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CJ70
02 Jul 13 11:01
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Date Joined: 26 Nov 11
| Topic/replies: 30,757 | Blogger: CJ70's blog
I'm wary of putting large stakes on this one. At first glance this should be a 5-0 or 6-0 but Shirak will only want to get through and that should be easy after two legs.

Heavy rain and thunderstorms forecast for the game.

Goal markets offer absolutely no value pre-match IMO and the match odds should rise in game if they don't pick up an early goal. Anybody taken a big position?

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Replies: 125
By:
Biscuit1979
When: 02 Jul 13 11:10
It's not a metter of whether you trust them, you just need to take into account that Tre Penne lost 11-0 over 2 legs to Dudelange last year
By:
CJ70
When: 02 Jul 13 11:32
I was happy to take Dudelange and goals last year. Shirak are a vastly better side and Tre Penne's dads army are a year older in far more hostile territory, considering that I'm still not happy to risk big stakes on a thumping pre-game.

Come 16.00 and the likelihood is I'll have missed out.
By:
Biscuit1979
When: 02 Jul 13 11:41
Tre Penne's recent european adventures.

2010 - lost 13-3 to Zrinjski Mostar. Nope i've never heard of them either.
2011 - lost 9-1 to FK Rad
2012 - lost 11-0 to Dudelange

P6 L6 F4 A33

Then again it's not surprising when 8 of their squad are over the age of 35. 2 are in their late 40s!!

Laugh
By:
CJ70
When: 02 Jul 13 11:52
That Zrinjski game is partly why I'm not going in large. Have you seen the stats for that game? 4-1 by the 38th minute and then not a sausage.

Zrinjski have one of the other San Marino or Andorra sides on Thursday, so maybe worth watching the Asians on that one.
By:
johnboy85
When: 02 Jul 13 12:04
HT/FT shirak all day long
By:
bettingmike8
When: 02 Jul 13 12:04
I agree with you it should be at least 5 or 6 goals! However, I know nothing about this other team so I do get a bit wary! I think I will see what happens stats wise the first 5 mins then decide! It could be too late by then but I won't be chasing goals! If I get a decent price on o4.5 ill go for it!
By:
G Hall
When: 02 Jul 13 12:38
I see Tre Penne have kept 5 clean sheets in a row!! could it be a nil niler
By:
johnboy85
When: 02 Jul 13 12:54
against a lot less opposition
By:
JC1326
When: 02 Jul 13 12:58
I think the conservative approach is a smart one, CJ. It's not really about how bad Tre Penne are, more about Shirak, and we know little about them. I've got the outright @ 1.08, which I think is actually a good price, and managed to get the AH -2 @ 1.20 on here. Small bit from an arb if they keep a clean sheet too.
By:
JC1326
When: 02 Jul 13 13:03

Jul 2, 2013 -- 12:38PM, G Hall wrote:


I see Tre Penne have kept 5 clean sheets in a row!! could it be a nil niler


Considering the calibre of striker they come up against is probably a fifty year old bus driver, I wouldn't put too much stock in any domestic clean sheet Laugh

By:
CJ70
When: 02 Jul 13 13:06

Jul 2, 2013 -- 12:58PM, JC1326 wrote:


I think the conservative approach is a smart one, CJ. It's not really about how bad Tre Penne are, more about Shirak, and we know little about them. I've got the outright @ 1.08, which I think is actually a good price, and managed to get the AH -2 @ 1.20 on here. Small bit from an arb if they keep a clean sheet too.


You did well to get 1.08 I'm in the queue at 1.10 although I don't expect to be matched pre-game.

By:
G Hall
When: 02 Jul 13 13:26
lol jc1326 LaughLaugh
By:
Stringer
When: 02 Jul 13 13:32
Armenian money train Cool
By:
JC1326
When: 02 Jul 13 13:41
The 1.0833 was actually with Hills. I've done most my punting with Betfair, so still am allowed decent amounts at most places, though sadly recently I've started being limited at a few places Sad Punters badge of honour, I suppose.
By:
johnboy85
When: 02 Jul 13 13:42
over 3.5 for me
By:
isright
When: 02 Jul 13 13:52
jc1326, the tip is to pitch for as much as possible at the bookies so that they come back with a decent restriction
By:
Greenknight
When: 02 Jul 13 13:56

Jul 2, 2013 -- 1:42PM, johnboy85 wrote:


over 3.5 for me


it's a beautiful summer day out there... why am I interested in this weird game officiated by a russian born referee from Kazakhstan..

In a normal day, this should be a win, but what do we know about Armenian football and their antics?

Is it that better than football from Luxemburg? or clearer? who knows what can happen to my hard earned 200 coins in these distant lands... Am I a mug.

By:
isright
When: 02 Jul 13 13:57
You are the Greenknight, charging in to rescue the Green princess
By:
CJ70
When: 02 Jul 13 13:58
Come on then you beautiful postmen, plumbers and brickies. Hold out for 25 mins.
By:
G Hall
When: 02 Jul 13 13:58
off we go
By:
johnboy85
When: 02 Jul 13 14:00
great effort on goal lmao
By:
Biscuit1979
When: 02 Jul 13 14:02
away team already look hopeless
By:
bettingmike8
When: 02 Jul 13 14:06
Both teams don't look very good!
By:
johnboy85
When: 02 Jul 13 14:07
looked a pen to me
By:
CJ70
When: 02 Jul 13 14:07
Shirak don't look brilliant though.
By:
G Hall
When: 02 Jul 13 14:07
penalty
By:
HGsuperhoopza
When: 02 Jul 13 14:07
pen home team
By:
POT.NOODLE.HEAD
When: 02 Jul 13 14:08
pen this time
By:
Biscuit1979
When: 02 Jul 13 14:08
Of course they don't look good, that's why they're playing at this stage of the competition!
By:
CJ70
When: 02 Jul 13 14:08
That one didn't look like a pen, making up for the last one?
By:
maas
When: 02 Jul 13 14:08
missed
By:
G Hall
When: 02 Jul 13 14:08
goal
By:
Biscuit1979
When: 02 Jul 13 14:08
LaughLaugh
By:
HGsuperhoopza
When: 02 Jul 13 14:09
missed lmao
By:
POT.NOODLE.HEAD
When: 02 Jul 13 14:09
ffs
By:
johnboy85
When: 02 Jul 13 14:09
my nan would of got closer
By:
johnboy85
When: 02 Jul 13 14:09
that was a poxy run up!
By:
G Hall
When: 02 Jul 13 14:09
ffs 365 says goal
By:
bettingmike8
When: 02 Jul 13 14:10

Jul 2, 2013 -- 2:08PM, CJ70 wrote:


That one didn't look like a pen, making up for the last one?


I agree. that one looked less like one!  Time to get on o3.5?

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