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sideshowbob
23 Aug 13 01:27
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Date Joined: 19 Oct 05
| Topic/replies: 11,645 | Blogger: sideshowbob's blog
has to be a good bet shirley?

one of those where the whole betting community will be on wolves. how do you even make a case for any other bet?? 

these are the ones that always go wrong though arent they. home banker of the century live on sky. see it all the time in the lower leagues. Plain

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Replies: 239
By:
marychain1
When: 23 Aug 13 10:12
Wolves are too short. Wouldn't touch them with stolen money. Lay them.
By:
The Dragon
When: 23 Aug 13 10:48
i prefer colchester to beat carlilse at 1.82 this evening
By:
hippie
When: 23 Aug 13 13:05
How are Wolves too short and what's the justification for laying them?
By:
ZingZangZong
When: 23 Aug 13 13:19
Crawley have scored plenty of goals already this season. IMHO that makes betting on them losing a little dangerous.
By:
hippie
When: 23 Aug 13 13:30
so you simply ignore the wolves team they'll be facing and the fact Crawley have shipped [against inferior opposition] as many goals as they've scored ?
By:
marychain1
When: 23 Aug 13 14:04
The price is the justification for laying them. I think they are rightly favourites but the price is laughable.
By:
marychain1
When: 23 Aug 13 14:04
The price is the justification for laying them. I think they are rightly favourites but the price is laughable.
By:
The Dragon
When: 23 Aug 13 14:06
what price would you have them at mary?
By:
hippie
When: 23 Aug 13 14:11
1.72 is generous
By:
The Dragon
When: 23 Aug 13 14:16
1.67 now
By:
ZingZangZong
When: 23 Aug 13 14:24
so you simply ignore the wolves team they'll be facing and the fact Crawley have shipped [against inferior opposition] as many goals as they've scored ?

Not at all. I just think their are significant risks and when you add a probably lack of in play liquidity in this League 1 game it is not the kind of bet I would choose to get involved with.
By:
Java
When: 23 Aug 13 15:27
Poor price.  Should be 1.9 imo.
By:
hippie
When: 23 Aug 13 15:33
A full international front line (with various levels of international representation behind) operating in League 1 should be offered at 1.9?

Yeah, right. Laugh
By:
polab
When: 23 Aug 13 15:43
goals goals goals
By:
ZingZangZong
When: 23 Aug 13 15:48
It wouldn't surprise me if Crawley had been working on their defence all week. Teams that ship goal win nothing. Most good managers will go back to basics to shore up the defence. If the Crawley manager is any good he will be looking for a clean sheet.
By:
sideshowbob
When: 23 Aug 13 16:21
i think they should win about 5-0 personally. got 500 quid on em at 1.72. mind you, ive only won 19 of 20 bets this week so what would i know. setting myself up for a fall i know, im not one to shout about things but 1.72 looks a cracking price to me.
By:
Java
When: 23 Aug 13 16:37
"A full international front line (with various levels of international representation behind) operating in League 1 should be offered at 1.9? "

Have your lump on at 1.68.  You'll probabaly win, but backing Wolves at this price in the long term is the road to the poor house, pure and simple.
By:
Java
When: 23 Aug 13 16:39
Lol at people on this thread expecting Wolves to win 5-0 every week.  Grin  I can just see the posts this time last year. 

"Wolves at home to Brighon?  They're premier league players aren't they - should win 5-0"  Laugh
By:
hippie
When: 23 Aug 13 17:04
The only person who has said anything about Wolves winning 5-0 every week or backing them at 1.68 long term is you. We're talking about Wolves v Crawley tonight.

Platitudes and generalisations don't cut it in the long run.
By:
Java
When: 23 Aug 13 17:06
So you think Crawley are cannon fodder.  Where do you expect them to finish in the league out of interest?
By:
scott1092
When: 23 Aug 13 17:10
over 2.5 ?
By:
aaronh
When: 23 Aug 13 17:11
Wolves and Peterborough = free promotion money as we storm through this league

HTH
By:
old crumpy
When: 23 Aug 13 17:14
got 114 on at 178 thing of laying 50 166 as 50 was my starting bank or stick what experts think please
By:
bigste
When: 23 Aug 13 17:15
This is a monster price assuming wolves are to mount a promotion challenge doubt crawleys back 4 have faced a current scottish international before not a wolves fan but this in my opinion is a big bet
By:
hippie
When: 23 Aug 13 17:18
I think if they ship 3 away to Tranmere they're cannon fodder tonight (my guess, Griffiths first goal - but I won't be backing that).

I expect them to be a mid-table side but I don't know the extent of their financial woes (they're looking for a buyer apparently). They look good for overs and some home wins but I can't see myself backing them for away wins anytime soon.
By:
Java
When: 23 Aug 13 17:20
Are we seriously receommending 1.68 because Crawley's back 4 haven't haven't faced a Scottish Internaional before!??  Laugh
By:
Java
When: 23 Aug 13 17:20
Hippie - I'm not saying I want to back them - I'm saying Wolves at 1.68 are bad value.
By:
MysticMug
When: 23 Aug 13 17:22
Over 2.5 and 3.5 for me.
By:
old crumpy
When: 23 Aug 13 17:25
750 000 macdonald from sheff utd also poss play tonight
By:
hippie
When: 23 Aug 13 17:26
Everything that has happened so far this season suggests 1.68 is good value.
By:
Java
When: 23 Aug 13 17:29
Eh?  They've only played 3 games FFS.  Absurd comment.
By:
hippie
When: 23 Aug 13 17:31
Whatever. You're becoming tiresome now.
By:
Java
When: 23 Aug 13 17:33
I'm merely pointing out that using 3 games as evidence to justify backing a 1.68 shot at home is absurd. 

Like I said - lump on.  You'll probably win, but backing Wolves at 1.68 will cost you money in the long term. 

If you think 1.68 is good value what price do you think Wolves should be?  1.3?  Laugh
By:
glory hornet
When: 23 Aug 13 17:42
By: This user is offline. marychain1
Date Joined: 05 Apr 05 Add contact | Send message When: 23 Aug 13 14:04 Joined: Date Joined: 05 Apr 05 | Topic/replies: 18,897 | Blogger: marychain1's blog

The price is the justification for laying them. I think they are rightly favourites but the price is laughable.

I never understand this argument , the price should never come into it ,, if you fancy Wolves to win , then back them Dont lay them because the price is too short
wolves win at 1.9
Wolves win at  1.8
Wolves win at 1.7

The same result is a Wolves win
By:
Java
When: 23 Aug 13 17:45
Are you serious?  The price is everything because it effects your profitability if you were able to re-run the same event hundreds of times over.  And thus effects your long term success.

If I offered you 1/100 on Man Utd every game you'd normally win, but I'd win overall.
By:
The Dragon
When: 23 Aug 13 18:05
spot on java
By:
marychain1
When: 23 Aug 13 18:43
I think that when my mate flicks this coin it's going to land on heads. He has given me odds of 1.68, and I think that's a good bet so I'm lumping on. I'm sure it will be heads. In fact, I think the next 10 are going to be heads so I've had 10 x £100 singles all at 1.68.

Doesn't matter about the price on any of them, because I'm quite confident they will all be heads.
By:
Dr Kim
When: 23 Aug 13 18:46
Wolves great value. Shame the odds keep dropping. They were @ 1.9 last night, now 1.6. Will place bet though just before kick off
By:
marychain1
When: 23 Aug 13 18:46
Ah only 5 were heads, still, that's not bad out of 10, I got half of them right and I got some money back. I'll try again next weekend. I might try tails next time, he says he'll give me 1.75 for tails. Happy days :-)
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