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Biscuit1979
18 Oct 13 10:51
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Date Joined: 16 Nov 10
| Topic/replies: 48,354 | Blogger: Biscuit1979's blog
not a lot of money matched but considering it's 2nd v 3rd and there appears to be nothing between the teams then the Sapovnela Terjola game looks a bit of a fix. Huge move on their odds this morning.
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Report Johnny_Mustang October 18, 2013 11:41 AM BST
Sapovnela heavy favourites now, is that how the market's moved Biscuit? Not much liquidity on here though.
Report Biscuit1979 October 18, 2013 11:47 AM BST
Yeah not much money matched (although loads in comparison to the other games) but last night the home side were over evens
Report Arfur Foxache October 18, 2013 11:48 AM BST
o3.5 in Gagra match aswell maybe?
Report Arfur Foxache October 18, 2013 11:50 AM BST
and o1.5 in the 1st half?
Report Liverpool_YNWA October 18, 2013 11:51 AM BST
This is the 2nd division group a category match right??
Report Arfur Foxache October 18, 2013 11:57 AM BST
yes
Report Biscuit1979 October 18, 2013 11:59 AM BST
there's always something going on in these games. CJ70 is usually the master of spotting potentials in Georgia
Report Arfur Foxache October 18, 2013 11:59 AM BST
over £600 just matched at 1.3/1.35 o1.5 1st half goals...it's on
Report Arfur Foxache October 18, 2013 11:59 AM BST
Gagra match
Report Arfur Foxache October 18, 2013 12:24 PM BST
there's Gagra o1.5 1st half in Happy
Report CJ70 October 18, 2013 12:34 PM BST
Yepp, it's clearly fixed. The problem is finding out how it is fixed as a lot of these Georgian games are reverse fixes.
Report henok October 18, 2013 12:37 PM BST
what do you mean a reverse fix ?
Report Arfur Foxache October 18, 2013 12:38 PM BST
the reverse of what looks likely to happen based on the money and the price
Report henok October 18, 2013 12:38 PM BST
did anyone notice that the ukranian game have more than 24 on over 2.5 market matched, more than match odds. there must be something fishy there as well
Report Arfur Foxache October 18, 2013 12:43 PM BST
that one looks normal to me Henok, more matched on the o2.5 market, but the graph looks ok based on 0-0 at 40mins
Report CJ70 October 18, 2013 12:51 PM BST
What Arfur said. The only thing that you can read in the Prveli game is which of the games are fixed. The money and pattern gives that away, but unlike most other leagues I can't read the outcome.
Report henok October 18, 2013 1:00 PM BST
but the problem with that explanation is that if the fixers take the opposite of what might happen they are taking a super poor price. and i dont see how such move can make sense and happen frequently. most bookmakers in these kind of games are pros who are able to notice market manipulation and genuine money.
Report henok October 18, 2013 1:05 PM BST
anyone with a feed for this game? or stats site? i cant see it on bt365 and w.hill
Report Biscuit1979 October 18, 2013 1:08 PM BST
do bookies ever cover this league? Far too risky.
Report CJ70 October 18, 2013 1:09 PM BST
No bookies cover this league, or at least I don't know of any still covering it. The home side have traded at 1.10 and come back out. Is the fix backing the 1.10 or is it laying it after causing a run?

The only stats/info available are if you have a R-ball licence and then the stats on R-ball are not guaranteed to reflect the game.
Report CJ70 October 18, 2013 1:11 PM BST
I suspect the outcomes on games like this can also be changed at HT or mid game. In short it's fixed and if you can read it you are in clover, I'm no good at reading it.
Report henok October 18, 2013 1:14 PM BST
do you have access to r-ball stats cj70? i understand it can be wrong but i think everybody uses data from rball, so most probably you will not be disadvantaged
Report CJ70 October 18, 2013 1:17 PM BST

Oct 18, 2013 -- 1:14PM, henok wrote:


do you have access to r-ball stats cj70? i understand it can be wrong but i think everybody uses data from rball, so most probably you will not be disadvantaged


Nope don't have R-ball.

I got absolutely hammered last year when the person at the ground inputting the r-ball stats was putting up erroneous information. The team I was piling cash on were leading 2-0 at 80 mins. They lost 2-1.

Report henok October 18, 2013 1:20 PM BST
how did you get the data last year?
Report trilby22 October 18, 2013 1:22 PM BST
Terjola @ evens now and the goals market still looking whacky.  Any ideas fella?
Report CJ70 October 18, 2013 1:24 PM BST

Oct 18, 2013 -- 1:20PM, henok wrote:


how did you get the data last year?


Grovelling to Hills radio service!

Report henok October 18, 2013 1:26 PM BST
Cool
Report Biscuit1979 October 18, 2013 1:26 PM BST
Pretty sure R-Ball costs a fortune to buy, i doubt many punters have it.
Report henok October 18, 2013 1:29 PM BST
i think so as well but i think you can subscribe to it as a group as well. if there are enough pros who are willing to share prices then it can be a good investment.
Report henok October 18, 2013 1:29 PM BST
i think they offer video feeds to some of the obscure markets
Report Biscuit1979 October 18, 2013 1:31 PM BST
Well this one is certainly looking like a double bluff Sad
Report CJ70 October 18, 2013 1:32 PM BST
I think we are talking about 50-60k or something equally ridiculous. The live feeds they offer are just organized free to air matches, cheaper to get a sat and a few cheap subscriptions.
Report Arfur Foxache October 18, 2013 1:32 PM BST
o3.5 Gagra in Happy
Report trilby22 October 18, 2013 1:35 PM BST
Goal for Terjola would save my muffins here ... where's Half Loser 22 with his whacky bets when you need him? Laugh
Report henok October 18, 2013 1:38 PM BST

Oct 18, 2013 -- 1:31PM, Biscuit1979 wrote:


Well this one is certainly looking like a double bluff


what bet did you make on this game

Report CJ70 October 18, 2013 1:44 PM BST
Btw 5's is a great price. If the pre-match money was correct and its a home win, 5's is a back and if it isn't it's a cheap lay.

Balls of steel needed I imagine.
Report Biscuit1979 October 18, 2013 1:45 PM BST
backed the home side early today. In hindsight should've laid off when the price dropped
Report trilby22 October 18, 2013 1:46 PM BST
Yellow card - woohoo Angry
Report henok October 18, 2013 1:47 PM BST

Oct 18, 2013 -- 1:45PM, Biscuit1979 wrote:


backed the home side early today. In hindsight should've laid off when the price dropped


unlucky. i prefer to trade fixes. mostly they are good opportunities

Report CJ70 October 18, 2013 1:48 PM BST
Just put 24p on there being a goal, riding the high life
Report CJ70 October 18, 2013 1:49 PM BST
24p I'll never see again.
Report trilby22 October 18, 2013 1:49 PM BST

Oct 18, 2013 -- 1:48PM, CJ70 wrote:


Just put 24p on there being a goal, riding the high life


What are those chocco bars again?  Froccos, or something?

Report trilby22 October 18, 2013 1:50 PM BST
Monkeys? Laugh
Report Arfur Foxache October 18, 2013 1:50 PM BST
classic Georgian double bluff
Report Biscuit1979 October 18, 2013 1:51 PM BST
Freddo's
Report Arfur Foxache October 18, 2013 1:51 PM BST

Oct 18, 2013 -- 1:49PM, trilby22 wrote:


Oct 18, 2013 --  1:48PM, CJ70 wrote:Just put 24p on there being a goal, riding the high lifeWhat are those chocco bars again?  Froccos, or something?


Freddos

Report Arfur Foxache October 18, 2013 1:51 PM BST
Laugh
Report trilby22 October 18, 2013 1:53 PM BST

Oct 18, 2013 -- 1:51PM, Arfur Foxache wrote:


Oct 18, 2013 --  1:49PM, trilby22 wrote:Oct 18, 2013 --  1:48PM, CJ70 wrote:Just put 24p on there being a goal, riding the high lifeWhat are those chocco bars again?  Froccos, or something?Freddos


Aye, that's them - I'll Google some ...

Report CJ70 October 18, 2013 1:53 PM BST
How much are Freddo's these days? Used to be 10p or something.
Report trilby22 October 18, 2013 1:54 PM BST
25p, probably
Report CJ70 October 18, 2013 1:56 PM BST
So a minimum bet is 8 Freddo's. This has potential, I may start betting in Freddo's.
Report trilby22 October 18, 2013 1:57 PM BST
Never heard of the feckers - before I heard about them on Betfair

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Freddo

Mrs will be happy to hear I've spent my Friday responsibly ... so far Happy
Report CJ70 October 18, 2013 1:59 PM BST
Surely she'll be more than happy if you tell her you've been researching chocolate!
Report trilby22 October 18, 2013 2:00 PM BST
Do they do Friday Freddo's?  That could be a catchy advertising idea Grin

Good thinking, CJ! Cool
Report Biscuit1979 October 18, 2013 2:00 PM BST
used to be able to get a couple of freddo's, a packet of space raiders and a chomp and still have change out of 50p!
Report trilby22 October 18, 2013 2:08 PM BST
30p each now - via ebay

http://www.ebay.co.uk/itm/Cadburys-Freddo-Popping-Candy-Chocolate-Bars-Full-Box-Of-60-Bars-UK-Ship-/350890324682?pt=UK_Sweets_Chocolate&ha****m51b2b172ca
Report trilby22 October 18, 2013 2:09 PM BST
23p
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