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The Dragon
15 Sep 14 20:46
Joined:
Date Joined: 12 Mar 05
| Topic/replies: 34,551 | Blogger: The Dragon's blog
Hi guys

This thread will start this weekend.

4th year of stats and analysis now . so should be good!!!
Will post Top rated and Value tips with analysis for the selections 8-) . Lets hope it goes well
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Report Wist February 9, 2020 2:54 PM GMT
Superb Dragon.
Atlhletico v Granada 1-0
For today Osasuna v Real Madrid BTTS no odds 2.10

Regards
Report The Dragon February 10, 2020 12:26 PM GMT
quiet a few games on Tuesday evening and i have backed the following :

Brentford to beat Leeds at 8/5 great price given the form of the two teams. BIRMINGHAM at 2/1 look vale to beat Barnsly and PORT VALE at 13/5 are value away at an out of form Forest green. Patent on all 3 for me

I also like BARNET at 23/20 to beat an out of form solihull  Have added them in a lucky 15 and single bet.

Good luck if you give any of them a punt.
Report Wist February 10, 2020 9:21 PM GMT
Osasuna v Real Madrid 1-4.
Regards
Report The Dragon February 10, 2020 10:18 PM GMT
vwd wistCool
Report onthehoy February 11, 2020 12:33 PM GMT
Well done for your weekend selections Dragon. Your bank must be looking very healthy after those winners

3 teams for Tuesday:
Swansea @ 1.95
Brentford @ 2.4
Coventry @ 2.8


2 teams below I will back on the Asian Handicap to cover the draw/win and I will also add them (to win) to the above 3 teams in some trebles

Birmingham @ 2.63
Middlesbrough @ 2.88


Good Luck all
Report The Dragon February 11, 2020 2:46 PM GMT
thanks oth yes nice cash investment there

good luck with your selections tonight    should be good hopeyou havent got too much of that cavonia virus over there
Report sizezero February 11, 2020 2:48 PM GMT
PLYMOUTH 2/1 away to Salford will have my attention tonight
Report The Dragon February 11, 2020 4:45 PM GMT
cov v pompey is a tough call as both teams in great form and its a big game - no bet for me plymouth might be a decent price at 2/1 and i might double them with northampton to make up for them both losing at the weekend , only small bet though
Report The Dragon February 11, 2020 4:58 PM GMT
cambridge may be a bit of value at 7/2 v scunny . they have won both games scince sacking their manager v col u and newport and play a scunny team who have lost 6/10 with 2 win in that period

not a cert but might be of interest at 7/2
Report pushkin99 February 11, 2020 9:55 PM GMT
Some good tips there at decent prices The Dragon. I hope u came out on top in a difficult nite.
Report The Dragon February 12, 2020 6:13 PM GMT
thanks push got some nice priced winners last night but brentford and barnet let me down for a nice paynight all in all pretty good night though

not as much tonight but had a small dip on wba and fulham for an away day double of around 7/2
Report morpteh mackem February 14, 2020 4:25 PM GMT
barnet v harrogate off tomorrow
Report morpteh mackem February 14, 2020 4:26 PM GMT
short longlist tomorrow, im assuming a few will be off- peterborough, gillingham, coventry, grimsby, swindon, and halifax.
can't see them all being on so will pick treble out later.
Report The Dragon February 14, 2020 5:07 PM GMT
just having a look now and cant believe that bristol city are 8/1 to win at leedsSurprised

bristol have won 5/6 games with only defeat to in form bham

leeds have only won 1 in 7

8/1 has to be taken crazy price

will post system picks later
Report morpteh mackem February 14, 2020 5:13 PM GMT
cant argue there mr d, leeds need opposing at moment, massive price for city.
Report The Dragon February 14, 2020 8:55 PM GMT
fulham 8/15 and portsmouth 11/20 look nailed  added bristol  city at 8/1 for a very nice patent

exeter 21/20, halifax 8/5 and birmingham at 3/1 are my other selections
Report morpteh mackem February 14, 2020 9:03 PM GMT
few more games off in national league
Report The Dragon February 14, 2020 9:11 PM GMT
yes weekend looks grim again  i hope the horse racing survives
Report morpteh mackem February 14, 2020 9:12 PM GMT
be surprised if haydock does, be like a swamp. can see the 8am inspections dragging out to 12pm
Report The Dragon February 14, 2020 9:17 PM GMT
sandown was off today so ascot must be dodgy  you settled on your treb mm?
Report morpteh mackem February 14, 2020 9:23 PM GMT
nah, waiting for tomorrow, see what survives. do like peterboro, scoring for fun at moment, ched evans suspended for fleetwood. swindon look a gimme . inkling towards gillingham to complete treble , dont concede many, in good form.
Report The Dragon February 14, 2020 9:32 PM GMT
okay
Report Wist February 14, 2020 10:30 PM GMT
Followed you Dragon on Leeds v Bristol but I layed Leeds. At the moment Bristol 9.2,Leeds 1.5. Crazy indeed.
Regards
Report sizezero February 15, 2020 1:21 AM GMT
My 3 today will be FULHAM COVENTRY & ROTHERHAM pays about 5/2

SUNDERLAND are on the rampage at the moment so should take care of oxford away 8/5 who are on the slide

Gl all
Report onthehoy February 15, 2020 8:51 AM GMT
Keeping my main bets to the Championship today

Derby @ 2.05
Cardiff @ 2.0
Fulham @ 1.5
Middlesbrough @ 1.62

I have gone a single on Derby and a double on the first 2 and with the other 2 at short odds I’ve also gone for the 4fold at 9.96

2 for my Asian Handicap bets today are Charlton at home to Blackburn & Reading away to Sheff Wed. I reckon both could be good for at least a draw.

Good Luck all
Report morpteh mackem February 15, 2020 9:12 AM GMT
halifax off
Report The Dragon February 15, 2020 9:21 AM GMT
Cry
Report morpteh mackem February 15, 2020 10:49 AM GMT
nearly all nat leagues gone, looks like rochdale gone too
Report The Dragon February 15, 2020 11:21 AM GMT
yes rochdale pp
Report morpteh mackem February 15, 2020 11:30 AM GMT
brechin off
Report morpteh mackem February 15, 2020 2:17 PM GMT
swindon gone
Report The Dragon February 15, 2020 2:43 PM GMT
yupSad
Report Wist February 15, 2020 8:39 PM GMT
Leeds v Bristol 1-0. Still it was a value bet.
Regards
Report Wist February 17, 2020 5:24 PM GMT
Chelsea v Man United. Over 10.5 corners odds 2.05.
I think Chelsea has got on average 8 corners at home. Hopefully Man UTD will manage 3 at least.
Regards
Report Wist February 17, 2020 9:32 PM GMT
After 70m. 11 corners already.
Regards
Report morpteh mackem February 17, 2020 10:48 PM GMT
wd wist
Report The Dragon February 18, 2020 6:39 PM GMT
fancy plymouth tonight to win at macc at just under evens
Report Wist February 20, 2020 7:32 AM GMT
Europe League
Bayern Leverkusen v FC Porto 20:00
Good price for over 2.5, odds 1.88 at the moment.
Regards
Report The Dragon February 20, 2020 4:44 PM GMT
1.78 nowShocked
Report The Dragon February 20, 2020 9:38 PM GMT
great call wist cheers
Report morpteh mackem February 21, 2020 10:55 AM GMT
this weeks shortlist- burnley, birmingham, notts forest, rotherham and cheltenham.

keeping it simple and a double of burnley and brum, both slight odds on. burnley already tipped up in rp so can see them shortening.
Report The Dragon February 21, 2020 1:12 PM GMT
4 homes and 3 aways on my system this weekend.

4 homes are Sheff utd at evens, Birmingham at 13/10, Preston at 5/8 and crewe at 9/20 Lucky 15 on all 4.

Aways : Port Vale 2/1, Wreham 27/10 and Gillingham 29/16 Patent on the three.

There are a nos of teams that look too big given the form of the teams and they are:

Cambridge at 4/1,Blackburn 5/1, Bristol City at 16/5, Reading at 12/1, Cardiff at 3/1 Not sure how to play theses yet so will give it some more thought.

Good luck all
Report onthehoy February 22, 2020 6:25 AM GMT
5 selections for today:

Birmingham @ 2.2
Charlton @ 2.15
Preston @ 1.57
Nottm Forest @ 2.1
Burnley @ 2.1


Also, 2 teams I have gone for on the Asian Handicap (covering draw/away win) : Aston villa & Newcastle,  I have put in a speculative win double @ 20/1

Good Luck all
Report morpteh mackem February 22, 2020 8:57 AM GMT
surely newcastle game will be 0-0, neither team can score ( palace )
Report terry mccann February 22, 2020 9:46 AM GMT
Barnet to win at Chorley surely
Report The Dragon February 22, 2020 11:33 AM GMT
yes terry cant argue with that
Report onthehoy February 22, 2020 11:39 AM GMT
mm, I reckon you could be right about the Toon score, but, fingers crossed it ends 0-1.

You reckon Sunderland should take a comfortable win today?  I am tempted to go for Sunderland -2 goals on AH @ 3/1(ish),

Also in League 1, I’ve gone for 2 away selections: Coventry @ 1.8 & Doncaster @ 2.63
Report morpteh mackem February 22, 2020 11:47 AM GMT
hmm, not conceding at moment, can we score enough though ? usually ok at home for goals......
conditions are terrible too .

can actually see newcastle winning today if was forced to take a winner, palace havent scored from open play at home  in first half this season !!!
Report The Dragon February 22, 2020 12:52 PM GMT
blackburn 1 upCool
Report sizezero February 22, 2020 3:00 PM GMT
PLYMOUTH PRESTON and CREWE will be my 3 today

Gl all
Report The Dragon February 22, 2020 3:10 PM GMT
barnet winning telCool
Report terry mccann February 22, 2020 10:18 PM GMT
VVCool Dragon
Report Wist February 23, 2020 11:02 AM GMT
Genoa v Lazio  Italy Serie A 11:30
Over 2.5,odds 1.98.
Regards
Report Wist February 24, 2020 3:23 PM GMT
Genoa v Lazio 2-3.
Regards
Report The Dragon February 24, 2020 5:06 PM GMT
nice oneagain wist your going well on overs
Report The Dragon February 24, 2020 5:18 PM GMT
coventry v roytherham should be a cracking game tomorrow night , top v second and both in good form . i have backed coventry at 31/20 seems a decent price for a home teamwho have won 5 on the bounce
Report The Dragon February 24, 2020 5:18 PM GMT
coventry v roytherham should be a cracking game tomorrow night , top v second and both in good form . i have backed coventry at 31/20 seems a decent price for a home teamwho have won 5 on the bounce
Report The Dragon February 24, 2020 6:04 PM GMT
had a dip on van **** to score from a header at 11/1 tonightCool
Report onthehoy February 25, 2020 1:38 PM GMT
Dragon, I am with you on Coventry

Also going with
Oxford @1.75
Shrewsbury @ 1.75
Grimsby @ 2.63

Asian Handicap bets covering draw/away win:
Derby
Nottm. Forest


Jury is still out on Bristol City??  back to win at 3.4  or also cover the draw on the AH??
Report Des Pond February 25, 2020 7:58 PM GMT
Huddersfield v Bristol City could be low scoring (neither team can afford to lose at this stage). I've backed 0-0 with cover on 1-1, 1-0 and 0-1. More on the 0-1 side than 1-0.
Report Des Pond February 25, 2020 8:44 PM GMT
Nearly 10 minutes added at HT Sad. 1-0 will do, 0-0 would've been much better.
Report Des Pond February 25, 2020 9:27 PM GMT
2-0 Sad worth a try
Report Wist February 26, 2020 1:24 PM GMT
Lyon v Juventus CL 20:00.
That goal machine Ronaldo available to score any time at 2.20,which is generous imo.
Regards
Report Wist February 27, 2020 3:20 PM GMT
No goal from Ronaldo yesterday.
Regards
Report morpteh mackem February 28, 2020 3:21 PM GMT
tranmere and eastliegh off tomorrow already
Report morpteh mackem February 28, 2020 6:52 PM GMT
shirtlist of cambridge, crewe, port vale and  huddersfield tomorrow . can see few games being postponed so delaying at moment .
probably double of cambridge and port vale if survive.
Report sizezero February 29, 2020 2:03 AM GMT
LEEDS & ROTHERHAM should be gimmies today and gonna chuck in SWINDON for my treble pays about 100/30

Gl all
Report The Dragon February 29, 2020 8:21 AM GMT
morning everryone , here are my selectoions for today

Port vale at a very pleasant 7/5 to beat Scunthorpe PV are unbeaten in six with 3 wins and 3 draws and their home form is strong with only 1 defeat all season. Scunny are in and out formwise but their away form is not so good with 2 losses and 1 draw in the last 3. Home win fior me.

I am adding Gillingham 3/5  and Barnsley at 11/5 for a nice Patent, Barnsley look a decent price given the form of the two sides Barnsley on a roll with 3 wins on the spin Reading lost 3 out of 4 and 1 win in 6

Cambridge, Grimsby and Blackburn make up my other patent

I have taken 5/2 on Fleetwood on TUESDAY evening to win at Ipswich. Fleetwood have won 5/6 ipswich have lost 4/6 and only 1 win in 6

my too big group include wycombe 7/2, charlton 4/1, cheltenham 13/5 and walsall 28/17

good luck all
Report morpteh mackem February 29, 2020 8:46 AM GMT
forest green  off
Report morpteh mackem February 29, 2020 9:05 AM GMT
stevenage off
Report The Dragon February 29, 2020 9:58 AM GMT
newbury is offCry
Report onthehoy February 29, 2020 1:44 PM GMT
My selections for today

2 Home wins
FULHAM @ 1.8
BRISTOL ROVERS @ 2.6

and an over 2.5 goals double @ 4.31
BLACKBURN v SWANSEA
LUTON v STOKE


3 Asian Handicap bets to cover win/draw
CARDIFF +0.25 goals
WEST HAM +0.25 goals
DERBY +0.25 goals

also I may as well try the above 3 in a small stake
3 doubles & treble
Derby @ 3.6
West Ham @ 2.75
Cardiff @ 3.5

+ 1 horse bet today
1:50 Doncaster Coded Message @ 7/1


good luck all
Report Wist March 2, 2020 6:33 PM GMT
BKS Bielsko Biala v MKS Koszalin Volleyball Polish 1st division 19:30.
MKS Koszalin very tasty 2.95.
Regards
Report Wist March 3, 2020 1:24 PM GMT
BKS Bielsko Biala MKS Koszalin 3-1.
Regards
Report Wist March 3, 2020 6:13 PM GMT
Poland 1st division Cracovia v Wisla Krakow 19:30
BTTS 1.90.
Regards
Report Whisperingdeath March 3, 2020 6:50 PM GMT
Swinedon, Hibs, Dundee Utd 7.25 punt
Report twizzle22 March 3, 2020 9:14 PM GMT
Delighted you've done yer money pedo lover^^
Report The Dragon March 3, 2020 9:23 PM GMT
fleetwood 1 up hope you were om
Report The Dragon March 3, 2020 9:42 PM GMT
fleetwood win nice price at 5/2Cool
Report Wist March 4, 2020 6:51 AM GMT
Cracovia v Wisla Krakow 0-2
Regards
Report Wist March 5, 2020 8:30 PM GMT
Darts Anderson v Humphries 21:30
My mate who is really into darts said t me to back Andrson odds 1.79 at the moment. I manged to back him in the morning on 1.84.
Regards
Report The Dragon March 5, 2020 10:06 PM GMT
nice double for the weekend that looks overpriced is

Harrogate at 10/11 and Swindon at 4/5  Nice priced douible at 3.3

wil post other selections tomorrowCool
Report The Dragon March 6, 2020 11:40 AM GMT
as posted harrogate 10/11 and Swindon 4/5 are my main bets.

Others ive added from home teams are Pymouth, wolves and Crewe.

CHESTERFIELD look a decent bet at 8/5 to win at Chorley along with COVENTRY 2/1 and WBA 11/10

good luck all
Report The Dragon March 10, 2020 11:37 AM GMT
distracted by cheltenham today but had two singles and a double on fleetwood and sunderland
Report morpteh mackem March 10, 2020 12:23 PM GMT
pleased forum was down , my weekend selections were very poor Sad
Report sizezero March 10, 2020 6:15 PM GMT
MONTROSE play stranraer away tonight who they smashed 4-1 at home on Saturday, no reason to suggest they wont again, 4/5 seems fair enough.
Report The Dragon April 5, 2020 11:57 AM BST
been quiet on thisthread for a while !!!!!!!
Report mighty June 29, 2020 11:22 AM BST
T T T.
Report mighty June 29, 2020 11:23 AM BST
T T T.
Report mighty June 29, 2020 11:23 AM BST
T T T.
Report Whisperingdeath June 29, 2020 3:38 PM BST
Hi guys,

Good to see this forum back. I hope we can all keep our politics out of it and concentrate on something loftier.....making money!

There are some knowledgeable contributors here and I hope they continue posting sage advice.

For my part I am doing my best to avoid acca’s. I get the odd big win, which, gives me a stiffie but more cumulative losses that leaves me deflated!

I tend to do better backing my judgement on singles, lumping up on them and rolling the dice with the profits. My current favourite bets are ante posts backs covering a smaller back of -1. Had a little luck on The top two in K League but looking to Juventus and Lazio to keep winning till the end of the season. Top ups in play on the win market. Bonus if -1 comes in usually around 15/8 and 2-1 ish.

Also plan to flutter on free scoring Atalanta -1 after tomorrow’s game with Napoli.

Any thoughts or insight into this strategy would be extremely welcome.
Report pushkin99 June 29, 2020 9:12 PM BST
It's great to see this thread back, a proper betting thread.

Rather than all the spamming threads from the trolls.

I hope this thread thrives again.
Report Whisperingdeath July 3, 2020 4:21 PM BST
Don't like too much this weekend. Going for the top two in South Korea -1. Also following Derby so backing them for the win but small speculation on -1 and -2 ( 12-1! ). I like 6-4 on Derby tomorrow.

That's it from me. Trying to stay away this weekend. Drinking Saturday so that does not mix with betting.
Report twoquidew July 4, 2020 11:52 AM BST
Share your thoughts entirely WD, the definitive forum thread for the punting purist.no politics, backbiting,just a valuable plain old shared opinions from trusted sources, hopefully TD will be back soon , would be interested to hear what the pics for today are.
I've been having some fun with the German leagues recently until I bust my bank. After a brief sabbatical I'm back and looking for singles with a view to trade.
Can't see much value in the east mids derby, forest won the last 3 but all at home.. dreaded nil nil distinct possibility ( hope I've jinxed it and it's a goalfest)maybe a small back of forest to trade , burst the derby bubble of 4 straight wins .
Looking at some possible lays for championship , like the look of Wigan in world beating form at the moment.
Report Whisperingdeath July 5, 2020 10:09 AM BST
I thought Derby were on red hot form tbh but covered draw at 4 and 4.1 so no harm done. South Korea Ulsan provided nice -1 and -2 yesterday, a good day.

Two games this morning interest me at 11am Jeonbuk Motors and Pohang Steelers. double at 3.03 is the main bet. Gone for a few smaller bets on Pohang -1 -2 and doubles of the variation with Jeonbuk for fun. Pohang have lost to the top two but are in good form. Gone bigger on a straight double but expect goals from both teams.
Report Whisperingdeath July 5, 2020 12:13 PM BST
Jeonbuk Motors top of the table holding up a nice little earner! Shortest favourite of the 3 games. Who have I upset?
Report Whisperingdeath July 5, 2020 1:03 PM BST
The other teams went to 8 before they got a dodgy penalty. Small margins! I had about 8 bets with Jeonbuk, all small because they were playing  3rd in the table away but they were on top throughout the game. If one chance had gone in off someone’s a*rse early on I might be looking at nearly a bag!

As it is a got a single and a -2 bet come in. Decently small profit on the three matches but what could have been! Exasperated.

Don’t fancy too much today till 4pm. Will have a look again and roll the dice again maybe. Strongly fancy Atalanta to smash some goals in. Liverpool too. Atalanta Liverpool -2 double pays 10.5.

Back later. Am up on the weekend. Goinng to stick with current strategy. Seems to be working, up on the weekend. Very close t9 a big payou5 today. Jeonbuk should have won, plus ca change plus c’est la meme chose! Carry on gambling.
Report sizezero August 7, 2020 1:36 AM BST
Hope everyone is well, now the Scottish Prem is back and it might not be everybody's cup of tea there looks to be value this weekend.  MOTHERWELL 11/10 at home to Dundee Utd looks a fair price, also like the look of ROSS COUNTY 33/20 away to Hamilton who must surely fall through the trapdoor this season.

Could easily stick in HIBS 33/20 for a nice priced treble

Gl all
Report Wist August 9, 2020 12:44 PM BST
Good Morning all.
Hope everyone is safe and well.
I had a quite good week, so we should see what will happen in a new week.
Kilmarnock v Celtic 16:30 BtS odds 2.14.
I think we all agree that Celtic will score (they "only" won last week 5-1)
On the other hand Kilmarnock lost last week to Hibernian 2-1.
I'm not conviced about Celtic defenfing line, therefore happy to back Both teams to Score.
I was also considering lay Celtic but would like to see 1.15 not 1.25
Wonder if Sizezero has got any thoughts about that game?
Regards.
Report Des Pond August 9, 2020 5:34 PM BST
Scottish Prem is back and it might not be everybody's cup of tea there looks to be value this weekend.  MOTHERWELL 11/10 at home to Dundee Utd looks a fair price, also like the look of ROSS COUNTY 33/20 away to Hamilton who must surely fall through the trapdoor this season.

Could easily stick in HIBS 33/20 for a nice priced treble


Unlucky with the treble.

Kilmarnock v Celtic 16:30 BtS odds 2.14.
I think we all agree that Celtic will score (they "only" won last week 5-1)
On the other hand Kilmarnock lost last week to Hibernian 2-1.
I'm not conviced about Celtic defenfing line, therefore happy to back Both teams to Score.


great tip.
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