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The Special One™
19 Feb 15 11:04
Joined:
Date Joined: 16 Apr 10
| Topic/replies: 20,066 | Blogger: The Special One™'s blog
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HT, current score 0-2

Cherkaskyi Dnipro were big favs here starting at 1.21

Now their 2-0 down

Market expecting a comeback big time, over 2.5 at 1.07

Arsenal 2-0 up but drifting out more and more so looks like changes being made at HT for the home side


*This is a friendly game so BUYER BEWARE


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Report The Special One™ February 19, 2015 11:45 AM GMT
               

85th min now
Report Benfica_Fan February 19, 2015 11:46 AM GMT
next Lekhwiya match for goals too
Report JC1326 February 19, 2015 11:47 AM GMT

Feb 19, 2015 -- 11:22AM, GEESUSS wrote:


Its 'black' unlike your profit and loss statement........


Laugh

Report The Special One™ February 19, 2015 11:49 AM GMT

Feb 19, 2015 -- 11:47AM, JC1326 wrote:


Feb 19, 2015 -- 11:22AM, GEESUSS wrote:Its 'black' unlike your profit and loss statement........


               

Cant be if you bet on home side and all the overs from HT onwards in this match

Report The Special One™ February 19, 2015 11:49 AM GMT
               

As advised in opening post
Report pushkin99 February 19, 2015 11:54 AM GMT
well done TSO on a good spot and OP
Report The Special One™ February 19, 2015 11:55 AM GMT
               


Thankyou Pushkin

FT 4-2
Report The Special One™ February 19, 2015 12:00 PM GMT
               

Latvian friendly game next, 38 mins gone and been 4 goals already, current score 3-1

expecting loads more goals in this game

Report The Special One™ February 19, 2015 12:01 PM GMT
4-1 now
Report rahul07 February 19, 2015 12:03 PM GMT
its fixed .. if you put it on more goals .. there wont be any goals ...
Report rahul07 February 19, 2015 12:04 PM GMT
if u put on less goals .. message will go out to them and score rapidly .. latvian league is the prime example of live fixing
Report The Special One™ February 19, 2015 12:07 PM GMT
Im still going for more goals, I never do a Full Bank so wont make a blip on the markets, so wont be noticed and no message will be sent

I can never back unders, such a negative bet if your a football purist
Report The Special One™ February 19, 2015 12:08 PM GMT
over 7.5 anfd 8.5 look good bets
Report Lifter February 19, 2015 12:08 PM GMT
under 8.5
Report The Special One™ February 19, 2015 12:09 PM GMT
and will cost peanuts to back
Report rahul07 February 19, 2015 12:09 PM GMT
u can try over 7.5 ... it wont happen unless ofcourse there is a big idiot who has backed otherwise for the punter to make more over there
Report rahul07 February 19, 2015 12:10 PM GMT

Feb 19, 2015 -- 12:07PM, The Special One™ wrote:


Im still going for more goals, I never do a Full Bank so wont make a blip on the markets, so wont be noticed and no message will be sentI can never back unders, such a negative bet if your a football purist


forget being a purist .. i have seen odds of 6 on next goal at 82nd min on latvian league

Report rahul07 February 19, 2015 12:10 PM GMT
and odds of evens when it has been past 90th min .. and then a stupid goal given with no one defending
Report rahul07 February 19, 2015 12:10 PM GMT
or a penalty
Report The Special One™ February 19, 2015 12:12 PM GMT
yes which is why Im not piling in big here, current 0ver 7.5 and 8.5 prices cost peanuts to back
Report rahul07 February 19, 2015 12:12 PM GMT
these matches are worse than WWF .. completely scripted .. infact some of these matches arent even played .. just feeds
Report rahul07 February 19, 2015 12:13 PM GMT

Feb 19, 2015 -- 12:12PM, The Special One™ wrote:


yes which is why Im not piling in big here, current 0ver 7.5 and 8.5 prices cost peanuts to back


if your bet is small .. perhaps ok ... but these guys will alter the feed even at 100-200 pounds

Report The Special One™ February 19, 2015 12:15 PM GMT
5 goals in 1st half so 2nf half will be interesting here
Report The Special One™ February 19, 2015 12:16 PM GMT
If that trend continues then over 7.5 and 8.5 will land
Report The Special One™ February 19, 2015 12:18 PM GMT
Home side are from Division 1, away side from Division 2
Report rahul07 February 19, 2015 12:20 PM GMT

Feb 19, 2015 -- 12:18PM, The Special One™ wrote:


Home side are from Division 1, away side from Division 2


are u sure the match is even happening .. do u know someone from latvia who can verify

Report The Special One™ February 19, 2015 12:23 PM GMT
So your saying the exchange doesn't have a live feed for this game and just making up the score?
Report The Special One™ February 19, 2015 12:23 PM GMT
I go with the trends and prices
Report Lifter February 19, 2015 12:30 PM GMT

Feb 19, 2015 -- 12:23PM, The Special One™ wrote:


So your saying the exchange doesn't have a live feed for this game and just making up the score?


it happens

Report rahul07 February 19, 2015 12:34 PM GMT
where are the over 7.5 goals odds now ??
Report The Special One™ February 19, 2015 12:35 PM GMT
so your saying 365 are making up the scores too at the same time?
Report Lifter February 19, 2015 12:36 PM GMT
they are looking at the same feed
Report rahul07 February 19, 2015 12:36 PM GMT

Feb 19, 2015 -- 12:23PM, The Special One™ wrote:


So your saying the exchange doesn't have a live feed for this game and just making up the score?


yes .. its just a feed that betfair might be getting .. no actual match happening .. or worse .. betfair themselves could be sometimes making feeds of their own

Report Lifter February 19, 2015 12:36 PM GMT
a fake one
Report rahul07 February 19, 2015 12:36 PM GMT

Feb 19, 2015 -- 12:35PM, The Special One™ wrote:


so your saying 365 are making up the scores too at the same time?


they are possibly looking at same feed ...

Report rahul07 February 19, 2015 12:36 PM GMT
this one  may or may not be fake .. but some matches are fake ...
Report rahul07 February 19, 2015 12:37 PM GMT
infact this one is completly fixed too ... just like WWF
Report The Special One™ February 19, 2015 12:37 PM GMT
sorry im not buying that at all
Report Lifter February 19, 2015 12:37 PM GMT
its well documented TSO
Report The Special One™ February 19, 2015 12:38 PM GMT
got a link to that documentation lifter ?
Report The Special One™ February 19, 2015 12:38 PM GMT
so 3 65's match graphic is showing made up attacks, free kicks and throw ins?
Report rahul07 February 19, 2015 12:39 PM GMT

Feb 19, 2015 -- 12:37PM, The Special One™ wrote:


sorry im not buying that at all


really .. who bets on icelandic women u19 matches ... or some u19 match in azerbaijan or central america ... these stadiums dont even have a mike .. where the f** do they get the technology to braodcast live feeds

Report Lifter February 19, 2015 12:39 PM GMT
google tso
Report rahul07 February 19, 2015 12:39 PM GMT

Feb 19, 2015 -- 12:38PM, The Special One™ wrote:


so 3 65's match graphic is showing made up attacks, free kicks and throw ins?


its from the same feed .. b365 graphics are not manually operated .. they are just computer's interpretation of the feed

Report The Special One™ February 19, 2015 12:40 PM GMT
ive never bet on u19 womens games or other such miniscule matches
Report The Special One™ February 19, 2015 12:41 PM GMT
no way would any reputable exchange or sportsbook use a fake feed and make up scores
Report rahul07 February 19, 2015 12:41 PM GMT

Feb 19, 2015 -- 12:40PM, The Special One™ wrote:


ive never bet on u19 womens games or other such miniscule matches


u dont .. but the fact that these matches are there on in-play .. makes me wonder .. these matches are possibly played in grounds which are just next door .. possibly with stray dogs kicking the ball sometimes .. forget having a camera or linesman ...

Report Lifter February 19, 2015 12:41 PM GMT
Cry
Report rahul07 February 19, 2015 12:42 PM GMT

Feb 19, 2015 -- 12:41PM, The Special One™ wrote:


no way would any reputable exchange or sportsbook use a fake feed and make up scores


the reputed exchanges and betting companies tend to block big bets coming their way .. the only way to fix matches is that if you are running your own betting company

Report rahul07 February 19, 2015 12:43 PM GMT
imagine if u had a fix on a match ... 10 yrs back ... u go to booking companies .. they ll become suspicious .. best way - i ll become a bookie... infact most bookies are actually fixers who have graduated to being bookies
Report rahul07 February 19, 2015 12:45 PM GMT
and in other minor cases of fixing like these .. they know that it is fixed .. they just dont bother as long as they can keep their books balanced
Report The Special One™ February 19, 2015 12:45 PM GMT
sorry but i don't believe anything unless i see the evidence for myself, not saying what your saying isn't true, and as for believing anything you read on google LaughLaughLaugh
Report Lifter February 19, 2015 12:46 PM GMT
you don't believe fixing?!
Report Lifter February 19, 2015 12:46 PM GMT
you seen the Ghana documentary?
Report The Special One™ February 19, 2015 12:46 PM GMT
course i believe it goes on, just don't believe this exchange would make up scores
Report Lifter February 19, 2015 12:46 PM GMT
it doesn't, it uses a third party
Report The Special One™ February 19, 2015 12:48 PM GMT
so that 3rd party is broadcasting a fixed game that took place a month a ago ?
Report rahul07 February 19, 2015 12:48 PM GMT

Feb 19, 2015 -- 12:45PM, The Special One™ wrote:


sorry but i don't believe anything unless i see the evidence for myself, not saying what your saying isn't true, and as for believing anything you read on google


for me the exidence is based on logical deduction .. 1. having odds of 6 on next goal at 82nd min is blatant fixing .. 2. then if you believe in fixing , if you have to put yourself in a fixers shoes and think how would you actually fix

Report rahul07 February 19, 2015 12:50 PM GMT

Feb 19, 2015 -- 12:48PM, The Special One™ wrote:


so that 3rd party is broadcasting a fixed game that took place a month a ago ?


you ll be surprised that even videos can be manipulated .. you ll be shown something as live .. suddenly there will be a big bet on no next goal .. in a blink of an eye , without you noticing , they ll find some stream with the same 2 teams , similar atmosphere and run the thing with the goal ..

Report rahul07 February 19, 2015 12:51 PM GMT
where are the people who were so bullish abt goals happening in this half .. i m sure they must have placed bets .. and see now .. now goals happening
Report rahul07 February 19, 2015 12:52 PM GMT
i warned them ... in any case if they would have bet under .. goals would have been flowing
Report Lifter February 19, 2015 12:52 PM GMT
I bet under
Report Lifter February 19, 2015 12:52 PM GMT
out now
Report The Special One™ February 19, 2015 12:53 PM GMT
yes that's why i didn't go in big told you it was for peanuts, home side know match is won, this happens in many games, glut of goals in 1st half then nothing 2nd half
Report rahul07 February 19, 2015 12:53 PM GMT

Feb 19, 2015 -- 12:52PM, Lifter wrote:


out now


u were lucky .. if u were the only one .. beleive me .. 2 goals in the first 10 min of the 2nd half would have come

Report rahul07 February 19, 2015 12:54 PM GMT

Feb 19, 2015 -- 12:53PM, The Special One™ wrote:


yes that's why i didn't go in big told you it was for peanuts, home side know match is won, this happens in many games, glut of goals in 1st half then nothing 2nd half


that happens in real matches

Report rahul07 February 19, 2015 12:54 PM GMT
we are talking of pure fixing
Report Lifter February 19, 2015 12:55 PM GMT
they treat it as 2 halves so get good odds, loads goals 1st half... none second. 1st game the fav is losing then at HT lump on the fav
Report Lifter February 19, 2015 12:56 PM GMT

Feb 19, 2015 -- 12:53PM, rahul07 wrote:


Feb 19, 2015 -- 12:52PM, Lifter wrote:out nowu were lucky .. if u were the only one .. beleive me .. 2 goals in the first 10 min of the 2nd half would have come


but never the only one on exchange?

Report The Special One™ February 19, 2015 12:57 PM GMT
still reckon of at least 1 more goal prob late on
Report rahul07 February 19, 2015 12:57 PM GMT

Feb 19, 2015 -- 12:56PM, Lifter wrote:


Feb 19, 2015 -- 12:53PM, rahul07 wrote:Feb 19, 2015 -- 12:52PM, Lifter wrote:out nowu were lucky .. if u were the only one .. beleive me .. 2 goals in the first 10 min of the 2nd half would have comebut never the only one on exchange?


true .. it just matters where the fixer is making money and retail punters are loosing ... obviously some retail punters will make money because they have put money on the side of the fixer .. but mostly the fixer will make money at the cost of retail punters

Report rahul07 February 19, 2015 12:58 PM GMT

Feb 19, 2015 -- 12:57PM, The Special One™ wrote:


still reckon of at least 1 more goal prob late on


you think the reason of late goals is because no one cares .. real reason is odds are very very high

Report Lifter February 19, 2015 1:00 PM GMT
depends if you believe they are betting or not, I believe they are betting themselves on stuff they know will happen at bigodds..... wouldn't surprised me a 90th min goal
Report rahul07 February 19, 2015 1:01 PM GMT

Feb 19, 2015 -- 1:00PM, Lifter wrote:


depends if you believe they are betting or not, I believe they are betting themselves on stuff they know will happen at bigodds..... wouldn't surprised me a 90th min goal


true

Report rahul07 February 19, 2015 1:02 PM GMT
what i meant to say is the unexpected late goals .. out of no where .. stupid defending . refree giving penalties ... are all signs of big fixing
Report The Special One™ February 19, 2015 1:03 PM GMT
89th min
Report Lifter February 19, 2015 1:04 PM GMT
Ft LaughLaughLaughLaughLaughLaughLaughLaugh
Report The Special One™ February 19, 2015 1:04 PM GMT
FT 4-1
Report Lifter February 19, 2015 1:04 PM GMT
was that even 90mins?
Report The Special One™ February 19, 2015 1:05 PM GMT
no stoppage time
Report Lifter February 19, 2015 1:05 PM GMT
under 5.5 1.11 at ft
Report The Special One™ February 19, 2015 1:06 PM GMT
looks like it was set for under 5.5 then 2nd half
Report Lifter February 19, 2015 1:06 PM GMT
yeah I guess score loads 1st half, get everyone on goals then close up shop
Report The Special One™ February 19, 2015 1:07 PM GMT

Feb 19, 2015 -- 1:06PM, Lifter wrote:


yeah I guess score loads 1st half, get everyone on goals then close up shop


yes and they bet big time on under 5.5

Report Lifter February 19, 2015 1:07 PM GMT
yep
Report The Special One™ February 19, 2015 1:08 PM GMT
but the other day in Latvian game goals in 1st half and it continued in 2nd half, so that one was set for overs?
Report Lifter February 19, 2015 1:09 PM GMT
dunno didn't see it, can you remember the teams?
Report The Special One™ February 19, 2015 1:11 PM GMT
REZEKNES BJSS v  FK LIEPAJA, match was played yesterday 18/2/2015, finished 0-7

scorers:
0-1 IKAUNIEKS D.(3)
0-2 SADCINS I.(20)
0-3 SADCINS I.(28)
0-4 GUCS T.(37)

0-5 GUCS T.(51)
0-6 TORRES C.(62)
0-7 DOBRECOVS D.(82
Report The Special One™ February 19, 2015 1:13 PM GMT
this match from 2 days ago

FK JELGAVA 3 VALMIERAS 3


0-1 SAVALNIEKS N.(20)
1-1 (27)BOGDASKINS B.

2-1 (55)JAUDZEMS A.
2-2 SAVALNIEKS N.(69)
2-3 ERGIS M.(74)
3-3 (81)MALASENOKS O
Report The Special One™ February 19, 2015 1:13 PM GMT
Todays game was first one ive seen with no goals 2nd half after goals in 1st half
Report The Special One™ February 19, 2015 1:14 PM GMT
so i was just following trends
Report The Special One™ February 19, 2015 1:15 PM GMT
obviously no trend is guaranteed to carry on indefinitely
Report The Special One™ February 19, 2015 1:16 PM GMT
match from 3 days ago :

1-0 (19)LOGINOVS A.
2-0 (24)PRIEDENS K.

2-1 TANKEU W.(Pen50)
2-2 ROZKOVSKIS R.(Own67)
2-3 LITVINSKIS V.(77)
Report The Special One™ February 19, 2015 1:16 PM GMT
so since Monday been a Latvian game every day and all followed the same trend of goals except todays match
Report The Special One™ February 19, 2015 1:18 PM GMT
*what i means is goals in 1st half and continuing in 2nd half
Report Lifter February 19, 2015 1:18 PM GMT
not friendlys
Report Lifter February 19, 2015 1:18 PM GMT
friendlies
Report The Special One™ February 19, 2015 1:19 PM GMT
yes well i never go in big on friendlies as anything can happen, as i said this one was for peanuts
Report The Special One™ February 19, 2015 1:20 PM GMT
actually couple of those games were friendlies really because one side was out of the cup and couldn't qualify
Report The Special One™ February 19, 2015 1:20 PM GMT
and in the other game both were out the cup so nothing to play for except pride
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