that picks the games,  (yes with my input of formulas)  but it does NOT know if it is p1ssing down of half the team is out with flu etc.

Here's hoping to December also returning a further £1000 using the same formulas etc....   
Goodluck anyone following and here's hoping for a Merry Xmas to one and all,  hopefully somewhat richer

Rememeber - ALL profit and loss will be to a level £100 stake to each "Over 2.5 goals" bet.
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Report GTFI December 1, 2015 9:53 PM GMT
The thing is,  if you say,  example only,  stoke v WBA,  1.1 for 2 goals....    and then again 1.1 for 2 goals in an Austrian or dutch game...   
WBA you would say no chance,  not taking those odds,  yet in the other 2 leagues you expect it to be between 1.1-1.2....     if it wns,  great,  if it loses,  no amount of value will cover th
Report FULLY123 December 1, 2015 9:54 PM GMT
Value only exists in supermarkets.
Report GTFI December 1, 2015 9:55 PM GMT
I agree in principle,   but saying dont take a bet because it is a few tcks too low,  is ninesense,  clearly you would take 1.05 for 2 goals even if it was kids on the playground....    but "average" odds + or minus a few ticks to me is "value"
Report GTFI December 1, 2015 9:55 PM GMT
wouldn't take*  typo
Report dlarssonf December 1, 2015 9:57 PM GMT
I think you need to read through the thread again , I never said don't take a bet because the odds are too low.  If fact I said value can be found at 1.01 as well as 100/1
Report GTFI December 1, 2015 10:03 PM GMT
i was referring to ken, sorry bud
Report dlarssonf December 1, 2015 10:05 PM GMT
oh ok no worries and good luck Cool
Report jammyjimbo73 December 1, 2015 10:24 PM GMT
think I agree with the other guys GTFI , ur over 1.5 mkts prices were far too tite for any decent profit ,the 2.5 thread ur playin is all jus luck ,no guaranteed profits like my way of laying horses etc which r below the bookie back price ,e/w in 5-7 horse races r a giveaway ,
Report GTFI December 1, 2015 10:28 PM GMT
I guess time will tell....   i agree with no guaranteed profits,  but "all just luck" is debatable, as it is all based on the last 5 gmaes AND the seasonal average goals,  so there are quite a few formulas in there.
Report jammyjimbo73 December 1, 2015 10:37 PM GMT
ye ,I get u don't jus pull the teams outta hat but on a bad day all ur selections can go wrong then it wud take weeks probably months to claw it back and unless uve got an endless pit of cash u will give up quickly rather than spend grand after grand
Report mega88 December 1, 2015 10:41 PM GMT
What's horses got to do with goals ? Gtfi has developed a system with a good strike rate, let's give this some time guys then make our decisions. A lot of effort goes into this. Bring on the boooooomsssssss CoolCool
Report mega88 December 1, 2015 10:45 PM GMT
First bet lost. So wait for weekend see how it gets on. Overs is hard to crack let's give it some time.
Report gotitwrong- December 1, 2015 10:48 PM GMT
There is a KP article in todays RFO , which basically says your stats are a waste of time , because over a season ,the expected goals for a teams matches will tend to the average goals in matches in that competition.Which means that teams are involved in high scoring matches in the first half of the season will trend away from their 'high  scores' , just as they are being highlighted as picks in systems and you are avoiding lower scoring teams , just as they are avoiding your radar.
Hope he is wrong for you GTFI
Report mega88 December 1, 2015 10:49 PM GMT
At the end of the day there are to many variables in a game of football. Whatever can happen will happen. You could spend your whole life studying stasticstics and the game still go against everything you thought would not happen.  Seen it too many times. The road to profits lie mostly not with the game but with how you control yourself mentally and your bank balance and unfortunately most people will never master that.
Report jammyjimbo73 December 1, 2015 10:54 PM GMT
gotitwrong uve gotitright and mega the comment was horses etc ,ie football ,I have guaranteed methods on football but they aint the most straightforward and not regular , but guaranteed , u give the 2.5 a chance , and we"l c whos havin turkey at chrimbo
Report GTFI December 1, 2015 10:57 PM GMT
if you had ,  or have such a method,  the only way of proof is posting pre KO's etc.  That;snot meant in any nasty way,  just a comment.
Report GTFI December 1, 2015 10:58 PM GMT
the only GUARANTEED  way is to save all the cash you would normally bet with until Xmas,  that'll buy the Turkey a few times over lol
Report Capt__F December 1, 2015 11:06 PM GMT
Bernard Matthews is his otherusername
Report GTFI December 1, 2015 11:07 PM GMT
lmfao...    nice one...
Report jammyjimbo73 December 1, 2015 11:13 PM GMT
gtfi ,the next time Ladbrokes do the shop offer on the usual 4 markets at 25 per mkt x 6 shops , hits and commie will come to bout 100 quid , lay btts mkt for 200 at 1.8/1.9 ,wen it goes to 1-0 early lay for another x amount at 1.3ish depending on times ,if both score it aint hard to cash in the free bets for 20 a pop x 6 x 4 = 480 real money or 100 real money if both don't score ,tend to go draw for WDW , 0-0 correct score ,draw ht/ft and no goalscorer on 1st scorer mkt and u can always have 10 on 0-0 jus in case ,guaranteed at least a ton
Report jammyjimbo73 December 1, 2015 11:14 PM GMT
ps the sadcrooks promo is usually btts mbs
Report GTFI December 1, 2015 11:16 PM GMT
using offers is a sure fire winner,  agree,  like 365 do £50 pre and inplay.   back on one 365, lay on BF,  then split the difference for the same market,  ie,  one loses,  the other wins as cash back...blah blah ....
Report jammyjimbo73 December 1, 2015 11:22 PM GMT
u only get a free 50 from 365 , shop offers is unlimited and its guaranteed GTFI  , if u guys wanna make guaranteed cash on footy coopins ,get urself a coral priority account with 500 mbs on 5 outta 6 , total giveaway with 5 x 1.1ish and last 1 at bout 1.5 ,remember put different ko times ,make about 200 a coopin guaranteed
Report GTFI December 1, 2015 11:24 PM GMT
sounds interesting,  if i had the time to go round the shops mate.
Report jammyjimbo73 December 1, 2015 11:38 PM GMT
il let u know nx time its comin round , I just hate giving bookies money ,I love putting everything in my favour , we have about 12 shops in my city so easy pickings , gud luck with the 2.5s but think il give it a miss ,,too risky if u have a bad day or 2
Report GTFI December 1, 2015 11:45 PM GMT
okies,  no worries bud.    snooze time for me,  so take care all and chat more tomorrow ....    next games are Saturday  poor week for games this week :(
Report TheChaser December 2, 2015 10:23 AM GMT
Citeh came god for me and even better i never got a chance to trade out as goals came late

The Spanish cup game are good prices tonight but first legs but still maybe worth a punt
Report TheChaser December 2, 2015 10:25 AM GMT
Cadiz v Real Madrid - Total Goals - Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals @ 8/15

UD Logrones v Sevilla - Total Goals - Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals @ 4/5


seville 8/11 just for the win , valencia 10/11
Report TheChaser December 2, 2015 10:25 AM GMT
Barakaldo v Valencia - Total Goals - Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals @ 6/5

odds seem high even for first legs
Report kenilworth December 2, 2015 4:24 PM GMT
On what basis do you asses this match at
2.5 overs other than odds seem high?
Report TheChaser December 2, 2015 4:25 PM GMT
maybe they are far better sides
Report TheChaser December 2, 2015 4:26 PM GMT
the away sides that is and excellent value , odds high due to first leg and bookies think they may take it easy
Report TheChaser December 2, 2015 4:36 PM GMT
AEK athens 4-0 up

16 corners to 1 . 73 % possession

63 mins gone

should be more here
Report TheChaser December 2, 2015 4:47 PM GMT
1/8 for one more goalCry and  74 went , bit low here
Report TheChaser December 2, 2015 4:52 PM GMT
5-0
Report TheChaser December 2, 2015 4:54 PM GMT
6-0
Report TheChaser December 2, 2015 4:59 PM GMT
Trixie
BET SELECTIONS

1.    02/12/2015 - UD Logrones v Sevilla - Total Goals - Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals @ 4/5    Open

2.    02/12/2015 - Southampton v Liverpool - Total Goals - Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals @ 11/10    Open

3.    02/12/2015 - Barakaldo v Valencia - Total Goals - Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals @ 6/5    Open
Report TheChaser December 2, 2015 5:00 PM GMT
Double
BET SELECTIONS

1.    02/12/2015 - Cadiz v Real Madrid - Total Goals - Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals @ 8/15    Open

2.    02/12/2015 - UD Logrones v Sevilla - Total Goals - Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals @ 4/5
Report TheChaser December 2, 2015 5:01 PM GMT
Treble
BET SELECTIONS

1.    01/12/2015 - Man City v Hull - Total Goals - Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals @ 8/15    Won

2.    03/12/2015 - Huesca v Villarreal - Total Goals - Over/Under
Over 1.5 Goals @ 2/5    Open

3.    02/12/2015 - Monaco v Caen - Total Goals - Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals @ 1/1    Open
Report TheChaser December 2, 2015 5:07 PM GMT
Single
BET SELECTIONS
1.    02/12/2015 - AEK Athens v Panelefsiniakos - Total Goals - Over/Under
Over 4.5 Goals @ 4/9

Winner
Report Tony Broke December 2, 2015 5:11 PM GMT
In spite of the value on the over 1.5 goals games not being great, Id say that to back o. 1.5 goals in all the o 2.5 picks will definitely yield a profit, as id imagine the actual profit from the previous o 2.5 games wouldve transferred also to the o 1.5 market also. I may just follow the picks with such a method and see if its profitable in spite of the shorter odds for o 1.5
Report mikeysymons December 2, 2015 5:13 PM GMT
The chaser. You recon there will be goals in the Liverpool game?
Report TheChaser December 2, 2015 5:15 PM GMT
Thats one i chucked in for good measure to boost up the trixie tbh , not too much confidence in it

KLOPP factor
Report mikeysymons December 2, 2015 5:18 PM GMT
Who would be your banker over 1.5 goals tonight? With good odds lol. :) looking for 1.35
Report TheChaser December 2, 2015 5:19 PM GMT
If you want to practice open a sportsplays account they give a few $ to newbies i , i signed up but fopund out uk people cant deposit and have to just use the free $ to climb to £200 so quit
Report TheChaser December 2, 2015 5:20 PM GMT
For a banker i would wait until teams are out
Report TheChaser December 2, 2015 5:21 PM GMT
I will be picking a single nearer kick offs
Report mikeysymons December 2, 2015 5:23 PM GMT
Thanks mate. I'll check back later
Report Tifosi Rossonero December 2, 2015 5:28 PM GMT
Who would be your banker over 1.5 goals tonight? With good odds lol. :) looking for 1.35



Try Bastia/Bordeaux at 1.52
Report TheChaser December 2, 2015 5:32 PM GMT
Seems good 1.52 , never even seen this game on spread ex
Report Tifosi Rossonero December 2, 2015 5:34 PM GMT
Bastia 6/7 gone over 1.5 at home
Bordeaux 6/7 gone over 1.5 away

But...it is French shyte though
Report TheChaser December 2, 2015 5:36 PM GMT
we got french shyte and cup shyte
Report GTFI December 2, 2015 10:45 PM GMT
23:00 - Uni de chile v Colo colo will always give you goals,  both like to attack,  especially in cup games they dont care about defence Wink
Report Stan_Bo December 2, 2015 11:23 PM GMT
On the over 2.5 goals theme... The Real Madrid game this evening (away to Cadiz) two rungs below them was 0-1 at ht. Readily available over 2.5 match goals at 1.95ish at half time. Value. Lumped. Finished 1-3.
Report Stan_Bo December 2, 2015 11:27 PM GMT
To be fair, I was chasing after being burned after taking shorrrrrrrrt odds on under 6.5 goals in the Liverpool match earlier after 70 odd minutes :(
Report GTFI December 2, 2015 11:30 PM GMT
1-0,   2 to go...  unlucky on the pool game,  but not sure why you would go under 6.5 when 4 were already in the net at HT...   wd on the madrid though
Report TheChaser December 3, 2015 12:17 PM GMT
kenilworth 02 Dec 15 16:24 Joined: 04 Nov 05 | Topic/replies: 15,355 | Blogger: kenilworth's blog
On what basis do you asses this match at
2.5 overs other than odds seem high?


Hope you followed in
Report TheChaser December 3, 2015 12:18 PM GMT
mikeysymons
Date Joined:    10 Apr 11
Add contact | Send message
02 Dec 15 17:18 Joined: 10 Apr 11 | Topic/replies: 1,585 | Blogger: mikeysymons's blog
Who would be your banker over 1.5 goals tonight? With good odds lol. :) looking for 1.35


did you back anything mate , forum was down
Report TheChaser December 3, 2015 12:19 PM GMT
melbourne today 1/1 nice start also
Report TheChaser December 3, 2015 12:25 PM GMT
BET SELECTIONS
1.    03/12/2015 - Malmö v Molde - Total Goals - Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals @ 11/8    Open
Report TheChaser December 3, 2015 12:26 PM GMT
0-0 24 mins when placed
Report TheChaser December 3, 2015 12:33 PM GMT
1-0 Molde 29
Report TheChaser December 3, 2015 12:45 PM GMT
2-0 43
Report TheChaser December 3, 2015 12:45 PM GMT
correction 1-1
Report TheChaser December 3, 2015 12:49 PM GMT
Think ill get out this one tbh no need to stay in and be greedy 2-0 ht
Report THE DB December 3, 2015 1:09 PM GMT
The chaser, is this game not in running??
Report TheChaser December 3, 2015 1:43 PM GMT
?
Report TheChaser December 3, 2015 1:44 PM GMT
not sure im on spread ex

3-1
Report TheChaser December 3, 2015 1:46 PM GMT
2/2 for today
Report THE DB December 3, 2015 1:50 PM GMT
wasn't in running on the exchnage
Report TheChaser December 3, 2015 1:51 PM GMT
not used exchange for a while , they don't seem to cover as many smaller league games as other places
Report TheChaser December 3, 2015 1:52 PM GMT
and if they do the odds are all over the shop
Report TheChaser December 3, 2015 1:52 PM GMT
was it on betfair sportsbook
Report THE DB December 3, 2015 2:04 PM GMT
i DIDNT LOOK WENT OVER TO THE GREEK GAMES
Report TheChaser December 3, 2015 2:08 PM GMT
Think ill leave it until spanish games


Well after this one


Singles
Zenit St Peters v Ufa - Total Goals - Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals @ 10/11
Report TheChaser December 3, 2015 2:09 PM GMT
Zenit game is 4pm
Report THE DB December 3, 2015 2:14 PM GMT
GL
Report TheChaser December 3, 2015 2:45 PM GMT
cheers

any luck in greece
Report THE DB December 3, 2015 3:38 PM GMT
no, on over 1.5 in Shaktar  not looking good so far!
Report RioGrande December 3, 2015 4:43 PM GMT
****g zenit shud batter this CryCry
Report RioGrande December 3, 2015 4:43 PM GMT
cska just lost big time and they can catch them
Report RioGrande December 3, 2015 4:44 PM GMT
losing 1 goal from these muppets who havent won away in ages
Report TheChaser December 3, 2015 5:00 PM GMT
hopefully turn it on in 2nd half or fck it right up
Report RioGrande December 3, 2015 5:08 PM GMT
all gone pete tong for me, donw to my last tenner ahahahah
Report TheChaser December 3, 2015 5:13 PM GMT
THE DB 03 Dec 15 15:38 Joined: 17 Dec 04 | Topic/replies: 1,838 | Blogger: THE DB's blog
no, on over 1.5 in Shaktar  not looking good so far!
Rate reply:
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3 zip
Report THE DB December 3, 2015 5:15 PM GMT
yeah now need one more in Zenit, hope they score quicker than Shaktar did!
Report RioGrande December 3, 2015 5:38 PM GMT
just missed a penalty :(:(:(:( omgggg
Report RioGrande December 3, 2015 5:40 PM GMT
not good
Report throwthetellyoutawindow December 3, 2015 5:40 PM GMT
The WIG junior blows it over the bar wot a tw@t.
Report RioGrande December 3, 2015 5:40 PM GMT
poooor
Report RioGrande December 3, 2015 5:41 PM GMT
penalty
Report RioGrande December 3, 2015 5:42 PM GMT
goal but too late for the win
Report TheChaser December 3, 2015 5:47 PM GMT
last minute goal incoming ?
Report TheChaser December 3, 2015 5:48 PM GMT
11 corners , 22 shots , 10 on target , 72% possession and 1-1Cry
Report RioGrande December 3, 2015 5:49 PM GMT
on paper it shud be easy win but god knows why some oil tycoon rig the game
Report TheChaser December 3, 2015 5:51 PM GMT
russian league is poor for overs
Report TheChaser December 3, 2015 9:34 PM GMT
cant beta spain for overs
Report TheChaser December 3, 2015 9:35 PM GMT
Las Palmas v Sociedad1-1 (36')In-Play
Huesca v Villarreal3-2 (80')In-Play Lite
Levante v Espanyol0-1 (81')In-Play Lite
Mirandes v Malaga2-1 (80')In-Play Lite
Ponferradina v Eibar3-0 (80')
Report TheChaser December 3, 2015 9:43 PM GMT
pen missed sociedad
Report TheBetfairBuddy December 3, 2015 10:49 PM GMT
Hard to see GTFI posts/tips

Seems like others have hijacked this thread Happy
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