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evan_bartlett29
15 Sep 13 09:02
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Date Joined: 27 Apr 12
| Topic/replies: 7 | Blogger: evan_bartlett29's blog
Here's what I wrote in my weekly betting blog about this game, would be interested to hear what everyone else thinks:

Has there ever been a game more destined to be a goal-fest than Sunday’s encounter between Hoffenheim and Borussia Monchengladbach? The eight games involving these two teams this season have featured an incredible 42 goals.

A leaky defence coupled with incisive counter-attacking play mean Hoffenheim not only have the worst defensive record in the Bundesliga – conceding 12, but also the most goals in favour – scoring 12.

In return, M’gladbach have the second best attack in the league (scoring 10) and a comparatively much ‘stronger’ defence – only conceding 8!

Thankfully for Hoffenheim, their two top scorers this season, Roberto Firmino and Kevin Volland, didn’t make it into their national team squads in the recent break and should be firing on all cylinders with a return of domestic fixtures.

Picking a winner in this clash is tricky, both teams are so unpredictable – a 5-1 victory here, a 6-2 defeat there. Perhaps home advantage will play into Hoffenheim’s hands but the best bet has to be over 2.5 goals at 1.7.

http://community.betfair.com/evan_bartlett29/blog/2013/09/12/evan-bartletts-european-football-column-week-4
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Report Hr. Hoppenstedt September 15, 2013 10:22 AM BST
Roberto Firmino will not play today.
http://www.bundesliga.com/en/liga/news/2013/0000269374.php
The last matches between these 2 sides played in Hoffenheim ended 0:0 (January 13)and 1:0 (October 2011).
Good luck with your bet anyway
Report evan_bartlett29 September 15, 2013 11:49 AM BST
That's a shame about Firmino, he's been in good form this season.

The bet was placed more in lieu of recent form rather than previous meetings between the teams. I don't always think results from as far back as 2 years ago are a good indicator of what's likely to happen in a game.

I should point out they did also play in March and August 2012 in which both games registered more than 2.5 goals.

Fingers crossed it happens again!
Report Hr. Hoppenstedt September 15, 2013 4:04 PM BST
well done
Report evan_bartlett29 September 15, 2013 5:16 PM BST
Thanks Hr. Hoppenstedt! A bit of a close call in the end, but a win nonetheless.
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