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kenilworth
09 Dec 13 18:55
Joined:
Date Joined: 04 Nov 05
| Topic/replies: 15,627 | Blogger: kenilworth's blog
Swansea just one point ahead of their
opponents, playing at home of course,
but do they merit being strong odds on?
I have them at slight odds on, 1.90 and
wouldn't back them at less than 1/1. GL
to the odds on backers.
Unders/Overs looks about right at 1.80
IMO.
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Report Lemmiwinks December 9, 2013 9:05 PM GMT
Sounds like a morgue.
Report rommel December 9, 2013 9:05 PM GMT
some things just encapsulate the brit game...efforts like that ffs
Report Biscuit1979 December 9, 2013 9:07 PM GMT
kenilworth 09 Dec 13 21:02 
Rhino, that is a useless stat, although it may
make you feel more hopeful



If a side score a large proportion of their goals in the 2nd half, why is it a useless stat?
Report Lemmiwinks December 9, 2013 9:08 PM GMT
Hull are going to be gutted if they dont take all 3 points from this game.

Swansea are offering nothing at all going forward. Delighted I took the early red after the goal went in and backed unders instead.
Report Geesyerdosh December 9, 2013 9:08 PM GMT
Get Laudrup on ffs
Report rommel December 9, 2013 9:09 PM GMT
screaming the place down if i was a swans fan,how frustrating are they
Report homefortea December 9, 2013 9:10 PM GMT
Biscuit are you Kevin Pullein from the Racing Post by any chance...
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? December 9, 2013 9:11 PM GMT
No, he is his brother, Aero Pullein
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? December 9, 2013 9:13 PM GMT
As if one Welsh performance wasn't bad enough, Wrexham have just gone from 1-0 to 1-2 v Oxford lol.
Report Cork Langer December 9, 2013 9:13 PM GMT
Anyone know if Mighty Wayne is on the bench for the Swans...?
Report 1alph1 December 9, 2013 9:14 PM GMT
All Swansea now
Report rommel December 9, 2013 9:14 PM GMT
hull passing is fckn desperate
Report Biscuit1979 December 9, 2013 9:15 PM GMT
homefortea 09 Dec 13 21:10 
Biscuit are you Kevin Pullein from the Racing Post by any chance...



ConfusedConfused
Report Biscuit1979 December 9, 2013 9:15 PM GMT
GOOOOOOOAAAAALLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL
Report Mike Bassett England Manager December 9, 2013 9:15 PM GMT
GTFI Grin
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? December 9, 2013 9:15 PM GMT
1-1 FT I reckon.
Report Geesyerdosh December 9, 2013 9:16 PM GMT
wd marychain
Report pauliow December 9, 2013 9:16 PM GMT
Bugger. Was just about to lay HullSad
Report Biscuit1979 December 9, 2013 9:16 PM GMT
It's Chico time
Report marychain1 December 9, 2013 9:17 PM GMT
marychain1 09 Dec 13 19:33 Joined: 05 Apr 05
Chico Flores anytime @ 18/1 - can I just get my boom in early - BOOM. Cheers.


BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOM
Report Bergkamp93 December 9, 2013 9:17 PM GMT
ExcitedExcitedExcited
Report Biscuit1979 December 9, 2013 9:17 PM GMT
nice work MC
Report Bergkamp93 December 9, 2013 9:18 PM GMT
WD Mary, Top stuff thatCool
Report pauliow December 9, 2013 9:18 PM GMT
Good call marychain, well done
Report rommel December 9, 2013 9:18 PM GMT
vwd
Report OVERSEAS December 9, 2013 9:18 PM GMT
how does Foy miss so many cert yellow card decisions..
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? December 9, 2013 9:18 PM GMT
Why was that not a booking?!
Report Cork Langer December 9, 2013 9:18 PM GMT
Fortunate, but they all count, and at least the crowd have been woken from their slumber
Report 1alph1 December 9, 2013 9:20 PM GMT
Swans to go on and win it now.
Report webboncfc December 9, 2013 9:22 PM GMT
Don't know why the ref is listed as Foy because it's definitely Martin Atkinson.
Report Geesyerdosh December 9, 2013 9:23 PM GMT
How many times do Steve Bruce teams have unlucky, bad or late goals/decisions go against them?

He must be a right jinx.
Report larrence December 9, 2013 9:24 PM GMT
hull are poor come on swans
Report songsforthedeaf December 9, 2013 9:24 PM GMT
I was busy tonight so I didnt bet...however, my bets would have been:
Hull to score 1, 2 goals
Swansea to win the second half
Swansea corners match bet Sad
Report Cork Langer December 9, 2013 9:24 PM GMT
Come on Wayne, weave some magic...!
Report marychain1 December 9, 2013 9:24 PM GMT
It hit his hand but there's no way he meant it - it's a goal
Report webboncfc December 9, 2013 9:25 PM GMT
Are you sure Mary Wink
Report Geesyerdosh December 9, 2013 9:26 PM GMT
point proved Laugh
Report Cork Langer December 9, 2013 9:26 PM GMT
I put a spell on Flatnose when he walked out on us, its still working thankfully...!
Report kenilworth December 9, 2013 9:26 PM GMT
Biscuit, Every team scores more goals in the second
half than the first half.
Report Geesyerdosh December 9, 2013 9:32 PM GMT
Swansea don't seem interested in winning for some reason.
Report wisewords December 9, 2013 9:32 PM GMT
Hull going for it more than Swansea
Report shudacuda December 9, 2013 9:33 PM GMT
Nathan Dywer is fkn hopeless.
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? December 9, 2013 9:33 PM GMT
This referee is awful!
Report OVERSEAS December 9, 2013 9:35 PM GMT
cards
Report Bergkamp93 December 9, 2013 9:35 PM GMT
FIGHTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT
Report johngh December 9, 2013 9:35 PM GMT
Why does that mutant keep taking the free-kicks?
Report wisewords December 9, 2013 9:35 PM GMT
FIGHT FIGHT
Report OVERSEAS December 9, 2013 9:35 PM GMT
surely
Report Geesyerdosh December 9, 2013 9:35 PM GMT
Don't know why they don't put the ball right on McGregor he's shocking at crossballs.
Report maas December 9, 2013 9:35 PM GMT
williams is such a hot head
Report Lemmiwinks December 9, 2013 9:35 PM GMT
NorwichRob looking for his red here!
Report OVERSEAS December 9, 2013 9:36 PM GMT
yellows
Report wisewords December 9, 2013 9:36 PM GMT
think his chances of a red have increased now. something will happen in the box now
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? December 9, 2013 9:36 PM GMT
What did Sagbo do there to deserve the booking?
Report Darlo Bantam December 9, 2013 9:37 PM GMT
How long can it take to unsuspend the market ffs?
Report bilbobaggins December 9, 2013 9:37 PM GMT
Unsuspend you idiots.
Report Cork Langer December 9, 2013 9:38 PM GMT
Time wasting/ungentlemanly conduct
Report Cork Langer December 9, 2013 9:38 PM GMT
Surprised Huddlestone wasn't cautioned
Report wisewords December 9, 2013 9:39 PM GMT
yellow Chico
Report Bergkamp93 December 9, 2013 9:39 PM GMT
Atkinsen enjoying the limelight here, the card happy coont !!
Report loui December 9, 2013 9:40 PM GMT
shelvey stinks tonight
Report kenilworth December 9, 2013 9:40 PM GMT
Nightmare for bookings layers.
Report wisewords December 9, 2013 9:41 PM GMT
Sagbo lucky to not get sent off
Report pauliow December 9, 2013 9:41 PM GMT

Dec 9, 2013 -- 9:40PM, loui wrote:


shelvey stinks tonight


Just tonight?

Report Srichaphan or Ancic? December 9, 2013 9:41 PM GMT
no, when he has been eating onions too.
Report johngh December 9, 2013 9:42 PM GMT
Chico Flores should be sent off for his nonsense.
Report pauliow December 9, 2013 9:42 PM GMT
Might get in the French team then.
Report Biscuit1979 December 9, 2013 9:42 PM GMT
kenilworth 09 Dec 13 21:26 
Biscuit, Every team scores more goals in the second
half than the first half.




Don't be ridiculous. A lot of teams do, but some don't. Liverpool certainly don't score more in the 2nd half, United don't, i can't imagine Stoke or Palace do and i know Hull don't.

And in any case scoring 4 first half and 17 2nd half is quite a difference worth taking into account.
Report Lemmiwinks December 9, 2013 9:44 PM GMT
Players trying to ramp up enough yellow cards to get a suspension over xmas period.
Report Geesyerdosh December 9, 2013 9:47 PM GMT
4 min injury time must be trying to kill us through boredom
Report rommel December 9, 2013 9:48 PM GMT
meyler a fckn doorstop
Report Bergkamp93 December 9, 2013 9:48 PM GMT
michuLaughLaughLaughLaugh
Report morpteh mackem December 9, 2013 9:49 PM GMT
what's michus problem ?
Report TheChaser December 9, 2013 9:49 PM GMT
one season wonder now plays behind striker does he not
Report kenilworth December 9, 2013 9:50 PM GMT
Small samples unreliable, if you knew anything
about stats you would know that. For the record,
could you explain, if there is an explanation,
the significance as to why any side would score
more goals in the second half than the first half?
Report OldGold December 9, 2013 9:50 PM GMT
Said it a few weeks back, Michu is seriously crazy.
Report songsforthedeaf December 9, 2013 9:50 PM GMT
All my imaginary bets won hooray
Report loui December 9, 2013 9:51 PM GMT
shelvey your **** all the time
Report kenilworth December 9, 2013 9:51 PM GMT
Biscuit likes him, lol!
Report henok December 9, 2013 9:51 PM GMT
what a dire day
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? December 9, 2013 9:52 PM GMT

Dec 9, 2013 -- 9:50PM, kenilworth wrote:


Small samples unreliable, if you knew anything about stats you would know that. For the record, could you explain, if there is an explanation, the significance as to why any side would score more goals in the second half than the first half?


Tiredness, urgency to win, tactical changes, first 45 mins caution, bookings and sending offs increase. Isnt it obvious?

Report shudacuda December 9, 2013 9:52 PM GMT
Still passing square and backwards with seconds to go.
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? December 9, 2013 9:55 PM GMT
Overnight..

10/12/2013    00:00    Sched         NBA     RS     CHA BOBCATS     GS WARRIORS    
10/12/2013    00:00    Sched         NBA     RS     PHI 76ers     LA CLIPPERS    
10/12/2013    00:00    Sched         NBA     RS     WAS WIZARDS     DEN NUGGETS    
10/12/2013    01:00    Sched         NBA     RS     MEM GRIZZLIES     ORL MAGIC    
10/12/2013    01:30    Sched     [USA]     NFL     RS     CHI BEARS     DAL COWBOYS    
10/12/2013    02:00    Sched               SF     LD ALAJUELENSE     DEPORTIVO SAPRISSA   
10/12/2013    02:00    Sched         NBA     RS     UTA JAZZ     POR T BLAZERS    
10/12/2013    03:00    Sched         NBA     RS     SAC KINGS     DAL MAVERICKS
Report kenilworth December 9, 2013 9:55 PM GMT
Another stat for you Biscuit, ''Swansea haven't
won back to back for over a year'' so how could
they win tonight? Another useless stat and that
is not over 10 games either!
Report TheChaser December 9, 2013 9:56 PM GMT
are they in europe this week
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? December 9, 2013 9:57 PM GMT
I think there'll be some odd results in the NBA tonight
Report kenilworth December 9, 2013 9:59 PM GMT
Srichaphan or Ancic?
     09 Dec 13 21:52   


Dec 9, 2013 -- 9:50PM, kenilworth wrote:


Small samples unreliable, if you knew anything about stats you would know that. For the record, could you explain, if there is an explanation, the significance as to why any side would score more goals in the second half than the first half?


Tiredness, urgency to win, tactical changes, first 45 mins caution, bookings and sending offs increase. Isn't it obvious?

Sir, you have a fertile imagination.
BTW how does that fit in with my previous post?
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? December 9, 2013 10:01 PM GMT
You asked for the significance as to why any side would score more goals in the second half than the first half.
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? December 9, 2013 10:02 PM GMT
Significance is not just a stats word, you know.
Report Biscuit1979 December 9, 2013 10:02 PM GMT
Swansea won back to back games in September. Valencia and Palace.

As for the small sample size being unreliable. The stats are for this team, this season, so obviously it's a small sample size, why would we care what a different Swansea side under a different manager did 3-4 years ago? Would you compare United under Moyes' stats to the side last season under Fergie. No.
So how big a sample size would you suggest before you'd consider such a stat to be reliable?

Not to mention, it wasn't unreliable, because they scored in the 2nd half.
Report songsforthedeaf December 9, 2013 10:07 PM GMT

Dec 9, 2013 -- 8:44PM, homefortea wrote:


Possession... The byword for nonsense..Ray Wilkins would be the best player in the World if he was playing now.I have a Gold coin that I acquired 30 years ago.If someone pinched it now despite me having had it for 99.99999% of the time I would still not be in possession of it...


Your kind of thinking is endemic in the English game, and the reason we get raped at international tournaments.

Report songsforthedeaf December 9, 2013 10:10 PM GMT
Yeah I was going to back Swansea to win the second half because of their second half trend...it guess it can happen with possession based teams. Their passing makes the opposition work harder so they tire second half, whereas Swansea are likely to improve such passing and sharpen up second half, get into their groove etc.
Report songsforthedeaf December 9, 2013 10:11 PM GMT
This could go on all season...how many matches now have Swansea been like this - better in the second half I mean. 17/21 goals scored in the second half.
Report kenilworth December 9, 2013 10:11 PM GMT
In the League.(back to back)

I wouldn't consider any stat from
such a small sample.

There are such stats occurring from every
match played and are, in the main, meaningless.
If you disagree, you surprise me, although
disagreeing with me seems to be a pastime of yours.
Gl.
Report songsforthedeaf December 9, 2013 10:19 PM GMT
Theres no binary between a stat with a small sample and a stat with a big one...Swanseas trend is, depending on your defenition, a stat with a small/medium sized sample, 18 games or so incl Europa league. They are certainly not going to keep up a trend of 80% goals scored second half, but its not useless information either.
Report songsforthedeaf December 9, 2013 10:19 PM GMT
Swansea were 2.0 to win second half - considering their trend, is that value?
Report Biscuit1979 December 9, 2013 10:26 PM GMT
Yes i disagree, but not because it's you, i'd say the same to anyone. Although your comment of "every team scores more in the 2nd half" suggests you were just dismissing the stat without actually knowing the facts.
But what one person considers a meaningless stat, might be very useful to another.

In the half time table this season Hull are 7th and Swansea are nudging the relegation spots. Yet the proper table tells a different story. So with that info to hand, and Swansea showing form for waking up in the 2nd half of games, it wasn't inconceivable to have expected a 2nd half Swansea comeback.

Like i say, meaningless to some, but probably useful to others. If we all agreed on everything, there would be no betfair.
Report kenilworth December 9, 2013 10:30 PM GMT
One important thing overlooked, the betting.
In the sample you mention it seems obvious
to me the offer of 1/1 Swans to win the second
half tells me the stats are meaningless and
won't continue, otherwise...the holy grail.
Everything is judged on the day.
Report kenilworth December 9, 2013 10:34 PM GMT
Yes i disagree, but not because it's you, i'd say the same to anyone.

Bullsh1t, but I can live with it.
Report Kriskin December 9, 2013 11:44 PM GMT
Some poor teams in this ENGLISH Premier League.  Game tonight was like watching Kilmarnock v Hibs
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