Dragons Football tips 2014/2015

Lost the above AH bet to a 91st minute goal

time for a break from football betting for a few days, see if I can pick some horse racing winners

keep an eye on Millwall v Sunderland week on Saturday, latter have suspensions ( 3 )  and injuries( mundle , browne )   to contend with, be a difficult enough game without this anyway.

Thanks MM usefeul info as alaways and appreciated

GL with the horses OTH- Im off to Angelsey for our late Autumn break

Your analysis was good OTH, a pity to lose out with seconds to go.
Enjoy your holiday The Dragon.

Still on an LSP loss this month, -3.89pts

Hoping to cut this months loss down with a bet with an Over 2.5 goals @ 2.28 bet in the
Exeter v Lincoln game (K.O. @ 12:30)



Good Luck All

Not the best of starts with my over 2.5 goals bet ending 0-0 !!!

3 bets for the 3pm games

Bristol Rovers / Barnsley   Double @ 3.3

Asian Handicap 
Northampton +0.75 goals @ 2.23

and another shot at Over 2.5 goals
Braintree v Fylde  @ 1.9

Some surprises today. MK Dons and Port Vale played true to form but as for the rest...

Yep

I need either Grimsby or Chesterfield but neither came through

England -1, -2
Norway -1, -2
Austria
Greece

My only return yesterday was from my AH bet, so hoping for similar today when my only bet will be an AH bet on a Spanish La Liga 2 game: Cadiz v Cordoba,


Cordoba have the leagues worst away record, W0 D1 L5 F3 A12, but with an overall record of W4 D4 L1 (H&A) from their games against teams below 8th in the league and currently on a run of only 3 losses in their last 10 games, I’m hoping they can do enough to take at least a draw today against (19th placed) Cadiz who have  have dropped points in 7 of the last 8 games and  have won only 3 of 14 games this season.

Cordoba with +0.5 goals on AH currently @ 1.94 

Good Luck All

I was daft enough to back Donny, Whispering, and baled out when it didn't look like they would do it losing 2/3rds of my stake

I always back them when they lose so I have don’t touch them now

Harrogate too

Hoy,

That is some degenerate gambling.

I identified Oviedo and Huesca but didn’t put a bet on!

I got Armenia and North Macedonia though, cheeky little double but also in the degenerate category

Hoy,

That is some degenerate gambling.

I identified Oviedo and Huesca but didn’t put a bet on!

I got Armenia and North Macedonia though, cheeky little double but also in the degenerate category

Whisperingdeath, I like my AH bets, in any league!!! I think I’ve had more bets on non UK games and than UK games this year


An AH losing bet last night


I don’t usually bet on these National League games (unless I’m watching England on tv)
But, as I’ve put up Portugal to win 3-1 & Poland to win 2-1 in a correct score competition,
I’ll have a shot at the following 2 bets:

First is a match result Double  @  6.48   Portugal / Poland 

and also an over 2.5 goals double @ 3.8 on the above 2 games

Then that’s me done with football betting till the weekend

Good Luck if you’re on any of tonight’s games

Hoy

I nearly found The Holy Grail last night

Made a terrible mistake and fate put me down

England -2, Norway -2, Greece and Austria. Austria conceded an equaliser on 81 mins. I was hovering on the lay …….  coulda, shoulda, didn’t. Lesson not learned!

I even had a cover on Cartagena!

Oh Wattana Siam

Still we live to fight another day!”

Getting very close again. No excuse for last night though.

Decent odds on Portugal Poland too!

sorry i havemade no input lately but have been away.

Hopefully we can find some winners this weekend as football get back to normal fixtures

Coulda shoulda. Similar experience last night.
Did BTTS no in Romania game. HT it was 2-0 but I was noticing that "No" was not gaining from time value expiry which suggested that those streaming thought Cyprus looked like scoring. Coulda cashed out, thought about it but didn't. Cyprus scored at 51 minutes. Hey ho, need to listen to gut feeling more.

Yes

Gut feeling fo sho but also basic rules

Like in cricket I usually have a little sniff / Hail Mary or lay if I’m on a winner at 10-1   1-10

Usually something happens. I royally screwed up when it was in the bag the other night! Still positive though…. All the right notes…. Just not in the right order!

Andre Previous
At least we have some proper cricket soon (to win back my footy losses).

Early post on a weekend fixture that looks worth a punt which is MKDONS at Fleetwood at 15/8.

MKD are top of the form league with 5 wins on the bounce including 3 away wins at Harrogate, Grimsby and Morcombe scoring 11 goals and conceding 3. They were amongst pre seoson favs and after a shocking start are beginning to show why.

Fleetwood are 17th in the form table won 1 in 6 and their home form is ropey with 1 win in the last 6 and only 2 wins all season.

I have taken 9/5 with 365.

Will post on other games later in the week but i thought that this might be worth an early call.

Comments gratefully received and GL if you give it a dip.

STOCKPORT at Burton at Evens looks of interest also.

1.61 on here

MK Dons are indeed the form team having bounced up the table. Fleetwood however are no mugs and have home advantage so I wouldn't rule out the draw. GL with your bet.

Thanks Foinavon

I've been looking at Chesterfield v Barrow (for the correct score thread). The former are abysmal at home drawing many games they should have won. They will be conscious that they need to tighten up at the back. Barrow tend to play low scoring games so I doubt there will be many goals and will be backing unders on the day. My correct score guess will be 1-0 or 1-1 but am waiting for the prices on the exchange.

Barrow are in dire form they have won 1 in eight games and are bottom of the form league table (6 games) only 4 games out of 16 have been overs.

chesterfield arent much better with two wins in 8 but tend to be involved in overs games (7 in last 8)

wouldnt touch this one personally but good luck foinaven

Thanks The Dragon

I was going to wait until the weekend until my next bet, but,

It’s not often I back over 2.5 goals in games in Brazil, but, having seen the odds for over 2.5 goals in 1 of tonight’s games, I’ve decided to “borrow” some of my weekend’s betting bank to have a bet on:

Vasco De Gama v Internacional  Over 2.5 goals  @ 2.36

gl OTH

Elgin and Peterhead odds against, why?

There is form here. What do the bookies know?

fancy watford tonight

back watdford  and lay plymouth -small bet

Nov 22, 2024 -- 1:01PM, Whisperingdeath wrote:

Elgin and Peterhead odds against, why?There is form here. What do the bookies know?

would be wary of Scottish games tomorrow, particularly in the north and lower leagues too. Surely  a fair few postponements.

Back Peterboro @ 19/20 - boosted Ladbrokes price.

Two writers (out of 4) in Racing Post Assist today made P/Boro their best bet this weekend so following their recommendations.


Betfred BTTS Bonus Shop Coupon

Fourfolds @ 9/1 on five selections

Games at

Everton
Fulham
Ipswich
Newcastle
Burton

If 4 from 5 come up you double your money, if all come up its ten times original total stake. The Newcastle game is on Monday which may give an opportunity to lay the bet off.

Thanks Analyst.

My form system has given the following (ranked in highest point score)

Liverppol 10/30, Huddersfield 17/20, Barnsley Evens, Bham 2/5 - Lucky 15 for me.

Gl all

Peterborough are 21/20 on here - always found them unreliable from a betting perspective - so i will watch with interest

blackburn and bradford games are off

Nov 23, 2024 -- 4:41AM, The Dragon wrote:

Peterborough are 21/20 on here - always found them unreliable from a betting perspective - so i will watch with interest

on fire peterboro, stunned odds against

they have won 6 out of 15 league games this season

Only 1 goal scored in my Thursday night’s over 2.5 goals bet


2 away wins and a home win from the 12:30 games today

2 singles: Burnley @  2.76
           Bolton  @  1.90

and I’ll add Chelsea for a Treble @ 6.95

Good Luck All

gl OTH

mkd game is off

A late goal from Bolton gave me a full house in my 12:30 games

now for my 3pm selections


Only 1 home win single   Everton @ 2.46
and 1 Double  Arsenal/Villa  @ 2.32

Asian Handicap  Brighton +0.25 @ 1.82     Wolverhampton +0.75 @ 2.35     Crawley +0.50  @ 1.78


Over 2.5 goals  Swindon v Morecambe @  1.95


Good Luck All

nice one OTH

I'm trying my luck backing unders again on Swansea Leeds. The price is currently 1.86.

Oh dear, wasn't expecting that. An amazing game nevertheless.

Man

Citeh lose, Birmingham lose, Liverpool losing to Ipswich, Leeds doing THAT

They saved my weekend!

I do need manure to win to turn a profit for the weekend though

football betting and making a profit is very difficult at the moment and in recent yars

Shocking weekend until Liverpool and Leeds comebacks.

One winner and one loser as posted on here for a small loss. Did alright on the Perth test, how about you? So far I have had 26 bets/trades on the West Indies test and as things stand could cash out for 16p

Didn’t bet on India. Went on run lines and came a cropper. The pitch imho was pretty decent.

We've seen that before at Perth, the initial life goes out of the pitch after 2 days under the influence of the sun and the Fremantle doctor. I'm very wary about what's happening in Antigua, any result is possible.

Might avoid that and go for Hail Mary Sri Lanka if the price is right. Neither side get well paid. Should be Windies, could be a draw most unlikely Sri Lanka….. what does that indicate?….. stay out or a cheeky nicker on SL but I would want well in excess of 50

A canny day for me on Saturday with 7 winners from 9 selections, why can’t I do this every weekend.

Only football bet for me today is an Asian Handicap bet, Newcastle -1.5 goals  @ - 2.34

Good Luck All

Quite a few games knocking about and Ive gone for 3 W's

WYCOMBE 21/20, Wrexham 7/10 and Walsall 2/3- 3 singles and a patent


In the Championship its hard to see beyond:

Sheff Utd 10/21, Leeds10/21 and Boro 11/20 all pretty short so done a treble on it.

GL All

leeds and boro are tommorrow night

Haven’t spent much time on tonight’s games so will limit my bets to 3 games

Stoke v Preston BTTS @ 1.92

and a couple of speculative bets

Burnley v Coventry  Over 2.5 goals @ 2.4

Hull v Sheff Wed  DRAW @ 3.45

-0.20pts this month on this thread to level stakes (-10.48pts for season)

Good Luck with your bets Dragon

sae to you OTH

same

I've had a play in the Scottish Cup the weekend, Dundee North East to beat Airdrie @ 11/2... couple of books go 7/1 but not somewhere I have an account... Airdrie having an awful season having earned only 5 points and struggling to score... saw on a forum they only have three fit players so how strong a team they put out remains to be seen... Dundee NE won the Midland Junior League last year, second this season only conceding five goals so far... also done a dub with West Ham who certainly put in a shift last night and the Prem throwing up some big price winners of late... finally made it a treb with Notts County in the FA Cup at Peterborough, they'll be a big turnout from Nottingham for this one, cheers...

You had a better night than me last night Dragon, I was back to normal with 3 losing bets


A couple of bets for tonight
Derby @ 2.66
Barnet @ 1.91

Really good fun reading all  you guys tips ,guesses,gut feeling calculated bets also no aftertiming Wishing all bests please keep posting and most important be lucky I'm playing tonight Double Juventus and Boro Hope to see you at the winning window

cheers stocks..everyone trys their best on here.. glad you enjoythe thread and as always contributions gratefully received .needs leeds and boro tonight for my treble

thanks colu yes good night for me  walsall let me down from it being a top night

gl with your bets tonight

oth

Not many league fixtures this weekend due to FA CUP .

Two teams have come up on my form based system BORO at home to Hull at 8/15 and Millwall away to Oxford at 6/5.
MILWALL
- Oxford United were outclassed by promotion-chasing Sheffield United on Tuesday night as two early goals set the newly promoted side on course for a 3-0 away defeat.
- Des Buckingham is navigating a tough run of form - the hosts have won just one of their last 12 in the league, and have lost five of their last six.
- A floodlight failure saw Millwall's game against Portsmouth postponed on Wednesday night, meaning the Lions have enjoyed plenty of rest in preparation for this gameweek 18 clash.
- Neil Harris' side are on an eight-game unbeaten streak with four wins in their last six.

HULL

- Middlesbrough couldn't find a way past a stout Blackburn defence in midweek as a late Dom Hyam goal ultimately condemned Michael Carrick's side to a surprise home defeat.The hosts have still won three of their last four league games and will expect an immediate response on Saturday afternoon.

- Hull conceded late in each half on Tuesday night as they suffered a damaging 2-0 home defeat against Sheffield Wednesday.

- The Tigers are now in the relegation zone after four consecutive league defeats, and will now have a new manager after Tim Walter was sacked in the wake of their latest midweek defeat.


GL ALL

I will also back Brighton 2/5 to beat Soton tonight and put any winnings on BRENTFORD 2/3 and FOREST 8/11 tomorrow.

Adding Crewe and Watford to Boro and Millwall

Crewe look a decent proce at 8/5 to win at Carlilse WD though Carlilse have hit a bit of form lately. Watford were on my radar also

GL

sorry above header should read BORO not hull- apols

Apologies Foinavon

I went on a Hail Mary play

The Draw at Christchurch

It went against me up to 27 and then this morning to 50

I am in at 11

It is back to 11

As you know Foinavon, Hagley Oval is green first day. Wickets can fall. Then it gets easier to bat on then the pitch gets better and better.

Points to consider

It did not seam around day 1. NZ contributed to getting themselves out.

It did seam around this morning under cloud but NZ dropped six catches including Brook 4 times.

England lost 4 wickets under cloud and only one when the sun was out including Pope who scored runs!

Light cloud tomorrow when England bat. If they bat to tea or God willing beyond NZ will bat on Sunday when the sun is FULLY out and the pitch is flat

Final point

Only One Test Match has ended in a draw this year

IMHO if you can afford to lose the money this is a Hail Mary worthy of consideration. Current price 10-1. You should be able to lay off Sunday

Yes Dargon

I am looking for a home bet to replace Crewe as well and msybe also back Carlisle and the draw in a smaller 4 four fold cover

Agree entirely WD, I did the same and backed the draw prematch at 13.5 hoping to lay off during day1. When it went against me I backed Eng as they were the much bigger price in an even contest. I watched the first session last night and saw the seaming the NZ bowlers were getting so bailed out leaving an overall loss, expecting to wake up this morning seeing NZ batting with a 200 lead! I was surprised to see Eng in the box seat, the track has flattened out bringing the draw into contention. I noticed it was around 10 but haven't yet made a move. I will take your advice, it's the logic of the situation. Thanks and good luck today with your football bets.

Yeah!

I wanted to double down at 27 but thought I would wait for a wicket first but fell asleep!

England ought to be able to bat to tea. The real fear is they get on it and post 550+ in which case NZ may have to bat more than 4 session minimum.

I think 10-1 is a terrific price but the stats are clear generally only one draw in Test Matches this year and I think only one at the Hagley Oval for some time. It has a great pitch though and NZ batters need to atone for mistakes on the first innings knowing  a second poor showing gives the kid Will Young a chance of a fair go

Looking for a home alternative to Crewe please guys

Red Bull Leipzig?

Augsburg?

Hoy, got anything?

Also will consider an alternative home bet for Millwall

I like the look of Swansea, WD, they are playing well at the moment but it's reflected in the price.

Yes they are

I forgot I should be looking at early kick offs

Fleetwood came to mind but they are hit and miss even at home and Colchester although lowly have a little run put together

Colchester and draw at 1.83 is a good price to cover Fleetwood in a 4 fold

my highest rated homes this weekend are

Brighton, Forest, Brentford and Boro (be careful of sacked manager syndrome)

Only 1 bet for me tonight

Sheffield Utd to nick the win @ 2.12

Good Luck All

yup i agree doubled up with Brighton

wouldnt put anyone off Sheff u tonight.

one in scottish cup tomorrow- Clydebank

Quite happy to lay Boro @ 1.53

On Wednesday night they had 7 out of the my first 11 choice players missing (keeper, three defenders, three midfielders), other players were rumoured to be playing with some sickness, and it showed. Blackburn looked sharper and fitter, although a draw would have been the fairest result. I would have laid Boro when I saw the team news but internet signal at the Stadium is very poor close to kick off.
The game against Hull may be not quite as tough (Blackburn had rested last weekend), but if the same players are missing for Boro I would price up the game against Hull as 54% Boro, 26% draw 20% Hull. Boro have only won 4 home games from 9 this season.

BetFred BTTS Bonus Shop Coupon - Treble

Brighton (apologies for after event bet)
Palace
Norwich

Sections bet BTTS - 22/1 fivefold

Sutton
Norwich
Watford
Carlisle
Swansea

GL all.

Brighton bad start -lets hope today is better- had a saver on Sheffield so not too much damage done.

With my level stake betting on this thread showing -1.61pts for the month and -12.49pts for the season, I’m hoping I can at least end the month in profit with a decent return form the following 7 bets:

3 odds against selections
Newcastle @ 2.3      Wolves @ 2.86      West Brom @ 2.44

Middlesbrough / Swansea    Double @   2.75

Asian Handicap   Ipswich +0.75 @ 1.92

Over 2.5 goals    Coventry v Cardiff  @  1.91

BTTS   Brentford v Leicester   @ 1.69

Analyst, I considered the info you posted re: Middlesbrough, but my initial thought on this game were based mostly on Hull’s poor last 9 match form, W0 D3 L6, in which they failed to score in 5 of the 9 games.
Boro on the drift, now 1.65 on Exchange & 1.57 on Sportsbook, Hopefully Boro can put out a stronger team than last week!! 

Good Luck All

This run has to change soon!

Brighton were lucky to come away with a point, Kiwi batsmen spoiling our Hail Mary

I'm sticking with Swansea today and splitting my stake between a home win and btts:No as I hope they will keep another clean sheet.

Very disappointing Foinavon….from a betting pov but looking forward to The Ashes!

Hazlewood has broken down. India showing the way on how to deal with probably the best attack in the game, certainly were. Be nice to have Wood and Archer alternate between tests. Just need to find a number three to ground and pound. Leave the fireworks to others.

2 MINUTES

Carlisle 1 Crewe 0

How’s your luck!

I got a cover on Carlisle and the draw but hope Crewe through

Carlise  is a league 2 game, not cup

Nowt worse than getting on at the bottom end of the market as I’ve done with Dundee NE when I saw 356 had clipped their price to 9/2 thought I’d hope on at 11/2, now generally two points bigger will go in again… Yankee this afternoon, Ipswich, Notts C, Cheltenham and Oldham, cheers…

I’ve had an in play bet at HT in the Fleetwood v Colchester game, not a lot in it to be fair in a tepid affair, however Colchester have had two key players injured and gone off so the game plan has gone awry somewhat, Fleetwood @ 2/1, cheers…

The footy didn't turn out as hoped. I've been laying the draw at Sabina Park, there were/are some generous prices on offer given the wet outfield delay.

Boro lay lost - 5 players started who didn't play in midweek and they made a big difference. Shows how hard it is to predict results in advance without knowing specific team news.

The good news is the BetFred BTTS Bonus Treble came up @ 9/2 which made it a profitable weekend.

Grim from me yesterday, however North End kick off in a bit, a win for them will turn things around, anything other will be black Sunday, cheers…

Cole Palmer to be fouled 2 or more times boosted to 2.0 on sportsbook.

Curtis Nelso to score anytime for Derby is to big @ 16.0 hes scored 2 so far this season and is the main target on set pieces for the rams in the air. Derby I believe have scored the most set piece goals in the division and Wednesday have 1 of the worst defences from set plays.

Gl all

2 winning bets and a half stake return (AH) from my 7 bets yesterday

Looking at the 3 Premier League early games, I’ve backed Chelsea @ 1.78

and as I reckon all 3 home teams could be good for the win, I’ll also try a home win treble
Chelsea/Man Utd/Spurs @ 4.76

Good Luck All

Not a good start up on Tayside onwards and upwards, backed the draw @ 12.2…

my reb is chelsea, arsenal and liverpool

gl all

Early goal enough for Airdrie Bromley look good at odds against v Solihull who have a few injuries but I’ll sit this one out, roll on the darts…

Early goal enough for Airdrie Bromley look good at odds against v Solihull who have a few injuries but I’ll sit this one out, roll on the darts…